Wednesday, January 31, 2007

Special Blog Post:
Molly and George

When George W. Bush finally died, he found himself in a large, very nice hotel being led down a hallway of suites by none other than Molly Ivins.

"Hurry it along, there, Shrub. We've got to get you settled into the room and get your things unpacked. Dinner is always served at six o'clock sharp, and we don't want to be late."

Quite confused by the whole situation and somewhat out of breath from the brisk pace he was having to maintain to keep up, George panted, "Dinner?"

"Well, yes, George," Molly answered without looking back. "This is a respectable establishment."

"The after-life is in a five-star hotel?!" George demanded.

"Of course," Molly growled as she stopped at the door to one of the suites.

George caught up to her as she unlocked the door and opened it. He stuck his head in and looked around, "This place is gorgeous! I actually made it to Heaven even after all the things I did in my life that I knew were wrong and despicable and evil!"

Molly then patted him on the shoulder and said, "Well, Shrub, it's like this: I'm in Heaven. You, on the other hand, are now my roommate for the rest of Eternity."

Upon hearing this, George walked slowly and quietly over to the large bay windows, and after looking out for a long, silent moment into the blackness of the Infinite Void, he grunted, "Well, shit."

♦                    ♦                    ♦


Godspeed, Ms. Ivins, and thank you.

<< 9 Comments Total
 My Pet Goat blogged...

Heh heh, thanks for sharing your fantasy, Mr. Wraith. If only true.

Thu Feb 01, 12:05:58 AM EST  
 rcg blogged...

I just logged on, and say what? Molly Ivins is dead? aw, that sucks. She was one of the great ones.

I guess this would be as good a place as any to say one of my favorite MI quotes.

"Many people did not care for Pat Buchanan's speech; it probably sounded better in the original German"

If there is a heaven, Molly, I know you are there. Thank you!

And G'night DW.

Thu Feb 01, 12:08:17 AM EST  
 Moody Blue blogged...

I'd be hard pressed to pick a favorite article or quote by Molly Ivins because there are so many, but I'll leave here excerpts an article of November 5, 2004:

"Do you know how to cure a chicken-killin' dog? Now, you know you cannot keep a dog that kills chickens, no matter how fine a dog it is otherwise.

"Some people think you cannot break a dog that has got in the habit of killin' chickens, but my friend John Henry always claimed you could. He said the way to do it is to take one of the chickens the dog has killed and wire the thing around the dog's neck, good and strong. And leave it there until that dead chicken stinks so bad that no other dog or person will even go near that poor beast. Thing'll smell so bad the dog won't be able to stand himself. You leave it on there until the last little bit of flesh rots and falls off, and that dog won't kill chickens again.

"The Bush administration is going to be wired around the neck of the American people for four more years, long enough for the stench to sicken everybody. It should cure the country of electing Republicans.

"And at least Democrats won't have to clean up after him until it is real clear to everyone who made the mess.

[snip]

"Figure out what you can do to help rescue the country — join something, send a little money to some group, call somewhere and offer to volunteer, find a politician you like at the local level and start helping him or her to move up.
"Think about how you can lend a hand to the amazing myriad efforts that will promptly break out to help the country recover from what it has done to itself. Now is the time. Don't mourn, organize."


That dawg won't hunt.

You will be missed, Molly.

Thu Feb 01, 04:39:42 AM EST  
 snuffy blogged...

She will be deeply missed in my house.The world is a sadder ,darker place without her wit and wisdom.

Thu Feb 01, 07:43:07 AM EST  
 roger blogged...

i once had the privilege of meeting ms ivins. the best i could manage was a lame "i'm a big fan."

my favorite story that she told involved a texas legislator slapping a colleague on the back, thereby, as she put it, "breaking the texas law against a pr*ck touching an a**hole." i believe she named the two.

Thu Feb 01, 10:33:47 AM EST  
 SB Gypsy blogged...

Good Morning Dark Wraith,

Oh, if it could only be true! Tho' my darkest impulses say even she would have a hard time shaking the codpiece out of his stubborn incompetence.

It's a dark day in the world when we loose one like Molly, and are forced to keep that little rat bastard.

Thu Feb 01, 11:29:19 AM EST  
 elf blogged...

Well said DW,
I will miss looking for her succinct articles.
And her humor.

Thu Feb 01, 03:54:23 PM EST  
 PeterofLoneTree blogged...

Thank you, Wraith.

I can now cancel my request to Dante Alighieri to create a new circle of hell for just such as boygeorge.

The one you have described fits the bill exactly.

Fri Feb 02, 08:43:00 AM EST  
 The Fat Lady Sings blogged...

Are you sure that would be Bush's idea of hell? Were I the marvelous Ms. Ivans - I think I'd prefer an eternity NOT spent in his company; but then - he is worth wonderful copy!

Sat Feb 03, 01:47:50 AM EST  

       

Saturday, January 27, 2007

Special Blog Post:
Humor That Won't Be for Everyone

The joke that follows is not funny...

...unless, that is, you have a very quirky sense of humor, in which case, not only will you find the joke worth a laugh, but you will also be delighted by the graphic I provide in links at the end of this post. In fact, you might find out that the greatest humor of the joke is in printing out the graphic and putting it up where others will see it and say, "Uh... I don't get it."

Without further ado, here's the joke.
Three missionaries, two of them Presbyterians of good breeding and education and one a Free Will Baptist from the sticks, were captured by cannibals. They were taken to a guarded tent and thrown in.

One of the Presbyterian preachers hollered, "What are you going to do with me?"

A cannibal guard stuck his head in and replied, "We're going to fatten you up one at a time, boil you, eat you, and use your skin to make a big canoe."

Within an hour, a huge meal was served to this minister, who was quite hungry and snarfed it all down, after which he was dragged out of the tent, never to be seen again.

The second minister bawled, "Guard! What are you going to do to me?!"

The cannibal poked his head in the tent, rolled his eyes, and said, "We're going to fatten you up, boil you, eat you, and use your skin to make a big canoe."

And just like with the first preacher, this one was promptly served a huge meal, which he devoured quickly because of his hunger, after which he was dragged out of the tent, never to be seen again.

The Free Will Baptist minister had stayed silent through all of this. The cannibal stuck his head in to see why the fellow wasn't demanding to know the details of his fate and saw that the guy was just sitting there. The cannibal shrugged his shoulders and handed him the big meal.

A little later, the cannibal stuck his head in the tent, and the first thing he saw was that the meal was untouched; then he realized that the Baptist was over in the corner stabbing himself all over his back and stomach with the fork that had been provided with the food.

The cannibal yelled, "What th' Hell are you DOING?!!" to which the heavily bleeding man replied:

"Ain't nobody gonna make a canoe outta ME!"
And now, if you found that joke worth a laugh, and if you understand the underlying metaphor, please feel free to use this graphic as wall art for your home or office, or as a statement to post on your own Website.

Click here for the large version, click here for the medium version, or click here for the small version.



The Dark Wraith thanks those in the audience who are smiling.

<< 19 Comments Total
 Deb blogged...

I am still laughing. I guess I do have a quirky sense of humor. Who knew?

Thanks for starting my day off in the right direction.

Sat Jan 27, 01:40:59 PM EST  
 red red rose blogged...

Thank you for the touch of levity on a bleak and overcast day in the SF Bay Area.

Sat Jan 27, 02:57:19 PM EST  
 oldwhitelady blogged...

Good afternoon, Dark Wraith.

Hee hee.. that was a goodie. The graphic is pretty..er...cool, too.

...And that's why cannibals now use plastic sporks.

Sat Jan 27, 05:28:51 PM EST  
 Anonymous blogged...

I am not at all certain I understand the underlying metaphor, but I like the joke very much!

- oddjob ;-)

Sat Jan 27, 09:53:49 PM EST  
 father tyme blogged...

So Libby is a Baptist?

Sun Jan 28, 10:00:49 AM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

You're close, Father Time.

Libby is Jewish.




The Dark Wraith celebrates our Judeo-Christian heritage.

Sun Jan 28, 11:14:38 AM EST  
 father tyme blogged...

DW,
Was John the Baptist, Jewish, too?
(wink wink, nudge nudge!)
I think Libby may be thinking of conversion.
BTW, skin is waterproof, but the stuff under it leaks like a ....

Sun Jan 28, 01:05:28 PM EST  
 PeterofLoneTree blogged...

"Libby is Jewish."
The self-sacrificing kind?

Sun Jan 28, 02:42:04 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

The going price in Washington is $10 million per year of confinement. Rumor has it that the price for Libby could be between two and three times that.

He'll do his time at Elgin, the country club of country clubs for white collar convicts.

Oh, and that price per year? It will go up the nastier his lawyer, a fellow named Ted Wells, I believe, fights in court.

Not to worry, though: Cheney is personally on the hook for the payout, but the check is already guaranteed by others. Although George is far more in control of everything that goes on around him than most give him credit for, in this particular situation, he's just an irrelevant, bit player in this wrap-up.



The Dark Wraith takes comfort in the fact that those guys might have millions and millions of bucks, but they don't have an attractive blog.

Sun Jan 28, 03:53:21 PM EST  
 PeterofLoneTree blogged...

"...they don't have an attractive blog."

They do, however, have an unattractive glob.

Sun Jan 28, 05:22:58 PM EST  
 PeterofLoneTree blogged...

Here's the message I receive when I try to bring up The Uncapitalist Journal:

"This Account Has Been Suspended
Please contact the billing/support department as soon as possible."


More "spamming"?

Sun Jan 28, 08:07:07 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Complete destruction, Peter. Same spambot, but I didn't catch it in time.


The Dark Wraith has no reason for paranoia.

Sun Jan 28, 08:20:52 PM EST  
 My Pet Goat blogged...

Heh heh, that joke was going around grad school twenty years ago; still funny today.

Mon Jan 29, 01:16:38 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good afternoon, Mr. Goat.

Indeed, this joke has had several revivals, but I daresay mine is the first to provide the associated, high-quality graphic appropriate for home, office, dorm, or classroom.


The Dark Wraith has, therefore, delivered the definitive version.

Mon Jan 29, 01:41:16 PM EST  
 My Pet Goat blogged...

That you have, but don't you think for the less enlighten that the canoe needs a name?

Mon Jan 29, 09:10:03 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

USS SkinLog, Mr. Goat.


The Dark Wraith pays tribute to our 42nd President of these United States.

Mon Jan 29, 10:19:41 PM EST  
 Anonymous blogged...

OT, but I couldn't help sharing this item at RawStory, in light of the observations you've made about the Chinese government's manipulation of its currency.

- oddjob

Mon Jan 29, 11:26:39 PM EST  
 Anonymous blogged...

Here's yet another interesting story about the latest economic doings of the Chinese. (Hat tip Rawstory.)

- oddjob

Mon Jan 29, 11:30:32 PM EST  
 Wild Clover blogged...

Off topic, but men can too multi-task

Sat Feb 03, 07:09:02 PM EST  

       

Thursday, January 25, 2007

Special Analysis:
The Battlefield and the Nomads

While the mainstream media reports in almost incidental fashion that armed forces of the United States have made several lethal attacks on suspected terrorist enclaves in Somalia, some online writers in the Blogosphere have taken a more concerned view of these military forays. For example, the blogger Peter of Lone Tree, writing at BlondeSense, notes an article at World War 4 Report rather graphically describing the result of a U.S. aerial attack earlier this month in southern Somalia near the Kenyan border, a strike in which perhaps 80 people—nomads going to watering holes at night—were killed, along with livestock. It is worth noting that nomadic peoples are often night travelers, and not only because of cooler temperatures after dark: the night usually affords nomads some degree of safety because they are less noticeable. In fact, even in modern urban areas of the world, "nomadic" sub-cultures exist entirely unknown to most people, who are out only in daylight and early evening.

In response to Peter of Lone Tree's brief recap of the recent U.S. military activity in Somalia, I offered commentary at BlondeSense that I herewith post in edited and expanded form as a special analysis.

The military actions we are undertaking in Somalia are pursuant to the "Global War on Terror" (GWOT). While many, if not most, Americans understand that term largely as conceptual American policy, it is most decidedly far more specific and operational; and because it is persistently and tangibly applicable, it is altogether lethal, as well.

We truly are waging a "global war": we as a nation have declared that we stand ready to carry out military missions in any theatre, within any sovereign nation, and by any means; and not only are we prepared in a contingency sense to do so, we will do so.

That's how wars are fought. They are not about some visceral, emotional readiness; they are, instead, about planning, action, and follow-up. They are not about the rhetoric of war; they are about the actual destruction of property and the killing of people. To dismiss warhawks like Richard Cheney and George W. Bush as a blustering cowards who declined to fight the wars of their generation is to miss the point that, in our generation, they are the nexus of state-sponsored violence that can be projected anywhere in the world.

In the large sense, the U.S. troops in Iraq are not fighting "the" war. That lowly country is merely one venue—a high-profile, quite visible one—on a global battlefield. Leaving Iraq has nothing whatsoever to do with disengaging "the" war the neo-conservatives have declared with the advice and consent of the Congress.

Our fierce and war-wise President and Vice President—steeped as they are in military tradition and combat experience, of course—have said that we are in a "generational struggle". In Mr. Cheney's words, "It is the kind of conflict that's going to drive our policy and our government for the next 20 or 30 or 40 years. We have to prevail and we have to have the stomach for the fight long term." For all intents and purposes, that means our leaders have begun a war without terminus, without borders, and without any meaningful way to stop it if the strategy of opponents of the madness focus on one theatre of engagement without understanding the cancer of American hegemony that has infected the very essence of American foreign policy in ways unchangeable by the particular desires, resolutions, or passions of any given Congress.

Far more important than Iraq, Afghanistan, Somalia, or any other particular skirmish, be it big, long, and expensive or small, short, and sweet, is this: because the United States of America really is part of the global community, a Global War on Terror necessarily means a war that can and without any doubt will be prosecuted here every bit as vigorously and violently as it is in the darkest reaches of the Middle East, Asia, and Africa. That's what the "Global" in GWOT really means.

The United States as Empire remains on the move. It is not stopped by what might become a quagmire in one theatre of engagement, it is not abated by what might become a public hostility to its architects, and it is not deterred by what might become escalating reactive violence by those of the world greatly harmed by its ways and means.

The gathering night of Empire will proceed apace, and it will be on that darkened road into the future that the peoples of the world, including the citizens of this country, will find themselves traveling, nothing more than another horde of nomads hoping not to be noticed by the Empire's engines of death prowling the blackened skies.


The Dark Wraith welcomes America to the battlefield.

<< 19 Comments Total
 Mr. Shakes blogged...

Afternoon, Wraith.

I thought you'd find this article interesting. It is of some pertinence to the above.

And you thought sonic cannons were bad?

Thu Jan 25, 11:54:36 AM EST  
 PeterofLoneTree blogged...

Mr. Shakes, there's a comment thread running over at the Rigorous Intuition Discussion Board on the article you linked. I thought a couple of them were interesting:
"Aim this at the cockpit of an incoming plane you have drawn off course with a stronger radio or GPS beacon near a podunk airport and you can Wellstone anybody you want."
as well as
"Love the new verb, Stickdog-- "to Wellstone" must mean to murder without any evidence, to make it look like an accident."

Thu Jan 25, 02:00:18 PM EST  
 PeterofLoneTree blogged...

From CBS:

Cheney: Senate Resolution "Won't Stop Us"

Thu Jan 25, 02:30:25 PM EST  
 snuffy blogged...

Good afternoon,Dark Wraith,
This GWOT is the first bloodstained child of Peak Oil.Our efforts to smash any sort of organise percived threat to the flow of"our"oil from overseas will continue,just long as the rest of the world does not take effective action.As it appears the congress is still in thrall to the most powerful[oil] companies ever created,I fear the eventual outcome.There is a old saying about those who prevent peaceful change,makeing Violent change inevitable.The payback, "blowback" that may already be in the pipeline due to our leaders actions in the middle east,should scare hell out of everyone.

Does everyone really feel that the war will stay "overthere"?

We will see prompt,irrevercible destruction of our way of life at some stage of this play.My guess is some bright,dedicated "terrorist" type will figgure out that our country will rollover and die if the supply of oil is disrupted for any lenght of time.As it is a preety good trick to keep a refinery from blowing up during regular operations ,stopping a good chunk of the entire world petro-production is a real possibility.Thats when we may get to see what liveing in a bad sci-fi movie is like....

Thu Jan 25, 03:05:59 PM EST  
 PeterofLoneTree blogged...

Why would the neo-conservative PTB want to control the world's oil supply? Is it because they expect a new Ice Age?

Here's a link/quote from Signs-of-the-Times:

"Last month, for almost a week, the Gulf Stream ceased to flow northward to Europe".

Weather been kinda funny wherever you are? Dead birds littering the ground? Funny smells in the air? Check the link for more.

Thu Jan 25, 04:44:51 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good evening, Mr. Shakes.

I'm not sure if you remember or not, but I wrote about crowd control weapons in "The Area Denial Option: From Fallujah to New Orleans." That was in September of 2005 that I published that article here and at Big Brass Blog.

My focus was on the acoustical variety, which will remain far more popular in domestic urban riot control situations (these devices are now in the inventory of a number of police departments around the country), but I specifically mentioned and provided a link to the Raytheon "pain ray" weaponry.

Although back then—almost a year-and-a-half ago—even though I had already developed a readership (you included, my friend) that didn't think I was on the other side of the cuckoo clock, I still had this impression that more than a few people thought the whole idea of this type of assault weaponry in use against civilians was something out of a science fiction movie. Obviously, it wasn't then, and it isn't now.

It has been my experience that one of the several important ways to predict the future these days is not to look to science fiction, but merely to very carefully and thoroughly notice what's happening in the here and now.

That, of course, is one of the problems with the future, these days: it's not that it comes too soon; it's that it's already arrived.


The Dark Wraith will avoid crowded riots from now on.

Thu Jan 25, 07:47:28 PM EST  
 Anonymous blogged...

There is no Soviet Union anymore, but everybody remember those great victories and defeats. We trusted in idea and we made our history through great losses...
www.backinussr.com

Thu Jan 25, 08:46:12 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

The YouTube capture of the video of "Russians," from the album, The Dream of the Blue Turtles, by Sting, 1985.

Thu Jan 25, 09:29:31 PM EST  
 PeterofLoneTree blogged...

Yup. Total War. And if they don't want to fight, we'll drag them kicking and screaming onto the battlefield:

From Reuters:
"Bush authorizes targeting Iranians in Iraq".

Fri Jan 26, 09:51:42 AM EST  
 The Minstrel Boy blogged...

Good Morning Dark Wraith:

My general aversion to crowds (a persistent feature of PTSD) will usually keep me from marches and protests. Unless it's a tightly controlled situation like a performance I just don't do all that well in them. I also am impressed with the timing of this announcement. Two days before a big huge protest march.

They will always find ways to remind us that they are happiest when we are afraid.

Fri Jan 26, 10:29:46 AM EST  
 andi blogged...

in the recently released movie "Children of Men," there is a chilling exchange between Theo (Clive Owen) and Jasper (Michael Caine.) Premise of the movie is that the human race can no longer reproduce, resulting in a Gotterdammerung of epic proportions.

Jasper refers to the time before we lost the ability to have kids, when "it all went to shit."

Theo says, "It was already shit before this happened."

Given that the movie takes place in 2027, I couldn't help but get full-body goosebumps in a most unpleasant way. You know, thinking, "We're already f*&%ed."

Fri Jan 26, 10:34:53 AM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good morning, andi.

Science fiction/horror movies are hitting marks rather chillingly anymore. The movie Aeon Flux explores a thematic thread somewhat similar to what you're describing. Resident Evil takes another path, going more into horror. Night of the Comet, Minority Report, Rollerball (the original with James Caan as the hero), Judge Dredd, The Running Man, and a number of others have taken their good shots at aspects of a future already close at hand if not here.

Of course, my favorite of all time remains Bladerunner, although Dark City (absent the hokey ending) is close behind.

The problem, of course, is that fiction is supposed to be just that: fiction, fer cryin' out loud.


The Dark Wraith wishes filmmakers would knock it off with the reality TV at the movies.

Fri Jan 26, 10:53:06 AM EST  
 BlondeSense Liz blogged...

I've just had it with all these attacks and wars. To me, it's so immature, so childish, so uncivilized and unenlightened.

We grew up watching Superman and Batman. Batman had particular bad guys to battle. I always thought that was all fantasy, but it is actually a reflection of the world -only this time, the world leaders and politicians are the villians not the good guys.

And Dick Cheney is indeed the Penguin.

It probably won't do any good but I'm marching on DC tomorrow. Once again. Tired of doing it. Wish they'd stop being such dicks about peace.

Fri Jan 26, 11:26:27 AM EST  
 SB Gypsy blogged...

Good Afternoon Dark Wraith,

Did you ever get to see Dark Angel wuth the inimitable Jessica Alba? Another post-apocalypse set in the not to far future america.

This TV show, which I was fairly addicted to, featured a flying saucer robot that could spy on you, and blow you to bits. Also crowd control weapons that we are describing and enough checkpoints to make an american city look like Baghdad.

Fri Jan 26, 02:59:12 PM EST  
 PeterofLoneTree blogged...

"...enough checkpoints to make an american city look like Baghdad." -- SB Gypsy

Their cities are in ruins.
As are our souls.

Fri Jan 26, 04:59:25 PM EST  
 michael blogged...

The ancient Incas via the current peoples known as Q'eros have started recently to share their message of what is coming upon our planet. I know this is very outside the box of these discussions, but I've never been an in-the-box thinker. Here's some of what they say (I have had the honor to be a part of some ceremonies with these gentle people in Peru):

The prophecies are optimistic. They refer to the end of time as we know it - the death of a way of thinking and a way of being, the end of a way of relating to nature and to the earth. In the coming years, the Incas expect us to emerge into a golden age, a golden millennium of peace. The prophecies also speak of tumultuous changes happening in the earth, and in our psyche, redefining our relationships and spirituality.

The next pachacuti, or great change, has already begun and it promises the emergence of a new human after this period of turmoil. The chaos and upheaval characteristic of this period will last another four years, according to the Q'ero. The paradigm of European civilization will continue to collapse and the way of the Earth people will return. Even more importantly, the shamanic elders speak about a tear in the fabric of time itself. This presents an opportunity for us to describe ourselves not as who we have been in the past, both personally and collectively, but as who we are becoming.

As it has been said, "it is always darkest before the dawn."

My post Coca in your tummy here:
http://thinkinwinkinblinkin.blogspot.com/2006/12/coca-in-your-tummy.html

Fri Jan 26, 06:12:38 PM EST  
 Anonymous blogged...

It's not a sci-fi movie, but another that was ahead of its time and is most relevant to this thread is Network.

- oddjob

Fri Jan 26, 11:52:33 PM EST  
 LindiBee blogged...

Funny you should mention the Area Denial Option- I was just listening to an interview today about the Pentagon's unveiling of a pain-inducing heat-ray gun for crowd control.
But, actually, the most riveting story on Democracy Now today was an in-depth look at Blackwater USA , which details how Cheney and Runsfeld sought to privatize the military bureaucracy, and the government as well, thus creating the groundwork for the absolute war profiteer bonanza in Iraq. But my question for our host tonight (which I also pose to others here with a military background), is this- how will an army of mercenaries, "run more like a corporation than a bureaucracy" in Rumsfeld's words, function compared to a traditional military unit? Realizing that this is the neo-con's love child, what arguments to they advance in favor of this vision, and what are the problems with it?

Sat Jan 27, 12:04:19 AM EST  
 snuffy blogged...

lindibee,
Blackwater chills my soul more than I can tell..we havent seen true,highly equipt,top shelf merc armys since the 1800...violence against a state has been the sole territory of the state...its like a very bad dream mankind had a long time ago has come to life in spades...nothing like a 100,000+ private army has existed in a very long time....for good reason.

what I fear is,as Wraith commented,scifi is become reality
a particularly evil reality

Sun Jan 28, 05:53:22 AM EST  

       

Sunday, January 21, 2007

Analysis:
Index Portfolio Performance during the Bush Administration's First Six Years

George W. Bush became the 43rd President of the United States on January 20, 2001. Until January 4, 2007, when the Democrats took control of both the U.S. House of Representatives and the Senate, the Republicans had controlled both the Executive and Legislative branches of the federal government, save for a brief period in mid- to late-2001 when a Republican-turned-Independent caused an even split in the Senate. Over the past six years, then, the financial house of this country has been in the virtually uninterrupted hands of the GOP, during which time the federal government went from running growing budget surpluses in the last years of the Clinton Administration to bleeding hundreds of billions of dollars in red ink every year under President George W. Bush and his congressional allies. A list of other calamities of Republican rule would necessarily include, but not be restricted to, an uncontrolled and debilitating regime of trade deficits; a spiraling conflict in the Middle East; and, of course, the first successful attack by a foreign enemy on cities in the continental United States in almost 200 years.

The Republican Party, through its legislators in Congress and its President in the White House, has also overseen what must be described as nothing short of abysmal performance of the U.S. stock markets, which represent the overwhelming bulk of the value of all public ownership of American corporations. It is in the stocks traded on these exchanges that much of the wealth of the nation is invested by everything from huge pension and mutual funds to individual speculators.

Blame for the miserable performance of the stock markets over the past six years rests squarely with the GOP, which rode into office on a long-standing platform of fiscal prudence and policies tilted toward economic growth through low taxes and reduction of regulatory hurdles to business investment and growth. The Republican Party has failed, despite its blustering rhetoric and the curiously rosy data pumped out from the government agencies it controls.

As of Friday, January 19, 2007, George W. Bush had been President of the United States 2,188 days, two days short of exactly six years. Economic policy during those six years has been completely controlled by President Bush and his Republican Party members in Congress. Democrats had no control over the formulation of economic policies and the federal budgets arising therefrom. They were shut out of taxation and spending decisions by uncompromising rules and actions imposed by the Republicans, who showed no intention of or interest in consensus in governance. Responsibility for the huge federal budget deficits year after year that have hallmarked the rule of the Republicans rests squarely with their party, its legislators in Congress, and the policy-makers in the White House, including George W. Bush, himself.

The public sector has suffered the long-held hope of certain branches of conservativism that the federal government could be reduced in size, crippled in carrying out certain of its regulatory duties, and diminished in its tax revenue generating capacity. The desired goal of this political prescription of "limited government" is that, through the diminishment and degradation of the public sector, the private sector would flourish. No reasonable argument could be made that, if the private sector were indeed the great beneficiary of entrepreneurialism at its most productive, ownership in business would reflect this through substantial returns on equity. Investors in the stock markets of the United States, particularly investors abiding by prudent portfolio diversification rules and reasonable buy-and-hold strategies, should have seen appreciation in the real value of the money they invested in stocks. This is the necessary reward to induce surrender of current consumption. It is the motivation for all rational investors, be they individuals of limited means or great mutual funds: the goal of investing in the stock market is to have at a future time more purchasing power by foregoing current consumption opportunities. For many Americans, long-term investments in stocks and other securities are to the end of having some degree of financial security in retirement. For businesses, the accumulation of equity positions in other companies is in its ideal a signal of calculated judgment that gain is to be had through the long-term, expected future cash flows of acquired enterprises.

From the first day of trading, January 22, 2001, after President Bush became the 43rd President of the United States, until the last trading day, January 19, 2007, before the publication date of this article, the performance of the major stock markets—measured by the index portfolios of the Dow Jones Industrial Average, the Standard & Poor's 500, and the NASDAQ Composite—has been abominable. Only the Dow Jones Industrial Average managed to achieve a positive real return on investment over the past six years, and that return was a miserly half-a-percent on an annualized basis, a level of performance that would get any fund manager taken out and shot.

January 22, 2001, was the first day of trading after Mr. Bush became President. The three major stock market indices stood at the following levels at the close of trading on that day:

January 22, 2001, Index Closing Values
     Dow Jones Industrial Average: 10,578.24
     Standard & Poor's 500: 1342.9
     NASDAQ Composite: 2757.91

At the close of trading on Friday, January 19, 2007, these same three averages stood at the following levels:

January 19, 2007, Index Closing Values
     Dow Jones Industrial Average: 12,565.53
     Standard & Poor's 500: 1,430.50
     NASDAQ Composite: 2,451.31

If an investor were to have formed a portfolio based upon each of these three indices and managed each portfolio in terms of composition and balance to mirror the relevant index, the investor would have earned the following total nominal returns on investment over the 2,188 days from January 22, 2001, to January 19, 2007:

Total Nominal Portfolio Returns over 2,188 Days
     Dow Jones Industrial Average: +18.79%
     Standard & Poor's 500: +6.52%
     NASDAQ Composite: —11.12%

Expressing these returns on an annualized (that is, "percentage return per year compounded") basis, the nominal results just presented are as following:

Annualized Nominal Portfolio Returns over 2,188 Days
     Dow Jones Industrial Average: +2.91% per year
     Standard & Poor's 500: +1.06% per year
     NASDAQ Composite: —1.95% per year

The above are nominal (that is, "not corrected for inflation") results. Taking into account the erosion of purchasing power (that is, "the effect of inflation") on portfolio values over the holding period requires adjusting each of the current values to its equivalent purchasing power value on January 22, 2001. From the Bureau of Labor Statistics Consumer Price Index data for January 2001, the CPI stood at 175.1, and for December 2007, the CPI stood at 201.8. The January 2007 figure can be estimated by various methods, and here, a conservative projection of 201.83 is derived from the three-month moving average of the CPI, implying an annualized inflation rate for the current month of nearly zero, based upon the average of the annualized inflation rates for the previous three months.

Expressing the closing index portfolio values as of Friday, January 19, 2007, in terms of their January 2001 purchasing power equivalents provides the following results:

January 19, 2007, Index Values in January 2001 Purchasing Power Value
     Dow Jones Industrial Average: 10,901.18
     Standard & Poor's 500: 1241.03
     NASDAQ Composite: 2126.63

The total real return on investment for each portfolio is then the quotient of the January 2001 index value when divided into the adjusted January 19, 2007, value:

Total Real Portfolio Returns from January 22, 2001, to January 19, 2007
     Dow Jones Industrial Average: +3.05%
     Standard & Poor's 500: —7.59%
     NASDAQ Composite: —22.89%

Finally, expressing these real returns on an annualized (that is, "percentage return per year compounded") basis, the total real return results just presented are as follows:

Annualized Real Portfolio Returns from January 22, 2001, to January 19, 2007
     Dow Jones Industrial Average: +0.50% per year
     Standard & Poor's 500: —1.31% per year
     NASDAQ Composite: —4.24% per year

The results above are summarized in the following chart:


The total and real returns to the selected portfolios are presented below in graphical form:



An investor forming a portfolio tracking the Dow Jones Industrial Average from the beginning of the Bush Administration in January of 2001 until January 19, 2007, would have realized a total gain in real value of the portfolio of just over three percent, which is equivalent to an annualized, compounded rate in purchasing power of the portfolio over the term of the Bush Administration of just one-half percent per year; the investor forming a portfolio tracking the Standard & Poor's 500 over that period would have suffered a total loss in real value of the portfolio of more than seven-and-a-half percent, which is equivalent to an annualized, compounded annual rate of loss in purchasing power of the portfolio over the term of the Bush Administration of about one-and-a-third percent per year; and the investor forming a portfolio tracking the NASDAQ Composite index over that period would have suffered a loss in total real value of the portfolio of almost twenty-three percent, which is equivalent to a compounding rate of loss in purchasing power of the portfolio over the term of the Bush Administration of about four-and-a-quarter percent per year.

From a well-balanced portfolio of the common stock of reasonably low-risk, very large public corporations to an equally well-balance portfolio of the common stock of relatively riskier, small-cap public corporations, common stock—the equity (that is, the "ownership") claim on corporations—has provided real returns over the course of the Bush Administration that were at best miserably anemic and more likely significantly negative.

Securities markets do not make long-term assessments of the value of the American economy based upon political biases: billions of shares of stock trade each day, and the total value of these trades is so great as to be almost incomprehensible. Over the past six years, the absolute control of the government by the Bush Administration and its Republican allies in Congress has been subject to an on-going, objective assessment by the securities markets of the United States. The result to date of this real-value assessment is that the American economy, as represented by the market values of stocks of large, medium, and small public corporations, has not grown. This is an undeniable, unavoidable fact delivered by the very stock markets whose large-scale participants by and large support the Republican Party, its goals, and its politicians.

Regardless of how large the nearly daily dose of good economic news the Bush Administration induces the mainstream media to repeat, the Administration can neither manipulate the stock market data, nor can it find a scapegoat for the broad-based, long-term depletion of private equity value its policies have caused.

The performance of stock markets has real consequences for average, working Americans. The money they invest is money they surrender using in the here and now, hoping, as they do—indeed, trusting—that their foregone current consumption will be rewarded with greater purchasing power later, very likely in their retirement years when they are no longer generating significant income through work. When the stock markets fail to provide that reward, and especially when they fail so strikingly over a six-year period, those average investors have effectively seen their decision to invest rather than consume prove to have been wrong and harmful to their self-interest. For the average Americans who plan for retirement in part or in whole based upon investments made and held in the stock market over many years, the Bush Administration's record is nothing short of catastrophic in terms of people's financial security. For most, however, the full realization of the value lost and the disrupted, nearly irreparable damage to future capital appreciation of their investments in the stock markets will come only after the era of the neo-conservatives has come fully to an end, and it will then be the grim responsibility of future politicians to do what little can be done to rectify the mess the GOP left in the wake of its shameful leadership at the beginning of this century.


The Dark Wraith will provide frequent and pointed reminders during the time to come of why the financial house of this nation is the wreck that it surely will be.

<< 29 Comments Total
 Anonymous blogged...

Thanks for the reminder, dude......... (My 401K-style plan is tied to the S&P 500.) The only consolation I have is that I have had regular, ongoing purchases since then, and some of those truly have gained value.

- oddjob

Mon Jan 22, 01:15:57 AM EST  
 Wild Clover blogged...

They are changing managers of my 401K, so I haven't been able to check up on it recently. I did manage to outperform the market last I checked, but I still am only putting in the max for full cash match. Even if I'd done as badly as Nasdaq has performed, with the match my personal rated of return would be 25%. No way in Hell would I be playing in the markets with my own money these last few years.

I truly wish some popular pundit types would do this sort of anaysis to counter the feel-good touchy feely crowing of the market being up while ignoring inflation.

Hee hee-used to be it was Liberals who went on instincts and feelings and Conservatives who wanted to analyse and get all the facts. Now the wishful thinkers and ignorers of bottom dollar reality seem to be the ones who vote pro-business and republican.
(Another reason I proudly identify now as a progressive liberal when I used to identify as a moderate, slightly more liberal on social and slightly more conservative fiscally-I thought you got more conservative as you aged?)

Mon Jan 22, 02:12:41 AM EST  
 snuffy blogged...

A little silver,less gold-what I have "invested"in is fruit trees,perennial passive food producers{kiwi vines}.I recognized early on, the culture of "good 'ol boy"capitalisim practiced by the repugs was going to pick my pocket thru inflation ,and crony capitalism.
I decided a long time ago to aspire to the the "prosperous Peasent".It seems to have been a normal state of affairs for both sides of my family for the last 200 years,both the Irish celtic,and the french Hugonaut.
As they intend to "thin the herd" thru collapes and reformation as a feudal society soon,I thought to get ahead of the curve abit and downsize now,to a post-oil world energyfootprint while I still have access to goodies like solar cells,LED lights,ect.Those items are where my true investment capital is...stand alone power,ect...my dream is a "cheap" cd collection of the library of congress...

Mon Jan 22, 03:18:07 AM EST  
 Overland blogged...

Wraith, thx for the analysis...I'm pretty sure they won't be reporting this on Limbaugh today.

One can imagine a similar comparison of what would have happened with overseas indexes, considering market gains, currency swings and inflation; I believe the results would be considerably different. Not sure of the numbers to use, but think I know the answer having bet against the Chimp and cronies early and often in this manner. But the risk is indeed there.

Mon Jan 22, 09:13:21 AM EST  
 SB Gypsy blogged...

Snuffy, I'm with you, or trying to be. It's proving very hard to budge Hubby from the home he's lived in for these last 30 years..

Mon Jan 22, 11:32:48 AM EST  
 BlondeSense Liz blogged...

You are so absolutely correct, sir. And you illustrated it so well. I am passing this along to my friends who didn't believe me (probably because I expressed my similar opinion but only in blonde speak) when I tried to explain that we had virtually no growth of our retirement money since bush took office. More years of this crap and we'll be working part time at walmart until we croak. And I thought I would be learning how to golf in my golden years. So much for that.

I barely made up for the years of nothingness under bush last year when I yielded 18% overall and that was due to my constant vigilance. I'm working on my last hurrah at the moment, then I am cashing it all in before the shit hits the fan.

The economy is an utter disgrace.

Mon Jan 22, 08:40:12 PM EST  
 Moody Blue blogged...

Most excellent analysis, as always, Wraith. Thank you.

Here's a little tidbit from over at KOS, by Barcelona:

On December 11, 2006, Al Gore spent an entire day at the Harvard Business School as part of his world-wide campaign against global warming. He had a well-honed, brilliantly targeted message for the young would-be MBA's in attendance. The crux of it:

"The stock market is functionally insane" and "civilization is operating planet earth like a business in liquidation."

Mon Jan 22, 11:36:35 PM EST  
 PeterofLoneTree blogged...

"Aaayy, Big Al, no problum; da fix is in".

From last October's New York Post:
"TREASURY'S PAULSON PLAYS WITH THE PLUNGE PROTECTORS":

"Since the Federal Reserve is the group that would lower interest rates in an emergency, the Plunge Protectors would probably be the ones who'd fix the problem. In other words, they'd throw money at it.

"Stocks have been moving steadily upward since July, when Paulson took over the Plunge Protection Team (and the Treasury). And one of the reasons could be that - as I mentioned back then - there is less risk in stocks if the government is providing a safety net.

"Less risk, that is, until something bad happens."


More at the link. I'd provide more comment but, since Aldi's is open all night now, and there's a sale on cases of pork and beans....

Tue Jan 23, 12:08:43 AM EST  
 My Pet Goat blogged...

And in the last five years Halliburton has gone from ~$7 per share to ~$30, and Exxon from ~$39 to ~$74, Lockheed Martin from ~$50 to ~$98, and on and on....

Hey Mr. Wraith, you want to be a fund manager with me in a Warmonger Index Fund? I can see it now, a well oiled machine promising explosive returns. We could make a killing, being that we're straight shooters and all.

In other news, shares in BUSHCO declined to an all time low.

Tue Jan 23, 02:45:26 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good afternoon, Mr. Goat.

I'm in.


The Dark Wraith knows an "explosive" investment opportunity when he sees one.

Tue Jan 23, 06:41:01 PM EST  
 Anonymous blogged...

Yes, but isn't the question, "Whose face will that explosion take place in?"

- oddjob (who stands shoulder to shoulder with Winston Churchill regarding the inanity of requiring English sentences not to end with prepositions)

Wed Jan 24, 01:07:25 AM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Or, "In whose face will that explosion take place?"


The Dark Wraith reassembles the prepositional phrase.
[Edmund Spencer was still, by and large, off his rocker, though.]

Wed Jan 24, 01:13:19 AM EST  
 My Pet Goat blogged...

Are you two talking about the future performance of our fund or bukkake?

Wed Jan 24, 05:52:08 PM EST  
 PeterofLoneTree blogged...

From the quote for the day:
"Vice President Dick Cheney says the accusation that blunders have been made by the Bush Administration in Iraq are "hogwash."

"SOOOO00-IE! Here, Dick! Supper time, Dick!"


PoLT will take this opportunity to question the perfesser on how much time he has actually spent "sloppin' the hogs". Based on my extensive experience doing farm work, the correct phrases to use during the operation described above are:
"WHOOO-IE! Pig, pig, pig! WHOOO-IE! Pig, pig, pig!"

I realize of course that some regional differentiations may exist, but having lived near Kewanee, IL, which calls itself the "Hog Capital of the World", I am prepared to present myself as somewhat of an authority on the subject.

I will tell the tale of "Oliver the Hog", who was finest swine I have ever known, at another time.

Thu Jan 25, 08:11:58 AM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good morning, Peter.

Chickens were on my farm. A pair of cows, too, but only for a while. The farmer up the road had pigs, and I slopped them only a twice that I recall.

However, the hog-call is very regional. "SOOOOO-IE! Pig-pig-pig," was the way it was done around my place. Down South, a friend I visited hollered, "WHOOOO-SOOOOO-IE."

Out here, I hear the one you describe: "WHOOO-IE! Pig, pig, pig! WHOOO-IE! Pig, pig, pig!"

As for me, I usually respond to "CHEEEEESE-BURGER!"



The Dark Wraith knows his pig dialects.

Thu Jan 25, 10:26:27 AM EST  
 SB Gypsy blogged...

This post has been removed by the author.

Thu Jan 25, 11:22:35 AM EST  
 SB Gypsy blogged...

oops..
Good Morning Dark Wraith,

In Upstate New York where my aunt had a dairy farm, they call:

SoueeeeeeeeeWHEEeee piggy piggy piggy.....

Made me resolve at a very young age never to let my name be reduced to "Sue" EVER.

Thu Jan 25, 11:24:11 AM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Yo.


The Dark Wraith understands.

Thu Jan 25, 11:46:34 AM EST  
 PeterofLoneTree blogged...

"The Dark Wraith knows his pig dialects."

That being the case, I hope you're not planning on running for elective office.

Thu Jan 25, 02:04:42 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Geez, Peter, I have a skill and I'm not allowed to use it?!


The Dark Wraith will just have to go to work at a neo-con think tank, then.

Thu Jan 25, 03:25:06 PM EST  
 Thunderkind blogged...

Dark One:

I wonder if your figures are being too generous when it comes to using the government's measures for purchasing power erosion. The prices of food, shelter, energy, health care, education, and just about everything else not imported from China are rising well over 5-6% a year. I am inclined to think that for the average American, our currency's value is sliding into the deep hole of worthlessness faster than, well, the BLS statistics themselves. That would make returns of the past several years much worse.

The UK is beginning to catch on: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/main.jhtml?xml=/news/2007/01/17/nprices217.xml
when will we?

Thu Jan 25, 09:28:41 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good evening, Thunderkind, and welcome back.

I have ranted until I'm hoarse about the manipulation of inflation data being pumped out by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. My particular favorites are the way the indices are adjusted to take out the pricing effects of "technological improvements." This is done by a widely repudiated econometric method called "hedonic pricing" that I would get shot using these days in the area of real estate economics, where it first reared its useless head some years back.

Beyond that is the complete and utter nonsense of adjusting price increases downward because of the so-called "substitution effect," which is very real and totally legitimate in theory; but the problem is that real-world prices have already adjusted for the substitution effect, for God's sake! That's why they're market prices: markets don't wait for econometricians to react to incentives to move away from or toward substitutes and complements based upon price movements of the goods under consideration.

Grr.

Make that GRRRR.


Anyway, Thunderkind, before I have a small stroke thinking about this nonsense, I use the government's CPI in these periodic reports here only because I cannot then be accused by anyone of using anything other than government and market data to slay the fantasy that this incompetent Administration has been anything other than both a public and a private financial wrecking ball.


The Dark Wraith shouldn't worry about having a stroke after all, what with that pain radiating through his left arm again.

Thu Jan 25, 09:44:51 PM EST  
 rcg blogged...

DW, I "shouted" your article here: http://tinyurl.com/39tpmo

And below is a response that I got from a frequent lying liar on shoutwire. You might get a chuckle out of it.
---------------

MagCynic -

Some quotes from the article and my responses...

->"the performance of the major stock markets—measured by the index portfolios of the Dow Jones Industrial Average, the Standard & Poor's 500, and the NASDAQ Composite—has been abominable"

Dow Jones is at an all time high...
Source: http://tinyurl.com/yo4hw2

S&P 500 is doing better than it ever did under Clinton...
http://tinyurl.com/28jqru

The Nasdaq, well shoot, the Nasdaq is sucking right now..
http://tinyurl.com/2xl6ul

Average Hourly Earnings are at their highest rate...
http://tinyurl.com/yd8bzd

Unemployment is near an all time low...
http://tinyurl.com/8rxf6

Do you want more? Our economy is doing well. The people that want to be successful can be successful. And you know what? The economy is good and it's not necessarily all thanks to Bush. But if you're going to try to blame Bush for the bad things then you have to commend him for the good things.

Fri Jan 26, 03:48:08 AM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good morning, rcg.

Thank you for the Shout. Folks like that Republican cheerleader have a way of coming out of the woodwork, but almost never do they actually come at me directly: all I get is word about their barking over in another county. One blog that linked to this article had some Obama supporter disrespect me in the comments there: after he had thoroughly sneered at and dismissed my credentials, he then went into a rather odd declaration about how it was better to move on than to blame the Bush Administration for all the messes it has created.

Yeesh.

Now, this fellow that you quoted is a somewhat different breed: his tack is something along the lines of, "Let's ignore the erosion of purchasing power and look at the raw numbers." By that logic, I suppose that, were he to be making $100 a week, he'd think he was rich, what with how almost everyone in the year A.D. 1900 made considerably less than that in a week.

Again, though, the barking at my analyses almost invariably is done at quite a distance.

Must be my breath is bad or something.


The Dark Wraith should probably lay off the week-old Spam sandwiches in the fridge.

Fri Jan 26, 08:50:46 AM EST  
 Anonymous blogged...

The Massachusetts median single home price delined 5.4% in Dec., ending the state's worst real estate year in a decade on a down note.

- oddjob

Fri Jan 26, 01:54:18 PM EST  
 rcg blogged...

LOL, thanks for the response, DW. And hey, your breath doesn't bother me. Eat all the spam sandwiches you want. ;-)

Fri Jan 26, 05:54:22 PM EST  
 PeterofLoneTree blogged...

...utter nonsense of adjusting price increases downward because of the so-called "substitution effect..."

Is that kinda like when I can't afford the cheapest Aldi's corned beef hash any more and have to start eating the better grades of dog and cat food?

Such results can have their beneficial effects, however; it institutes a "family atmosphere" when Patricia of Lone Tree, my kitty Tiva, and I sit down to share a meal.

Sat Jan 27, 03:34:39 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

So, if I stop by to visit, Peter, can I expect Alpo, or are you going to bring out that stale Dad's Dog Food like you did last time?

Not that I'm complaining, mind you, it's just that, if I want the cheap stuff, I can stay home and mix in some water to make a delicious gravy. When I'm at your place, Patricia says something about, "If you want gravy, you'll have to let Peter stew for a while longer before you show up looking for a free meal."

Sheesh.


The Dark Wraith should probably bring along some Iam's for Older Dogs next time.

Sat Jan 27, 03:59:34 PM EST  
 SB Gypsy blogged...

Bwah ha ha ha ha...

:)

Thu Feb 01, 11:31:21 AM EST  

       

Friday, January 19, 2007

The Written Peace:
Open Forum of January 19, 2007

As your host prepares to do something he's never done before on this Website, an open thread is herewith offered to give readers a place to say what's on their minds and to speak their peace.

I shan't tell you what it is I'm trying to do, and the reason is that I'm not altogether sure I can accomplish it; not, that is, without moving Heaven and Earth. The Heaven part would be easy, what with how light and airy that place is supposed to be. It's the Earth part that poses the challenge, what with the lithosphere and all those metals and clays and people weighing it down.

Nevertheless, stepping back from the Herculean aspects of what I'm planning, I think I can get the project done and posted, maybe this weekend if I'm lucky. It's actually part of a larger project I've undertaken, one that has to do with my other life, the one where I'm a professor.

Although I long for the old days when I could teach with a blackboard and a piece of chalk, that time has passed, and now college teaching is fast becoming a battle to stay in front of new technology and try to keep it from overrunning the core of my craft. The obsession with this new technology and that new technology is driving me to distraction: companies marketing their latest wares are bad enough, but they find such a receptive audience in higher education, especially among the "IT" (information technology) insiders who swear to God in front of the administrative purse-holders that we simply must have the latest, or that we simply cannot do without the coolest. And, of course, I come off looking like some latter-day Luddite when I growl that I don't need it, I don't want it, and I won't use it if it's purchased.

The argument doesn't last long. The marketing types join forces with the IT folks, and together they pull out the Death Pulse: "It will make your job as a teacher easier." That's when enough of the faculty—deprived of memories of previous promises like that or too young to know that new technology doesn't really work that way—all run like a herd to the watering trough of the newest toys, gadgetry, and even methods that "incorporate technology into the classroom."

This all never would have happened if Bill Gates and his Microsoft crew had been forced to sit through a four-year college education with PowerPoint Professors. They would all now be dead from the boredom in their college classes, or they would have become middle-class workers in the financial services sector. (But I repeat myself, there.)

Grr.

So, here I am, trying to work out for my own purposes the details of how to deploy some Information Age technology, and I'm hoping to use this Website as my demonstration prototype. Rest assured that, even if I pull this off, it's not going to be perfect; but at the same time, I won't deploy it here if it's less than adequate.


Speaking of teaching, several weeks ago I had an interesting new experience. At one of the schools where I teach, we have a day several times a year when we bring in kids in grades five and six to do math and science stuff. These math mini-camps always comprise six stations, each in its own classroom on campus, where a professor and assistants spend thirty minutes with each group having the kids do something math-related. The kids come from various schools in the area, and each school group moves from station to station through the day. At the end, we have a big group assembly where we show them something very cool that has to do with physics and mathematics applied to a real-world, fairly dramatic situation. (Think "conservation of momentum.")

At my station, the kids learn about measuring, calculating costs, and determining profit. They make Kool-Aid, and they must "pay" for the sugar, water, and drink mix they use, and they must then have judges determine how much they can charge for their drink based upon how good the final product is. Each school group that comes in is broken into four teams, each of which works against the clock to get the product made and judged. Generally speaking—partly because I play the role of a bellowing, high-strung professor who lets them go hog-wild as they do their work—the kids really love the project, especially the part where I have to try their drinks. There have been times when I took a swig and nearly choked to death, either because the drink was so sweet it could rot teeth, or because it was so sour it sucked all the mucous out of my face.

We've been doing these math mini-camps for more than a few years, now, and they always go off without a hitch. From these brief encounters with ten- and eleven-year-olds, along with the occasional tutoring I do of kids this age and the fact that I used to teach at a private K-12 school, I have learned a little bit about how children work, think, and (to some extent) learn.

This math mini-camp I just did was a little different from usual. This was the first time we had as one of the "school" groups a community of home-schoolers and Montessori school attendees. Apparently, the parents of these kids constitute a very close-knit, identifiable, real community of child-rearers out in this part of the country. I had no idea.

As I understand it, there was some kind of request made to the administration, possibly including some degree of political pressure, for the college to recognize this learning community and to acknowledge it as meriting a slot in the math mini-camp just like we would give to a traditional school. I don't know exactly how that worked, nor do I want to.

The day started off a little different. We always show the kids a movie and have them eat before the mini-camp begins. This time, our plan to show one of the Harry Potter movies was shot down: the home-schooler/Montessori parents nixed that one. Ditto for Pirates of the Caribbean. Fortunately, we have some old, G-rated, non-controversial stuff in the library, so we got through that issue without much of a hitch.

It then occurred to a couple of the station leaders that content would have to be modified: references to evolution at the genetics station were pulled, as was a discussion of the time frames for ice ages at the weather analysis station.

I didn't have to worry about any of that at my station, so I figured there would be no differences between the traditional school groups and the home-schooler/Montessori group. As it turned out, I was wrong.

Unlike the kids from traditional schools—who come into my classroom yakking excitedly, flying everywhere with their teachers and my assistants trying their best to get them seated into equal-sized groups at the four tables I've set up—the home-schooler/Montessori kids came in quietly, their mothers following. There were five of these mothers, three with infants and toddlers in arms. The women were dressed in a way I cannot describe as exactly "conservative" so much as almost (for lack of a better word) "poor"—or, maybe more accurately, "joyless": no bright colors, nothing pretty, no effort to dress up at all for the day. It was almost like costume—no, it was costume; it was a statement, both about beliefs and about class status—and it was so striking, even in its subtlety. Only one of these mothers would even look at me, so I had to have the assistants explain to them how the station goes in terms of process and objectives: the kids at each table constitute a team that has to work quickly and cooperatively to make a pitcher of Kool-Aid using ingredients in a cost-efficient way to produce a final product to be judged for how much people might pay for it.

The kids obediently sat down at their tables. I began my usual hollering, thundering, act-crazy routine, which always elicits laughing, talking, and general mayhem. From these kids, though, I got only reserved chuckles.

"Fine," I thought to myself, "I'll go for the grand finale before they get to work on their project." My station is conducted in one of our big biology labs. In one corner is a full-sized mannequin with the skin off in the front to show the internal organs. The back is just a normal mannequin, complete with a naked ass. I always say, "We're about to begin, and I want you to have FUN," as I walk over to the mannequin, which I then grab and whirl around as I say, "BUT!!!" and pointing to the dummy's backside, I look at the kids and growl, "...and this is a BIIIIIG BUTT... don't make a mess!"

Usually, the kids roar with laughter; but not these home schoolers and Montessoris. Quite a few of them almost did, trying their best not to look at their mothers, who were glaring alternately at them and at me. The kids held their laughter in check.

Oh, well. So much for that. I bellowed, "GO! Get your drinks made!"

Now, at this point the room usually turns into a fine example of chaos, with kids running up to me to fill their pitchers with water, everyone arguing and yelling about who's going to do what, how much sugar should be put in, how much drink mix should be added, what goes in first, who's going to keep track of how much cost is being accumulated, and all that. But these home schoolers and Montessoris weren't like that, not at all. For several minutes, there was almost no movement at any of the four tables. Eventually, at three of the tables I saw what were probably latent, social dominance-oriented personality types emerge to try to coordinate action. The fourth table seemed to have no such individual, so there was an absence of anyone who could take a leadership role. I sent two assistants to that table to help the kids get going.

At every one of the four tables, each of which had five kids, there were at least two who simply refused to participate in the activity. They just sat there, not so much defiantly as—how should I put it?—maybe petulantly: they just weren't going to be involved in this. Some of them looked like they were on the verge of tears, and my efforts, along with those of the assistants, to try to pull them into the group activity failed miserably, in part because the groups, themselves, were not "naturally" organizing, which would have been necessary for any meaningful effort of members to help someone feel welcome and needed.

The thirty minutes seemed to drag by, unlike how it always is with the classes of traditional school kids, wherein I'm in a heart-stopping race to get everything accomplished in the lousy half-hour I've got. But here's the thing: these home schooler/Montessori kids actually got finished sooner than other kids do.

Much more importantly, the math calculations with which the traditionally schooled kids struggle were done by these home schooled and Montessori kids without batting an eye. Now, I'm talking literally about most traditionally schooled ten- and eleven-year-olds having serious problems doing ten cents plus one cent plus thirty-nine cents! Only a few of the traditionally schooled kids have any sophistication whatsoever in either organizing quantitative information or knowing what to do with it. It's not that they cannot add and subtract; most of them can, at least to a limited extent. Instead, it's that they don't see arithmetic having any connection to the information in front of them.

Not these home-schooled and Montessori kids, though. They had their math skills down pat. Most of the kids had done the math on their own. In fact, any part of the entire project they could do on their own, they did, and that's because they had no investment in their group, even though their final product had to be a group effort.

As many obvious and subtle differences between these kids and those who are schooled traditionally as I thought I had seen up to that point, more were about to go on display. Traditionally schooled kids almost invariably make drinks that come in at a per-cup cost of anywhere between twenty-two cents and a little under a dollar. However, every one of the four tables of home schooled and Montessori kids came in at under twelve cents per cup! In fact, they all came in at almost identical per-cup costs of eleven cents, with one group hitting ten cents. This consistency from one table to the next was striking, and the difference between how these kids used resources and how traditionally schooled kids used resources was remarkable.

But here's the upshot. The judges rate the drinks on a scale of one to four: a one means the drink will sell for five cents per cup; a two means the drink will sell for fifteen cents per cup; a three means the drink will sell for a quarter a cup; and a four means the drink will sell for fifty cents per cup. Usually, the ratings on the drinks are threes. We give a two if a drink doesn't taste very good, and we give a one if we really, really don't want to take another sip to make sure it's as bad as it tasted on the first try. Every one of the home schooler/Montessori groups got a one; and not only that, I'll tell you right now, that was being generous. I mean, I have no idea what they did, but somehow those drinks were uniformly the most awful stuff I had ever tasted in all the times I have run that station at math mini-camp.

The judges got together at the front of the room and bitched in whispers about how bad the stuff was that they'd just put in their mouths. I knew very well I wasn't going to be able to tell those kids—especially with their mothers right there—that their drinks sucked; so, without losing a beat, I stepped forward and hollered, "You all got the same rating! Let's have a big round of applause for yourselves! Congratulations!" I was thinking to myself, "Please, Lord, don't let anyone ask what the score was. Fortunately, just then, the next group arrived at the door, and one of my assistants bellowed, "Alright, it's time to head on over to the next station!"

Talk about being saved by the bell.

The rest of the day went as usual: total bedlam, yelling; laughing; drinks spilled; kids running up to tell me this, that and the other stuff about themselves—just delightful insanity, and a good dose of what learning can be like once in a great while.

One thing is still bothering me. Whenever the groups assemble to leave and go to their next station, I always have the chance to get hugged by some of the kids, and a few of the boys give me a glance that means I need to go up to them, take the smile off my face and replace it with a slightly serious look, and reach out with one of my big paws for a firm handshake with their small paws. "See you in about eight years," I like to say. Fifth and six graders aren't quite old enough to pretend approval of adults doesn't mean anything to them. I didn't have the chance to give any good-byes—hugs, handshakes, or even simple, big smiles—to those home-schooled and Montessori kids; but even though I feel bad about that, I honestly don't think it would have mattered to them if I had taken the opportunity to give some praise, pats on the back, and invitations to come again when they're ready for college. As long as those kids are under the watchful eye of their parents twenty-four hours a day, they have all the approval of adults they'll ever need... at least until they grow up.

If they're ever allowed to, that is.



This is an open forum. Talk about anything. I have special events planned for the evening, including a Kool-Aid tasting game if anyone's interested. Later, we'll turn up the house lights and have a contest to see who can act the most like a Democratic congressperson saying the word "impeachment" without breaking into a cold sweat.

If the crowd gets rowdy, we might have a round of "fantasy combat." That's where you have to describe exactly where you'd like to see George W. Bush and Dick Cheney get dropped into a combat zone in Iraq. Will it be a patrol in al-Anbar province? an IED bomb squad in downtown Baghdad? a poorly armored Humvee that's gotten off the main road near Saddam's hometown of Tikrit? You decide! Where would our President and Vice President best serve their country by bringing freedom and democracy to the Middle East?

And, no, you don't get to choose strapping them to the nuclear bombs Israel is going to drop on Iran. The nukes these days are too small to carry extra payload. Chickenhawks mess up the aerodynamics of bombs they're tied to just as much as they mess up the future of the nations they latch themselves onto.



The Dark Wraith opens the espresso bar for the night's activities.

<< 26 Comments Total
 trailertrash blogged...

Good evening, Dark Wraith.

It doesn't sound like those kids get much opportunity to be kids... of course, that could be because mom is there, watching.

Perhaps, the Kool-aid tasted bad because they were cutting cost of by using less sugar and, even, Koolaid. That would certainly help keep costs down, though, it sounds like few would buy their product.

I think it would be best to put GWB and DC to work helping out getting all the water treatment centers back into excellent working order. First, they need to open their own pocketbooks for parts and supplies. Then, they get a free vacation trip over there... and not to the green zone. They need to pay for lodgings with some of the locals (this way, they can enjoy the environment). The job they are there to perform includes: cleaning storage reservoirs, pipe maintenance, shoveling muck and sewage, where needed, until all the water treatment facilities are working 100%, or at least 95% efficient. I think some honest work, with their hands, and having to live with the people they bombed, might help them feel human.

Sat Jan 20, 12:30:27 AM EST  
 trailertrash blogged...

oh, and pass down another espresso, please.

Sat Jan 20, 12:31:28 AM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good evening, Trailer Trash.

Actually, your suggestion that George and Dick work on repairing the water treatment system in Iraq is most timely. From what I understand, the sewerage system in much of Baghdad has pretty much totally collapsed.

I swear, I keep thinking to myself, "Is there anything we've done over there that's going to end up making life better for those people?"

But, hey, George W. Bush finally got to have Saddam killed, Dick Cheney's business cronies have made literally billions, and the neoconnie crowd has gotten to play World Domination with American soldiers' blood.

That means to the Bush Administration, it's all been worth it.


The Dark Wraith just winces when the truth sounds too much like sarcasm.

Sat Jan 20, 01:05:54 AM EST  
 PeterofLoneTree blogged...

If there's any Bagne Caulda left over from the Bacchanalian festival taking place at Liz' site, I'll bring it along.

Gonna need something more than Montessori Kool-Aid to wash it down with though. I'll pick up a jug of Everclear to mix it with--might make even your Kool-Aid palatable.

Sat Jan 20, 09:56:18 AM EST  
 Anonymous blogged...

Interesting that the mothers were making a statement about being "poor" and the kids uniformly chose the cheapest way to make a product (with no regards as to whether it was worth drinking).

Hmmmmmm..............

- oddjob

Sat Jan 20, 12:14:18 PM EST  
 trog69 blogged...

Good morning, Dark Wraith and coconspirators. That's a fascinating insight into homeschooling, a much bandied about subject here in AZ. Other than extra-curricular activities like this, I haven't seen much on how well these students interact with their public school peers. My oldest grandchild has a home schooled friend in the neighborhood, but I have so far refrained from pulling out my trusty clipboard and starting the evaluation. I doubt I would get much, even with candy. Noticing the craptastic quality of the Homies koolaid, I can't help but wonder if there's a correlation between that and the Neocons swill, which, I imagine, tastes great, but man, you sure don't want to know what's in it.

Sat Jan 20, 12:52:07 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good afternoon, trog69.

Your comment brings to mind Otto von Bismark's famous caution, "To retain respect for sausages and laws, one must not watch them in the making."



The Dark Wraith has no plans to each neo-con sausages.

Sat Jan 20, 01:10:42 PM EST  
 The Minstrel Boy blogged...

Good Afternoon Dark Wraith:

Home schooling is a big deal out here in the sticks. Some of it involves simple logistics, distance and the like. Mostly though, it is about dogma. The Mormons and the Evangelicals do not want their kids being infected by science or social experience. I've seen the same reactions from them often. Because my son (17) is pretty much of a social butterfly and my niece and nephew close by are also full on public school products who grew up right here my house has become a cool destination. I have already gotten a couple of "concerned" phone calls from some parents whose children came over and spent some time in my library. I have always made sure that the "adult" themed things are well out of reach of any children (the deSade is in french, the Ovid's in latin, and the Saphho's in greek, so those are pretty safe to leave lying around) and I thought maybe one of them had gotten acrobatic and delved into the Henry Miller or something. No, they were concerned because the kid had gotten ahold of an essay collection by Stephen J. Gould where the lead essay was about how Dionysus Exigus blew the math on the Christian calendar. I essentially told them they needed to grow the fuck up. They can forbid their children to visit my house but beyond that they are welcome to keep their opinions about me and my reading choices to themselves. The kids are always uniformly well-behaved, almost spooky about it.

I can't imagine a scenario where GWB or RBC would be anything but a complete liability and even a danger in the field. I have told many people that Lt. Bush was very lucky to be in a "champagne" unit stateside. He wouldn't have lasted long out in my neck of the boonies. We would probably just have come in from a two or three day jaunt around the rubber trees and said "Ahh, the poor El-Tee, charlie got him. It was horrible." Cheney would have been sent to the rear instantly. He would be a great 1st sergeant at a warehouse. His greed and controlling nature would have him up on charges in record time.

But, come to think of it, I have never been one to be all that in favor of "give them enough rope and they'll hang themselves." Anybody that ever gave me enough rope got tied up their ownself.

Sat Jan 20, 05:57:50 PM EST  
 blackdog blogged...

As usual, an excellent comment Minstrel. The "Thistle and Shamrock" is coming on now, and the harps are playing. If your feet don't move you must be dead.

Sat Jan 20, 08:04:27 PM EST  
 litbrit blogged...

I can totally see home-schooled kids being like that. Like that, and worse.

But Montessori children?

I sent all three of my boys to Montessori schools, and I can't see anything remotely related to the teachings and philosophies of Dr. Maria Montessori in the cowed, sluggish, uninspired demeanor of the students you describe, Dark Wraith.

Dr. Montessori's approach centered on teaching the child to love learning and reading and showing him how to teach himself. Rather than line kids up in mind-numbing rows of desks, she had them join around activity centers, much like the ones DW uses in his Kool Aid lesson. As early as possible (three is recommended), kids begin a whole range of fine motor exercises (they look like puzzles, toys, and games to grownups) and gross motor development (regular, repeated recess and phys. ed.) as well as seemingly mundane activities (peeling carrots, for example) to develop fine motor skills, eye-hand coordination, and sorting skills .

Dr. Montessori believed children were kinetic creatures who couldn't be expected to sit still for hours and absorb facts--she promoted physical fitness and recess. Even the smallest students learn about Planet Earth and its many other countries and cultures. There are always stories, songs, discussions, questions. In short, a real, certified Montessori school practically vibrates with kids' creative and kinetic energy, and the kids themselves are nothing like the frightened robots described in DW's post.

Sat Jan 20, 09:29:05 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good evening, litbrit.

This particular group of Montessori kids, from what I was told, are from a school that is operated by a church group. As I understand it, the school is somewhat ad hoc, but the term "Montessori," as well as some of that theory of childhood education, has been embraced by religiously conservative people wanting an alternative to traditional, public school education. Under the heading of "Montessori school," the education of the children takes on quite a bit of legitimacy not associated with "home school" or "Christian school." And as I shall explain below, the Montessori model can be construed and deployed as an extraordinarily effective vehicle for fundamentalist and evangelical Christian parents wanting their children to be educated in the "right" way.

A basic construct of Montessori education comports very well with a fundamentalist's desired, Christian education methodology: childhood education is spent in two phases, the first being academic in orientation—enough to ensure strong proficiency in foundation subjects like English and math—and the other being directed toward having the growing young adult learn a trade. At the point in their education where I saw these kids, their ability to do math was far superior to publicly schooled kids of the same age, which makes sense given the relatively intensive (in terms of emphasis) nature of the training in academics that would be experienced for kids of that age. Technical proficiency is of utmost and exclusive importance.

The congruence of abilities between the home-schooled kids and the Montessori-schooled kids comes from two sources: first, the two groups of kids would have parents of quite similar thinking, attitudes toward child rearing, and home life. Whether or not a kid would be home schooled or be in a religious-backed, more formal school would largely have to do with whether the parents could afford to pay tuition for the child and whether the primary care-giving parent had regular access to the transportation necessary to get her kids to school on a regular basis.

The second reason the kids would perform and behave similarly is that they are probably being exposed to the same resources: one publisher of "self-paced" K-12 materials is fairly popular out here, and not only do home schooling parents subscribe, but so do some of the private, religious schools, simply because the schooling package is so comprehensive: scope, sequence, and content are all right there "in the box," so to speak. Anyone wanting to start and effectively run a school, regardless of its orientation, would be foolish not to consider those schooling packages as a one-stop framework.

Now, to the last point, which is related to the first. You have to understand that Montessori training, in one interpretation, embraces academics only as an early-years platform for the far more important task to which the developing child will be directed in later years of schooling: that is the task of making the child wholly self-sufficient in terms of having the skills necessary in a given productive trade.

In this way of seeing Montessori education as educational process, the goal of a religiously conservative parent can be achieved very well: his or her child is fully vested of all basic academic skills needed for functionality as an adult, but the emphasis for the maturing child is on the very pragmatic matters that necessarily set aside the kind of "deep thinking" that leads to rebellion against parents and God. Busy hands cannot be the tools of the Devil, as it were.

In this way of approaching "Montessori" education, we find something strikingly similar to the early Puritan education philosophy that formed the substrate by which children were taught in early Colonial America. Understand, litbrit, that I am a great admirer of that Puritan education system, both for its simplicity, purity, and honesty of the constructive trajectory it set upon children, as well as for the way it sustained the education system in the United States before a more widespread, formalized system could be deployed and held together by the public sector.

But having noted my admiration for that system, modern versions of it might seem to work, but they are wholly inadequate in preparing children for the complexities they will face if they are to be meaningful contributors in modern society. It is because I have always seen a similarity (perhaps far less than coincidental) between Puritan childhood education theory and Montessori and pseudo-Montessori education theories that I have had an aversion to endorsing the latter despite the popularity among some progressives of these alternative systems.

The problem I have, however, is that I am not entirely sure it is wrong for the parents of those kids I had at the mini-camp to choose for their children an austere, individuated life directed not toward groups of peers, but instead toward family and God. Whether or not the parents are perverting education in general or distorting some specific pedagogy--like Montessori--the end result is that their kids will, by and large, be far more capable in basic math and English skills their whole lives than others of their cohort group; and while they might be somewhat less likely to achieve great things, they will also be essentially productive adults at a far higher rate than are kids coming out of public schools.

And for my own part, as much as the behavior and output of those home-schooled and Montessori kids disturbed me, the challenge I face is to define for myself, and then for my colleagues, how it is that we can maintain the free thinking, open, group-accommodating aspects that public education offers children, while at the same time getting off this runaway train of graduating kids who might be able to pass a bullying, standardized test, but who still cannot add and subtract, form a grammatically correct sentence, or even understand why those skills might be worthy of something other than derision.

That challenge for me tempers my wholesale criticism of alternatives.

Do I have a solution? Yes.

Does that matter? Of course not.

Hence, I get to continue making part of my living teaching high school graduates how to add, subtract, multiply, and divide.


The Dark Wraith says, "It's a living."

Sat Jan 20, 10:54:51 PM EST  
 Anonymous blogged...

ARRRRRGGGGGGGHHHHHHHH!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

- oddjob

Sat Jan 20, 11:18:09 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

The Dark Wraith hears a cry in the wilderness.

Sat Jan 20, 11:26:50 PM EST  
 Anonymous blogged...

"It then occurred to a couple of the station leaders that content would have to be modified: references to evolution at the genetics station were pulled, as was a discussion of the time frames for ice ages at the weather analysis station."

Why??!!

Am I missing something?

ROF

Sun Jan 21, 12:12:20 AM EST  
 litbrit blogged...

Dark Wraith, I have to tell you, I had not heard of religious groups co-opting Montessori techniques before. But I am sure that sort of school exists in Florida; in fact, there is a general rule of thumb that if one is serious about finding a "real" Montessori (as opposed to a fantasy one or something?!) one should look for AMI (Association of Montessori International, or similar) accreditation, which is reportedly difficult to come by. That there is a need for this distinction tells me there are obviously some pretenders.

From the first year onward, my kids were taught age-appropriate lessons about planets and how they form, galaxies, suns, prehistoric Earth and how it changed over the millenia and how we know, and, perhaps most interestingly, different world cultures and religions. I remember my eldest doing a whole research paper on Japanese Buddhism when he was eleven.

These are not the things that fundamentalist Christians want their kids taught.

I don't doubt that Maria Montessori's emphasis on developing common manual skills early on has been co-opted by proponents of vocationally-oriented education. But fundies might be surprised to learn that Dr. Montessori originally developed this approach, and designed the toys and puzzles and apparatuses (apparati?) because her first group of charges were kids with severely delayed development, given to her (so the legend goes) in an attempt to discourage the first woman to earn a doctorate in Italy. She succeeded so wildly, the country wound up adopting many of her techniques.

Sun Jan 21, 03:15:56 AM EST  
 snuffy blogged...

good evening Dark Wraith,
Your discriptions of the temperment of the various groups of children is chilling,but not unexpected.I had seriously thought of helping my stepdaughter with homeschooling of her son....non-religious...simply due to the poor quality of the local educational facilities,a problem that was beyond any thing I felt I could do to change.We found as a alternitive a non-religious charter school,which REQUIRES one hell of a chunk of money,as well as the dedication and constant imput,help,and participation of the families whose children attend.
My imput has been the start of participation of the local Master Gardeners in building a shared community greenhouse for use of the local chapter ,as well as beguining to devlope a teaching basic gardening to the children@ this school...{It will give me a perfectly legitimate reason to hang with my grandson,whose company I prefer over most adults}It will require a lot of work to make it happen,but its the most effective action I can take to respond to the coming darkness.Knowing where food comes from is a good skill to learn young.

Sun Jan 21, 03:56:07 AM EST  
 rcg blogged...

Having taught an after-school martial arts class at a "traditional" Montessori school for 8 years, I can tell you that the demeanor of those kids you described was nothing like what I experienced. My kids were friendly, lively, and outgoing. Although, many were spoiled rotten and incredibly soft/delicate (believe me, it wasn't easy toughening them up. Had to do it gradually and creatively...}

But the parents, oh dear God, how I hated those parents. If I had let them, they would have stood over their children at each class watching to make sure that I was completely fair when I lined them up, when I called points while they were sparring - to make sure that their kid did not get a boo-boo or hurt feelings, or work up to much of a sweat...they were also against rank testing and especially tournaments - because tournaments had winners and "losers"... AND they were terrified at what it could do to their precious golden child's self-esteem. The parents also all had their own often wacky ideas/demands about how to run my class (how long, what time, what *safety gear to require, sparring rules, uniform rules, curriculum, etc.) and their ideas were often contradictory to what another parent wanted. So there was no pleasing these "helicopters". Jeeze, it was an effin nightmare. I don't know how I did it for so long. I take that back, I do. The kids loved me, my class was safe, I can be very charismatic, and about the only time that one of my students lost in a tournament was when they lost to another of my students who were the same age/weight/rank. I'm not kidding. And...I needed the money.

Anyhow, I'm dead tired and so I was just going to lurk/to read your post and to leave because I'm nodding off - but when you mentioned Montessori, I had to chime in.
----------

*I had one parent who continually "forgot" to purchase her son a groin cup and mouthpiece - so she complained to the headmaster that I was cheating her because she had paid for the class and her son was not allowed to spar like the other kids. And this was typical of the kinds of hassles that I had to deal with as a matter of routine. Whew, I am so glad that I quit teaching there. My life is much more peaceful now.

Sun Jan 21, 04:28:00 AM EST  
 Anonymous blogged...

Knowing where food comes from is a good skill to learn young.

It's also a particularly powerful way to teach about ecology, the central message of which is, "Everything is connected to everything."

- oddjob

Sun Jan 21, 05:17:29 AM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good morning, OddJob.

Yes, the lesson that everything is connected to everything is so basic yet so forgotten in modern Western culture. I hate to say it, but to this day—having spent the last half of my childhood living much closer to the Earth—I still roll my eyes at what I call the "Zen Without Pain" crowd that declares belief in the oneness of all things without having a clue as to what that really means.

In that same vein, I must point out another fundamental, surprisingly simple lesson I learned from growing my own vegetables and killing meat:

If you don't work, you don't get to eat.

The corollary to that rule is somewhat troubling:

Working hard doesn't guarantee you'll eat well, but not working guarantees you won't eat at all.



The Dark Wraith sort of misses the old days when kids learned that lesson at a very young age.

Sun Jan 21, 10:40:55 AM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good morning, rcg.

My last comment goes, of course, to some of the points you made.

Beyond that, though, I did teach in a private, very exclusive K-12 school, and the kids were absolutely delightful. I had never before experienced such a well-mannered, bright, motivated, sweet group of children in my life.

And their parents were absolute nightmares. I swear to God, it got to the point where I thought my head was going to explode.

Long-time readers here know I have by my nature and training a certain dedication to maintaining respectable demeanor in dealing with others, but I cannot tell you the number of times I was right on the verge of saying something like, "No, you insufferable, overbearing, domineering bitch, I'm the teacher. Now sit down, you evil harpie in expensive pumps."

Grr.

Even now, just remembering some of those episodes is making me lose appropriate decorum here.


The Dark Wraith backs off and goes to make some really strong espresso to calm his nerves.

Sun Jan 21, 10:55:16 AM EST  
 Anonymous blogged...

LOL!

- oddjob (who completely understands what you mean about "Zen without pain")

Sun Jan 21, 12:17:29 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good afternoon, snuffy.

I do hope everything goes well with getting that gardening program underway at the school. Most children—and most adults, for that matter—derive great pleasure from seeing the work of gardening pay off in beautiful flowers and edible fruits and vegetables.

Some years back, I owned a house, and I had things growing everywhere (some I didn't want). I enjoyed experimenting with growing different things in close proximity so I could better understand compatibilities and synergies. The satisfaction from harvesting tomatoes, peppers, and herbs was just tremendous, and it brought back my memories of childhood when I would harvest food, knowing that everything I cut and put into a bag, pulled and put into a box, or picked and put into a basket meant I was further from being hungry for the foreseeable future. That same comforting feeling returned to me like a whispering song as I harvested small vegetables from my random gardens around that home I owned.

Funny thing is, snuffy, I won't pass that way again: having a claim to land is important. Communal property isn't my cup of tea.


By the way, make sure the kids grow things they, themselves, get to eat. I first started liking carrots—baked, with some brown sugar and cinnamon—because I had grown them. Darned! but they were good.


The Dark Wraith took a long time to get used to the canned stuff again.

Sun Jan 21, 01:38:49 PM EST  
 blackdog blogged...

Had a great garden once when I lived in Scott, where the Arkieville River spills out from it's trellis drainage pattern to the beginning of the delta. The soil was a sandy loam, very well drained, you could grow almost anything.

Mulched with muckings from the goat barn, the straw was loaded with all sorts of goat products. With all the mulch, weeds were not too much of a problem, and I always rendered a drawing of my plan of planting in January. It was maybe as bad as a General drawing battle plans. I would go out after preparing the soil and set stakes with nylon staging outlining the plan, and usually got a little caried away and planted early, but I tended to luck out.

In the beginning, around April everything looked so well ordered and perfect that it was a pure pleasure to just sit and look at this 40'x 100' beauty. And sip several beers while you're at it. But as the summer came on and the growth became almost nukular, shit! It became difficult to even get in there to harvest, but I did keep my x-mother-in-law silent for the entire season with the cucumbers, she made more damn pickles than you can count.

Loved getting home from work and picking dinner from my organic garden. Used to fix some viscious caseroles with homegrown ingerdients, with the benefit of fresh goat's milk, Ba-ah-ah-ah-ah-ah!

In some ways, it was the best time of my life. But I didn't realize it at the time. I could have fed a small army with that garden. We gave away more veggies than were in some supermarkets. I almost thought my thumb was green, but I never caught on to strawberries or really decent, big onions. But the tomatoes, squash, cabbage, okra, peanuts, catnip (Saki), raddishes, cantalope, watermellon, pumpkin, cucumbers, corn, sunflowers (10' tall), well there was more and I can't remember it all now. But it was a healing hobby that I enjoyed. If I get lucky maybe I can do it again, but on a smaller scale.

Sun Jan 21, 05:04:03 PM EST  
 Wild Clover blogged...

Good Evening All...

I had a brief experiance with local Montessori back when my daughter transitioned from early intervention and was not yet old enough for school. Head Start was a chaotic riot, which she went once a week or so to, but the MS was rather tightly structured, which it was thought would work better for her than HS. I wasn't unimpressed, nor exceptionally impressed by what progress she made...learned to follow instructions I think...We went to some pot-lucks, I always bringing some meat dish so I'd have food to eat in the wilderness of rich folks' Kashi salad and marinated tofu that the pot lucks were. Dammit, if I want healthy, no fat, vegan or semi-vegan meals...wait, that doesn't work here because if I ever for health reasons have to eat like that, it will be time to bid a fond farewell to life.

My understanding from Imp... is that there are (at least) two main groups of Montessori schools-a free-wheeling sort and the structured sort. The local one is of the structured types.

Implet is at a nice progressive elementary school/co-op where parents do a shitload. Most of the parents are cool, some are boring, and a couple are parents from hell whose little one is "horribly misunderstood". Percentage wise, cool folks outnumber the uncool, and I can very much visualize them doing your Kool-aid station. Hell, with a little help(like with the actual multiplication/division) Implet at 7 could do the math...at least conceptually. But then, math games you can do in the car, and we've done them since he could talk almost. He could definitely come up with tasty kool aid-unless he was on one of his sugar binges-since he can cook damn well for a first grader-he's helped me season and always made it better.

I'm not sure that sending George and Dick to Iraq would be doing the Iraquis any favors-we've done enough damage without sending our garbage over there. I think beggaring them for the estimated amounts stolen since we went in, and sending them to go physically finish cleaning out New Orleans would be better. Send them to Iraq and we'd be spending billions to keep their hides intact. Just make them financially responsible for the moneys misspent in Iraq and use those funds as well as their labor to make good the false promises made after Katrina.

Sun Jan 21, 10:18:07 PM EST  
 Anonymous blogged...

Help with Katrina clean up in NOVA?

You're onto something!

- oddjob :-)

Mon Jan 22, 01:22:40 AM EST  
 SB Gypsy blogged...

Good Afternoon Dark Wraith,

Hey, I like that: let 'em "bring out the dead" and spend what's left of their lives cleaning up the city that they left to drown... excellent.

When I lived in an ashram in California, we had an ashram-preschool that was run by an accredited Montessori teacher. The kids adored her, and when she allowed it, they were rambunctious and chaotic. When she (quietly) asked them to line up, they did it lickety split, and were quiet to boot. My son could tell me what the change would be at the grocery store before kindergarten.

Public school never did well by him though. They thought he was slow...., yet they always said he wasn't living up to expectations.

Now he's a toolmaker.

Tue Jan 23, 02:36:27 PM EST  

       

Monday, January 15, 2007

Special Graphic Post:
Awaiting the Day

When Donkeys Fly



This graphic may be reposted with attribute.

<< 27 Comments Total
 SB Gypsy blogged...

Mr Wraith, I sure hope you're wrong, but I fear you're right on!

Mon Jan 15, 11:54:34 AM EST  
 PoliShifter blogged...

So what do we do? Do we storm D.C. and demand troop withdrawl?

What recourse do we have? Keep calling and writing letters?

Do we need the draft to make people more aware?

Do tens of thousands of U.S. trops have to die for Americans to start to get concerned?

Mon Jan 15, 01:17:31 PM EST  
 My Pet Goat blogged...

So what do we do?

Start breeding genetically altered donkeys. That might make it work a few generations sooner than natural evolution.

Ever wonder if the escalation and bush's posturing is a calculated move to establish control over congress with a confrontation right off the bat? Force the house majority to shit or get off the pot. Senate doesn't matter since there is NO democrat majority.

Mon Jan 15, 02:54:41 PM EST  
 PeterofLoneTree blogged...

Do we need the draft to make people more aware?

That was perhaps the "method in the madness" of Charles Rangel when he introduced just such a bill back in January of 2003.
.

Do tens of thousands of U.S. trops have to die for Americans to start to get concerned?

As with Vietnam, so perhaps with the Middle East.

Mon Jan 15, 03:26:58 PM EST  
 PeterofLoneTree blogged...

Text & links look fine on "preview", then go blotto when I hit "publish".

You or me?

Mon Jan 15, 03:33:37 PM EST  
 Deb blogged...

Up and flying proudly at Debsweb.

Mon Jan 15, 04:35:02 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good evening, Deb.

I got quite a laugh from your description of just exactly what events would coïncide with Congress stopping Bush.


The Dark Wraith simply must be present for that grand event.

Mon Jan 15, 08:09:15 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good evening, Peter of Lone Tree.

I'm not sure what happened. Were there supposed to be two or more links? All I get in the background source code is a single link, and it's working okay.


The Dark Wraith does, however, recognize that it's time get finished with the Dump Bloooooger Project.
[And unfortunately give up HTML in the comments for the more primitive Bulletin Board Code.]

Mon Jan 15, 08:16:48 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good evening, Mr. Goat.

I think what you suggested is exactly what's going on: the Bush Administration is going right for a game of "Chicken" with Congress, and Congress can't get the car on the road to square off.

Although I understand the political maneuver involved in that "100 hours of legislation" trick, it was to some extent a PR move, recognizing full well that perhaps half of those pieces of legislation are going to get vetoed, and the Democrats won't have the votes for any overrides. Besides which, any legislation Congress would send to the President that restricted Bush's self-assumed "unitary executive" power grab would get nullified by a Presidential signing statement, anyway.

This is an ugly game; and as I stated in a comment on a recent, previous thread, the only way the Congress could stop Bush is through impeachment and removal from office of both him and Dick Cheney. Unfortunately, that's off the table for the foreseeable future because, again, the Democrats just don't have the votes.

And until a hard-core, brass-knuckles investigation reveals that someone played Hail to the Chief/On his flute made of beef, there will not be a sufficient impetus in the federal legislature to hang our President.

We are in a war that cannot be stopped because we have a war-mongering Administration—comprising not just Bush and Cheney, but hundreds of their minions, as well—that cannot be stopped. And even if Congress and federal law enforcement authorities are able to crush a few of its instrumentalizers, this neo-conservative control of the Executive Branch is like a plague of locusts: you can grab as many of the little pests as you want out of the air, hold them in front of you and say, "Now, I'm going to give you a pinch that will hurt like the dickens," but it will do no good. For every one that is smacked down, dozens more like it are swirling through the halls of policy-making in the Oval Office, the Pentagon, and all manner of agencies, bureaus, and corners of Washington.

And worse still, Mr. Goat? There are virtually bottomless wallets full of money to ensure that this neo-conservative juggernaut of America's doom just keeps on truckin' down the highway to that hot place that has plenty of uncomfortably warm suites just waiting for George W. Bush, Dick Cheney, and all the rest of us who get dragged down there with them.



The Dark Wraith is feeling a surge of almost intoxicatingly pessimistic realism filling his heart.

Mon Jan 15, 08:39:35 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good evening, PoliShifter.

'So what do we do?'

You're too young to remember the Democratic National Convention in 1968. You won't be too young to remember the one in 2008, though.

The difference, of course, is that in 1968 all the cops had were truncheons, mad dogs, tear gas, and jails.

Now they've got stuff that isn't fun: area denial weapons, tasers, bio-scare "rumors," and the very real authority to call people something other than "rioters" and thereby do something considerably more serious than merely throw them in jail after a cupcake beating.

But, then again, who wants to live forever anyway?



The Dark Wraith thought he just heard a chorus of "Yeesh."

Mon Jan 15, 08:51:56 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good evening, SB Gypsy.

If there's anything good to come out of this, perhaps it will be that the word "Republican" will become such a vulgar thing to say that we can reasonably expect children's mouths to be washed out with soap when they say it.



The Dark Wraith will soon pursue that particular thought in a brief post.

Mon Jan 15, 08:56:39 PM EST  
 Anonymous blogged...

I can offer one glimmer of hope in this respect. Two or three years ago when I visited my parents during Christmas, my father spontaneously burbled during a Fox News broadcast about how much he loved that channel.

Last year when I went home for Christmas and gave my father his Christmas gift, a copy of David McCullough's 1776, as he perused it he spontaneously observed at how interesting it was that the Founding Fathers had had a problem with King George, and how it also seemed that we had the same problem......

Said problem my parents responded to by voting for Iraq veteran Patrick Murphy in November's election. Murphy, the Democrat, beat out incumbent Republican Mike Fitzpatrick and helped contribute to the overthrow of the Republican House of Representatives.

- oddjob (who acknowledges this is only a beginning, but is encouraged that there is at least a beginning)

Tue Jan 16, 02:20:12 AM EST  
 snuffy blogged...

Good MorningDark Wraith,
Although it appears the beguining of many a dark day for our country,the seeds for the crop of discontent that will fufill your rightous wish that the very word repubican=whaleshit,have been sown.
Effective propaganda requires ALL voices of discontent be{self} silenced.There now is many voices beguning to remember that it is not only the right,but the DUTY of a citizen to speak out against the machine that we face.

"black flag operations",as well as implementation of draconian laws will most likely face us...and that the good guys"win",now,is not a given.but,I belive that our rights and our essentual understanding of what we,as a people,are,is tied to the belife in freedom for all. of thought word and deed.
Perhaps it is because the restless,freedom-loveing trait was so part of those who came before us,that it is,as Thom Hartman said,"tied to the very genetic code"of americans,that I feel we will suceed in cutting and gutting the traitous bastards that are as you say,as "locust" in our body politic.We shall prevail.someday.soon.I hope.

Tue Jan 16, 07:01:20 AM EST  
 PeterofLoneTree blogged...

"black flag operations", as well as implementation of draconian laws will most likely face us..." -- snuffy

"Black flag operations"? Snuffy, I recommend that you take a look at Jeff Wells' latest post, "We Are Family", to discover what your comment, the Iraq War, and Charles Manson all have in common.

It takes Pogo's quote, "We have met the enemy and he is us", to a new level.

Tue Jan 16, 10:48:30 AM EST  
 Gary blogged...

Good Morning Dark Wraith,

I hate to use this approach, but I can't find your email!

I have changed my site address for Declarations...Now it is at http://pridepress.blogspot.com. I was hoping you could update the appropriate links on BigBrass for me.

Thanks so much Sir.

g

Tue Jan 16, 11:35:09 AM EST  
 SB Gypsy blogged...

Good Afternoon Dark Wraith,

I'm hoping that the republicans in new Congress, who have to face re-election in the next few, will throw Codpiece under the bus.

One of the articles of impeachment for Nixon was that he refused to answer Congress' questions or furnish the documents asked for. If that's all we can get him on in the next six months, I would be content with that, as long as those two left the WH. After they leave, then we can get the documentation to put them in chains for the forseeable future.


*Well, I can dream, can't I? *

Tue Jan 16, 03:58:36 PM EST  
 oldwhitelady blogged...

Good morning, Dark Wraith.

I think I'll dream with SBGypsy...and hope the donkeys start flying soon.

Wed Jan 17, 08:07:02 AM EST  
 kelleybell blogged...

The day donkeys fly and they day they can kiss our arse!

Wed Jan 17, 11:35:40 PM EST  
 SB Gypsy blogged...

Good Morning Mr Wraith,

I swear this guy's been reading you!
He stole your example...

Fri Jan 19, 09:59:42 AM EST  
 PeterofLoneTree blogged...

SB Gypsy,
From the article you cited:
"The project then calculates that with that money ($359 billion) you could provide total health care and insurance for more than 215 million children a year. Or, you could hire 6,224,739 schoolteachers for a year. Or, you could provide more than 17 million full four-year college scholarships."

The author doesn't mention, however, how much money would be needed to cure neo-conservative dumshittery.

Fri Jan 19, 02:16:01 PM EST  
 elf blogged...

Afternoon DW,

Well, there may be a slight chance that Sen.Leahy has an inkling where Gonzalez is hiding all the donkeys.

Slight I say, just slight.

Fri Jan 19, 04:33:31 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good evening, SB Gypsy, and thank you for the link to that article by Reeves.

On Wednesday, I was thundering in my economics classes about "opportunity cost," and I went right at the war in Iraq. I talked about how so-called "direct cost"--what is measured by accounting--is only a small component of "total economic cost"--which has to include both direct cost as well as indirect costs.

What's sending me into a hissy-fit right now is how some (of the few remaining) Bush apologists are bragging about bringing the budget deficits down when, in fact, our deficits are skyrocketing, but a substantial part of that red ink is not showing up in current budget numbers.

What's even worse is that some of that will show up in the next three to seven years, right when that idiot in the White House is gone and someone else is sitting there saying, "What the heck is happening with these budget deficits going through the roof?!" Those future red ink blotches are nothing less than a massive time bomb waiting to go off.

Now, when that happens, you just watch the Right-wing pundits pounce on whoever is the President if it's a Democrat.

I got a little worried today when I heard John Edwards talking about how the budget deficits could not be his motivating force in budgeting if he were President: he believes that some issues--national health care, for example--are so important that we cannot, as a nation, worry about budget busting when we have to solve these crises.

Although I remain interested in Edwards as a candidate, when he says things like that, I just cringe. Ditto with Al Gore saying that global warming is "...the single most important issue of our time." I keep thinking to myself, "Folks, if we don't deal with this ungodly budget mess, we're not going to have the luxury of worrying about national health care and global warming."

It reminds me of the distant relatives of mine a few years back, a family that was fretting over getting a new furnace to replace the one in their house that was broken, and at the same time ignoring the fact that there was a foreclosure eviction notice sitting right there on their kitchen table. As important as that furnace was, it was completely irrelevant when they weren't even going to be living in the house by the end of the week.

Lord, what a mess we're in.

I swear, every time I see someone who voted for that fool, I want to ask exactly what he or she plans to do personally to get the money to pay to fix this fiasco. I can hear the answer now: "Well, they better not raise mah taxes, I'll tell yew that much, heh-heh-heh."

Grr.


The Dark Wraith is on the verge of putting another "r" on his "Grr."

Sat Jan 20, 01:46:28 AM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good evening, elf.

Unfortunately, I don't think Sen. Leahy will be interested in getting too tough with Mr. Gonzales.

Without a hint of conspiracy theory in my heart (a-hem), I must assume that far too many Senators and Representatives--be they Democrat or Republican--are in no position to dare the Bush Administration to let slip the fruits of Mr. Rove's years of work in getting the long-standing dossiers on them from the spook community.

Geez, that sounded sort of like conspiracy theory, didn't it?

Never mind what I said.



The Dark Wraith certainly wants nothing to do with ridiculous stories that couldn't possibly be true.

Sat Jan 20, 02:32:24 AM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good evening, and welcome, Kelley Bell.

I just blogrolled you here at The Dark Wraith Forums and at Big Brass Blog.

Now, as far as the donkeys are concerned, if ever there were an opportunity to see George W. Bush have to kiss a Democrat's backside, I'd have to think for a while about which one I would most like to see our Dear Leader have to kiss.

I'm leaning toward Barbara Boxer, but I suppose my sentimental favorite would probably still be Ted Kennedy.

Any way you cut it, the tickets to that event would sell like hotcakes.



The Dark Wraith would even cough up the money for the Pay-per-View.

Sat Jan 20, 02:50:36 AM EST  
 PeterofLoneTree blogged...

"Although I remain interested in Edwards as a candidate..."

As was I, Dark Wraith, even to the point of perhaps attending the "town hall meeting" which I twice received invitations to attend this a.m.

But when I discovered who some of the people are that he hangs out with, I decided to stay home instead and NOT watch television.

Sat Jan 20, 10:56:33 AM EST  
 SB Gypsy blogged...

Although I remain interested in Edwards as a candidate, when he says things like that, I just cringe. Ditto with Al Gore saying that global warming is "...the single most important issue of our time." I keep thinking to myself, "Folks, if we don't deal with this ungodly budget mess, we're not going to have the luxury of worrying about national health care and global warming."

Good Afternoon Dark Wraith,

I wonder though, if we don't deal with global warming we won't have to worry about the deficit, cause the govt will be drowned and civilization will be gone. A little later, all life as we know it will suffocate under a layer of co2 and methane that won't disappear for millenia.

Buying a farm - even with solar panels and a windmill - won't save us either.

Tue Jan 23, 03:41:52 PM EST  
 Anonymous blogged...

Since global warming has the potential to turn cropland regions into deserts, I think the best way to think about that is, "Fiscal sanity pays for the rest, and therefore must be done, but if we don't reverse global warming we may end up not being in a position to worry about who will pay for what."

- oddjob

Wed Jan 24, 01:26:16 AM EST  

       

Saturday, January 13, 2007

Special Blog Post:
The Moment of a Comet

Comet McNaughtAt left is a morning picture of C/2006 P1, "Comet McNaught," so named for Robert McNaught, who found it as a faint smudge on a photograph taken in early August 2006 at the Siding Spring Observatory. The comet, a small celestial body making a brief visit to the inner solar system, is traveling on a trajectory that is making it one of the brightest of its kind in decades.

On January 12, Comet McNaught reached perihelion at only 16 million miles from the sun, which slung it around to emerge for people on Earth as an evening flare quietly shining in the low southern skies. It has a round, fuzzy head of volatile gas and dust, and a short, slightly delta-shaped tail of dust particles falling away. In the coming nights, it will be visible later into dusk, but it will be getting fainter as it slips away from the sun and Earth. Soon, it will be too dim to see with the naked eye.

Because it came in on such a tight trajectory, the sun's gravity has probably given the comet so much additional speed that it now has "escape velocity" from the solar system. That means it will never return. It will cruise out into the cold, stark emptiness of interstellar space, where it will forever slip through the bright darkness of faint galactic gravity fields and soft star winds, nothing but a tiny speck of ice and dust never again to be seen by human eyes, almost certainly never again to be sensed by any sentient being like us.

But we saw it; and in that almost meaningless moment when it was warmed by the sun, it was simply beautiful. If that matters when you think about comets, then let it matter when you think about yourself.

<< 21 Comments Total
 My Pet Goat blogged...

I saw it last night for the first time right after the sun dropped below my horizon. Too bright and hazy to see much of a developed tail, but fun none the less.

Sat Jan 13, 12:51:29 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good afternoon, Mr. Goat.

In the late '90s, I saw Comet West on many nights, once from about 30,000 feet in a jetliner.

I figured West was going to be the one bright comet for my lifetime, but then I get to see this one. Comet West was attended by no particularly dire events in the world that I recall, and I figure we got lucky.

Let's hope the run of luck continues.


The Dark Wraith is, however, not a superstitious fellow by nature, of course.
[What with being a wraith and all.]

Sat Jan 13, 01:00:59 PM EST  
 My Pet Goat blogged...

Good morning Mr. Wraith,

I forgot to add to my previous post that spaceweather.com has a nice gallery of photos from around the world.

I recall as a young kid seeing a very bright one, and since then comets have fascinated me. It may have been Ikeya-Seki or Bennett (or both), but it was in that time frame. I don't recall seeing West. I enjoyed Hale-Bopp because at the time I was living in an area of few lights.

Sat Jan 13, 01:30:40 PM EST  
 litbrit blogged...

Bon Weekend, Mr. Wraith,

Thank you for the kick-in-the-arse that is your frighteningly appropriate prose. And thank you for the gift of that last sentence--it was needed and appreciated.

Sat Jan 13, 02:01:58 PM EST  
 blackdog blogged...

Two nights ago I went out east of town to where the horizion is excellent with my trusty 12x80s. It was beautiful. I agree Oh Dark One, after I saw a bright comet back in the later 60's I figured that would maybe it unless I survived to Haley, but I have been lucky as well, with several naked-eye ones and even more in a scope. I was really fortunate when Haiakataki(sp?) was evidenced form a relatively high and dark location in north Georgia, the tail streched at least 30*.

Just heard that the new Mayor where I used to work has canned several of the individuals that were responsible for my situation, on Tuesday I may go have speaks with him.

Sat Jan 13, 02:50:17 PM EST  
 PoliShifter blogged...

Pretty Cool

Sat Jan 13, 04:09:42 PM EST  
 Anonymous blogged...

Somehow your last comment reminded me that, with the possible exception of the hydrogen, virtually every other atom in our bodies has at one point or another been part of a star, many (most?) of them more than once, or so I believe.

Am I correct in that, or are there other known sources of fusion out there that could accomplish the same task of transforming a simple element into a complex one?

- oddjob

Sat Jan 13, 05:15:54 PM EST  
 blackdog blogged...

Fusion up to a point, if I recall, iron, then supernovas. Heavy elements spread throughout the cosmos. Add a dozen billion years and the results are amazing.

Sat Jan 13, 05:58:14 PM EST  
 Anonymous blogged...

Right, but the supernovae still create new, heavier elements via fusion, just in a different scenario.

- oddjob

Sat Jan 13, 06:06:17 PM EST  
 blackdog blogged...

Agreed. but it's funny that it takes stellar evilution to create elements up to #94. Takes a little more time than to boil water, just don't watch the pot.

A supernova must be one of the best examples of the stuff hitting the fan.

Strange universe.

Sat Jan 13, 07:40:04 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good evening, OddJob.

Reaching back to my days in astronomy and astrophysics, I am fairly sure that fusion will occur on the surface of a neutron star in a binary with a normal star if a sufficient layer of material has settled onto the surface of the dense neutron star. In fact, this is part and parcel of some "nova" explosions, which are nothing more than period nuclear detonations of that material once it has compacted so much that the nuclear reactions around the interface between the neutron star and the aggregated material that has landed on it have enough energy to overcome the powerful gravitational gradient.

Going one step further, a rapidly spinning neutron star will, of course create a "migration" of accreting materials toward the poles, where you'll then see a "spotlight" effect. Take those polar beams and throw in a nice wobble, and what do you get? Ah! a very cool "pulsating" light as observed from some place like, oh, say, Earth. But that bleed-off obviously mitigates the other circumstance where the neutron star merely sucks matter from the normal star, and that material builds up until you get the "puff" of a nova. It's those kinds of ejecta from typical novae that you'll find heavy nuclei being spewed.

As far as other processes go that could produce heavier elements, if I'm remember anomalous atmospheres and envelopes correctly, accretion disks around black holes can pile up to critical densities that trigger brief, runaway fusion reactions. This dynamic would also be experienced in galactic black holes, but most likely the kind associated with quasars, where a whole lot of material otherwise doomed to fall into the super-massive, primordial black holes never to be available to the cosmos for building blocks instead gets piled up in super-luminous, high-energy plasma fields streaming around the hole, finally going critical and causing what might be either a sustained fusion reaction in a torus or possibly a periodic "blowout."

I suppose there are a few other generators of heavy nuclei out there, but some are likely not well understood to us right now. I think I remember one astrophysicist mentioning something about thin plasmas (extra-galactic, I suspect) that could interact to do a slow-cook of heavies, but I cannot recall the details of how that was supposed to work.


The Dark Wraith is getting too old to keep his mental files in easily accessible order.

Sat Jan 13, 09:41:52 PM EST  
 Tracey in AZ blogged...

Dark Wraith, simply beautiful. Thank you.

Sat Jan 13, 11:33:10 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Welcome to The Dark Wraith Forums, Tracey.

Sat Jan 13, 11:49:41 PM EST  
 snuffy blogged...

we are{truely} stardust
we are golden
and we've got to get ourself back to the garden...

Sun Jan 14, 01:45:49 AM EST  
 BlondeSense Liz blogged...

Snuffy beat me to it. Those lyrics came to mind immediately.

Unfortunately, we had rain and missed out on the light show here on the island in the ocean. I was looking forward to it being an avid comet watcher and all.

I also popped over here to see if the Dark One is ok.

Sun Jan 14, 10:18:53 PM EST  
 Progressive Traditionalist blogged...

Good evening, Dark Wraith.

An excellent post.
Thank you.

Sun Jan 14, 10:41:48 PM EST  
 father tyme blogged...

DW,
Curious that comet appearing just now. In older times they were harbingers of potential doom.
Maybe there's a micron of truth to the ways.

Mon Jan 15, 09:29:08 AM EST  
 SB Gypsy blogged...

Good Morning Dark Wraith,

It would be interesting to correlate the comets visible in our lifetimes with what was going on in the world at the time. I remember hale-bopp, and Haley's and another one in the mid seventies, but cannot remember what was going on.

Oh, there was one when I lived in DC(can't remember the name), and during those two years Nixon left power.

Mon Jan 15, 11:25:36 AM EST  
 PeterofLoneTree blogged...

In older times they were harbingers of potential doom.
Maybe there's a micron of truth to the ways.
-- father tyme

Father, you might be interested in the "SOTT Special Reports" section of the Quantum Future Groups site, which has several articles entitled "Meteors, Asteroids, Comets, and NEOs".

Then too, there is Knight-Jadczyk's article entitled Cometary Showers, Four Horsemen of the Apocalypse?.

Mon Jan 15, 07:26:28 PM EST  
 The Fat Lady Sings blogged...

Halley’s Comet’s last appearance happened to coincide with my 30th birthday. I first saw it in Japan - hanging low in the evening sky out over the ocean, not far off the top of Mt. Fuji. It wasn’t as bright as I expected – nowhere near as bright as my father once described to me. He had seen Halley’s last visitation from the deck of a ship somewhere off the coast of Spain. He said it was visible during the day – but I’m thinking he got Halley’s mixed up with that other comet appearing in 1910. My father was nine years old and a cabin boy back then. So when Halley’s came round again I made sure to take a good, long look. It was cold, and the comet seemed to have a reddish cast. Didn’t matter. Big or small it signified change. I looked up at Halley’s Comet and promised myself a new life.

Barely weeks later, at midnight on my birthday's eve - I was in California standing atop one of the highest peaks of the Santa Luchia mountain range near Big Sur. This was a spot I used to haunt in my younger days. It took quite a hike to get up there - but the view was magnificent. I was accompanied by my oldest friend and the man I eventually married. This time the comet rode high - surrounded by very bright stars. It wasn't as visible as in Japan; but the moment seemed sweeter just the same. My life HAD changed. In that moment everything seemed connected – me to my father, my life to a no longer tenuous future. And I made myself another promise. I promised to be alive the next time Halley made its appearance. My father lived through two incarnations. I wanted to as well. Will it happen? Who knows? I’ll say one thing, though – if I did make it that long - I’d be one hell of an old broad!

Mon Jan 15, 07:56:04 PM EST  
 Anonymous blogged...

No, he didn't get it confused, for it truly was the great comet of 1910. It passed quite close to Earth that time (the Earth may have even passed through the tail, but I can't remember for certain). This time when it got close it was much further away, so it was dim. I looked for it in suburban Philadelphia, but never could find it for certain. The first comets I saw were in 1996 and '97.

- oddjob

Tue Jan 16, 02:25:02 AM EST  

       

Thursday, January 11, 2007

Editorial:
The Age of War

Wednesday evening, January 7, 2007, the President of the United States went before the American people to lay out his plan, what the Administration calls the "New Way Forward," to turn what is becoming a catastrophic U.S. involvement in Iraq into something other than the ominous and evident defeat looming ahead. Five brigades comprising 20,000 additional troops will be inserted into Baghdad, tours of duty for soldiers already there will be extended, and $1.2 billion dollars in new U.S. aid will be used for infrastructure and jobs programs in the war-ravaged country. The President is requesting another $5.6 billion in funds to pay for the troop surge, itself.

The Democrats who control Congress, joined by an increasingly vociferous group of Republicans, are on record opposing this escalation of the American-Iraqi War. According to CNN.com, the extent of formal plans on Capitol Hill to block the President's initiative are thus:
"[S]enators are working on a nonbinding resolution opposing more troops... The House plans to raise a similar resolution."
Such is the materially meaningful scope of countervailing force currently confronting President George W. Bush and his neo-conservative war-makers.

In a January 4, 2007, Special Analysis published here, I wrote the following:
Mr. Bush is going to get his wish: we'll stay; and for now, not only will we stay, but he will escalate this American-Iraqi War.

And the Democrats will not cut off funding for the war...

[W]e'll stay in Iraq... until we're bloodied beyond recognition of our hubris, beyond recognition of our preeminence, beyond recognition of our once unquestioned status as the leader of the free world; and then we shall leave. We shall leave, not when we want to, not when we need to, not when we've had enough, but instead when we are no longer relevant to the history of the future of Iraq and perhaps no longer greatly relevant even to the history of the future of places far from that awful land.
The will to end a bad war is insufficient: war, once born, has a life of its own. Both those who embrace it and those who oppose it stand in the shadow of its thrall. Mr. Bush bids that we walk deeper into its consuming flames, and so we shall. What strength we have to turn away is insufficient compared to the weakness already within our leaders to fight the vortex pulling us deeper into the maw of that which will be our undoing.

Should the Democrats be unable in the months ahead to find the wherewithal to stop this madness, waste not every ounce of energy in rage at their impotence, but instead reserve a modicum for pity of their ignorance: when first they had their chance to draw a sword against the god of war, perhaps they truly believed that a "non-binding resolution" was a weapon.



The Dark Wraith welcomes America to a war without end that cannot be stopped by a leadership without courage.

<< 26 Comments Total
 rcg blogged...

Frist!

...once again you put it all together. Anyhoo, just dropped by to mention that I "shouted" one of your articles on shoutwire.com:

"The TRUTH About America's Economy - Backed up With Pesky Facts"

http://tinyurl.com/y7kwae

Thu Jan 11, 04:05:23 AM EST  
 snuffy blogged...

It now appears the attack on Iran is a set piece.Bush claimed Iran and Syria have suppied material support to the insurgent forces in Iraq...another 5 persians were detained carrying dip. passports and what will be shown to the world as proof of Iranian help of all resistance...Die is cast,get ready for TEOTWAWKI.Now we see what the rest of the world is going to do.If god,and the grim fates are fair,we have a hellava payback comeing

Thu Jan 11, 05:56:28 AM EST  
 SB Gypsy blogged...

Good Morning Dark Wraith,

"Non Binding Resolution"???!!!!!

Good Lord, what are they thinking?

When Cheney refuses to answer their subpoenas, will they fire right back with a NON BINDING RESOLUTION?

PHFFTTTT $@@(*&)%$# (my head is exploding)

Thu Jan 11, 09:25:14 AM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

I got back here as fast as I could, but it looks like I'm too late: SB Gypsy already detonated.

Cripe, I was going to try to get her a meeting with Mr. Bush before this happened so she could go off right in his ear. Put a few Democrats in the room with him, and she could have had a field day tossing twits.

Oh well, maybe next time.


Yes, SB Gypsy, a non-binding resolution is all they have even close to the table right at this moment, and that's why Bush is able to get this "New Way Forward" underway.

And forgive me for sounding harsh, but while the Democrats were playing a media blitz with their 100 hours of legislation deal, they got out-maneuvered. More charitably, there was almost no chance they could have played a front-end card to stop him this early in their majority control of Congress, but I smell a hint of the same fear they've had in the past of ending up being accused of obstructionism. What I fear more, though, is that some Democrats are thinking that they need to let Bush's guaranteed-to-fail policy in Iraq proceed still further so it becomes evident to everyone in the United States that he's not just incompetent, but instead, that he's a complete and dangerous idiot.

That would be the way to make a possible impeachment process coming later look to the American people not like revenge so much a mercy killing.


The Dark Wraith just hopes Democrats aren't cold enough to let this war go on with that calculus in their minds.

Thu Jan 11, 09:45:44 AM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good morning, snuffy.

Something is most definitely brewing with respect to an attack on Iran. Whether or not it's just dust being stirred up by the story in the Sunday Times, too many military personnel to whom I've been talking the last couple of days think this troop surge in Iraq is about more than Iraq.

Scuttlebutt being what it is, you have to take that kind of talk with a grain of salt, but it's still giving me cause to pause.

Sunblock (SPF one million), anyone?


The Dark Wraith should probably put his microwavable popcorn in a lead container before the fireworks begin.

Thu Jan 11, 09:50:01 AM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good morning, rcg.

Yes, I think this is the first time you've been at the top of the comments. And I have seen a bit of traffic coming in from Shoutwire this morning.

I was thinking about your term "Pesky Facts," and brought to mind a rather heated exchange in an economics seminar I was in last month. Some fellow was presenting a few preliminary results from an empirical study he's doing, and the subject of the data vector of consumer inflation he's using as an explanatory variable came up. An occasionally troublesome fellow at the meeting asked what, exactly, it was that made any researcher think any data coming from the government these days is reliable enough to use in statistical analysis. Boy, did that make things uncomfortable in the room!

I'd already eaten my doughnut, so I was in the mood to move on. So was everyone else. It seems that, these days, facts are what they are, even when provided by a government for whom facts are what they aren't.


The Dark Wraith should probably avoid seminars on empirical research until the facts get straightened out by the next Administration in charge of them.

Thu Jan 11, 10:13:29 AM EST  
 rcg blogged...

Good Morning, Dark Wraith.

Good thing you had that doughnut finished or you might have choked on it in a fit of laughter. Whew, that could have been the end of the Dark Wraith. And although, not a heroic death, it would have been symbolic tragicomedy for your many friends.

Thu Jan 11, 12:05:35 PM EST  
 elf blogged...

Hello DW,
Changing the subject a little, currently listening to Condi's testimony.
Sad to say but I truly believe those people have absolutely no intention of leaving Iraq no matter what happens. So then I wonder, what if they are denied most of the money they are asking for? Will something suddenly happen in the Straits of Hormuz, will there suddenly pop up more "evidence" that Syria needs "dealing" with?
I laugh sarcastically at her responses and all the while my stomach just churns.

Thu Jan 11, 12:46:36 PM EST  
 BlondeSense Liz blogged...

The NY Times called it "symbolic"

So much for the weenie new congress. Get your feet in shape. We'll be taking on DC on Sat Jan 27th.

Thu Jan 11, 01:37:17 PM EST  
 The Minstrel Boy blogged...

Good Afternoon Dark Wraith:

I too, was listening to Dr. Rice before Congress. I saw many different things about this testimony. Before the 9/11 commission and in previous appearances she has had that whole "schoolmarm" imperiousness an, if you will, "how dare you?" attitude when confronted with a question she didn't like. Today, however, she has been far shriller, yet less strident. Trying to pretend to answer while staying off the answers she knows are true, yet unpleasant. She has finally realized that for her, for this administration, for this government, the jig is up. It reminded me of conversations I would have with 2ndX when she would begin an explanation of her day by telling me how much she had "saved" at a store all the while disregarding the topic of how much had been spent. She has that same, stupidly scared look on her face that the President wore last night. Maybe they're both swiping Miltowns from Laura.

I can only off up a recommendation to dig a little deeper in the purse and go with the Xanax. They're the little pale blue ones that look like a football. If Laura's out or hiding them better call Jeb's daughter. Haven't heard anything about her for a while so she must have a steady connection.

Thu Jan 11, 05:08:00 PM EST  
 Anonymous blogged...

The Dark Wraith just hopes Democrats aren't cold enough to let this war go on with that calculus in their minds.

Since they lack the veto-proof majority they need to make the power of the purse actually bite where it must, oddjob feels compelled to hope precisely that.

How else does this madness end??? (Don't answer that!)

- oddjob

Thu Jan 11, 10:36:57 PM EST  
 PeterofLoneTree blogged...

Minstrel Boy,
Picking up on what you said about Condi's demeanor, Dr. Elsewhere over at Cannonfire had this to say about gigologeorge:
"Did you guys notice how unbelievably nervous Bush was last night? He got a little better as the minutes passed, but not much. He went from looking perfectly petrified to simply dying to get it over with. There was no swagger, no smile, no attempt to charm the audience. It appeared it was all he could to to just read the prompter with something resembling prosodic consistency."
It's all in a post entitled
Surging toward Armageddon.

Fri Jan 12, 12:17:21 AM EST  
 Marcus blogged...

Just to add another log to the fire, there was a caller towards the end of the Diane Rhem Show this morning who stated that two of her husbands co-workers, who were special forces trained, had gotten notification to get their war on. The caller further stated that these men were well past their contract time, and had been discharged years ago. Backdoor draft is starting....

Fri Jan 12, 01:48:18 AM EST  
 Chief blogged...

Will Bush’s hubris lead to a constitutional crisis?

Will the Dem Congress subpoena documents from the first 6 Bush years?

Will Bush Admin refuse to turn over subpoenaed documents?

Will Congress issue contempt citations?

Will the Dem congress worry that the American public will not follow them?

Will the Dem congress ‘cave in’ figuring half a loaf is better than none?

On what basis do individuals in Congress base their decisions? Framing issues?

I do not have any confidence in Bushco yielding if Congress strongly opposes him. Will Bush 41 or Carter publicly disagree with Bush?

Fri Jan 12, 06:19:06 AM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good morning, Chief.

I have no doubt whatsoever that the Bush Administration will do whatever it can to obstruct and stonewall the Congress with respect to investigations. Bush's people can play that card for quite a while; but sooner or later, issues will reach the Supreme Court, where a Right-wing bloc comprising Scalia, Thomas, Roberts, and Alito will need only one mush-headed "moderate" (or "centrist" or whatever the others are called these days) to thwart any hope of a resounding slap-down of this rogue Presidency.

Of more immediate import, though, is an inherent asymmetry to the advantage of the President in his role as Commander-in-Chief. He can effectively initiate and prosecute war by different name by virtue of everything from simple directions to his joint chiefs on through to secret Executive Orders.

I am trying to get some information this morning to corroborate a report I've seen by what are less-than-reputable (but often reliable) sources about something Bush did a couple days ago that's a necessary predicate to some really bad stuff in the hopper. I'm pretty sure the rumor is accurate because it looks like several congressmen already know about it, know that it's secret (which means they cannot tell what they know), and are boiling over because they see it as a nasty end-run around their ability to keep wars from happening unless they are fully consulted and provide consent.

Essentially, then, it looks like the Bush Administration is still able to hog-tie the Congress, and the Democrats are just too inexperienced as the party of the majority in the Houses to know what to do to effectively and resolutely stop the neo-cons from taking the country to the next level.

Although it might look to the casual reader like I engage in hyperbole, I assure you that, in my written analyses and editorials, I do not. When I wrote last week in "Neo-Con End Run" of the prospect of "...a regional war of which the Iraqi theatre was only the first and perhaps the least bloody phase," I was giving a thoroughly straight assessment of what, in my judgment, is coming.

And I shall point out once again that, on balance, I'm right quite a bit more often than I'm wrong.

I suppose I should also stipulate that this is part of the reason why, even though my articles are getting aggregated by news services fairly frequently, you won't see me getting picked up by any of the syndication services.

Certainly not when they have far more reliable and credible columnists like Ann Coulter and Cal Thomas to tell people how things are.


The Dark Wraith couldn't resist getting a little snide there at the end.

Fri Jan 12, 09:10:30 AM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good morning, Marcus.

Yesterday, I started getting the e-mail and calls from students in the armed forces who've just been told to saddle up. There's a lot of confusion, right now, because there was an incident early last month when they were getting something similar to this, but the whole thing fizzled out. However, at that time they were told to keep themselves ready in terms of gear packed up and all that. In fact, that got most of them spooked enough to go high and tight and stay that way even over the Winter holiday break.

Now these young men are getting all kinds of worked up again, but they aren't sure whether it's going to be another bust or if it's the real deal this time.

These are, by and large, combat soldiers who've already been to Iraq at least once, but there's no certainty even about where they would go: stateside, maybe; Iraq; Afghanistan; Somalia? None of them are talking about Iran, but that's because even the most insane neo-con isn't going to try to project regular Army and Marine ground forces into a grinder like that, not right away. It would be more likely that ground troops would serve as a containment force, while Air Force, Navy, and Marine flyboys and missile crews, and all manner of Special Ops folks, would do the aggressive work within the borders of Iran and/or Syria.

That's how I see it coming down, anyway, but I'm just feeling around here in the dark right now. I do not know yet even whether or not the mustering is a real deal.


The Dark Wraith doesn't like being in the dark without a flashlight.
[And the one Bush keeps trying to shine up our butts doesn't count, by the way.]

Fri Jan 12, 09:26:12 AM EST  
 Anonymous blogged...

Now these young men are getting all kinds of worked up again, but they aren't sure whether it's going to be another bust or if it's the real deal this time.

Or for how long...Pentagon abandons active-duty time limit

Fri Jan 12, 01:16:07 PM EST  
 Anonymous blogged...

I've seen other comments online today on other blogs that roughly concur with the messages your students are getting.

I realize this would seem to contradict your assessment of the Democrats, but I nonetheless hope it's accurate since it's hopeful. Murtha's a nasty piece of work when he wants to be.

- oddjob

Fri Jan 12, 01:45:04 PM EST  
 PeterofLoneTree blogged...

"...there's no certainty even about where they would go: stateside, maybe..." -- Dark Wraith

Which statement causes me to remember what you said on the blog a few weeks back when, speaking to one of your students, he made the comment that while on leave from Iraq, he had been working on "crowd control". I also at this time am reminded of the
Kent State Massacre.

Fri Jan 12, 08:32:27 PM EST  
 Anonymous blogged...

Oh, I encountered further good news today (which I hadn't been aware of):

Patriot Missiles? Why??? (Hat tip, Attytood.)

- oddjob

Sat Jan 13, 05:19:04 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good evening, OddJob.

I brought up the "Patriot-type interceptors" in the comments to last week's article, "Neo-Con End Run, pointing out that they are more or less unreliable as a defensive weapon. The scuttlebutt about Patriot and similar missile batteries being beefed up in targetable areas under U.S. control has been swirling for a few weeks, now, which was why I mentioned them in passing. Israel's reliance upon them is their business, but the Pentagon is playing a fool's game using a system it knows to be flawed to stop a flurry of missile attacks it knows will be launched by Iran if we or the Israelis hit those nuclear fuel production facilities.

Personally, if I had my choice between trusting a Patriot battery to protect my butt and renting a fast, cheap car to get out of harm's way, I'd take my chances with the car on the road south and do my darnedest to swerve around the IEDs along the road and hanging from the overpasses.

As long as I have a half-a-tank of gas, a half-a-pack of cigarettes, my sunglasses, and the whole night ahead of me, I'm betting I'd make it.


The Dark Wraith sings the Blues on the way to Kuwait.

Sat Jan 13, 09:21:20 PM EST  
 Anonymous blogged...

Come to think of it, you did mention that, didn't you?

Apologies for being so slow on the uptake......

- oddjob

Sun Jan 14, 12:52:42 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good afternoon, OddJob.

Way too many signs are pointing toward preparations for a widened conflict.

As Marcus said, Special Ops are on the move. Truth be told, those cats have been in and out of Iran already. A lot of ground work is being laid for an attack, some of it having to do with ground-level prep of targets, some of it having to do with disrupting command and control in the hours leading up to the strike. They're also getting psy-ops and social-disruption stuff going, but I would imagine they'll rely to some extent on the local trouble-makers, such that they are with respect to organization, professionalism, and even experience. The idea is to create as much confusion as possible. Blowing up the nuclear production facilities is only one part of an overall attack, which must circumvent and/or neutralize anti-aircraft batteries, directly degrade communications, create havoc to further degrade communications quality, cripple retaliatory strike capabilities if possible, perhaps interrupt certain key transportation and logistics flow channels and nodes, and maybe even set the stage for internal provisions to move into positions where they can at least briefly make people aware that alternatives to the central leadership are active if not visible.

Of course, everything I just wrote above is the product of fevered imagination. Actually, nothing whatsoever of the kind is happening.

But I'm sure you knew that already.


The Dark Wraith went on a flight of fantasy there for a minute.

Sun Jan 14, 01:39:27 PM EST  
 SB Gypsy blogged...

Good Morning Dark Wraith,

I hear that with the 100billion the 109th congress just gave him, Bushco doesn't need any more money to do the surge. Codpiece himself confirmed on the 60 minutes fawnfest.

My recommendation to Congress: don't give him a dime more, force him to spend it on what he's already got going. (he'll do what he wants anyway - the Cartman presidency). Perhaps he'll hesitate before he goes into Iran.

My take of his character? He'll keep making war as long as we don't impeach and remove him. He will do anything to prompt Iran and Syria into attacking him. If they do, he'll nuke them.

If we do impeach, he will become desperate enough to push that button and make nucular war on his own, without provocation.

I've been dreaming about what Mr Goat said on another thread.

Mon Jan 15, 11:53:19 AM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good afternoon, SB Gypsy.

You are correct: George W. Bush will not be stopped, nor will he even be slowed down, unless and until he is impeached and removed from office.

Furthermore, the destructive policies of this Administration won't be stopped unless and until both he and Dick Cheney are impeached and removed from office.

What we are now seeing is the short-term power of the madness of the few over the reason of the many; and we shall remain in this term that is awful and short-sighted despite the hopes of the majority and the will of thier elected representatives in the Congress.

It is as stark as that.



The Dark Wraith has seen this madness before.

Mon Jan 15, 12:28:07 PM EST  
 Anonymous blogged...

Cheney and his chief of staff (Addington?) are the heart of the problem. They are the ones who believe the president has the constitutional rights of a despot and they have spent all their careers doing everyithing they can to see their interpretation of the Constitution brought into being.

- oddjob

Mon Jan 15, 12:59:24 PM EST  

       

Monday, January 08, 2007

Special Analysis:
Neo-Con End Run

The Sunday Times is reporting that Israel is in the planning stages of a military airstrike on Iran's nuclear production facilities. The newspaper cites multiple, although unnamed, sources for its story, even though Israel is denying that any such operation is being planned. The Times claims the attack will involve warplanes that will first use conventional bombs to blow deep craters above the hardened, underground facilities, followed by low-yield nuclear bombs to carry out the actual destruction of the huge industrial bunkers. CNN.com reports that Israel has not received prior approval by the United States for such a strike on the three targets under consideration.

Map of central Middle EastDespite the absence of explicit approval by the White House, such an attack would work to the advantage of the Bush Administration, facing as it now does a hostile Congress with a Democratic majority already talking publicly about ways to wind down American involvement in Iraq. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi yesterday intimated that Congress might even go so far as to deny funding for the President's soon-to-be-announced surge of as many as 20,000 more American troops into Iraq, a warning the Right-wing Weekly Standard claims "...makes the House Democrats the party of defeat, the party of surrender." If Israel were to launch a pre-emptive strike against Iran, however, congressional Democrats would face the prospect of de-funding American military operations in Iraq at the same time a spiraling conflict would get underway right next door in Iran.

Sunburn missileFew doubt that Iran would retaliate, and one of its most likely first actions would be to close the Strait of Hormuz, through which 20% of the world's oil is shipped from the Persian Gulf to the open seas. Iran has mined the waterway before. Furthermore, as described here and elsewhere, Iran has missile batteries lining its coasts, weapons that would make lumbering oil tankers the oil-bearing equivalents of enormous sitting ducks. While Israel's single-strike plan to end Iran's nuclear ambitions might be successful—a single strike was all it needed to destroy Iraq's Osirak nuclear complex in 1980—the rest of the world would be left to deal with a humiliated, enraged Persian state lashing out in some cases indiscriminately, but in other cases quite pointedly at Israel's putative backer, the United States.

A single Iranian Sunburn missile fired at a U.S. warship in the Persian Gulf would drag the United States into war with Iran. Keeping U.S. troops stationed in neighboring Iraq from involvement would be next to impossible, especially if Tehran saw opportunity in goading weakened, under-staffed ground forces in provinces close to the Iraqi border with Iran.

With such a spiraling conflagration exploding in the Middle East, the Democrats in Congress might find little support for using the congressional power of the purse to turn U.S. policy in the Middle East away from military solutions. In fact, if anything, even a limited fight the U.S. might have with Iran would require both large infusions of additional troops into the theatre as well as many billions of dollars in new money to pay for those troops, their weaponry and support materiel.

Far from ending the American-Iraqi War, the Democrats just might find themselves having to go along with massive increases in funding for a regional war of which the Iraqi theatre was only the first and perhaps the least bloody phase.



The Dark Wraith invites readers to contemplate the situation into which Congress—indeed, the United States, itself—might very well be led shortly.

<< 32 Comments Total
 The Minstrel Boy blogged...

Good Morning Dark Wraith:

This would be simply shocking had it already not been one of the things I've been expecting for over a year. Now that his foray as a direct leader and strategist in wartime (ala lincoln, roosevelt and truman) has gone down miserably he's thinking to solve his problems by becoming involved in a proxy war ala eisenhower, kennedy and lbj. this is right along the lines of the "gulf of tonkin" scenario (although they might even exercise a higher degree of realism for the cameras) where u.s. troops are put in harm's way as bait in a larger game. that the isaelis will throw the opening bombs, which by the way, they've never admitted to having officially, is perfectly in keeping with the whole shameless "plausible deniability" angle so dear to these assholes. i can hear it now "no one could have predicted the israelis would nuke iran. . ." like the isaeli military can do fuck all without american supply, support and consent.

the most maddening factor for me is that we are forced to watch people who have been glaringly, and murderously wrong about every single move they have made in this region for the last six years stupidly blunder into one more thing they don't understand. it's like watching the yuppies with their brand new rifles and optics who invade my mountains every year to "cash in" their tags on big game. (yes, i actually heard one of them describe his hunting trip in those exact terms) what can happen is that because they know very little about the place they are trying to hunt, very little about the game they are hunting, and usually not all that much about the weapons they are trying to wield, things can go wrong very quickly. going into iran would be like one of these idiots stomping around my woods who, while stopping to rest, leans against a bee tree, provoking a response from the bees, to escape the bee problems they run into a handy cave, thereby riling the bears or rattlesnakes who had hoped to winter there undisturbed. and yes, that scenario played out exactly like that three years ago by cibicue creek.

this is all bolstered by the nomination of an admiral who has commanded carrier fleets and conducted joint landing ops (he was the naval commander on the marine's diversion landing in '91) to head centcom.

just when i thought that there might be a little hope for sanity and rationality in washington they come up with something even crazier. that an unprovoked nuclear first strike is even being contemplated tells me that most of those people are way overdue for a visit with the shrink to get a med review. i doubt any of the rest of us can see the entities which are talking inside bush's head right now. i can handle someone talking to himself. hell, i can handle somebody answering himself. i draw the fucking line at invisible goddamned friends.

Mon Jan 08, 11:45:51 AM EST  
 blackdog blogged...

If this comes about I'll get my sunscreen and sunglasses and wait for the ICBMs to arrive.

So far amazingly we have avoided a nuclear war, but first use of even limited yield devices by anyone could be the trigger.

Minstrel Boy is right, these people are insane.

Mon Jan 08, 01:26:18 PM EST  
 My Pet Goat blogged...

Wasn't (or did) Israel building a petroleum pipeline? Are they immune to the probable retaliation and effects on oil supplies?

Mon Jan 08, 01:42:12 PM EST  
 Ralph Hitchens blogged...

Wraith, I gotta believe the Times is smoking something. The notion that Israel would be the first nation since 1945 to use nukes beggars the imagination.

Mon Jan 08, 01:43:20 PM EST  
 SB Gypsy blogged...

Nobody with an oil pipeline is ever free from risk when it comes to retaliation. It makes such a smelly mess when it's blown open!

Mon Jan 08, 03:01:44 PM EST  
 blackdog blogged...

Let's see:

Nukular powers that we know of.

USA
Russia
China
Great Britain
France

These are the origional nuke group, who else?

India
Pakistan
North Korea (with a fizzle, but they'll learn)

They were latecomers, but at least they didn't sneak around into this. Now for the sneakier bunch.

Israel
South Africa??
Tiawan??
Brazil???

Who else may have a warhead on their shoulders? This isn't actually new technology and there are so many people who with the proper funding could do this in so many nations.

NPT anyone? No? The New World Order. It seems to me that somebody really screwed up. What do you call a species that is hell-bent on self destruction? Extinct? Fools? Maybe both.

Marvin the Martian, a personal friend of mine would look through his discombobulator or whatever it was called and simply decide to blow up the Earth, after all it got in the way of his observing Venus. A creature from Mars that could not possibly tell the difference between any of us on the Earth. But in my view, we are all here so much the same, and that includes stupid.

If the Three Stoges were still alive, I'd vote for them to be in charge. At least then I could laugh.

Mon Jan 08, 04:02:34 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good evening, blackdog.

You've given a fairly exhaustive list of the currently known and probable players in the nuclear arms race. Funny thing is, when I say "nuclear arms race," in my own mind I conjure images of the old days, back when it was the Soviets, the Chinese, and the United States. (Lord, how I miss the great spy movies from the Cold War era!) Now, the atom bomb technology has become a commodity. Nuclear destruction capability is now democratized.

By the way, you did forget one player: Japan. If it gets the serious heebie-jeebies about North Korea, it would take no more than a year-and-a-half to go from scratch to arsenal.

That's when I'd be getting the heebie-jeebies.


The Dark Wraith likes to keep his nightmares confined to the new century, thank you.

Mon Jan 08, 07:05:52 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good evening, Ralph, and welcome back.

Here's the part that really worries me. The nukes Israel is supposedly planning to use are ultra-low yield, probably no more than one kiloton. That's about 7% of the yield of the Little Boy used on Hiroshima. In terms of explosive force, these are just above the range of modern high-explosive conventional ordnance, which makes them seem in some peculiar way to be nothing more to tactical war planners than "big bombs" with a particularly attractive ability to compromise hardened facilities, especially below ground.

The word "nuclear" still sets off a whole lot of people, even to this day, but I'm concerned that, if the war makers keep harping on the theme that these are not much more "powerful" than conventional bombs, too many people are going to get used to them as acceptable weapons in the certain circumstances.

Besides, I cannot think of any other nuclear state, known or alleged, that would be the one to open the door to nukes entering that standard inventory of tools in warfare. Israel knows very well that it would not be condemned by the United States because the Congress, as well as the White House, is in its thrall. Nothing as far as long-term foreign relations would be severe, and as far as retaliation by Iran, the neo-cons are betting that a nuclear strike would so destabilize the current regime that any war Iran would prosecute over getting its facilities bombed would be relatively brief and most of the damage would be directed at others, both because of the distance involved from Iran to Israel and because Tehran would be afraid that, if it were to strike back with, say, a Shahab 3b attack on Tel Aviv, Israel would cut loose with nukes in its arsenal that weren't by any means "low yield."

That's a calculus too risky for the world to bear; yet, here we are, just watching and waiting for it to happen, all the while hoping it won't.


The Dark Wraith needs to talk to Minstrel Boy about buying one of those old abandoned underground mines down near where he lives.

Mon Jan 08, 07:24:45 PM EST  
 Eric A Hopp blogged...

Dark Wraith: First I'll say that your analysis of this issue is spot-on. There is just one problem--I can't buy this scenario. Perhaps it is my rational nature that rejects this potential Armageddon-plan, conceived by irrational leaders within the Bush White House and Jerusalem. Any use of nuclear weapons by a nation is going to cause a serious escalation in nuclear war. The real nightmare scenario is a nuclear strike against a nation inside the Middle East--such a strike is going to cause huge economic, political and military consequences that even I can't comprehend, considering the U.S. is already engaged in Middle East wars of Iraq, and Afghanistan. How will Russia and China respond to a nuclear attack against Iran? Will the Arab nations respond to an Israeli nuclear attack by embarking on their own nuclear program--perhaps even buying nukes from Russia and China? What will the economic consequences be, once Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz, and oil prices shoot up above $100 dollars a barrel--you can bet that gas prices will immediatly shoot up a dollar or more per gallon here in the U.S. Iran will certainly go to war against the U.S., and we don't even have the military strength to fight three long-term Middle Eastern wars.

If Israel were to launch a pre-emptive strike against Iran, however, congressional Democrats would face the prospect of de-funding American military operations in Iraq at the same time a spiraling conflict would get underway right next door in Iran.

My question on this statement of yours is how will the American people react to an Israeli nuclear strike on Iran? I can guess that the initial reaction to such a strike would be shock and horror. But once that horror wears off, will the American public start looking into the connection of a Bush administration giving approval for such an Israeli nuclear strike? The numerous political polls over the past two months clearly show that the American public want out of the war in Iraq. I seriously wonder if this Iraqi nuke attack, and the Iranian retaliatory strike against American military forces in the Persian Gulf will cause the American people to "rally around the flag," and support this latest Bush war. At least that is what the Bush neocons are hoping for, thus applying pressure to the Democratic Congress to approve even more troop increases and funding into Iraq. In fact, I'd say the opposite would happen, where the American public would express a huge outcry against both this nuke strike, and the Iraq war. We've seen how this administration has miscalculated in this marketing of the war (WMDs, Saddam is a brutal dictator, We must free the Iraqi people from a totalitarian dictatorship), and the complete screw-up of both the occupation of Iraq, and the insurgency currently raging there. The only reason the Bush administration have been getting away with this, for the past six years, has been their linking Iraq with the Global War on Terror. But even that link has gotten stale, considering the American public have been in favor of the Iraq Study Group recommendations on withdrawing from Iraq. I just can't see how an Israeli nuclear strike will allow Bush to incite these nuclear terror fears on the American public of the Big Bad Boogyman nation of Iran.

Unfortunately, we are dealing with Bush neocons here, where rationality has degenerated into a fantasy of a Religious Right "Revelations" rapture, a la the Left Behind series. Which would mean that even my own rational arguments here are thrown out the window by these insane madmen residing in the Bush White House.

Oh God! What a mess!

Mon Jan 08, 07:34:30 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good evening, Eric.

Fortunately, you understand that some of my analyses make a clear, if unstated, distinction between the rationality of the temperate and that of the madmen. The scenario I laid out is set in motion by the calculus of those who were never capable of working out the realistic consequences of their schemes. All they ever saw—particularly those in think tanks like the Project for the New American Century—was the reflection in the mirror of their own fantasy of themselves as being big, tough, and strong.

The term "reality check" is utterly absent from their working vocabulary.

Hence, I must lay out the chessboard not of two grandmasters playing their best, but of a world not all that great at the game playing against a reckless fool. Unfortunately, of course, this chess game involves real blood on the table and soon might involve what was, not that long ago, the unthinkable in a desperate move just to call, "Check!"

Personally, I prefer backgammon. Games made for betting money get rid of bad players much more quickly.


The Dark Wraith rolls the dice.

Mon Jan 08, 08:18:02 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good evening, SB Gypsy.

And that's another thing. The targetable civilian maritime traffic in that whole region is dominated by those supertankers coming and going. If a couple of those get shot when they're fully loaded, the ensuing environmental catastrophe could be unimaginable.

Nuclear radiation, massive crude oil spills, enormous numbers of refugees on the move.

Whee.


The Dark Wraith thinks Israel and Iran should just kiss and make up before they cause real trouble for the whole neighborhood.

Mon Jan 08, 11:47:03 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good evening, Mr. Goat.

Israel has that joint venture going with Turkey, the one I described in my article, "Hydrocarbon Battlefields."

The Israelis have other targetable assets, of course, some more vital, some more vulnerable than others. Their larger cities are the worst of their problems to defend. I have no illusions about the accuracy of Iran's Shahab missiles, but neither do I have a whole lot of faith in Patriot-type interceptors. The truth of the matter is that a Shahab hitting its target would be more a stroke of luck than a result of great targeting hardware and software on the attacking re-entry vehicle; but betting on a shabby missile wildly missing its mark isn't a wager I'd be willing to take.

It's one thing to bet with the odds in poker; it's quite another to bet with the odds in Russian roulette.


The Dark Wraith wonders if anyone has ever noticed that Russian roulette really sucks with pistols that use clips instead of revolvers.

Mon Jan 08, 11:59:27 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good evening, Minstrel Boy.

What is it with yuppies and fancy rifles (or Harleys, for that matter), anyway?

I cannot count the number of times I've been shown weaponry that was way out of the league of its owner. And you're right: these guys get all the bells and whistles. One guy just a couple months ago showed me his new "hunting rifle," and I swear that thing had a scope that looked like it was out of a spy movie. The rifle was just beautiful, too. I thought to myself, "Son, I've seen bears that would take that thing away from a guy like you and beat your head with the butt of it."

I didn't say anything like that, of course. I admired it and that made him feel good.

The worst example of men who have toys they shouldn't was down in Florida in my days as a consultant. One man with far, far too much money showed me his gun collection. It was a small room, for God's sake. I know countries that don't have arsenals like that. This fellow, by the way, was a five-foot six, 200-pound guy who sported a bushy moustache and nearly always wore a Polo shirt and Dockers.

Scared the Hell out of me.

There ought to be laws... Oh, that's right: there are laws. They just aren't broad enough to cover stupid.



The Dark Wraith generally avoids anything that goes "BOOM!" louder than his own flatulence anymore.

Tue Jan 09, 12:33:09 AM EST  
 snuffy blogged...

good morning,Dark Wraith,
The basis for this entire drama is peak oil,and our leaders decision to play it out as "last man standing",as described by several authors.
By understanding that the destruction of the persians as a culture,and as a modern 20th century nation is a given,you might also understand how it will be played out...your analisis is spot on,however,your missing the reason why the persians will be destroyed,and why I feel our nation,as we know it will be destroyed as well.
If you knew,with absolute and utter certainty,that the world was going to flip upside-down,and the whole infrastructure that had provided you,and your class[my base,the elites ,as chucklenuts said]what would be your actions?remember....you are a un-curious,c- student,raceist,homophobe,the worst example of excess in the class system
think
You would do exactly as this bastard, fetal-alcohol
syndrom has done....make some money for your class,screw the country blue,smash international order,break the system,grab all the power you can...then start the endless resourse war to forever change america,doing by executive fiat what you could never do by law.

This is what we are watching happen.And there is nothing at this stage of the game I see stopping it.
But peak oil is the key,and the awareness that has been rideing the tide of growing public awareness is also the key to understanding how to get out...Awareness enought to have a prime propaganda campaign against it and info wars as we speak...

and my inability to dodge this bullet to my lifestyle truely sucks..we need peace for the nation,and for the world to find a way our of the box fossile fuel has put us in,the options are all...unpleasent.

Tue Jan 09, 06:42:40 AM EST  
 blackdog blogged...

An interesting read from a former Soviet srms control expert courtesy of Truthdig:

http://www.truthdig.com/dig/item/20061211_the_forgotten_threat/

Tue Jan 09, 02:22:20 PM EST  
 My Pet Goat blogged...

The Dark Wraith generally avoids anything that goes "BOOM!" louder than his own flatulence anymore.

I'm still waiting for PoLT to say something snarky....

--------

Thanks for the link to your old article; that was the pipeline I recalled reading about.

Tue Jan 09, 04:35:18 PM EST  
 PeterofLoneTree blogged...

"The Dark Wraith generally avoids anything that goes "BOOM!" louder than his own flatulence anymore."

"I'm still waiting for PoLT to say something snarky...."


Come to think of it Mr. Goat, I am reminded of the story I heard recently about georgie, dickie, jimmie/jeff, and several other of the cutesy-poo neo-cons all giggling and splashing each other in a hot tub. That was until georgie noticed a milky-white, viscous substance floating on the surface of the water and announced in a petulant simpering tone, "All right, which one of you sons of bitches farted?"

Tue Jan 09, 08:55:27 PM EST  
 rcg blogged...

Whew, nodding off - I gotta stop coming in here so late. It would be nice to have my comments ahead of everyone else for a change too.

Anyway, here we go. This admin. is insane. I wouldn't be surprised if they are secretly prodding Israel towards creating what they see as their last chance to regain power and to go out with glory. And pardon my rambling... but I am also wondering what to do when this happens because I suspect that soon afterwards they will come for me (and many of you) and put me (us) in those shiny new and refurbished concentration camps.

BTW, I still sometimes wonder how the democrats managed to beat the republicans in such rigged elections... and I know this is "extreme guessing", but I wonder if some of our nations Patriotic covert agents may have become concerned and done some behind the scenes work to stop the republicans from stealing the elections (again). I bring this up (now) because if my election suspicion is correct and any of these patriots are reading this - perhaps they will become concerned about the current escalating situation? ;-)

Anyhoo, great commentary as usual DW. And I would say more but...so tired...eyes are closing, I could fall asleep at any mi

Wed Jan 10, 12:28:58 AM EST  
 Phoenician in a time of Romans blogged...

Here's the part that really worries me. The nukes Israel is supposedly planning to use are ultra-low yield, probably no more than one kiloton.

Three things spring to mind:

i, If this happens, the NPT is dead, dead, dead. Every Arab country will pull out en masse.

ii, Pakistan included. You'll see people screaming in the streets to give nukes to Iran so it can defend itself/retaliate.

iii, I wonder how much hypocrisy will be manufactured in order to deal with the US laws against providing military aid to nuclear powers outside the first tier? Oh, the bullshit will flow heavy and thick.

Wed Jan 10, 04:30:29 AM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good morning, Phoenician.

The Non-Proliferation Treaty has become an increasingly thread-bare cover, and it will, indeed, by dead if Israel uses nuclear weapons. These low-yield devices had always been a concern of mine and others as the door-openers to a post-NPT era. They aren't new, of course: years ago, there were nukes that could be fired from shoulder-mounted launchers (can you imagine being one of the guys in the team of two that would have used one of those?!); and enhanced-radiation (i.e., "neutron bomb") devices, including artillery shells, were in the arsenal. Such weapons were frequently touted for their supposed ability to stop large-scale movements of armored divisions. Essentially, in the case of enhanced-radiation bombs, the ordnance would turn the people inside tanks and other armored vehicles into chunks of gristle without wrecking the tanks, themselves. They were also supposed to be useful in neutralizing command-and-control facilities because the low yield would limit physical infrastructure compromise while still baking the personnel inside and turning their electronics into popcorn poppers.

It is interesting to me that these low-yield babies are now being repackaged and resold as "bunker busters." It reminds me of the pharmaceutical industry that rehabilitates old drugs as the cure-alls for other maladies. (Thalidomide comes to mind.)

And as far as someone giving nukes to Iran so it can defend itself, it seems to me that there are a few players out there, none of which I shall mention, that would have all kinds of incentive to allow Iran just a little bit of usable nuke weaponry exclusively to the end of causing mayhem in the Middle East, which would mean keeping the United States busy, busy, busy for years to come.

Again, I won't mention any countries. (No, I won't... Must... resist... the... urge.)

And finally, as far as spreading nuclear technology goes, we can share the responsibility for that old-time missionary work with the British, who worked hand-in-hand with us to get the technology, materials, and fuel to the Jewish State.

To this day, the way Israel dealt with Mordechai Vanunu, the fellow who spilled the beans about Israel's nuclear arsenal, just makes me sick. We sat on our smirking asses acting like that man's misery was none of our business while Israel did its dirty work in capturing, imprisoning, and silencing him.

It seems a little creepy to me that, not long ago, Mr. Vanunu was released from prison.

Yeah, that's a little strange. Maybe it's one of those things where, once you're about to let your lions outside to play, it's no longer worth worrying about the guy in the basement letting the little cats out of the bag.


The Dark Wraith thinks the neighbors are going to be really excited about the new pets prowling the neighborhood.

Wed Jan 10, 09:02:22 AM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good morning, rcg.

Someday, I shall comment a bit more in-depth on the last election, but I want to point out that you and other readers here might recall that, despite my generally quite grim outlook on all things political, I made no bones about my sentiment that the Democrats would win big last November. Recall my Halloween graphics series. I wasn't just whistling through the graveyard.

Now, as far as those detention centers go, I'm getting top bunk. And if any of you guys think towel-snapping in the group shower might be a stress reliever, think again: in my day, I could turn an ordinary towel into the wet cloth equivalent of an automatic weapon; and long before this new craze with "bunker buster" bombs, my towels could excavate a lunar crater on an ass-cheek.

So let's keep everything nice and civil at that detention facility they're going to throw us all in, okay?


The Dark Wraith needs to get these matters clarified in advance.

Wed Jan 10, 09:12:47 AM EST  
 The Minstrel Boy blogged...

Good Morning Dark Wraith:

You, of course, are welcome to top bunk. My arthritis doesn't permit me such lofty perches. I will not be going there for violations of speech. I have far more emphatic methods of misbehavior in mind.

Wed Jan 10, 11:22:53 AM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Cool.

Wed Jan 10, 12:41:42 PM EST  
 Eric A Hopp blogged...

Dark Wraith:

I just have to include this little blast from the past regarding the comments of your "nucular" neo-con analysis:

There was a turtle by the name of Bert
and Bert the turtle was very alert;
when danger threatened him he never got hurt
he knew just what to do...
He ducked! [inhalation sound]
And covered!
Ducked! [inhalation sound]
And covered! (male) He did what we all must learn to do'
(male) You (female) And you (male) And you (male) And you!'
[bang, inhalation sound] Duck, and cover!'


And even better yet, here's the entire video from YouTube.

Duck, and cover!

Wed Jan 10, 02:32:51 PM EST  
 Phoenician in a time of Romans blogged...

They aren't new, of course: years ago, there were nukes that could be fired from shoulder-mounted launchers (can you imagine being one of the guys in the team of two that would have used one of those?!);

This would be the Davy Crockett, conceived as a way for the Army to get into that sweet, sweet nuclear action, and then quietly dropped as an Official Fucking Stupid Idea, yes?

And as far as someone giving nukes to Iran so it can defend itself, it seems to me that there are a few players out there, none of which I shall mention, that would have all kinds of incentive to allow Iran just a little bit of usable nuke weaponry exclusively to the end of causing mayhem in the Middle East, which would mean keeping the United States busy, busy, busy for years to come.

Yes, but those two are your friends these days, surely? Seeing into souls and all that...

Wed Jan 10, 02:36:59 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good afternoon, Phoenician.

Speaking for myself as an old, Cold War era warrior who neither could change nor particularly wants to, those two countries—and here I am speaking from a loving heart of friendship—can kiss my old, narrow backside and burn in Hell for all Eternity.

And their exports suck, too.


The Dark Wraith got a little intemperate, there, didn't he?

Wed Jan 10, 02:56:06 PM EST  
 PeterofLoneTree blogged...

This post has been removed by the author.

Wed Jan 10, 05:19:17 PM EST  
 PeterofLoneTree blogged...

Lemme try again.
I recommend the article
wherein the author maintains that yes, global warming is a serious problem, but it's merely the prelude to large numbers of us freezing to death.

Wed Jan 10, 08:23:46 PM EST  
 The Minstrel Boy blogged...

Good Evening Dark Wraith:

My favorite megadisaster theory for a long time has always been the Herbert Allen Boardman (HAB) theory about the shifting polar ice caps. He postulates that several times in earth's history the poles have shifted, suddenly. What happens is that one pole's ice cap and weight gets far heavier than the other. Earth, being essentially a gyro then compensates the wobble by shifting the axis and putting the heavy part on the equator. He suggests that during one period the Sudan was a north pole and Siberia was tropical. Some of the things this explains are the quick frozen elephant ancestors that keep popping out of the glaciers up there. By his reckoning we are almost 25,000 years overdue for this event. In geological time that's the equivelant of walking into the theatre during the previews of coming attractions.

aside to PLT: it also makes a lot more sense than channeling.

Thu Jan 11, 12:23:19 AM EST  
 Ralph Hitchens blogged...

Hey, Wraith, thanks for your comments. I stand by my belief that Israel would not be the first to violate the 60-year informal nuclear moratorium, as this is the very heavy straw that would break the camel's back in terms of the US-Israel "special relationship." However, mileage varies.

Second, it's interesting to speculate on what would be the result of Iran using antiship missiles against tankers. Environmental disaster? Forsan, non forsan. Iraq tried that back in the 80s, using aircraft-launched Exocet antiship missiles against a couple of hundred tankers, scoring several dozen hits. Strangely, their aircraft always seemed to attack from abeam, with the result that the Exocet's radar seekers locked onto the "center of mass" and the resulting hits in the crude oil bunkers of those tankers seemed to do relatively little damage. Missile warheads are generally small; maybe someone can give us a threat update.

Thu Jan 11, 02:09:58 PM EST  
 Anonymous blogged...

Is anyone keeping track of the stealthy nuclear submarines that the French sold to Pakistan? If they were to slip into the Red Sea and then the Gulf of Aquaba, their missiles could destroy Israel within minutes of launch. The destruction could be direct blast damage to Tel Aviv, Haifa, and/or Jerusalem or EMPulse frying ALL their civilian and military electronic gear.

Sun Jan 14, 02:44:36 AM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good morning, Anonymous.

Your point is good. We do have that situation under control, though: the stealth technology of those subs is not a match for our ability to detect them. (At least we hope the stealth technology isn't better than we think it is.)

Were one of those subs to prowl within striking range, we would have all kinds of ships and anti-sub planes get in its way very quickly and challenge it. Were the commander of the vessel foolish enough to ignore the warnings to turn around, we would have what is diplomatically known as an "incident." Although the Pakistanis might go so far as to probe our ability to catch one of those subs (the Soviets played that game all through the Cold War, testing our air and sea detection abilities), it is highly unlikely that the Pakistanis would press the issue were it about to lead to a warning shot or something somewhat worse. (It is very unlikely that our side would "sink" the sub right away, although I'm not so sure the Israelis, if they caught the sub first, would be so generous.)

The Pakistanis would not press the issue if one of their subs were challenged, and the reason is quite simple: they're no match for us in a sea combat environment, and they would lose their sub. That would be a costly bit of foolishness: losing even one of those beauties the Pakistanis just got would be a gift to the folks in India, who are of far more immediate and enduring concern to the Pakistanis.

So, while I most certainly do not discount Pakistan probing around, I also don't think they'd get too far.

And besides, even if some country were to level Tel Aviv with a nuke (which is very unlikely for all kinds of reasons), Israel would start picking capitols around the region on the Most Likely To Have Done It list, and start laying waste. Pakistan would then be turned into rubble, and India would just sit back and say, "Oooo, that must have hurt!"


The Dark Wraith doesn't think the Pakistanis are quite stupid enough to volunteer for nuclear paybacks.

Sun Jan 14, 11:36:03 AM EST  

       

Saturday, January 06, 2007

Special Blog Post:
Doughnuts and Banking

Eight years ago, in the final days of his work as a consultant, Aaron was desperately hoping for one more payment from a client, one that hadn't paid in months and one with which Aaron's consulting relationship was falling apart anyway. Desperate for money—any money—to stave off eviction and hunger, Aaron prevailed upon a gentleman who had previously been associated with the client corporation, and that decent, upright, Christian fellow finally agreed to wire some. Aaron called his bank every couple of hours for several days thereafter, and he finally got confirmation that funds had been received. That man who had no good reason to take care of a little bit of some client's bill had come through. Aaron's humiliation at having had to beg like some street person was set aside as he quickly wrote checks to pay bills.

As it turned out, the wired funds had, indeed, come through, but they wouldn't be available for several business days. The checks Aaron wrote bounced. Non-sufficient funds charges mounted, returned check fees piled up, and Aaron faced the possibility of criminal charges. What had been enough to get him right with just about everyone turned into a deficit of about six hundred bucks.

That was the end of all relationships Aaron would have with financial institutions.

It wouldn't be long before he would return, as he had too many times, to the streets. Old cars that were dangerous to drive when they could actually move, occasional use of the hidden key at a friend's apartment to grab some food and a shower, even less frequent groveling for a couple of bucks from brothers when they'd gotten over being mad about the last time he'd bummed five dollars. Mostly, Aaron kept going by using good-hearted people who didn't have the common sense or the willpower to tell him to go away forever. It was the whole nine yards of crash and burn: an irresponsible life of being a leech on society and on the people who thought they were helping.

Before the time of the Keynesian economists, those of the old Austrian school held sway, what we now call the "Classical" economists. One of their many tenets was that all unemployment (and underemployment) is voluntary. Aside from exceedingly rare, wholly incapacitated individuals, all people can find work. It might not be what they like, it might not be what they want, it might not pay what they think they're worth, it might disrupt their lives, their families, and their greater hopes; but some kind of work is always, always available. No one can plead destitution with a straight face of no personal responsibility whatsoever for his or her wretched lot. Aaron knew his economics, and he knew very well, despite his progressivist leanings, that the Classical economists were dead-on right about people like him.

Things got better for Aaron once he was given the keys to the run-down, inner-city, small, two-year school where he'd been teaching. The $7.50 per classroom hour was nothing compared to those keys, which meant that a couch in the Winter and a hot shower in the basement every morning was available. Lots and lots of challenging work was there, too, teaching across the curriculum, running the education side of the school, having to deal with every manner of educational, social, and mental health deficiency imaginable in a student body—what more could a person ask for?

The Classical economists were right, at least when it came to one White man whose life of sublimated excuses for being a loser finally yielded to patience, persistence, and a willingness to do what others wouldn't for a little paycheck.

Eventually, because of fool-hardy response to a personal, family matter, Aaron would leave that school and city; and from there, he would eventually return to near-destitution. Being coldly objective about it all, he probably wanted it that way: even though he was leaving a more-or-less physical home, he was returning to a much older home of his, the one he had first gotten used to in his adolescence and to which he had returned, over and over again, in his adult life.

A man can't fall to his death from a valley. The high places are for people too foolish to know what could happen up there.

Getting teaching work wherever he could, Aaron was making a meager go of it, though, where he had landed. The teaching gigs—finally supplemented as they were with a little janitorial-type work—were promising to put enough money in his pockets to stave off even the scent of desperation.

But then, last week, Aaron made a stupid mistake.

Many employers these days simply will not pay by physical checks. Aaron had been using a friend's account in another state as the depository institution for his payroll checks, but he'd been getting worried about this, not because of the friend's integrity, but because those checks were crossing interstate lines, and the cumulative effect of those regular transfers had the potential to cause his friend trouble with an increasingly aware, aggressive, and paranoid federal government. It was a miracle the IRS hadn't already made a move, and the prospect of those transfers triggering Homeland Security's thugs was beginning to worry him terribly.

Aaron decided it was time to make his peace with financial institutions by getting himself a checking account into which his paychecks could be direct-deposited. His long-held fears about the banking system convinced him that it probably wouldn't be a good idea to go near a regular bank, much less wander into one and beg for the favor of an account, but one credit union looked promising. His status as a teacher meant he would qualify without a hitch, or so he thought as he wallowed in his fantasy of becoming a big-people-type-person once again, after all these years. He put some gas in his car, drove to main location, tied his hair back, and headed in the doors.

The credit union building was really nice on the inside. It even smelled like an old-fashioned bank. The floor was carpeted, and right there in the lobby were several big, open boxes of doughnuts. Aaron thought to himself, "Those are for people who can't live without stuff that isn't good for them."

To the left in the lobby were the teller windows. The ladies behind the counter looked friendly. They even greeted by name several customers walking in. Straight ahead were the desks where visitors could get information, apply for loans, and open savings and checking accounts. (Actually, credit unions cannot offer real "checking accounts" in the sense that banks can; instead they offer "negotiable order of withdrawal" accounts on which check-like instruments called "drafts" or maybe ever "cheques" can be written, but that's a nearly moot point these days, so the accounts are called "checking" here.)

Aaron had already downloaded and filled out the checking account application form from the Website of the credit union, and he'd filled it out. This would probably help the people at the credit union know how great he would be to have as a customer.

A young lady sat down with Aaron, and the two of them talked briefly before she began to key the information from his form into her computer. She asked him for his driver's license so she could make a photocopy of it pursuant to provisions of the Patriot Act, and she asked him for something he'd received by mail to establish that he lived where he was representing he did. Aaron was ready with everything needed. The lady made the photocopies, pushed a few more keys on her computer, and shuffled some papers around; then she said, "I'll be right back."

"Ah, cool," Aaron thought. "This is where she goes back, gets the forms for me to sign, gets my temporary debit card, and all that."

Aaron sat there reading the brochures, looking around, thinking about which doughnut he should go for. He had glanced at a clock as the lady was getting up to go in the back. When he checked it again, a little too much time had gone by. It was only five minutes, but that was too long.

Mildly happy thoughts he had been tossing in his mind simply vanished, replaced with a spiraling chain of fear-driven observations and wild conclusions.

"God, what was I thinking, coming in here?... Security. That guy who casually stepped out of an office down that corridor. He's plain-clothes. Concealed carry. No, he won't shoot; doesn't have it in him, not without going all tunnel vision. He'd clutch... Lobby exit. Five seconds—tops—to my car. Broken driver-side door. Been that way for two years. Just jump in through the passenger side like always, get the keys in the ignition while I'm climbing across. Straight forward through the grass back out to the road... Look at those customers going up there begging for their money. Do they have any idea of how precarious this banking system is? Do any of them know what's going to... What in the God's name is she doing back there? Calling someone? Cops?... Did she give me back my stuff? Oh, thank God, she did. That was stupid of her. She wasn't very friendly... Doughnuts. I'll get that long one with the white icing on the way out... I need to leave right now. Here I am, sitting here like I think there's some chance this is all going to work out great. What in the Hell was I thinking coming in here?! Now I've gone and made a total mess for myself... I want to see my cat."

The lady returned with her paperwork. She sat down and started the routine: "Okay, we'll have you sign a couple of documents, and I'll get you some checks you can use here to withdraw money."

Aaron's head cleared instantly, "Oh. Well, when do I get a debit card?"

The lady didn't even bat an eye. "We're going to have you on what we call a 'restricted account' for six months. You'll have those checks you can use to withdraw no more than a hundred dollars at a time, as long as you maintain a balance of no less than three hundred dollars. Those checks won't be good anyplace else, of course."

Aaron was getting more focused. "Those are the 'cashing checks' listed in that brochure, the ones you charge twenty dollars each to cash, aren't they?"

She nodded: "Yes. As I said, we'll review your account in six months to see if we can take some of the restrictions off it at that time."

Aaron persisted: "So, I get no debit card, I get no checks to pay bills with, I get access to my own money only in one hundred dollar increments at twenty dollars per withdrawal, this credit union gets free use of my funds—no less than three hundred dollars of it at any given time—and I get no more than a promise of a 'review' a half-a-year from now."

"That's the best we can offer someone with no credit records for so long," she answered.

Not being given to lecturing people who can do nothing but carry out their duties according to the rules if they want to keep their own jobs, Aaron resisted his driving desire to explain to the hapless woman that even most religions no longer exact painful penitence from outsiders who want to join.

Aaron's short indulgence in hysteria had completely lost its irrational edge. Yes, once that lady saw his unexpectedly blank seven-year credit record, she followed procedure by going to the back where her supervisors were. She told the security guy to keep an eye on the situation, so even though he was able to see everything in the lobby from his security monitors, he casually came out to get a quick visual ID.

And yes, those people waiting to transact their business at the teller windows really are all suckers, standing like so many condemned in a slowly closing noose of a banking system that will progressively flow further and further against their interests and well-being in the months and years ahead.

And yes, willingly—maybe even a little excitedly—Aaron trying to join the milling masses of customers of the modern banking system was stupid, stupid, stupid. Everything about him that woman had keyed into that computer was now irretrievably passed into the ocean of information being collected, aggregated, and mined by all manner of governments, corporations, and other creepy organizations and unaccountable individuals.

Aaron knew better than to make any more fuss. "I do apologize for this inconvenience, but I can't accept these terms," he said, looking slightly down. Although he has aged—a few lines in his face and some grey in his hair have robbed him of most of the charm he once used to no small effect in turning people's hearts—his smile, the smile of a defeated child just wanting to go home, was still enough to prevail upon her to tear up the paper copy of the credit report she was holding.

"I really am grateful to you for taking the time to work with me," he said as he glanced up at her.

"Oh, that's alright..." she replied, cutting herself off before she reciprocated with the apology of her own she wanted to give.

Aaron got up and departed. He didn't take any doughnuts on his way out. Those are for people who can't live without stuff that isn't good for them.



The Dark Wraith hopes readers have enjoyed this story.

<< 16 Comments Total
 blackdog blogged...

Nothing like being blackballed. Come Monday I will make a renewed attempt to get hired at something over the minimum wage.

I emphathise with Aaron.

Sat Jan 06, 07:12:54 PM EST  
 snuffy blogged...

I have a debit card with which I purchase gas....and have direct deposit.The "money"[frn's]is removed as soon as I decide what goes where,and whether or not I can buy some real money,or just "pay freight".I have been where aaron is.The most intrusive,evil creation that exists,are financial in nature.Here is a thought for aaron,.....Find out what is required to register a business in your state.All that is usually required is a name search,and to pay a 50$or so fee.then ,go to a bank,and open a business account.No search.No hassle. no fee.no weird rules .As a member of the "Business" community its astonishing how a bank will roll over to pleasea "Businessman"

Sat Jan 06, 09:14:06 PM EST  
 oldwhitelady blogged...

Wouldn't a regular bank be a better choice? I didn't much care for the "credit union" my work touted as a great place to join. It turns out that the money order you buy there must be cashed there, as well... and the person cashing, must have an account.

That caused a lot of problems and run-around, I must say!

Furthermore, they've just added on a $7.00 monthly fee for having another account, besides savings.

At another bank, I needed to put down $100 to open a checking account. I don't know what they would do in Aaron's situation - 7 years of no credit, but I would hope they wouldn't charge $20 to cash a check on their own bank!

Snuffy's thought on opening a business account sounds like a good idea.

Sat Jan 06, 10:16:00 PM EST  
 oldwhitelady blogged...

Oops, I'm sorry, you did say he didn't want to go to a regular bank. I still think it would be a wiser choice than a credit union. Just for the checks to be sent to. Once there, the money can be withdrawn and placed under the mattress... or doled out for bills. I hope Aaron can find something that works. It sounds like a real concern he has for his friend and the govnt bullcrap.

Also...When I said the bank needed $100 to open the account, the money is put into the account - it's not a fee.

Sat Jan 06, 10:29:07 PM EST  
 SB Gypsy blogged...

Good Morning Dark Wraith,

His long-held fears about the banking system convinced him that it probably wouldn't be a good idea to go near a regular bank, much less wander into one and beg for the favor of an account, ...

I once did what Aaron did and overdrew an account. I threw myself on the mercy of the new-accounts matron, and she wiped out all the bounced check charges, on my simple promise never to do anything of the kind again.

For all the time I lived hand-to-mouth, supporting myself and 3 kids on 240.00/week gross(and that was the GOOD job), declaring bankruptcy and getting medical care at the local community college free clinic; I never went without a bank account.

At one point in my life the bank closed my husband#1's bank account, and refused to open another (he forgot to make a deposit - for 2 weeks - and I paid all the bills). I went to another bank in the same neighborhood and opened another account the same day.

Unless Aaron has some overriding concern with privacy, it's unconceivable to me that he cannot open a regular bank account. (does he owe money to someone who will attach a bank account immediately??)

That credit union sounds like they have their heads in some dark smelly place. heh.

Sun Jan 07, 11:03:14 AM EST  
 SB Gypsy blogged...

...and in fact, if you have direct deposit, they give you preferential $$ off the service charge for an account.

Sun Jan 07, 11:04:41 AM EST  
 Wild Clover blogged...

I opened my first checking account at a bank when my dad sent me a $75 check to buy books when I came down for college(yes, this was too long ago). I've had one ever since, for a while I had 2, so I have no clue about problems in opening one in this era. I do know that our local credit union operates in a much more friendly manner than whatever den of theives he encountered. I've never heard such a horror story about even the worst of the banks around here. Pay-day lenders, credit offers that take anybody...yes, but a legit cedit union or bank???

Let's see, we get you an official address here in the correct county, get you a VA license, you open up an account, and you're set. The account once opened is for life even if you move out of the county or state. As a matter to research, see if there's a Federal Credit Union associated with any of your previous schools...you might still qualify for an account. Hell, it takes IIRC a $25 deposit (It used to be 5) into savings to open an account.

The whole 6 month probation period sounds like this place isn't a place anyone wants their money anyway.

Sun Jan 07, 04:19:56 PM EST  
 PoliShifter blogged...

Have you considered online banking Mr. Wraith?

Banks are the scourge of the earth.

My Bank which I will not name has a bad habit of clearing checks I've written, showing that the check has cleared, but the money has not left my account.

I then think I have more money in my account than I do only to find that a couple of days later they'll take the money out for the check that already cleared.

Or how about this: I make a deposit...cash, and the funds are not availble to the next day.

Or, I have a deposit "pending" but they bounce my charges and hit me with fees in the mean time.

Its a fucking scam but they got us by the curly short hairs if we want to be a member of the public.

This isn't getting into the credit reporting agencies and the bullshit they pull....

No one gets out alive I guess

Sun Jan 07, 04:37:32 PM EST  
 Anonymous blogged...

Polishifter-
It was shit like that that finally got me away from the 4th incarnation of my original bank-it began as a local, was bought out by a statewide, changed it's name/ownership then was bought by a regional. Each incarnation it got worse. I closed the account and have been mostly happy with my credit union.

Sun Jan 07, 06:19:35 PM EST  
 Anonymous blogged...

....continued because I hit the wrong button...

Evil banks stay in business because folks put up with crap. We got our mortgage at a local bank because the manager decided he liked us-and the saga of who went on the original mortgage so as to satisfy the credit score, while the income was mainly mine with the strategy on when to change the paperwork to my name was a piece of masterful "working the system" proposed by the banker himself.

Go local. Old, established local. Screw the mega-banks and the horse they rode in on.

Sun Jan 07, 06:27:11 PM EST  
 Anonymous blogged...

Sounds like the CU from hell. I am on the Supervisory Committee of a large CU and know we offer more to new depositors that this guy is being given.

My first thought is look for another CU with better policies. There is probably a CU with a community charter (geography based) in his area that can help him.

Barring number 1, a small savings bank that is locally owned might be a good choice.

Should neither of the above be possible, I would inquire about having only a share account (savings account). He can accept deposits into that and make withdrawals. Although there some activity level restrictions (anachronistic rules left over from the '70's) he can simply do fewer, but larger, withdrawals and then have the benefit of the CU pricing to purchase money orders for bill payments until they are willing to give him a check card (what he really seems to want most) without undue restrictions.

Sounds like the customer service person at the CU was not very well trained and/or the the entire CU is on the the itty bitties that really only want to have savings accounts and autoloans. Seems like it does try to be more since it has a website, but it is really doing a poor job.

Also, he should ask about a debit card that is not a Visa card, i.e., not a check card. Then his credit is less of an issue because everything is a PIN transaction. The $300 reserve sounds less like a CU account and more like a secured VISA card, which is a very different product and $20/$100 for cashing his checks is worse than most check cashing places offer.

This guy really needs to find a better financial institution. Maybe a large bank that is willing to work with him would not be so bad a place to go.

Going to a CU does not get you out from Patriot Act and OFAC reviews, so why take crappy service when there is not difference in lost privacy?

Sun Jan 07, 07:00:42 PM EST  
 SB Gypsy blogged...

Good Morning Dark Wraith,

I had an elderly friend that kept only a savings account, and went in once a month to pay bills. He got several free money orders with his over-the-hill savings account, and he would withdraw the money and get the MOs and send them out for his bills.

Mon Jan 08, 06:24:16 AM EST  
 My Pet Goat blogged...

My first thought is look for another CU with better policies. There is probably a CU with a community charter (geography based) in his area that can help him.

Barring number 1, a small savings bank that is locally owned might be a good choice.


I would agree. There are other financial institutions that should have much more customer friendly policies. I can't speak for credit unions from an insider's perspective, but I can as a former outside director of a bank.

As to state or federally chartered banks, I'm not aware of any specific regulations that would cause a bank to implement policies as restrictive as encountered by Aaron (note above I said former; this may not be true anymore). If they have, it possible that they are in response to enforcement actions taken against banking violations.

Tell Aaron to educate himself a bit if he goes the banking route. Check the OCC's web site and review the enforcement actions. Avoid those under order, not because of likely future problems, but because they very well may be more restrictive (depending on the type of violations). Also check out the consumer info at the FDIC for failed banks that maybe still operating under FDIC receivership, etc.

Pre-screen bank web sites for their info on products (may not be much but you never know), and then shop around a bit with innocuous information (i.e., come up with a plausible reason for no recent credit history) and ask ahead of time what products are offered and their fees. Do this before giving them your actual ID, etc. Also next time don't hesitate to ask the "new accounts" person for a suggestion of another place, as they may have very well worked at one or more financial institutions in the community.

Lastly, take a freeken' doughnut next time.

Mon Jan 08, 02:48:44 PM EST  
 nc gal blogged...

That post is heart-breaking.

Having lived with what I could carry and off paper was difficult thirty years ago when big brother wasn't obese. I hadn't even imagined trying to do it today until reading Aaron's story.
True to form I'm drawn to strays and root for all of us underdogs.

It is easy to say you have no attachements when you have people and things to be attached to. It is much more difficult to achieve when your nose is pressed up against the diner window and you want a hot cup of joe and a tall stack.

Wed Jan 10, 01:48:09 PM EST  
 nc gal blogged...

There is no doubt that Iran is in their sights and they will make it appear that Iran starts it, but the "leak" could be a red herring that is taking our collective eye off of some sinister shenanigan they are currently up to their necks in. Now that makes me shudder.

Wed Jan 10, 02:04:13 PM EST  
 nc gal blogged...

meant for the previous post

Wed Jan 10, 02:06:31 PM EST  

       

Thursday, January 04, 2007

Special Analysis:
On "Troop Redeployment"

As the Democrats assume the mantle of congressional power, some within the progressive community here in the United States are calling for a rapid and complete exit of U.S. troops from Iraq. Described in euphemistic terms as "troop redeployment," this proposal has been advanced by some Democratic members of Congress, most notably those in the Out of Iraq Caucus, some of whom have called for an aggressive, 60-day timetable for complete withdrawal of all American forces.

Although a swift and total departure would, in many ways, be desirable, both Minstrel Boy of Harp and Sword and I have commented on the historically well-documented potential of full-scale withdrawals for wholesale slaughter of the retreating troops. The idea that technology, force size, or any combination of those and other factors can materially affect what is evidently a persistent military phenomenon is dangerous when operationalized as the extent and substance of an overall exit strategy.

It was the neo-conservatives who believed that they could get away with and be successful in defying the body of war knowledge and the grave advice of the prosecutors of war, and they have been proven disastrously wrong. That is a cautionary tale for any military planner of any stripe in considering the odds of having military history not rear its obstinate head in a modern armed conflict.

As random, capricious, and senseless as war seems, it is a process subject to laws, principles, axioms, and theorems that are, in any given nation in any given era, at best only partially understood. To dispense with the precious shards of genuine near-certitude we possess is to walk a road to ruin—or, more to the point, to run a highway of redeployment to wreckage.

Full-scale retreat—and that's what we're talking about here—is very likely to result in a swift, appalling loss of life, both to American soldiers running the killing box corridors out of Iraq and to large numbers of non-combatants in the path of their flight.

Troops can withdraw in an orderly manner; but when they begin to panic under hit-and-run raid after bloody, hit-and-run raid upon their flanks and rear—especially with so many new American boots being pushed into the Iraqi sands by Mr. Bush's new "surge and accelerate" plan—panic will blow in, and that will set the stage for the bloodbath of a rout. Order and discipline evaporate into the overwhelming heat of desperation for survival, and the shattering columns become so many individuals waiting their turns to die, even as they furiously, then blindly, spray the land and sky with what remains of their ordnance.

No, we will not bug out of Iraq. The same generals who are now being set aside by Mr. Bush because they diplomatically tried to disabuse him of his "New Way Forward" initiative would have been the commanders steadfastly rejecting a wholesale pull-out of American troops, and such stance would have had nothing to do with the consequential fate of the people of Iraq, but rather with the American soldiers, whose security and safety take precedence over local concerns in matters of troop movements.

Mr. Bush is going to get his wish: we'll stay; and for now, not only will we stay, but he will escalate this American-Iraqi War.

And the Democrats will not cut off funding for the war. They're not quite so naïve, knowing as they do that, if they were to deny funds for military operations in Iraq, the very first people to suffer would be the GIs on the ground there. Right now, the Commander-in-Chief has lost the support of the soldiers, and that is extraordinary. But if that same Commander-in-Chief, a man given to straw man arguments anyway, is handed a rallying cry that his hands have been tied by the Democrats, those same troops who now disrespect him will turn ugly really fast, and their wrath will not be directed at their leader, but instead at the politicians who were obviously responsible for taking away their bullets and chow.

But far, far worse than that prospect is this: take away materiel and even food from a massive, in-field force of soldiers, and that force could easily, in the virtual blink of a news cycle, turn into the single most frightening beast that nature can muster from the howling depths of humanity at its worst. Strangle the Pentagon, and the Pentagon will pass the garrote right down to the GIs cooking in their miserable tents. Make those troops suffer like that and watch them turn into one giant pack of starving wolves. You want atrocities? You haven't seen atrocities like those committed by trained, desperate men with rifles and knives.

No, we'll stay in Iraq. We'll stay until we're bloodied beyond recognition of our hubris, beyond recognition of our preeminence, beyond recognition of our once unquestioned status as the leader of the free world; and then we shall leave. We shall leave, not when we want to, not when we need to, not when we've had enough, but instead when we are no longer relevant to the history of the future of Iraq and perhaps no longer greatly relevant even to the history of the future of places far from that awful land.

We may then come home to do our soul searching, our national finger-pointing, and our collective denial of that which we did and that which we would have done again were this not to have been our death knell as Empire.


The Dark Wraith has spoken.

<< 23 Comments Total
 blackdog blogged...

The key would seem to be the idea of desperation, that will force any animal into arenas that it would not normally inhabit.

These republicunt desperate bastards. They could be the ruin of all of us. And to think we used to have gentlemen like Ford and Rockefeller.

Thu Jan 04, 10:44:29 PM EST  
 PoliShifter blogged...

a) As Kucinich says, the money is already in the pipeline to "redeploy" the troops so even if Congress were to cut off funding RIGHT NOW the GI's would not suffer in any immediacy.

b) I am not so sure that U.S. Soldiers would suffer any "slaughtering" during retreat. I think, given our technologies and tactics, we would be able to exit Iraq with minor loss of G.I. life IF commanders on the ground are allowed to plan and prosecute such an Exodus.

However, the minute the bonehead pencilnecks get involved, yes it could well lead to some loss of life.

c) Sure Iraqis will die if we pull out. Iraqis will die if we stay. I fail to understand the concern some have for the Iraqis all of a sudden. Many who say "if we leave it will be a blood bath" also say "kill all the towel heads, let Allah sort them out". I mean, we've killed and/or been responsible for the death of hundreds of thousands of Iraqis. Why feign concern now?

Needless to say I am on the side of getting out of Iraq NOW. And while my anwers are oversimplified, it seems a comment on a blog post is not worthy of a long treatise on the matter.

I would remind people however that we went through this type of handwringing during Vietnam. It was predicted that as soon as we left there would be a blood bath and/or China would invade. That was +/- 1968

We could have left then and saved 20,000+ American Lives. But we didn't. We put off the inevitable. Sooner or later we were going to leave. Sooner or later there would be a blood bath and China would invade. Well, China got their ass kicked and the bloodbath occured in Cambodia which Vietnam eventually invaded to stop.

We can leave Iraq now or we can leave Iraq 10 years from now. The difference will be the number of U.S. Soldiers KIA and injured.

Is it worth staying? What for? The only real reasons to stay is to further the NeoCon imperealistic visions of having a military footprint in the Middle East to protect Israel and the last of the Oil Reserves.

Is it worth staying over that or would we be better served developing alternatives to oil?

Fri Jan 05, 12:30:08 AM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good evening, PoliShifter.

You are correct that the issue of Iraqis killing Iraqis is separate from the matter of our presence. I have seen that argument about how, if we leave, Iraq will go to Hell in a handbasket, and all I can think to myself is, "That place is already beyond a handbasket; it's now a basket case."

And besides, the whole Iraqis-killing-Iraqis issue is moot: in my judgment, Iraq exists no more as a meaningful, sovereign state. We are supporting a corpse created by the West long ago and then killed by the United States with the deposing of Saddam Hussein. Evidently (and I've made this point before), he was the only person in this era who knew how to keep it together. Now that we've killed him, we've got nothing.

George W. Bush as the Great White Sheik of Iraq? Yeah, right.

I shall probably write about this extensively at a later time, but I think I know one of the most important lynchpins that, if it gets pulled, will free us: it's the tangle of unbelievably lucrative financial prospects Iraq has to offer the Western (not just American, mind you) corporations playing their hand with Bush's cronies, backers, and enablers. If the Democrats really do drag those slugs into congressional hearings, and then follow up with referrals to the Justice Department for widespread, serious prosecutions, you're going to see the risk factor in those corporations' calculus of gain shift markedly and quite suddenly.

In my judgment, that's when the invisible glue that's holding us hostage to this miserable situation will start to come undone. As it stands right now, though, there's way too much money to be made for this war to end quickly.

That aside, though, the issue of pullout greatly informs my determination of what the generals are going to do. I strongly suspect—in fact, I'm pretty darned sure—many important people in the military know that this war has depleted the nation's overall military readiness, and military people steeped in dedication to their country are not the kind who want that kind of situation. By continuing this war, they are going more and more directly against very basic tenets of a good soldier's ways of fulfilling his duty to his nation. So when those field commanders say they oppose a rapid pullout, especially when they say it at this time, I read that as the words of warriors who know very well that we need to get out of Iraq, but also know that it's not going to be easy, soon, or pretty.

I do, however, believe that those calling for immediate withdrawal are absolutely essential to the debate. We simply cannot have the voices of the idiots on the Far Right continue their screeching without countervailing voices ripping right back at them and their insanity.

And when this madness of war is over, we need to make sure that this country never, ever forgets those who shrieked so long and so loudly for what came to be a total disaster. It's hard enough for me to contain and move on from my impatience with the Democrats who initially voted for this war; but I'll be darned if I'm ever going to let the likes of the Right-wing pundits, the so-called "conservative" Republicans, and the mainstream media ever move on, re-invent themselves, or far worse, someday re-write the history of this fiasco. Cripe, PoliShifter, I almost can't believe large numbers of people even consider Republicans as viable candidates for office, considering what they've done to this country.

Then again, maybe the American people just forget little things. Sort of like how many of them I know who seem to have forgotten how rah-rah they were about the prospects of blasting our way to cheap oil five years ago.

Funny how people's memories work.


The Dark Wraith sometimes enjoys reminding them of their former love affair with death, destruction, and greed.

Fri Jan 05, 01:12:11 AM EST  
 PeterofLoneTree blogged...

(Repost from about a year or so ago):

"When you're up to ass in alligators, sometimes it's difficult to remember that your prime directive was to drain the swamp."

Fri Jan 05, 08:46:29 AM EST  
 The Minstrel Boy blogged...

Good Morning Dark Wraith:

One of the most disgusting things about this Iraq debacle is the profiteering. Profit taking, outright looting, and their cousins of "supplying the troops" have always been part and parcel of war. North Carolina pushes for a United States Navy, because they had huge stands of pine for timber and tar. New York and Pennsylvania have surpluses of wheat and beer so the idea of a standing army becomes more attractive. If you can make ingenious boats for landings like Mr. Higgins did, we won't even begrudge you a tidy fortune. It's only fair. But when companies with close ties to the administration get no-bid, wildly inflated contracts and then begin to operate with little or no oversight it becomes odious. Caesar founded his fortune by selling the slaves from his Gallic campaign to the Syrians and Persians. The thing was Caesar delivered. The Vice President's company's record of mismanaged mess halls, medical evacuation teams that refuse to fly, trucks that won't run, services that aren't provided all happening while the folks who started this whole mess are getting wildly and safely enriched is disgusting. I hope there are some subpoenas in the works. The Army Quartermaster Corps has been gutted and turned back over to the very people it was created to counter act. As long as Presidents and their cronies can start a war, bungle it all to hell, lose shamefully and miserably, and walk away far richer than when they began, we will know no peace.

Fri Jan 05, 10:30:56 AM EST  
 rcg blogged...

DW, I think for the first time, I am in disagreement with you because what you are proposing is to give them more time. And "six more months" never happens. It only leads to pleas and demands for "six more months" from a leadership that you know has no intention of getting out. I think we must demand an immediate withdrawal while settling for a planned quick withdrawal and perhaps also a coordinated replacement with UN troops, if possible. Also, if we cannot get that, then the funds must be cut off, or we will still be there years from now. And how many troops will die over those years? Sure, the troops may resent cutting off the funds, but it can be done as it wouldn't be the first time that congress has done it. Whatever we do it's gonna hurt. Staying will also allow an ongoing international crime to continue (i.e. illegal occupation and theft of another nations resources). Which is just one of them many additional reasons to get out. Anyhow, something must be done...the "splinter must be pulled out".

Well that's my two cents and I am curious to see how the DW responds to someone who disagrees with him. ;-)

Fri Jan 05, 01:21:26 PM EST  
 Anonymous blogged...

Minstrel Boy, are you familiar with the etymology of "shoddy"?

- oddjob (who also loathes profiteering)

Fri Jan 05, 02:07:57 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good afternoon, rcg.

Unfortunately, we're not in particular disagreement. I am most decidedly not suggesting that we give them more time: giving them more time is just giving ourselves more dead GIs.

No matter what we do, we don't get to end this nightmare. It has to play itself out, but we have to be in the play demanding an end to the war if it's ever going to come to a close.

As far as the troops are concerned, I encourage you to take my word that the characterization of "resentment" by troops is in a whole different universe from what would really happen.

What I'm trying to convey in the article, rcg, is that more than the will of men is now involved: the neo-cons have loosed a physical process—a monster, if you will—that has its own rules we must recognize before we have any hope of bringing it under control and then killing it.

Military history is replete with examples of ill-advised adventures that ended in disaster. That history is also replete with examples of nations, leaders, and military commanders who finally came to grasp their folly only to cause even greater disaster by losing sight of their training and discipline in extricating themselves.

To be brutally honest, rcg, we need to find enough countries seeking calculated or fool-hardy opportunity that we can sucker into Iraq to cover our exit.

Iran and Saudi Arabia are deserving of that honor on all counts, even though both will present their own problems for us as a result of serving as our shields as we get out of there.

But any way we cut it, we simply have to maintain what in the military is called "order and discipline" as we withdraw. Losing that is the surest way to a horrendous rout, as has been the case time and time again when nations tried to check out before they'd paid their dues sufficiently.

And one final thought, just to reiterate what I wrote in my response to PoliShifter. We need our Congress to put the war profiteers' feet to the fire so hard they smell the fat burning, and that needs to happen right away. Mark my word, rcg, the next round of this military insanity is right around the corner unless something is done to take the profit out of war profiteering.


The Dark Wraith trusts that he doesn't need to be any more specific about what military nightmare is in the hopper for our War President's delight.

Fri Jan 05, 02:12:51 PM EST  
 SB Gypsy blogged...

Carpetbaggers!!

We needed to get out three years ago! The time to go was the day after we pulled down the statue. (not that I care about the statue, but that was before we completely fucked it up over there... if you can say that Shock and Awe didn't fubar the place.

That said, Do we really want DUHbya in charge of the withdrawl? He's messed up every single thing he's ever been involved with. HE's going to get 110,000 civilians and 150,000 troops out of Iraq without it becoming a rout? Maybe less will die if we wait until he moves out of the WH.

Fri Jan 05, 02:46:49 PM EST  
 The Minstrel Boy blogged...

Good Afternoon Dark Wraith:

The idea that U.N. troops or the forces from another country, not contiguous to Iraq would be able to provide anything but alternative targets is just silly. The notion that troops from Iran, Saudi Arabia, Turkey and yes, even Russia moving in to cover our retreat has been given serious consideration. The idea is that they would be able to "keep each other honest" while keeping the militia elements under a small measure of control as we slink away. It too is a fantasy. We are seeing the death throes of empire here. Except these are the final convulsions of the Ottoman and British empires. With the Ottoman collapse at the end of WWI the British thought they could easily fill the vacuum. They were driven out in five short bloody years. They installed a "king" as they left and created the map of the region that is currently disintegrating.

Unfortunately the new map appears to be the sort that will only be drawn by the locals, in the blood of their neighbors. I am burying myself in Xenophon's Anabasis again. It's a yearly thing I've done since high school. I keep my Burton translation handy for when my Greek falters.

Fri Jan 05, 04:19:22 PM EST  
 The Minstrel Boy blogged...

p.s. if you want a clear, sober illustration of how a war can become its very own entity, surpassing and devouring all who try to contain and control it I recommend Thucydides The Peloponnesian War There is an excellent, annotated translation out by Robert B. Strassler called The Landmark Thucydides.

I still hold the opinion that if our leaders and their advisors had even a passing familiarity with the works of Xenophon, Thucydides, Ceasar, and the other Greek and Roman diarists and chroniclers we would not be in this mess.

Fri Jan 05, 04:25:31 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good afternoon, Minstrel Boy.

I picture Bush sitting on the john reading Thucydides (even in translation with colorful pictures), and I begin to laugh.

The neo-cons seem to have cultivated an aura about themselves of being highly educated individuals, but I strongly suspect otherwise. Anyone who would put an entire nation into a worn-out car that has no brakes and head down a mountain road simply must be a few fries short of a Happy Meal.

That, or they've read one too many science fiction books about flying cars.

One way or the other, were they to have gotten into the car by themselves, I would have no problem with the outcome. In fact, I might have videotaped it for an upcoming installment of Jackasses. Given, however, that they've put us all in the brakeless jalopy, the first thing we might want to do is toss them out with a rope attached to see if they could provide some drag on the careening death machine.

Considering how slippery they are, that probably wouldn't work, though.

But it's still worth a try, if you ask me.


The Dark Wraith thinks the next best thing is to tie them to the front bumper to see if they might soften the inevitable impact that will occur at the bottom of the hill.

Fri Jan 05, 05:26:01 PM EST  
 Anonymous blogged...

Perfectly put, DW. The whole thing has been just breath-taking to me. How, how, how, how can you ostensibly be a well educated political scholar and be so ignorant of such obvious recurring historical themes?????

I mean...........

(Words. Just. Fail.......)

- oddjob

Fri Jan 05, 08:40:43 PM EST  
 Anonymous blogged...

Slightly OT, but definitely related. Deborah Lipp has an insightful post up.

- oddjob

Fri Jan 05, 09:32:58 PM EST  
 Moody Blue blogged...

... It's hard enough for me to contain and move on from my impatience with the Democrats who initially voted for this war... ~Dark Wraith, 1/05/07 @ 1:21 AM

From Think Progress:

In Oct. 2003, 77 senators voted to give President Bush authorization to go to war in Iraq. Just 23 senators voted against it.

But according to a new ABC news survey, 33 out of the original 77 senators “indicated they would vote differently knowing then what they know now.” Five senators — including three Republicans — said that in retrospect, the intelligence was so wrong that the matter should never have even been brought to a vote. These results would mean that a vote to authorize war in Iraq today would be 43-57, and the resolution would fail. List of senators here.

Fri Jan 05, 09:38:04 PM EST  
 The Minstrel Boy blogged...

Good Evening Dark Wraith:

aside to oddjob: as I recall shoddy was a reweaving process. Where bits and pieces of threads left over from more pricey garments were respun and woven again into whole other items. They tended to be much cheaper and became quite popular for manufacturing military uniforms which tended to fall apart quickly. I think it was a term that originated with the British army.

Fri Jan 05, 10:45:11 PM EST  
 rcg blogged...

"To be brutally honest, rcg, we need to find enough countries seeking calculated or fool-hardy opportunity that we can sucker into Iraq to cover our exit."

That's a great idea, but I wont be holding my breath, lol.

"But any way we cut it, we simply have to maintain what in the military is called "order and discipline" as we withdraw."

Fine, then lets do that the best we can by giving the generals the order to plan the withdrawal and to begin implementing said withdrawal plan - right away. The generals already know how to do this and have ready made plans at hand to implement. They might be called the "WRTEP" - "withdrawal ready-to-eat plan".

"We need our Congress to put the war profiteers' feet to the fire so hard they smell the fat burning, and that needs to happen right away. Mark my word, rcg, the next round of this military insanity is right around the corner unless something is done to take the profit out of war profiteering."

Agreed!

The Dark Wraith trusts that he doesn't need to be any more specific about what military nightmare is in the hopper for our War President's delight.

yeah, I know, I know. *Sigh.

...thanks for being kind (as usual) in your excellent response to me. And please forgive me my lack of skill at being so eloquent or tactful. I do try. ;-)

Fri Jan 05, 11:11:34 PM EST  
 My Pet Goat blogged...

I picture Bush sitting on the john...

That's the second time you've recently used the term john for a toilet. If my name were John I'd be offended at the lack of creativity. Sitting on the W and wiping your George is much more appropriate.

As far as this troop stuff goes, it's like throwing good money after bad (not that it was all good money to begin with, but that's another issue). I'd love to play poker against bush, the idiot would never fold and is a transparent bluffer.

Sat Jan 06, 12:14:46 AM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Awright, Mr. Goat, let us descend.

A) George was sitting on the john.

B) George was straddling the pot.

C) George was pushing the playdough.

D) George was dropping some depth charges.

E) George was firing the fudge missile.

F) George was sqeezing the dinner roll.

G) George was laying lard.

H) George was loosening the logs.

I) George was issuing his next idea for a war.


...oh, wait a minute. He hasn't finished that last one yet.


The Dark Wraith should let George finish doing his business.

Sat Jan 06, 12:31:25 AM EST  
 Father Tyme blogged...

DW,
About I), isn't it Gannon's job to handle Bush's new ideas? Or is that Tony Snowjob's?
Kinda gives new meaning to "The Oval Office", eh?

Sat Jan 06, 10:57:08 AM EST  
 jahf blogged...

The Dark Wraith should let George finish doing his business.

If enough people think like that, the Decider won't be ejected from office, will figure he's got a mandate and start annexing new territories in the Middle East.

Oh, wait ...

Sat Jan 06, 09:40:59 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good evening, jahf.

As long as George goes over and does the war himself, I've got no problem with it. Heck, I'd even send the boy some extra chow to keep him going while he's slogging through the sand in full combat gear.

I'm betting that he wouldn't survive his first encounter with a bunch of sand fleas.

Come to think of it, I'll bet the sand fleas wouldn't survive their first encounter with munching on his hide, either.


The Dark Wraith sees a solution to several problems of pestilence.

Sat Jan 06, 11:04:44 PM EST  
 PeterofLoneTree blogged...

Bathroom humor?

From one of Stephen King's novels: A fellow takes a crosscountry motorcycle ride, stops somewhere to "leave a loaf", and notices the writing on the wall. It says,
"Here I sit
Cheeks a-flexin'
Giving birth
To another Texan."

Sun Jan 07, 12:20:05 PM EST  

       

Wednesday, January 03, 2007

"Surge and Accelerate": A Note on the Republican-Democrat Support Axis

As President Bush prepares to address the nation to announce his intention to send 20,000 more American troops to Iraq in his "surge and accelerate" plan to turn the tide on the deteriorating situation there, criticism of what appears to many a counter-productive escalation of an increasingly unpopular war is mounting. Among the most vociferous of Mr. Bush's critics in the mainstream media is MSNBC commentator Keith Olbermann, who minced no words in his January 2, 2007, commentary condemning the troop surge plan. (The YouTube version of the video has been posted by litbrit of The Last Duchess on her site and cross-posted by her at Shakespeare's Sister.)

During his latest firey excoriation of Mr. Bush, Mr. Olberman took several opportunities to strongly criticize John McCain, who has publicly stated his support for the troop surge. A brief cut-away during Olberman's message showed footage of Sen. McCain standing at a podium with five other people. That film was shot in Baghdad several weeks ago during a congressional fact-finding mission. The still-frame below shows some of the participating members of Congress at a news conference held during the trip. Sen. McCain is at the podium making clear his support for sending more U.S. soldiers to the war-wracked nation.

McCain and Lieberman in Baghdad expressing support for troop surge

The woman on the far left in the frame is Sen. Susan Collins (R-ME), who aligned herself with a number of other Republicans in declaring her opposition to sending more troops to Iraq, although Republican Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC), seen in the frame immediately to the right of McCain, expressed both his shock at how much the security situation in Baghdad had deteriorated and his full backing for sending more soldiers there.

The man standing between Collins and McCain is Sen. Joseph Lieberman (I-CT), who was quoted in a Washington Post article as saying, "We need more, not less, U.S. troops here [in Iraq]." In favoring the troop surge, Sen. Lieberman has distinguished himself as one of the few remaining ostensibly "liberal" or even "moderate" politicians in Washington publicly supporting what Mr. Olberman of MSNBC describes as a war initiated by a "...President [who] does not have any idea what he's doing - and [for whom] other Americans will have to die."

Given Sen. Lieberman's abandonment of the Democratic Party and his long-standing and very visible support for President Bush on matters of national security, the Connecticut Senator's alliance with McCain on escalating the American-Iraqi War may fuel speculation of a McCain-Lieberman "national unity" Presidential ticket in 2008, which would afford the American people a clear opportunity to elect yet another President and Vice President for whom other Americans would have to die.


The Dark Wraith will leave to readers such conclusions as may be warranted about Sen. Lieberman's continuing ties to an increasingly marginalized wing of the GOP.

<< 24 Comments Total
 The Minstrel Boy blogged...

Good Morning Dark Wraith:

I too, was heartened and cheered by the resolute verbal thumping that was given to the preznit. I don't even believe for a second that it will accomplish anything beyond letting me know that I am at least, not alone.

Lieberman has ceased to be a voice for anything resembling the democratic party. He, like McCain, will sacrifice any ideal, belief, family member, or what ever else is demanded by the jealous god of ambition.

Barring a revolt of the general staff (not bloody likely, they had to give too many blowjobs for that third and fourth star, some of them actually like the taste), the "surge" will go through.

The mess in Iraq will continue to get worse, until it reaches a point where it can't worsen any further, then it will either expand regionally or just stay batshit crazy bad.

I am glad to be home, out far in the sticks. I'm thinking about planting a cactus fence. If nothing else it will keep my eyes and ears away from the tube for a while. When that's done I plan to learn how to play my new bagpipes.

Wed Jan 03, 12:42:34 PM EST  
 pissed off patricia blogged...

Oh my, I'm in good company here with the minstrel boy.

I wonder why Lieberman was the only dem on that trip. Well, as much of a dem as he is. I wouldn't be surprised to see McCain ask him to be on his ticket with him. If this surge doesn't produce something positive and fast, McCain is dead in the water. More troops is his only talking point and if more troops are sent with no good out come, what's left for McCain to talk about?

Wed Jan 03, 01:42:46 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good afternoon, Pissed Off Patricia.

Maybe they'll suggest still more troops when it doesn't work this time.

John and Joe seem to be from the George W. Bush Construction School of Nation Building: When you've hit your thumb with a hammer, hitting it some more will surely produce a result other than more pain.


The Dark Wraith suspects they'll never get around to hitting the nail on the head.

Wed Jan 03, 01:51:39 PM EST  
 father tyme blogged...

DW,
They are hoping the thumb becomes numb.

Wed Jan 03, 02:39:59 PM EST  
 blackdog blogged...

Wasn't it Colbert who said "what I believe on Monday regardless of what happens on Tuesday I will still believe on Wednesday" refering to the shrub at the last National Press Club howdown?

Wasn't it General Shinseki(sp?) who said at the beginning of this clusterfuck that we would need 400,000 troops to carry it out, for which he was retired?

Is their anything at all that the shrub has ever done that actually made sense and enhanced anyone's life?

This idiot has taken at least a month to avoid coming to a rational decision about his very own stinking pile of shit excuse for a foriegn policy.

But then he's the "decider". I really can't stand it when I am absolutely sure that I am more intelligent than the moron in the White House. In my lifetime that's happened twice, I leave everyone to guess who #2 is. Duh!

Wed Jan 03, 02:46:26 PM EST  
 SB Gypsy blogged...

Good Afternoon Dark Wraith,


Is their anything at all that the shrub has ever done that actually made sense and enhanced anyone's life?


Uh, NO!

I think that if a bullet with the inscription "George W Bush" found it's mark, a whole lot of people would stand up and cheer. (I can dream, can't I)

But, cancel cancel cancel that, I have no wish for any bad karma from wishing that THAT piece of crap be taken out with the garbage.

heh

Lieberman
* gosh we worked so hard to defeat him *

I can only hope that he makes himself irrelevent by sticking close to Bushco and McCain.

Wed Jan 03, 03:33:58 PM EST  
 father tyme blogged...

SB_Gypsy,
I only hope that WHEN the new draft comes, the Connecticut parents that made the decision to keep Lieberman are as understanding and offer their children first.
And to all the Yalies(sp?) that supported him, there's always the peace corps, like you guys used in the 60s.
Old soldiers never die...

Wed Jan 03, 04:20:20 PM EST  
 BlondeSense Liz blogged...

Dark Wraith, you asked at my blog if I noticed this morsel and I most certainly did notice Lieberman there and I have noticed him hanging out with the most vile of the Republicans a lot lately.

Know what else I noticed? I noticed that John McCain has some ugly MF tumor growing out of the side of his face. It is very hard to look at him. He looks like he was in a fight with his dentist. When I had a wisdom tooth extracted many years ago, the side of my face swelled up like that for a few days. McCain has had this for some time now. Is he healthy enough to run for president? Is it cruel of me to suggest that he is too scary looking to run for president? He's also got some sort of red blotchy thing happening by his eye on the swollen part of his face. Shouldn't he be seeing a doctor rather than acting like he knows anything about running a war?

Wed Jan 03, 05:00:58 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good evening, Liz.

I, too, have seen a marked change in Sen. McCain's physical appearance in the past year. What struck me about him even a couple of years ago was how vital he looked for a man of his age. Now, however, he no longer has that strong appearance that made him stand out in a crowd of contenders, and his unique physical characteristics—the heavy jaw, the skin tone, the muscular stoutness—are starting to stand out not as curiously attractive, but more as something else.

He'll turn 72 right around the time of the Republican National Convention in 2008; if nominated, he would face a fiercely high-energy fight if his opponent were Clinton or even Obama. The campaign would be lower key if he were to face Edwards or Clark, but even their possible Presidential campaigns, in my judgment, would tax him greatly, meaning he would have to rely upon his running mate. If the running mate were Joseph Lieberman, that would be disastrous: Lieberman was able to pull it out (as I predicted he would) in Connecticut with his base of financial and logistical support, but his attachment at the hip to Bush would be a lightning rod for negative campaign ads in a national campaign, especially if, as I suspect will happen, Bush becomes vulnerable to being cast as a pariah.

McCain can get by with his attachment to DUH-bya because McCain has created and maintained a mythical aura nationally of "independence," undeserved as it is, whereas Lieberman's efforts to carve out the same image are largely a failure, a failure we in the Blogosphere can ensure is such.

Cripe, Liz, 2007 is only three days old, and already I'm doing punditry for the Presidential race of 2008.



The Dark Wraith should try to get through the current year before focusing too much on the year that's still almost a year away.

Wed Jan 03, 05:58:46 PM EST  
 Eric A Hopp blogged...

Hello Dark Wraith--interesting comment on the McCain pic. I was more interested in what Olbermann was saying in his special comment, rather than looking at who McCain was with in the file video. Now you've got me wondering who the the individual is standing to the far right, next to Graham.

Vanity Fair had published a fascinating article regarding McCain and his current problem of pandering to the extreme right for the 2008 Republican presidential nomination, while at the same time trying to appear as a maverick politician to the moderate and independent voters. To quote from the Vanity Fair article:

John McCain has spent this whole day, this whole year, these whole last six years, trying to "fix it," trying to square the circle: that is, trying to make the maverick, freethinking impulses that first made him into a political star somehow compatible with the suck-it-up adherence to the orthodoxies required of a Republican presidential front-runner. McCain opposes a constitutional amendment to ban gay marriage, but supports a ballot measure that would do just that in his home state of Arizona. (It would fail in the midterm elections.) His short-term reward for the Hardball bunt on gay marriage? Boos from the audience and a headline on the Drudge Report, the right wing's favorite screechy early-warning system, reading, mccain: gay marriage should be allowed? McCain needs to square that circle, and the hell of it is, he just can't.

[....]

"Let me give you a little straight talk," McCain tells the crowd at a house-party fund-raiser in Sioux Falls, South Dakota, for Senator John Thune, the Christian conservative and self-styled "servant leader" who defeated the Senate's Democratic leader, Tom Daschle, in 2004. The minute Thune was elected, McCain says, he became an important figure in the Republican Party and the Senate.

That's not straight talk. That's partisan pap. Nor, presumably, was it straight talk last summer at an Aspen Institute discussion when McCain struggled to articulate his position on the teaching of intelligent design in public schools. At first, according to two people who were present, McCain said he believed that intelligent design, which proponents portray as a more intellectually respectable version of biblical creationism, should be taught in science classes. But then, in the face of intense skepticism from his listeners, he kept modifying his views—going into reverse evolution.

"Yes, he's a social conservative, but his heart isn't in this stuff," one former aide told me, referring to McCain's instinctual unwillingness to impose on others his personal views about issues such as religion, sexuality, and abortion. "But he has to pretend [that it is], and he's not a good enough actor to pull it off. He just can't fake it well enough."


It is just amazing how McCain will put his own selfish, personal ambitions above any sense of honesty and dignity, in order to win the 2008 White House. McCain was trying to pretend that he has personal views regarding social issues, and that he was faking those views in order to court votes? The hypocrisy of McCain is astounding here--and we haven't even started the 2008 presidential elections yet.

And as for Lieberman, I'm not sure if I want to call Lieberman a "carpetbagger," or a leech.

Wed Jan 03, 08:15:32 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good evening, Eric.

The man on the far right is Rep. Mark Kirk of Illinois. I am beginning to wonder, however, about whether I've got the man on the immediate right of McCain correct: that could be South Dakota's Sen. Thune. There's a fellow standing behind McCain, and if the man on the immediate right of McCain is Thune, then the one behind McCain is Graham. Or it could be that I have Graham correctly identified, and the guy behind McCain is Thune.

Grr. Stupid low-res frame capture.

Anyway, the delegation comprised McCain, Thune, Graham, Collins, and Lieberman, the last person in the list being the only Independent/former Democrat, attached as he is to the left hip of McCain where he's going to stay until McCain names him as the running mate on the national unity ticket.

We'll know if that forecast is accurate if Lieberman really does show up in more and more pictures of McCain over the coming months. The two of them have supposedly been best buddies for years, or so Lieberman's spin machine is making it sound these days, so it looks to me like the machinery is building—at least from Lieberman's end—for this to be a fait accompli by the Spring of 2008.

The wild card is McCain. Lieberman is a leech who's trying to attach himself to what he thinks is a White House-bound freight train, but McCain seems to be a whole lot cooler on getting boxed in so quickly. If Iraq turns into a fiasco that even the Right-wing nuts can't deny, then McCain hasn't a prayer of getting the GOP nod unless he puts someone on his ticket who wasn't so hot and bothered about this "surge and accelerate" idiocy, and Lieberman most definitely wouldn't fill the bill, being as he is nothing more than a vessel for whatever stupidity the Bush Administration pumps into his empty noggin.

Geez, Eric, I'm doing the 2008 prognostications thing again.



The Dark Wraith needs to lay off the Future Schlock kick and focus on the here and now.

Wed Jan 03, 08:53:52 PM EST  
 PeterofLoneTree blogged...

Ah yes, Mr. Thune.

From the Rapid City Journal of '05 (July, I think):
Auto dealer's future unclear
"Faltering finances and legal action have all but destroyed Dan Nelson Automotive Group Inc., which was headquartered in Sioux Falls and operated car dealerships there, in Sioux City, Council Bluffs and Des Moines, Iowa, as well as in Rapid City.

"And now it could produce political fallout for Sen. John Thune, R-S.D., a close friend and political ally of Nelson. Before his election to the Senate in a historic win over incumbent Sen. Tom Daschle, D-S.D., last November, Thune sat on the board of directors of a Sioux Falls bank that granted millions of dollars in loans to Nelson Automotive. MetaBank, formerly First Federal Bank, is now trying to collect those defaulted loans in the bankruptcy proceedings."


Hit the link for the full article and ask, "Would you buy a used car from this man"?

Wed Jan 03, 09:57:45 PM EST  
 Anonymous blogged...

I don't think the tall man looks like Graham. That face is too drawn & narrow.

I decided some time ago that Lieberman's life would have been far, far better spent in Vietnam than protesting against it. Had he done so he would have a much better sense of the importance of only sending the military into conflicts that matter. He's cluelessness regarding Iraq is so stunning I don't have words to describe it.

I just finished watching Olberman's piece. It's glorious...... (But why is it even necessary for such a thing to be uttered?????)

Anyway.....

(Sob.......)


Regarding McCain, someone (at Shakespeare's Sister, I think, but I don't remember for certain now) observed a week or two ago that the weakness in his character that the North Vietnamese sought but never found has at last been exposed. The inner integrity McCain would not yield up to torture he has at last yielded up on the altar of his political ambition.

What a shame..............

He's the only presidential candidate I can recall ever saying the truth about the theocrats of his party, and now he's in thrall to them......

- oddjob

Wed Jan 03, 10:34:48 PM EST  
 Anonymous blogged...

(HIS cluelessness........)

- oddjob

Wed Jan 03, 10:36:52 PM EST  
 Moody Blue blogged...

Lieberman didn't even register "his" CT party...

Orman, Party of one:

The Connecticut for Lieberman Party, the minor political party created by Sen. Joe Lieberman for his successful independent bid for re-election, has been taken over by a longtime critic of the senator.

Fairfield University political science professor John Orman's takeover has been recognized by Secretary of the State Susan Bysiewicz.

Orman is the sole member of the party and filed paperwork with Bysiewicz's office naming himself chairman. The state officials accepted Orman's takeover and his bylaws which limit membership to critics of the senator and anyone named Lieberman.


(*snicker*)

Thu Jan 04, 01:28:46 AM EST  
 BlondeSense Liz blogged...

Grrrr. I couldn't stand that Thune guy. I saw him "debate" Dashle on Cheat the Press and he was utterly useless and had NOTHING to say. He should definitely be voted out of office as soon as possible.

So Dark One, I wasn't the only one who noticed how old and feeble and rather deformed McCain was looking lately. That is what happens when greed and power mongering invades your every cell. I'd sure like to know what that growth is on the side of his face. I think it's Alien.

The deformity is what happens when you tell everyone you're going to commit suice in November if the Democrats win and then you don't. You start looking like death warmed over.

Lieberman's face looks like it's melting lately- again, death warmed over. "Help me, I'm melting."

John Kerry also looked like he was melting until he had some work done.

Interesting how insincere and greedy intentions affect the faces of politicians.

Thu Jan 04, 09:30:39 AM EST  
 My Pet Goat blogged...

Good afternoon Mr. Wraith,

You once used the term hoe handle. I can think of no better example to apply that term to at the moment than John McCain.

Thu Jan 04, 03:51:59 PM EST  
 PoliShifter blogged...

The Goal: Keep troops in Iraq for as long as possible

The Evidence: Permanent military Installations and a Vatican-Sized Embassy

The Precident: Europe and Japan after WW2 have troops to this day as does South Korea

Bush's Political Volley: Come out swinging with a new Jack&Spew plan to send MORE troops to Iraq.

Outcome: Dems caught off-balance now scrambling to do anything to stop Bush's opening gambit.

Conclusion: Whether or not more troops go to Iraq, Bush wins. We won't be getting out of Iraq for at least 12 months+

By opening a volley with "sending more troops" Bush has effectively neutralized what was the growing chorus of pundits who were starting to entertain the idea of getting out of Iraq asap.

Solution: Adopt the Kucinich plan and get out of Iraq in 60 days and cut off funding for the occupation of Iraq. Consider redeploying troops to the border region between Afghanistan and Pakistan so we can perhaps effectively prosecute the GWOT against actual terrorist organizations.

Odds of happening: zero

Thu Jan 04, 04:32:38 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good afternoon, Mr. Goat.

Yes, for years I have used the noun "hoe handle" to describe a person of less-than-stellar mind.

I should, however, point out that the term must be inflected to the particulars of the individual. In the case of a person who sells himself out to sleazy people for power and money, the spelling isn't hoe handle; it is, instead, ho' handle.


The Dark Wraith maintains the integrity of the written language.

Thu Jan 04, 05:27:49 PM EST  
 Anonymous blogged...

Dark One, have you seen this post at RawStory yet?

Most odd, no? An admiral????

- oddjob (who is perplexed, except obviously the guy is willing to polish the right nobs, but still)

Thu Jan 04, 06:06:20 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Yes, OddJob, an admiral (of all things).

This is another one of Bush's displays of intolerance for any hint of disagreement with his decisions (or proto-decisions) by military commanders. Casey and Abizaid had the gall to slightly hint that other options might be better, but by the end of last year, what we were hearing from the White House was that Bush was being "asked" for more troops in Iraq. He wants public yes-men in uniforms around him, and he doesn't even particularly like to have them disagree with him in private.

He has a deep flaw in his leadership character that way (as have a few other Presidents, I should point out), and I suspect it goes all the way back to his Playboy-Flyboy days in the toy room of the Texas ANG.

(Dear God, would I love to put that little wuss in real combat gear in real field training for a couple of weeks in the middle of B-F Nowhere with nothing but ticks and leeches to suck on him.)



The Dark Wraith should stop before his nostrils set off the smoke detectors.

Thu Jan 04, 07:38:07 PM EST  
 Anonymous blogged...

He has a deep flaw in his leadership character that way (as have a few other Presidents, I should point out), and I suspect it goes all the way back to his Playboy-Flyboy days in the toy room of the Texas ANG.

?

Nonsense. That kind of leadership flaw goes back to the family he was raised in.

- oddjob (who simply can't wait until the nation is as tired as he is and has been since about 1990 of people with the last name of Bush!)

Fri Jan 05, 12:07:39 AM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good evening, OddJob.

Although I do admit that my belief in this regard is somewhat simplistic, it is my judgment (based in part on people with whom I have interacted) that a toad like George W. Bush who grew up in privilege would have benefited greatly from getting his ass beaten into mush in a real military stint.

Although he would still have been a toad his whole remaining life, he would have been a toad who knew what it was like to have his face in the mud. As it was, he got nothing from his service gig but another little feather for his resume.

Call me old-fashioned (and, yes, I really am old-fashioned), but I believe that even an unruly Bush that's gone to Hell for 18 years can be trimmed.

All you need is a big enough chainsaw.


The Dark Wraith practices gardening without much regard for the feelings of the uglier of the plants in his care.

Fri Jan 05, 01:22:43 AM EST  
 Anonymous blogged...

Your point is well taken & I concur. I was thinking more of ultimate cause than of a failure to amend said cause at an appropriate life juncture.

- oddjob

Fri Jan 05, 09:32:17 AM EST