Wednesday, March 29, 2006

Special Blog Post:
Featured Bumper Sticker

In the interest of showing a modicum of support for the Democratic Party, some of whose members and strategies have been harshly criticized and parodied by certain bloggers, and inspired by former Republican House Speaker Newt Gingrich's interview with Time magazine, from which he is quoted in the March 29, 2006, edition, your host has created his latest bumper sticker, available at The Dark Wraith Forums e-Store via this this link.


This attractive bumpersticker will look nice on any post-1970s vehicle of reasonable quality and workmanship, and proceeds of sales go to keeping The Dark Wraith Forums online. Yes, you too can have the bumper sticker designed to amuse and annoy former Bush supporters finally noticing the five years of phone messages from Clueville.

That's right, and if you order before midnight, you will also receive the gratitude of the Dark Wraith, a $19.95 value not available in stores.

You get all this for only $3.99.

And while you're visiting the e-store, be sure to check out all the other Dark Wraith merchandise, including the attractive courier bag and the ultimate in tasteful coffee mugs seen on the left. Carry the bag to work or school, and people will know right where you stand on the issues of the day. Drink coffee from the mug, and you just might start channeling the Dark Wraith, himself, as you cruise the Blogosphere. Now, wouldn't that scare the Hell out of friends, families, and concerned pets? Each and every item says, "I know the Dark Wraith, so back off, or I'll get him to write another obtuse post about economics that'll make everyone fall asleep until after the November elections."

So order today!

UPDATE:
The bumper sticker above will be offered until 12:01 a.m. EST on Sunday, April 2, 2006, at which time it will be replaced in The Dark Wraith Forums e-Store catalogue with the bumper sticker below.

Bumper sticker available at The Dark Wraith Forums e-Store starting April 2, 2006



The Dark Wraith thanks you for your support.

<< 10 Comments Total
 Ilex Opaca blogged...

I want one of these bumper stickers for all my friends.

Great web site, by the way. I discovered you on account of your Koufax Award nomination, and plan to keep checking in!

Wed Mar 29, 03:27:08 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good afternoon, Ilex Opaca, and welcome to The Dark Wraith Forums.

Well, even though I got slaughtered in the Finals of the Koufax Awards voting (I'm pretty sure I can in last), I certainly did get some cool new people to come to The Dark Wraith Forums.

By the way, I try to do these blunt promotions only rarely. It always makes me feel a little creepy to get this close once again to my old days in business. However, the comment by Newt Gingrich about what the Democrats should have for their slogan just drove me bananas. I couldn't let something that good go.

Now, if this variation I've done on the bumper sticker catches on, Newt's going to be even less popular with the Republicans than he already is these days. Imagine it: one of their own inspiring their enemies with a battle cry.


The Dark Wraith finds more than a touch of irony in that possibility.

Wed Mar 29, 03:39:03 PM EST  
 Ilex Opaca blogged...

I love that it came from Newt Gingrich -- I looked at that article and laughed. Now I just have to decide how many to order.

Wed Mar 29, 04:56:18 PM EST  
 oldwhitelady blogged...

Good evening, Dark Wraith.

I like that new bumper sticker. I will be ordering a couple. Like Ilex Opaca, I have to decide how many. I already have 2 mugs, but the courier bag looks like it's pretty sturdy. With all the important stuff (bills to pay and camera, lunch, soda, etc.) I have to carry to work, I wonder if it's large enough? I did get one of your mouse pads. When I ordered it, I didn't realize it came with it's own live mice. My cats were thrilled!

Wed Mar 29, 08:13:48 PM EST  
 Anonymous blogged...

(Very curious to know if Ilex Opaca does anything special to celebrate Christmas....

(The holly and the ivy,
When they are both full grown,
Of all the trees that are in the wood
The holly bears the crown.......
)

- oddjob

Thu Mar 30, 09:32:26 AM EST  
 Missouri Mule blogged...

Good morning, Dark One.

I did a little early birthday shopping for my-own-self yesterday. Who me, narcissistic?

Anyway, I'm placing your sticker right next to my "Good girls go to Heaven but bad girls go everywhere" sticker.
That should keep the farmers here in East Jesus scratching their head and winding their butts for a while.

Thu Mar 30, 10:59:12 AM EST  
 My Pet Goat blogged...

Good morning Mr. Wraith,

I won't buy one for myself, as I will not subscribe to blanket support of voting Democrat. My Impeach Bush stickers on my vehicle probably brand me enough for what I am not.

I do however, subscribe to blanket support of pissing off the GOP whenever possible - both as a distraction and divisionary tactic, as well as a bit of personal satisfaction. To that end I have a proposal for you.

Establish a method to accept donations (like Paypal) on your site, and I will donate $100 to you as seed money. The purpose of this donation is to create a short-term fund repository that others can contribute towards. These funds would be earmarked for use by you for the specific purpose of purchasing your bumperstickers at wholesale prices. These gifts would then be mailed by you to key members of Congress, RNC, Newt.org, etc. A reasonable portion of the funds could be used for web support, and the occasional can of Spam (of course).

Should you chose to accept this offer, I might suggest that the citation to Newt be enlarged a bit and more specifically cited.

Thu Mar 30, 12:12:38 PM EST  
 Donviti blogged...

As an independent I would hate to openly say to vote for one party. I guess preferring to vote for a change is better than voting democrat.

I never had you pegged for a Dem, but I'm not a very observant person.

Thu Mar 30, 12:23:04 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good afternoon, DonViti.

No, I'm not a Democrat; I am, however, an entrpreneur. I sometimes hate to admit it, but it's in my blood, and when I see a market—provided the product is legitimate and there is a social good (or at least a minimum of social harm) to be had in its production, sale, and use—I shall have an interest in probing the market for an opening.

The Republicans have opened a gate. The densest market to satisfy with the hole of outrage is Democrats. That's the first psychographic profile I shall then explore.

If this is a decent market, I shall subsequently open into other offerings. My goal is to use what the Republicans like to tout: good, old-fashioned, free market economics. It's their theme, and on a silver platter they're handing a good entrepreneur the chance to take profitable advantage of their weakness.

As I say in economics classes, free markets are great for the winners, but they're a bitch for the losers.

This year, I think it's going to be a bitch to be a Republican.


The Dark Wraith has to head to class, now.

Thu Mar 30, 12:48:39 PM EST  
 oldwhitelady blogged...

Heya Dark Wraith.

When I mentioned getting one of your mouse pads and that the cats were thrilled with the mice that came with it, I was trying to make a joke because "pad" used to be the term for an apartment, and a mouse pad would be an apartment for mice... Ha ha - I know... not funny. Okay. So, anyway, I am quite appreciative of the mouse pad. It works much better than the previous two I had.

Many of us are not Democrats as such, we vote for the best person running. I admit, I did vote for Ross Perot. I liked his message.
I do like your new bumper sticker, too. I find the "inspired by" line to be quite entertaining.

Thu Mar 30, 06:18:07 PM EST  

       

Tuesday, March 28, 2006

Inflammatory Opinion:
The Belt of Justice

On Sunday, I published an editorial in which I called on candidates in the 2008 Presidential Election to pledge commitment to the establishment of a Truth Commission of the United States of America to investigate and expose the extensive and multi-faceted wrongdoing that has been the legacy of the Bush Administration. The support I have received is welcome and heartening, and the criticisms have been legitimate. In the present article, I offer clarity in precisely why the remedy of a Truth Commission would be effective despite the many in this country who remain supportive of President Bush and the Republicans who have prosecuted the agenda of neo-conservatism.

What I am about to write here may trouble some readers, particularly because I must unabashedly put on display that side of my views decidedly not in keeping with my more progressive, tolerant side. In advance, I forewarn that what I write below might not sit well with many, and I shall understand that discomfort. In some ways, it troubles even me that my patience with neo-conservatism has become so truncated that I must revert to attitudes within myself that pose in such harshness. That, unfortunately, is one of the many downsides of becoming agéd: patience in some areas of life takes the form of a precious commodity to be reserved only for those worthy of it. Neo-conservatives and Right-wing evangelicals have fallen off my list of those for whom patience, tolerance, and acceptance is warranted. I trust that they shall never again find their way to the limited space that remains within my soul for good will. With that caution in preface, suffer now my statement of position.


I have no delusions about the American people. Enough of them liked the mean, nasty, hateful words, ways, and innuendos of the Republicans to turn this into one of the grimmest chapters in American history. People like that don't change their stripes, and they certainly wouldn't do so in the span of a mere few years.

Those same people whose rah-rah, kick-some-ass-Georgie mentality got us into this mess are still out there all around us, and their attitudes now are every bit as disgusting as they were.

But those same people, like the people of every age, are craven and cowardly. When their former heroes get hanged in the public square, they'll be nowhere in sight to protest the swinging of the apes.

At worst, they'll hide in their homes grumbling about the horror of it all; at best, they'll feign shock and dismay at the "betrayal" by their former heroes, and they'll swear to God they had "no idea."

Bull. That's the same apology of the Germans as the truth about the Third Reich got rammed down their throats in the years after World War II. The facts shut up the Hitler generation and allowed a much more benign couple of generations to grow up. It took all of fifty years for Fascism to become once again fashionable in European polite company and its hate speech to become wholly defensible by American liberals.

We may yet again have to beat the Hell out of its ugly pigs over there in the decades to come, but at least we had more than half a century of peace and quiet, in no small part because the common people by the millions who had grovelingly supported Hitler, Mussolini, and their ilk laid low, died quietly, and got buried with their hate and their stash of commemorative swastikas.

That's how it can be here, too; but this will happen only if there is a loud enough, authoritative enough, and harsh enough presence standing in judgment over the leaders of this failed neo-con rebellion against the American rule of law and the progressed civil society we were achieving.

That is the dual purpose of a truth commission in every country where one has been established: not only does it expose and punish the wrong-doers who had infected and perverted the government, but it also puts their miserable supporters whose mentality had infected the society on notice that they weren't just wrong, they were also bad.

And, no, by that I don't mean they had bad ideas; I mean they were bad.

I might not be able to make a bad kid into a good one, but I can sure as Hell scare him into keeping his bad behavior to himself. If he wants to act like a hellian in his own private little bedroom, that's fine; but I want him to understand that, not only is his kind known for its ways, but if he ever again shows those attitudes in public, he'll get the same treatment as those he thought were so cool for their destructive malevolence that caused so much pain before.

That might not sound like a particularly caring, liberal way of thinking on my part, but then again, I have never called myself a "liberal" here or anywhere. I may be progressive—Lord knows, I might very well even be a Progressive—but speaking as an anachronistic version of old-time, Rockefeller-type conservativism (and this is just between you all and me, mind you), I really do know what a belt is for; and God knows, there isn't any other remedy of which I know that will cure this country of its current brand of Republicanism.

When a gang of kids has spent the past week tearing up the house, the first and most important thing I need to do is to turn the ringleaders over my knee for the swift Belt of Justice. I mete out the punishment right where the other kids can see it, and I make the sound of righteousness hitting paydirt ring thoughout the land. The rest of those malcontent kids will suddenly turn into the nicest, sweetest, most God-fearing little angels anyone would ever want to have to help clean up the mess they'd made.

That's how we used to take care of bad kids, anyway; and speaking here as an old-time conservative, it's high time we returned to some old-fashioned values in this country.

Let freedom ring? You bet. But not until the belt swings.



The Dark Wraith has spoken.

<< 24 Comments Total
 Mr. Shakes blogged...

Good morning, Dark Wraith.

Thank you for putting that into words, it was quite brave of you to do so. I too, am a conservative in the original sense, and it gives me great joy to see a progressive who embraces the old conservative way of looking at the world come forth and show how the two are not mutually exclusive.

Small government, sensible taxation that balances the books, a no nonsense attitude toward our enemies, both at home and abroad, environmental conservation, social trampolines instead of safety nets, an emphasis on education for all and above all, the application of good common sense to solving problems. These are the principles that any government lives or dies by in my eyes. Needless to say, by these standards the current Republican administration has been an abject failure from day one.

I've been thinking for a while now that the Democrats need to move rightward, that indeed, on some of the issues, like smaller government, for example, they are being compelled to do so, if only to differentiate themselves from the Republicans. What I can't stand is that instead of proactively marching forward and taking the high ground on the more traditional conservative values that I mentioned above, they are instead beating a cowardly retreat on the progressive principles that have always been their best asset. This isn't a move rightward, it is a move backward, and it means that there is no longer any party that folks like us can call home.

Tue Mar 28, 08:45:26 AM EST  
 Anonymous blogged...

Small government, sensible taxation that balances the books, a no nonsense attitude toward our enemies, both at home and abroad, environmental conservation, social trampolines instead of safety nets, an emphasis on education for all and above all, the application of good common sense to solving problems. These are the principles that any government lives or dies by in my eyes. Needless to say, by these standards the current Republican administration has been an abject failure from day one.

I think if you were to poll those Americans who vote regularly but are not a member of any political party you would find the vast majority of them in agreement with these sentiments.

The historic problem with both major parties is that they associate with some, but not all, of these values.

(I am of course speaking of the historic positions of the Republican Party, rather than its present incarnation's positions, which more closely resemble something from Dr. Strangelove, or from Hell.)

- oddjob

Tue Mar 28, 11:09:17 AM EST  
 My Pet Goat blogged...

Your message isn't even close to being troublesome to me. That bushco, the neocons, and their spawn need to be punished is beyond doubt to me. Tolerance is a slippery slope; become too tolerance and the snot-nosed brats are free to tear up the house you speak of. In this case with your back against the wall, lack of tolerance is progressive, in that you are taking an alternate view with the intent to salvage what you stand for. Accepting the same old BS with the idea that "things will eventually change" is not progressive.

Your quest has skimmed over a key component that is only implicit in your arguement for a Truth Commission and punishment. Any spoiled brat needs to have various boundaries established to contain and guide their behaviors, with consequences established for deviations. The same is true for government.

It is clear that the governmental branches of today no longer check and balance each other as they were intended. Somebody must establish those boundaries for our rotten government. Let the Commission punish the wicked, but let's also establish those boundaries for the sake of our future.

Spanking the village idiot for starting a war doesn't mean the sorority princess understands that the same consequences apply to her.

Tue Mar 28, 01:06:58 PM EST  
 rael blogged...

in the "it's all my mother's fault" column, my mother was raised in middle georgia in the 30s and 40s. she's lived in new england since the 60s, and she's appalled at what the bushies and radical right are doing. problem is: her upbringing taught her to value one thing above, literally, all else: be polite. she slathered that stuff all over me from day one. even when i'm being accused by some right wing freak at a social event in my own living room -- like of being a racist (soft bigotry of low yadda yadda) or a communist (i work for organized labor) or some other piece of in your face nonsensical horsecrap -- i remain unfailingly polite. i'm constitutionally, biologically incapable of being anything else. values wise, i think THAT's the fundamental difference. our mommas raised us right. oh what i wouldn't give to be let off that particular hook for just one brief shining second. 'cause out would come the strap...

Tue Mar 28, 01:59:56 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good afternoon, rael.

Recapping my response to you over at Big Brass Blog, I do know about that "unfailing politeness" of which you speak. There were, indeed, times in my life when I was plagued by some idea that it was always best to suffer in silence, as if martyrdom were its own greatest reward.

That era passed, however. I think it had something to do with realizing that, by definition, martyrs are all dead, and the only one rumored to have returned had a special relationship with God for which I have no evidence of a similar arrangement.

My politeness these days has a bad quality: when it fails, it does so without much warning either to me or to a Right-wing windbag who has set me off.

If only you could by some force allow me to possess you for perhaps an hour just once when you're under this kind of Right-wing attack nonsense, I could use the great diplomatic reserve and high-minded, long suffering silence for which I am well known.

And once my patience failed, I would loose the demons of Redneck, Old-Time Religion Hell upon the hapless soul foolish enough to spew Right-wing hate around me.

Then I'd see if the evicerated, former loud-mouth wanted some coffee.


The Dark Wraith makes coffee particularly strong, especially for guests in need of resuscitation.

Tue Mar 28, 02:26:36 PM EST  
 rael blogged...

wow. articulate, well-reasoned, and back-at-you. it's not that i don't have a spine. i work for the teachers' union, and you gotta have one here these days. it's always me here urging folks to stop pussyfooting around. but i actually agree with them that, over the long haul, hope does work better than fear. part of my trope is that we're battling old testament fear mongering with new testament tools, so to speak. i had a conversation recently with an evangelical and found myself saying that, actually, this IS the armaggeddon they've been predicting, the final battle between new testament hope and old testament fear. they've just been mischaracterizing the nature of what that battle would be for two millenia. yeah yeah, i've been reading elaine pagels...

yet i digress. and, possibly, ramble.

so here's another question. how do you use well-reasoned logic to refute unreasonable illogic? they're apples and oranges, not part of the same conversation. i'm called a racist in my living room not because said wingnut actually thinks i'm a racist but because it's a rhetorical trick to keep me off balance in front of an audience. it's the political equivalent of playground trash talk, which leads me to say that my best response is a graceful slam dunk, not an articulate rejoinder.

i've discovered that simply ignoring them in such situations works better than anything else. they really don't like that. no, really. a generation leading up to six years of in your face and i'm convinced it's mostly a cry for attention from the culturally deprived. we really have been having more fun than them. like the jocks vs. the freaks time back way back at my high school, they beat up on us because our parties are better. nothing infuriates them more than this simple reality.

Tue Mar 28, 03:06:00 PM EST  
 PoliShifter blogged...

Good post Dark Wraith and you did not over step the line, if fact, you probably did not go far enough but that is ok...

Until theMcFly Democrats fight back against the Biff Republicans nothing will change.

I personally have never been registered with any political party. But because I am anti-Bush and anti-NeoCon, I get lumped in with the "unhinged" liberals as Malkin would say.

Being called liberal to me is not an insult. But I do not consider myself liberal. Like many I believe in fiscal conservatism, and small government. I beleive in local/state's rights over Federal Rights on certain issues.

I am probably more Libertarian than liberal and more Independent than Democrat. But I would rather have Democrats in power any day over what Republicans have become.

In actuality, having a balance of power is far superior to having any party have total power.

Oh well, I lost my train of thought. My thoughts are not that important anyway.

What is important is that if we do not act soon to take back this country, we will soon be without a country.

It sickens me to see those on the right who STILL believe Saddam had ties to Al Qaeda, 9/11, and WMD's EVEN AFTER thier dear leader Bush has now denied he ever made such claims.

What this tells me is that the few, proud, and stupid who still love Bush do know better, they do know the truth, but they also realize their propaganda is really effective on a certain gullable part of our population.

So they keep towing the line and they will continue to tow that line until we beat them into the ground.

Tue Mar 28, 07:54:45 PM EST  
 PeterofLoneTree blogged...

Tolerance and politeness versus a rip-shit ass-whuppin'? What to do? Well, let us take a lesson from the "Prince of Peace":

John 2:13-16 The Passover of the Jews was at hand, and Jesus went up to Jerusalem. In the temple he found those who were selling oxen and sheep and pigeons, and the money-changers at their business. And making a whip of cords, he drove them all, with the sheep and oxen, out of the temple; and he poured out the coins of the money-changers and overturned their tables. And he told those who sold the pigeons, "Take these things away; you shall not make my Father's house a house of trade."

I've always appreciated the older translation which includes the phrase, "You have turned my Father's house into a den of thieves."

Tue Mar 28, 08:19:20 PM EST  
 oldwhitelady blogged...

Good evening, Dark Wraith.

Sometimes tolerance is good. Sometimes it can be taken too far. In the situation of the Republicans, I cannot understand why the Dems continue to sit back and allow some great opportunities pass them by. In doing so, they do a disservice to the American people. I like your post. It's very forceful, direct, and truthful. Sometimes politeness isn't enough. As the cowboys always said, "you're an idiot if you take a knife to a gunfight!"

Tue Mar 28, 10:48:10 PM EST  
 Progressive Traditionalist blogged...

Good evening, Mr Wraith.

It is odd that you should choose such an allegory (unless indeed your arm is sufficiently strong and you have a steady supply of leather straps on hand) particularly when the day-to-day emergencies of life have given me cause to ponder.

Perhaps I should remain (somewhat) silent on this until I have worked out a course of action. But in this case, I believe it is a matter of consoling myself for doing what I know to be right in a situation where I really don't want to be involved.

Which brings me to item #2,
for Rael:
Terribly sorry to hear of you in such an awkward situation. For what it's worth, this is my advice.
Here's a link to the Topics, Book I. Read careefully part 1, and recognize these; in particular:
reasoning is 'contentious' if it starts from opinions that seem to be generally accepted, but are not really such,...
and the classes of knowledge set forth by Spinoza(I have no link) may be of some use.
In general, begin by defining terms, moving away from particulars to generalities, eg "And what do you suppose is meant by 'Racist?'"
And from definitions to specifics, back and forth, as needed.
At best, this person will come to realize that they are an idiot; at worst, you may learn something about Racism that you didn't already know.
The Columbo routine. Works well on engineers that need their egos stroked while you're showing them where they went wrong.
Works for me.
And best of luck.

Tue Mar 28, 11:08:23 PM EST  
 Anonymous blogged...

In the situation of the Republicans, I cannot understand why the Dems continue to sit back and allow some great opportunities pass them by.

I could be wrong, but I think the reticent Dems. in the Congress are so because they worry about the ramifacations of making a stink, not so much because of what will happen to them exactly, so much as they worry that by making a stink they will give the Repubs. a way to take the focus off the news of the day, which now is largely horrible for their political futures.

If I am correct in this assumption, I can see the wisdom in it. If there were Dem. majorities and they were being this silent that would be inexcusable, but with the Dem. minorities in the House & Senate and the news being so Repub. horrible, how will the Dems.' making a stink improve things?

Doing so won't allow them to force investigation or punitive action, will it?

- oddjob (disclaimer - I'm not a member of any political party)

Tue Mar 28, 11:52:06 PM EST  
 The Fat Lady Sings blogged...

So what is it, exactly you are advocating, Dark Wraith? A return to sensibility? I'm definitely with you on that; in fact I echo Mr. Shakes. Nothing beats honest to god, middle of the road common sense - especially when it comes to conservation of anything. I personally abhor the extremes both sides of any debate usually have to offer. High dungeon based, throw money at it solutions flat out don't work; and usually do much more harm than good. Are you suggesting an end run around the pseudo-conservative religo-fascists? Write them off as a bad job and be done with it? If so I heartily agree there as well. Short of an epiphany, neo-Nazi's are not about to turn their swastika's in for rainbow stickers. With luck, the current crop will have been bred out within the next 50 years or so. I won't live to see it; but I certainly would like to know their biased opinions will, at some point, no longer hold sway.

Now – as for implementation? The de-Nazification of Germany was accomplished by means of a world war. That hasn’t happened in our time yet, thank God – and if it does, any victor over the United States would be more likely to prefer bias and rights limitations rather than the centrist approach you support. Change will have to come from within, and it will probably have to be organized; if only as much as 60’s counter-culture organized its own peculiar social revolution through sheer numbers and dogged persistence. So – and we come full circle here - what exactly do you propose?

Wed Mar 29, 12:46:53 AM EST  
 SB Gypsy blogged...

Keller(*a republican up for reelection*) launched into all the times he had recently opposed the Bush Administration, including the deal to allow a Dubai company to manage operations at several U.S. ports. And then Keller went right for the punch line: "'Don't be too hasty,'" he claimed the Vice President had pleaded with him. "'Let's go hunting. We'll talk about it.'"

Heh heh heh

Wed Mar 29, 08:37:07 AM EST  
 Mr. Shakes blogged...

Comparing the SS to the NSA is ludicrous: for one thing, the NSA hasn't gotten everyone terrified of it yet; and for another thing, the Schutzstaffel had better wardrobe designers.

LOL! For a bunch of genocidal maniacs the Nazis did have a certain panache. I remember watching WWII movies as a kid and being annoyed that the Wehrmacht uniforms were so much cooler than the wet wooly socks that my countrymen appeared to be fighting in.

By the way, has anyone else noticed how the helmet sported by modern U.S. infantry is remarkably similar to the old Nazi design?

Wed Mar 29, 10:11:31 AM EST  
 Anonymous blogged...

By the way, has anyone else noticed how the helmet sported by modern U.S. infantry is remarkably similar to the old Nazi design?

Yes.

- oddjob

Wed Mar 29, 10:42:09 AM EST  
 dread pirate roberts blogged...

sounds like a plan to me. can i whup cheney? do we really get to administer corporal punishment?

my own opinion of the democratic idiocy is that they almost all get money from the same places as the repubs. i think that a rightward shift would make the dems even more like repubs.

i somehow missed the liberal defense of european fascism. not denyin', just don't get the reference.

mr shakes, is your gravatar an image of plato?

Wed Mar 29, 11:42:28 AM EST  
 dread pirate roberts blogged...

oops. dang my lapse of manners.

good morning dark wraith.

Wed Mar 29, 11:43:23 AM EST  
 Mr. Shakes blogged...

mr shakes, is your gravatar an image of plato?

No, it's Demosthenes. I've been meaning to change it, as it's rather pretentious, and I am definitely no Demosthenes.

Wed Mar 29, 12:07:12 PM EST  
 PoliShifter blogged...

Hi Oddjob,

you wrote earlier:

"how will the Dems.' making a stink improve things?

Doing so won't allow them to force investigation or punitive action, will it?"

The problem is that most Americans do not understand that Democrats cannot do anything because they are in the minority. They see the Democrats being quiet as a sign of weakness and self doubt.

I hear all the time from people of all political stripes "Why aren't the Democrats doing anything?"

I explain to them as you pointed out that they can't because they can't even hold a frickin' hearing without Rethuglican approval.

People are looking for leadership. Being quiet is not leading.

This is why when Feingold made his Censure proposal many PEOPLE were behind him even though POLITICIANS, specifically Democratic politicians distanced themselves from him.

If Democrats are not careful, the Repugs will steal their thunder.

Already PNAC Co-Founder and NeoCon guru Bill Kristol is distancing himself from the decision to invade Iraq.

Pat Buchanan, hardly a NeoCon but still, is making the circuit telling people that Bush wanted to invade Iraq from day one and that the intelligence is faulty.

Republicans are about winning. And if winning means they need to trash Bush, criticize the war, and question pre-war intelligence, they will. And they won't be bashful about vocalizing it.

After the '06 elections they will sent flowers and gift baskets to the White House along with appologies and all will be forgiven so long as they remain in power and keep doing Bush's bidding.

Keeping quiet will play right into the Republicans hands.

It reinforces the rethugs stereotype of Dems that they have no message, lack leadership, and are weak.

Wed Mar 29, 12:58:59 PM EST  
 My Pet Goat blogged...

The democrats may be constrained by being a minority in congress, but they sure as hell could be doing something about getting (re)elected. The various polls indicated that votes are ripe for the picking, but I hear hardly anything except some of the lame posturing - there is no cohesive message for the future.

Wed Mar 29, 03:33:08 PM EST  
 ddjango blogged...

On your original post, DW . . .

HEAR!! HEAR!!

Sun Apr 02, 03:04:39 PM EDT  
 schwabsauce blogged...

Need to know if this resonates with you. Because of our car culture, tax incentives to build in the suburbs, zoning, racism and accompanying economic problems, farm subsidies, television, etc etc, people have a lot more opportunity to be isolated in this country. My dad's generation could only sit inside for so long before they had to go forth into the streets and seek companionship. But kids these days can sit in front of the TV or the computer more indefinitely and more reliably. People feel compelled to box themselves into monster trucks because they don't fancy the thought of riding a bike or walking in the same space as the endless fleet of TRUCKS. You can cover the whole city without seeing almost any faces. Look someone in the eye for long enough that you have to decide 'smile or frown'? Cars prevent people from this, and unburden them from something they're beginning to do very poorly for lack of practice. People are becoming less sociable because our culture puts so many barriers between them.

People who do get a lot of face contact with others come to understand their body language's cues about their intentions. They are, in some cases, more trusting, more trustworthy, because they've seen that many more examples of cooperations that worked or didn't. They understand the motive for working together and the reasons it works well. And they favor it, they often have little compulsion to keep things to themselves and imagine others untrustworthy. By contrast, people who live in remote rural homes and don't get much social contact are less tuned in to body language, less confident in the good intentions of others, less trusting and cooperative, and far more defensive of their personal sovereignty, even if its never really in question. They even take to the habit of thinking that the typical uninvited visitor is suspicious enough to greet with a gun, and this resort to self-reliance works hard in other parts of the psyche. When you then realize that some subset of the Republican party is these people who don't get enough human contact, don't have many trusting relationships, probably lead lives that could be more rewarding, it really strikes pity into your heart. No one intended for our culture to be like this. We didn't realize that cars could lead to isolation and depression and obesity. We need to get back to a denser transit society, for obvious economic and energy reasons but also to repair our collective people skills. Interaction takes practice, but sympathy comes out of the effort even when there's loads of poverty in the society (although that makes it a lot tougher, for sure!). So let's get to work on our social conventions before the interest rates rise and all Americans become poor. Like turn down the music at bars so we can converse and be understood.

The reason I bring this up is because you said 'people like that don't change their stripes', and I wanted to point out that if we put them into a cultural place where they can learn about sociology, they could change their stripes. I think their self-interest is intact, their intentions are good, and if we let them become enlightened, would that not provide for their enlightened self-interest ;)

Sun Apr 02, 09:10:31 PM EDT  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good evening, schwabsauce, and welcome to The Dark Wraith Forums.

What you said does resonate with me: I grew up in a different time and in a much different culture from that in which I must now live out these years of my life. The situation of my memory is tangled, though, and in no small part this is because I know that not all of my memories are clear; and more importantly, I do understand from reading the thoughts of people from other times that where we are now is not entirely unique.

You are correct: we really did have more opportunities and need for sociability in that time away from the here and now. I remember.

I remember growing up thinking that, like my father and mother, I would have many friends, and I would see them all the time. I expected that my life would be intertwined with many others, and I'd grow up and grow old in the company of life-long friends and associates. We'd know each other, each other's children; we'd go places together or just sit at the local diner to talk about this, that, and the other thing; we'd have our times, and we would live and die in the great and painful life of small people who were nonetheless big to some others.

That didn't happen. The land is shattered, and people live in shells of family, extremely tight associations, or merely alone, even when they're at work, in a crowd, at worship, or at play.

You and I, here in this electronic community, try to speak, to know one another, to see if we could relate and be acquainted, perhaps over years. But it's just not the same. It just isn't.

But I must caution myself in this lament. I know very well that the seeds of this time were all around me in my childhood and adolescence—especially in my adolescence. I thought back then that it all had to do with my mother and me having to move way out into the country awhile after my father died. There was just no one around, and I thought to myself, "God! am I lonely. I want to get back into town and live with people."

By then, though, the world was coming to its end in that regard.

The horror writer Stephen King wrote a book about awful little monsters called Langoliers, creatures who came to eat the past. Woe be to the hapless person caught in a time warp, unable to move forward with his fellow people: the Langoliers were on the move, inexorably, voraciously, and completely consuming all that had come before.

I think, in retrospect, I understand such horror.

I also think I understand that alienation is not a novel experience in this terrible age. It comes to people in many times, particularly those where the culture has disconnected from the society, and both have lost their way from the needs of people, most of whom choose isolation because they choose fear because they choose control from without rather than strength from within.

This world is the unquiet city of those who live mostly for the day and not for the age, who would reach for the cause at the expense of the reason.

Times such as these have come before. They have not, in general, ended well.



The Dark Wraith is glad you've come, schwabsauce.

Sun Apr 02, 09:48:53 PM EDT  
 Phoenician in a time of Romans blogged...

LOL! For a bunch of genocidal maniacs the Nazis did have a certain panache. I remember watching WWII movies as a kid and being annoyed that the Wehrmacht uniforms were so much cooler than the wet wooly socks that my countrymen appeared to be fighting in.

Hey, there's a general military principle that, all other things being considered, the side with the dullest uniforms tends to win.

Tue Apr 04, 02:32:27 AM EDT  

       

Sunday, March 26, 2006

Inflammatory Opinion:
The Clear and Compelling Case for a Truth Commission

Newsweek magazine is reporting in its online edition with dateline April 3, 2006, that U.S. Associate Justice Antonin Scalia, in unpublished remarks on March 8 before an audience at the University of Freiberg, Switzerland, declared that "War is war, and it has never been the case that when you captured a combatant you have to give them [sic] a jury trial in your civil courts... Give me a break." This week, the case Hamdan v. Rumsfeld of a detainee from the U.S. prison at Guantanamo Bay will be heard by the U.S. Supreme Court. Associate Justice Scalia has made no offer to recuse himself because of his prejudicial remarks on the merits of cases like the one to be presented to him and the other eight Justices.

Mr. Scalia's remarks drew "quite an uproar," according to a member of the law faculty of the University of Freiburg. Apparently, at one point during Mr. Scalia's talk, he was challenged by a member of the audience who reminded him of applicable U.S. treaty obligations, a counterpoint that caused the Associate Justice to rant, "If [a detainee] was captured by my army on a battlefield, that is where he belongs," a stunning statement (aside from Mr. Scalia's description of 'my army'):
  • many of the Gitmo detainees were in fact not captured in any combat situation;
  • the Geneva Conventions protocols to which the United States is a signatory explicitly set forth the matters regarding battlefield captures;
  • and the United States was the aggressor nation in both Iraq and Afghanistan, where most of the current detainees were originally found, although neither nation yielded the principal target for which the assaults were justified prior to action, which was the top leadership al-Qa'ida.
Because of the virtual blanket immunity of Supreme Court Justices to consequences from the decisions they render and the conditions of personal belief and professional conduct under which they render those decisions, Mr. Scalia will likely face no material sanction should he proceed with what is now his apparent intention to participate in the adjudication of Hamdan v. Rumsfeld.

This becomes further evidence that the United States Congress, President, and Judiciary are in no way prepared to once and for all come to grips with the legacy of the Bush Administration and the neo-conservative radicals who have taken over the halls of the legislature, the executive branch, and the federal courts. At this point, nothing short of the appointment by the next President of the United States of a Truth Commission with nearly absolute subpoena powers will serve to extract from the participants in this degradation of the Republic the details of and truth about the actions they committed, the decisions they made, and the extent of the harm they caused.

It is to the end of the eventual establishment of such an independent investigatory body that I shall in the months ahead ask others to join me in demanding of any candidate running for the Office of the President of the United States in 2008 that he or she commit to the establishment of a Truth Commission of the United States of America within 90 days of assuming office, and that this Truth Commission comprise independent members without any connection whatsoever to those who have been the architects and engineers of the policies of the Bush Administration. As suggested, this Truth Commission must be vested of full powers to subpoena any person deemed necessary, be he or she a politician, a military official, or a member of the judiciary; and the Commission must be charged with having no duty to negotiate any terms upon which testimony will be rendered by any person so subpoenaed. In other words, with regard to this second point, the results of the Truth Commission of the United States will not be suspect and thoroughly tainted as were the results of the 9/11 Commission or the criminal investigation by federal prosecutor Patrick Fitzgerald of the outing for political revenge of non-official cover operative Valerie Plame.

In the months ahead, I shall more fully and formally press this demand upon candidates, and I shall for my own part make agreement to the pledge the first requirement of any candidate seeking my assistance, financial support, and/or endorsement. No less than a Truth Commission will right what has happened during the Bush Administration, and no less than harsh, swift, and certain justice of retribution rendered upon the neo-conservatives and their social and political allies will ensure that this era is not soon repeated.


The Dark Wraith has spoken.

<< 25 Comments Total
 Progressive Traditionalist blogged...

Good evening, Mr Wraith.

I have every reason to believe that you will be very careful in your language in drawing up such a document, and I support your end in this.
And while I believe that this is quite probably the only way the truth will ever see the light, I feel that witholding my support from a candidate due to a refusal of this endorsement would be going too far.

Nevertheless, I am prepared to put my signature on such a petition.
Let me know when.

Sun Mar 26, 06:15:47 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good afternoon, Progressive Traditionalist.

I am glad you posted the comment that you did. My wording could have been interpreted to mean that I would anticipate that petition signers would be committing to my personal unwillingness to support candidates who do not pledge to a truth commission. The last paragraph of my article flowed a little too smoothly from the one before it. I have now edited the post, adding a clarifying clause.

I do intend to write the statement in such a way that candidates understand that there is a consequence in ignoring the call. Specifically, the signatories of the demand will be published by blog, name, or pseudonym as desired, and candidate agreeing to and ignoring the call will be published for all to see.

Signatories may carve out in their own writings their considered actions for candidates pledging and not pledging.

Sun Mar 26, 06:50:27 PM EST  
 LindiBee blogged...

What has always appalled me about Scalia is the lengths to which his people will go to prevent the public from reading his direct quotations when he is speaking before sympathetic (and, sometimes, not-so-sympathetic) audiences. Which brings an interesting point- is there any precedence for censuring- and/or potentially removing- a Supreme Court Justice for misconduct? I realize that this could only happen under the most extreme circumstances- but has it ever been considered?

Sun Mar 26, 11:08:43 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good evening, LindiBee.

If memory serves me correctly, Samuel Chase was the only Supreme Court Justice ever to be impeached. He was subsequently acquitted.

Other judges have been impeached and found guilty, but these actions are extraordinarily rare in the history of the Republic. As a general rule, impeachment for rendering unconstitutional decisions is way off the table anymore, but impeachment for improper conduct is still within the scope of possibility. It is, however, no mean trick.

In the case of Scalia, the action would best be initiated by a sitting President, who would then need the unyielding support of the Congress. To have that, you would need a veritable lynching mood pervading Capitol Hill.

It is, however, not impossible; but it's a real long shot at this time. That having been said, Scalia has pushed it about as far as any Justice has in recent memory with respect to his increasingly flagrant actions contrary to good and proper judicial form. Even though his ridiculous written opinions and bizarre personal lifestyle are deeply troubling, they are not the stuff of impeachment.

His conflicts of interest, on the other hand, might be. It would take a President with oodles and oodles of guts, backed by a Congress with oodles and oodles of backbone.


The Dark Wraith has then, in that last paragraph, set forth the chances that Scalia is going to be impeached.

Sun Mar 26, 11:31:31 PM EST  
 My Pet Goat blogged...

I'd like to see the constitution changed to required elected officials (and their appointments) to be under oath 100 percent of the time. Then watch politicians squirm when the commission asks things like
Did you agree to invade Iraq even without UN backing?

Sun Mar 26, 11:42:02 PM EST  
 Anonymous blogged...

His conflicts of interest, on the other hand, might be. It would take a President with oodles and oodles of guts, backed by a Congress with oodles and oodles of backbone.

It would also require a breathtakingly blatant, and unavoidably public misdeed - one so blatant that the serious consequences of impeachment and removal were the only way to remedy it. That way the handfull of Coburns and Cornyns and Frists in the Senate at the time who would still want to protect him wouldn't be able to.

- oddjob

Mon Mar 27, 12:41:19 AM EST  
 t rogers blogged...

Good morning, O ebon one.

With every sign that the two balances against the executive branch are derelict to the extreme, not to mention in cahoots with Bushco, nothing would give me greater pleasure than a truth commission being empanelled sometime in 2009. And to that end I plan on working to get Feingold nominated rather than Republican-lite Clinton.

Mon Mar 27, 03:18:15 AM EST  
 SB Gypsy blogged...

Good Morning Dark Wraith,

Absolutely, Finegold over Clinton any day - actually anyone but Clinton, the weasel!

- and I'm ready to sign that petition.

Mon Mar 27, 08:10:05 AM EST  
 Progressive Traditionalist blogged...

Good morning, Mr Wraith.

Just to let you know that I took that statement to be a personal one, and not related to the petition.

As for me, I had determined that I would not vote for Bill Nelson for the Senate in '06 due to his lack of support for the filibuster effort, but would instead leave that space blank.
That was before the idea of voting against Katherine Harris became a realistic prospect. We'll see.
Politics is such a strange beast.

Mon Mar 27, 09:56:23 AM EST  
 Anonymous blogged...

OT, but worth the read. (Hat tip, RawStory.)

(Be warned that the first thing you will see is a nice prominent picture of Sen. Dimwit (R-PA, aka "Forrest Gump with an attitude"). Don't lose your lunch over it, just plow on.)

- oddjob

Mon Mar 27, 09:57:16 AM EST  
 PeterofLoneTree blogged...

"If memory serves me correctly, Samuel Chase was the only Supreme Court Justice ever to be impeached." -- DW

PoLT acknowledges the Wraith's expertise in matters historical. He was all set to comment: "Do you not mean Salmon P. Chase"? But googling around revealed that it was Salmon P. Chase who was the Supreme Court justice who presided over the court during the impeachment of Andrew Johnson.

And, FWIW, it is Salmon P. Chase's portrait that adorns the $10,000 bill. I have only the googlesearch record to confirm that piece of information because I went grocery shopping over the weekend and had to bust my last "ten".

Mon Mar 27, 10:21:52 AM EST  
 dread pirate roberts blogged...

happy monday dw,
i am cheered by your optimism that such a thing might happen. the commission, i mean. if jeb is elected the petition will be the next gitmo list.

Mon Mar 27, 10:39:12 AM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good morning, Dread Pirate Roberts.

You really didn't want to live forever anyway, did you?



The Dark Wraith wouldn't mind having a few friends along for the trip to the washboard.

Mon Mar 27, 11:28:31 AM EST  
 oldwhitelady blogged...

Good morning, Dark Wraith.

That is such a great idea! A commission to find the truth. It bogles the mind with wonderment, after having watched this current administration in action.

Mon Mar 27, 12:44:02 PM EST  
 Anonymous blogged...

Another juicy Scalia tidbit for y'all. (Hat tip, Americablog.)

- oddjob

Mon Mar 27, 01:57:57 PM EST  
 karen m blogged...

Good afternoon, Dark Wraith.

I think it's a wonderful idea. At last, to have an explanation as to where the hell our civil liberties went, and why. I'll cheerfully sign it, and be happy to help in any way I can.

About Scalia: would "crazy as a loon" be grounds for impeachment? Only slightly joking.

Mon Mar 27, 02:31:49 PM EST  
 The Fat Lady Sings blogged...

Be very careful, my dear that you don't fall into the McCarthy trap. Ostensibly, his 'fact finding' commission was just supposed to investigate whether or not Communist Party members and sympathizers were employed in the government or by government contractors – a rather simple task on the face of it. That it obviously shifted and grew under McCarthy's unstable personality is a testament to one man’s paranoiac fever-dreams rather than the nature of his charge (at least to a fifties mind-set); but you must see that any 'Truth Commission' would have a similar potential in the wrong hands. I agree with the concept; an independent investigation needs to be initiated. The whole neo-con infestation must be dealt with following Bush’s exodus; just be very careful what you are asking for, and who you are asking to do it. Witch hunts are a popular way of dealing with charged political situations. I would hate to unleash one – even onto the heads of those who actively courted such a thing through their own intransigence.

Mon Mar 27, 03:19:11 PM EST  
 BadTux blogged...

This is all fiddling while Rome burns anyhow. The true issue is that the majority of Americans are not willing to do what it takes to have government of the people, by the people, for the people. We have become a nation of cowards, too scared and too cowardly to do anything but mumble our disagreement on the blogs and the boards. If John Adams had tried to set himself up as King, there would almost instantly have been thousands of people in the streets with weapons in hand to suck him out of the Philadelphia statehouse and draw and quarter him. Alas, the days of Americans with the courage to overthrow a tyrannical and dictatorial government are long behind us.

The only thing that will ever motivate the American people to rise up from their apathy and return government of the people, by the people, for the people to the United States of America will be when the United States hits bottom, with 50% unemployment, 20% of the population wandering the land homeless, and half of all children going to bed hungry. The last time this happened, we got FDR. But we could just as well have gotten Adolph Hitler. That's the problem with hitting bottom -- people are willing to support any two-bit ideologue who promises them a better life. But right now, that's the only way things will change -- alas.

- Badtux the History Penguin

Mon Mar 27, 03:46:08 PM EST  
 PoliShifter blogged...

Won't work...

Republicans will never put their hand on a bible and swear to tell the whole truth and nothing but the truth...

Mon Mar 27, 04:48:01 PM EST  
 My Pet Goat blogged...

You are right PoliShifter. The bible means little to the pukes; you would have to use a big stack of c-notes for the swearing in process.

Mon Mar 27, 07:08:42 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good evening, OddJob.

Thank you for the link to that story. I was planning only to skim through it, but I got sucked in and read the whole thing with no small amount of interest and glee.

I have to say that Gingrich's comment that the Democrats should adopt the campaign slogan, "Had enough?" made me laugh out loud. I think I'm going to make that into a bumper sticker and actually attribute the slogan to Gingrich right on the sticker.

I do smell trouble, though: the voting machines are still a major issue, perhaps even the issue that will define the outcomes in at least several states, along with the control of vote counting and other matters in states like Ohio, where Secretary of State Ken Blackwell is still slithering around playing filthy politics. (I trust you've already heard about the official state Website where he's been posting personal information, including Social Security numbers, of Ohio citizens, coincidentally including a former political opponent who just happened to subsequently become the victim of identity theft.)

As much as I want to remain the unyielding cynic, it does appear that there is some hope for the Democrats. That does not, however, mean that I plan to take my own personal criticism of the Donkey Party to a lower level. If anything, I'm going to do my part to push their candidates even harder to find their backbones and call the whackos in charge what they are.


The Dark Wraith would like to just once hear a major Democratic candidate finally use the word 'whacko' to describe his Republican challenger.

Mon Mar 27, 11:09:37 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good evening, Mr. Goat.

That is just so darned cynical of you. We both know better: the government doesn't even have a stack of C-notes.

The government might, of course, get the Chinese to lend us a stack. That might make it tricky, though, when the Truth Commission starts trying to subpoena the Chinese about why so many of them were showing up in the Able Danger threat matrix, right along with Condoleeza Rice and Mohammed Atta.


The Dark Wraith realizes that this whole Truth Commission idea is going to have some thorny implementation issues.

Mon Mar 27, 11:21:29 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good evening, PoliShifter.

You know, I'm getting a little averse to going over to your Websites. Today, you're going on about the bizarre government study to find out about cocaine in urine in the Potomac; and a couple of days ago, you reprinted that article about how Arkansas science education institute teachers aren't supposed to mention to kids "natural selection" or the actual ages of rocks they show in classes.

If I didn't know better, I'd think you were trying to make people think there's something wrong with the leaders of this country and some of its fine states.


The Dark Wraith has his suspicions.

Mon Mar 27, 11:30:11 PM EST  
 My Pet Goat blogged...

Speaking of being cynical, CNN is reporting that Government investigators smuggled radioactive materials into U.S.

Two teams of government investigators using fake documents were able to enter the United States with enough radioactive sources to make two dirty bombs, according to a federal report made available Monday.

Is this a planned move to:

1. Help generate support for bushco's war on terror, or

2. Help define the brewing immigration debate, or

3. A distraction from all the impeachable offenses, or

3. All of the above?

Tue Mar 28, 12:18:29 AM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good evening, BadTux. I'm glad you've come over to this darkened blog. My Field Guide to Blogging Birds of the Cold Climates didn't mention whether or not penguins are nocturnal creatures, but I'm happy to learn that they are, indeed.

I am presently to publish a follow-up to this article, one in which I provide clarity to my sentiments and thinking with regard to a truth commission and its task. What I am about to publish may trouble some readers: the harshness of my views about the neo-conservatives and the remedies necessary may trouble some, particularly because I must unabashedly put on display that side of my views decidedly not in keeping with my more progressive, tolerant side. In advance, I must forewarn that some of what I say below might not sit well with some, and I shall understand that discomfort. In some ways, it troubles even me that my patience with neo-conservatism has become so truncated that I must revert to attitudes within myself that pose in such harshness. That, unfortunately, is one of the many downsides of become agéd: patience in some areas of life becomes a precious commodity to be reserved only for those worthy of it. Somewhere along the past several years of my life, the neo-conservatives fell off my list of those for whom patience, tolerance, and acceptance is warranted.


Read that post for to see my extended thinking in the matters of the neo-cons, their supporters, and the proper way to deal with the lot of them.


The Dark Wraith heads to the publishing platform.

Tue Mar 28, 01:19:30 AM EST  

       

Saturday, March 25, 2006

Wraith Classics:
Aftermath of the 2004 Presidential Election

This is the first in an occasional series of posts offering readers here at The Dark Wraith Forums some of the original writings I authored in and for other venues. This series will comprise an eclectic mix. Included will be articles written when I was a business consultant, as well as selections from contributions I made as the Selig Wraith (the Blesséd Ghost) in the Medieval History Forum of About.com, where I created and contributed to a thread entitled, "A Once and Future Language," which was my platform to teach and answer questions about the history and current trends in the English language. That thread still stands as the longest ever created in the Medieval History Forum. Wraith Classics will also present comments and analyses I posted on message boards and blogs before the launch of The Dark Wraith Forums.

Regular readers here know that my writings vary from the straight, expository lectures on through to slice-of-life factual and fictional narratives. Occasionally, I use the vehicle of a play to make a point.

To launch this series, I am republishing in extended form a play I wrote and posted in a comment thread at AmericaBlog late on the evening of November 11, 2004. This was, of course, shortly after the 2004 Presidential Election, when the comments at AmericaBlog and other progressive sites had become decidedly downbeat with the defeat of John Kerry by George W. Bush. Hope was fading that anything could be done to change the outcome of the election, despite rumors already swirling of vote fraud, particularly in Ohio but in other states, as well. At the time I wrote this play, my principal intention was to bring a touch of levity to depressed readers, but I also wanted to poke minor, if irreverent and slightly blasphemous, fun at both the Republicans and the Democrats.

My intention in this current republication of that little play is different. In my judgment, the Democratic Party is driving headlong toward the same mistakes it made in 2004, when the chosen candidate declined one opportunity after another to deal with the viciousness, mendacity, and hatefulness of the Republicans. The cowardice that John Kerry showed both before and after the election was a tribute to the dominance of the Republican strategy in an era of voter ignorance, mean-spiritedness, and tolerance of corruption of purpose and morals. Playing nice, being dignified, and posing with reason were trumped by the Republicans, who neither cared for those rules nor abided by them. To imagine that somehow the fundamental dynamic has changed is to hope for politics to move toward some old-fashioned, largely repudiated, entirely obsolete, and somewhat mythical strategy. Hardly ever does politics move toward strategy; rather, the successful politician moves his or her strategy toward the politics of the era.

According to important Democratic consultants, we bloggers in Blogosphere Left 2.0 are irrelevant. We're too strident, we're too untamed, and we just don't understand. These charges are all too true. Unlike conservative bloggers, who march in lock-step grinds of Party Line diatribes, we in Blogosphere Left 2.0 are a cacaphony of voices coming from all different directions, having rather disparate focuses of primary interest and showing a growing intolerance for our very own politicians and their groveling, cowering appeasement of the black-hearted hate machine of neo-conservatism and its nasty apostasy of Right-wing evangelicalism.

The Democrats who would pose to win our approval must be forewarned, however. We bloggers can be very creative, and we have no qualms about making appeasers within our ranks the object of our derision. We can make laughing stocks of cowards, and we can do it in many ways, from many angles, and from thousands of places both here in cyberspace and in the world of the meat puppets. This is what we do: we disrespect institutional rigor mortus, we disrupt the best laid plans of our more respectable and reputable betters, and we enjoy our craft like some people enjoy chocolate, sex, and low-amperage cattle prods.

I digress.

Without further ado, from mid-November of the year 2004, The Dark Wraith Forums herewith presents the Director's Cut of the re-release of...


The 2004 Presidential Smackdown Extravaganza



Camera and music on cue... three, two, one, and... GO!

[Blaring, high-energy music]

[World Political Wrestling Federation Logo fast-zoom. Flame burst across screen.]

[Camera 3 pan audience. Hard-in zoom on screaming fans.]

[Camera 1, face-on: Arnold Schwarzenegger and Satan]

[Cue Schwarzenegger]

Schwarzenegger: Vee are heer aht the Peoria Ceevic Center for the BEEgest tag-team match in the heestory of the universe.

Satan: That's right, Arny. ToNIGHT, it's the tag team of George "The DUH-bya" Bush and Dick "The Dick" Cheney going head-to-head with Jesus Christ and John Kerry!

Schwarzenegger: VAHT a fight eeet's going to be: A no-holds-barred, veeenner-take-all, three-round battle for control of the Earth!

Satan: Well, everyone knows which side Arny and I will be cheering for; but we know it's going to be one helluva match, if you'll forgive that little self-promotion.

Schwarzenegger: Of course vee vill. The majority of Americans vant our team to vin, anyvay.

DING-DING-DING!

Announcer: LAYDEEEEES... and... GYENTLEMEN! The Dark Wraith Forums Production Company in association with Way Over the Top Entertainment, LLC, proudly brings you the The 2004 Presidential Smackdown Extravaganza! In THIS corner, the WINNER of the ANNO DOMINI 2000 AND the ANNO DOMINI 2004 United States Presidential Elections, MR. GEEEEEEEEORGE "The DUH-bya" BUSH and DICK "The Dick" CHENEY!

(Crowd goes bananas, cheering wildly)

Announcer: And in THIS corner, the LORD JAY-SUS "The Savior" CHRIST and JOHN "The Loser" KERRY!

(CROWD boos, hisses)

(Round card girl—Donald Rumsfeld in drag—circles the mat holding up Round One card.)

Announcer: NO HOLDS ARE ILLEGAL, THREE ROUNDS, THREE-SECOND PIN WINS.


DING-DING!


We'll be right back.



Commercial RG1 On.
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Well, it's time for YEW t' come home to the grace that only the Reverend Girdlestamp can offer. Call our toll-free number right now, and we'll send yew, without obligation, our 36-page pamphlet, "Say 'YES!' to the Lord, Say 'NO! to Your Groin." We have operators standing by t' pray with you for Eternal Salvation. Yer donations can be made right there on our Prayer Hotline. Major credit cards are accepted.

So call right now, before another minute passes. Remember: Gawd loves yew, but He ain't got no problem with throwin' yew into Hell if yer a sinner.





[Blast music, WPWF Logo fast-zoom. Flame burst across screen.]

[Camera 5, 45-side-on: Satan and Schwarzenegger, turn to camera]

[Cue Schwarzenegger]

Schwarzenegger: Just eeen time. Vill the sorry-ass team of Kerry and Jesus even last three rounds?

Satan: I don't know, Arny. They're already broken. You can see it: Kerry's slow, and those weak knees of his are starting to buckle every time he tries to put up his dukes. And that Jesus character: who would've believed the 'Messiah' would be such a wimp when it comes to death, destruction, and oppressive occupation? Looks like that 'forgive your enemies' strategy is about to meet the big-time, real-world whammy.

Schwarzenegger: Zee bell ees about to...

DING-DING-DING!

(Crowd roars.)

Jesus steps out into ring from right corner.
Cheney strides out from left corner.

Jesus opens his arms, palms of hands revealing scars of the Crucifixion: "Welcome, my son."

Cheney roars, "FUCK you, Jesus!" and grabs Jesus by the throat, lifts Him into the air, spinning Him 'round and 'round.

Jesus cries, "FATHER, why hast Thou forsaken me this soon?!"

Cheney bawls, "Mushroom clouds! MUSHROOM CLOUDS!!!" and slams Jesus to the mat, grabs his foot, and starts twisting it.

Kerry reaches as far into the ring as he can, screaming: "TAG ME, JESUS! TAG ME! I'm ready for battle! I'll SAVE YOU!"

Jesus claws his way toward Kerry but suddenly gets dragged to the middle of the ring. Cheney jumps up, runs at ropes, bounces off, makes flying dive onto the Lord's chest.

DUH-bya screams from ringside, "Lemme at 'im, lemme at 'im. C'mon, Dick, you PROMISED I could do something. I'm a BIG boy! I flew an airplane!"

Cheney gets up slowly and deliberately. Jesus lies still, eyes glazed. Cheney walks toward the corner of the ring and picks up giant remote control device. "Okay, George. GO GIT 'EM!"

Cheney starts pressing buttons furiously as Bush climbs into ring. DUH-bya yells, "Axis of EVIL. Weapons o' Mass Destruction. Long-term effects of alcohol and cocaine. Mission Accomplished. Served with honor. No one saw Jeff on top, so it doesn't count."

Jesus grovels to the side of the ring, tags Kerry.

Kerry leaps into ring, runs at Bush.

Cheney grabs M60 machine gun and starts firing wildly.

B-B-B-B-B-B-B-BAM-POP-POP-BAM!

Jesus dives for cover. Kerry hollers: "I'm gonna charge that machine gun nest!" Cheney aims at Kerry, fires point-blank. Kerry shrieks, "I'm HIT! I'm HIT! He got me right in the ass! MEDIC! MEDIC!... I want a Purple Heart for this!"

Kerry staggers backward, tags Jesus.


DING-DING!


We'll be right back.



Commercial GW1 On.
[Smirking middle-aged man] I used to have a limp you-know-what. Couldn't pulse beef worth a damn... Then I tried Porkalis... And now... [Blaring trombones; cut to picture of the Matterhorn]

[Deep male voice-over] Ask your doctor about Porkalis. See if it's right for you. Side effects may include blood loss to small brains; uncontrolled sense of being attractive when actually old, fat, and ugly; and certain gristly tissues bursting into giant, flaming torch. Use only as directed on fire extinguisher.





[Blast music, WPWF Logo fast-zoom. Unfortunately coincidental flame burst across screen.]

[Camera 1, face-on]

DING-DING-DING!

Schwarzenegger: VAHT A FIGHT!

Satan: You SAID it, Arny. This was billed as the Battle of the Apocalypse, and it sure IS. Goddamn! I've never seen anything LIKE it! Dick and DUH-bya CONTROL the agenda, no doubt ABOUT it.

Schwarzenegger: Jesus and John have no plan, no strategy. Did you SEE the way Kerry was flip-flopping around after he got hit with that round from the M60?!

Satan: And look at JESUS: Just lying there acting like some kind of martyr!

(Round-Card Rumsfeld parades around the ring, holding up ROUND TWO card.)

DING-DING

Jesus staggers into the center of the ring. DUH-bya, controlled by Cheney's remote from ringside, lands blow after blow, backing the Lord into a corner. DUH-bya pushes Jesus's upper body under top rope, flips Him over so His body is tangled between top and middle ropes.

DUH-bya turns around to wave to the crowd. Crowd shrieks approval of twisting Christ to conform to Bush's agenda.

Satan: I don't see John Kerry ANYWHERE around.

Schwarzenegger: He's over there in front of the judges testifying about the atrocities going on in the ring.

Satan (laughing): A lot of good THAT'LL do. (mocking) Boo-hoo-hoo.

While George is busy waving to his fans, Jesus has managed to untangle Himself. Without anyone seeing how He got there, He's suddenly standing on top of a corner ring post, towering over DUH-bya.

(Crowd howls hysterically.)

Satan: Oh, my GOD! Jesus is about to lower the BOOM on George.

Schwarzenegger: Vaht can save heeem, NOW?!

Suddenly, Cheney leaps back into the ring and knocks George out of the way as Jesus descends upon His enemy. Jesus hits the ground with a THUD, lies unconscious.

Kerry scrambles under ropes into the ring, yells to Cheney: "You can't DO that!"

Cheney screams, "WE CAN DO ANYTHING WE WANT! WHO'S GOING TO STOP US! WHO HAS EVER STOPPED US?!!!!"

George rushes over, flips Jesus on his back, pins His shoulders to the mat.

Referee: ONE... TWO...

DING-DING!


We'll be right back.



Commercial RC1 On.
[Female voice-over; somber violin music] The Republican National Committee needs your help. As we speak, America is being overrun by Democrats on every street corner, encouraging young boys into homosexual encounters at local YMCAs, telling girls it's okay to have multiple abortions after rape and incest, putting help wanted ads in newspapers to draw women away from their homes and families, making God-fearing American men sympathize with the billions of Muslim terrorists all over the world, and teaching impressionable college students how to use the American flag for toilet paper.

[Switch to up-beat, redneck/techno-pop fusion music] But the Republican National Committee is at the forefront of the war to protect our dear, beloved country from the people who hate it. This vile, liberal scum CAN be stopped and its minions sent to secret prisons for testicular electrification and disembowelment. But we need your donations. Send them in now, or make a donation at your local Right-wing church, where God is on your side... and ours!





[Blast music, WPWF Logo fast-zoom. Flame burst across screen.]

[Camera 1, backed out, face-on to Schwarzenegger and Satan. Pull in, Schwarzenegger.]

DING-DING-DING!

Schwarzenegger: I AM EXHAUSTED!

Satan: SO AM I. Can you BELIEVE it? The Lord Jesus Christ saved by some idiotic technicality like the end-of-round bell? Where's the justice?!

Schwarzenegger: Kerry and Christ are broken, defeated, hated by the majority of the audience! Why don't they just throw in the towel right NOW?

Satan: John Kerry is such an EMBARRASSMENT! Jesus could have joined the Bush/Cheney ticket, but instead, He chose the losing side... once AGAIN. Will he ever LEARN? This round's gonna be ugly, I can feel it in my bones, can't you, Muscle Man?

Schwarzenegger: I sure can, O Summoner of Blood Rivers. The end is at hand, and VEE are here to see it!

Round-Card Rumsfeld prances around the ring, holding up ROUND THREE card.

DING-DING

Kerry marches forward, salutes. Cheney and Bush, together in ring, give him a double head slap. Kerry stands firm, refuses to address personal assault.

[Ear splitting, roaring engine sound fills auditorium] VROOOOM! VROO-VROOO-VRRROOOMMMM!!

Satan: DO YOU SEE WHO'S JUST ENTERED THE ARENA?! It's... it's... MARY CHENEY, and... and... SHE'S WEARING A VIKING MAIDEN OUTFIT, COMPLETE WITH HORNS ON THE HELMET!!!

Schwarzenegger: And she's accessorizing with a 1973 Harley-Davidson!

Satan: What STYLE!

(Crowd screams in complete hysteria.)

DUH-bya and Cheney grab Kerry and haul him into the air, rushing him toward ringside where Mary Cheney is standing, leaning forward. George and Dick heave Kerry over the ropes and slam him down right into Mary's horns.

(Crowd shrieks.)

Satan (bawling above mob): HO-LEEE MOSES!! They just GORED Kerry!!!

Schwarzenegger: VAHT an END to a caREER.

Kerry slumps over, falls off hat, tags Jesus as he crumples onto the floor of the arena outside the ring.

Jesus goes under ropes into the ring and stands up directly in front of Dick and DUH-bya.

Cheney cries out, "Where is your kingdom, NOW?"

Bush echoes, "Yeah, where is your kingdom, NOW?"

Together, they step forward, flogging Christ, driving Him backward into a corner of the ring.

Satan: They're gonna CRUCIFY Jesus!

Cheney snarls, "Join me or DIE, Sweet Jesus!"

Jesus turns to look for Kerry, but he's gone. All alone, Jesus stands, waiting for the EndTime.

All of a sudden, beside Him are standing men and women: My Pet Goat, OddJob, Lizzy, Wild Clover, Barbi, elf, Trailer Trash, Shakespeare's Sister, Jen, Gary A., PoliShifter, Dread Pirate Roberts, Lily, Paul the Spud, Missouri Mule, Phoenician in a time of Romans, Chief, BlondeSense Liz, Old White Lady, Fat Lady Sings, DemiOrator, BadTux, Culture Ghost, Green Knight, Elise, meEE, Karen M, Lisa Renee, Pam, Julien, Guy Andrew Hall, Kenneth Quinnell, Ron Brynaert, Charlie, isabelita, Eric Hopp, Mary, Debra, blackdog, Eli Blake, Radical Russ, No Blood for Hubris, Tim, Kate, Cyn, Misty, Lab Kat, Me4President, Stealth Badger, Charles Perez, Gary, Mixter, Cherizac, ROF, Red State Blues, dorsano, Gordon, LindiB, SB Gypsy, Lymond, binky, Treban, DonViti, Pissed Off Patricia, Mr. Shakes, Dark Daughta, Chuck, Deborah, Peter of Lone Tree, Ben Wood, Wadena, Holly, Anntichrist S. Coulter, Progressive Traditionalist, NC Gal, Siri, Luther, T. Rogers, Culture Ghost, DeLLBerto, Left Behind Child, eponymous, litbrit, Andi Allen, Fixer, badgerpup, actor212, ROF, Kathy, D., Jaye Ramsey Sutter, and a Host of Angels, all proclaiming, GLORY BE TO THE PROGRESSIVE MOVEMENT!

Then...


DUH-bya and Dick kick Jesus's ass.

Referee: ONE... TWO... THREEEEEEEEEEE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

DING-DING-DING-DING-DING!!!!



Satan: DONE! FINISHED! FINAL VICTORY OVER ALL THAT IS GOOD, DECENT, AND HUMANE!

Schwarzenegger: Vell, that's eet from the Peoria Ceeevic Center Arena, vhere you've just veeetnessed George "The DUH-bya" Bush and Richard "The Dick" Cheney destroy all hope for the future of the human race!

Satan: Right you ARE, Arny. It was EVERYTHING a politics and religion fanatic could've hoped for! And now begins The Thousand Year Reign of Blackness.

Schwarzenegger: I'm Ahnold Svahtzenekkehr.

Satan: And I'm Satan. Good night, and may God bless you... NOT!

[Music fast fade-in]
[Logo on screen.]
[Camera 7 pan empty arena]
[Camera 6 outside shot of Civic Center; demons swooping down, snatching fans' souls and dragging them down into Hell]
[Fade to black]


[Cut]








(Darkened arena. Lone janitor sweeping aisleways.)



Small stage door creaks open. Head peeks out, looks around.

Janitor (looking startled): Who're YOU?

Figure in doorway: I'm John Kerry. I used to be a contender.

Janitor: Oh. Well, I'm Dark Wraith; I'm just the janitor. The closest exit is over there, sir. Please make sure the door locks behind you on your way out.

Kerry (walking out the exit): Thank you for your support.

Janitor: You're quite welcome, Mr. Kerry.

(Door closes.)


(Silence.)






Janitor: Asshole.




The Dark Wraith Forums Production Company
in association with
Way Over the Top Entertainment, LLC






The Dark Wraith bows to the applauding audience.

<< 16 Comments Total
 oldwhitelady blogged...

Good evening, Dark Wraith.

Gosh, but after reading your play, I am exhausted! It was verrrry entertaining... and very busy... and so true!

I was reading the paper today, and came across an article about Bush and Cheney attacking the Democratic party, saying they wouldn't know how to handle the country during war... as if Bush and Cheney do???

Sat Mar 25, 07:33:42 PM EST  
 My Pet Goat blogged...

Very strange that you should post this, now. Something a few days ago reminded me of your series of smackdown posts. Very funny then, very funny now, and very deserving of being a Wraith Classic.

Sat Mar 25, 08:46:14 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good evening, Mr. Goat.

You might recall that the night I posted the original of this, I had to do it across no fewer than five comments because of the word limit in HaloScan.

I did the whole thing on a thread well down from the current article so it wouldn't interfere with on-going, more pressing posts. You actually wrote a comment on a thread near the top asking OddJob if he was following what I was doing, and he affirmed that he was.

If I recall correctly, hardly anyone besides you commented on the play in the thread where I was posting it. The primary reason was because it went by barely noticed, but I think there was a bit of unease among some who actually saw it. Maybe they thought I'd gone a little overboard or something.

One way or the other, although this is a reconstruction of what I wrote that night, you might notice that it's more developed than the original version in terms of content as well as formatting (since in HaloScan, only a few flat, basic HTML tags are allowed).

I'm just glad I finally got clear through the re-creation of this thing. Let's just hope it doesn't drive people away, here.


The Dark Wraith should probably post an advisory that it's only a work of fiction.

Sun Mar 26, 02:37:44 AM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good evening, Old White Lady.

Yes, I've seen the latest fear-mongering by Bush and Cheney about the Democrats being unable to lead a country that is at war.

That's the sort of nonsense that makes me blurt out, "Don't fart in my face and tell me it's the tater wagon rolling by."


Or something like that.


The Dark Wraith is a bit punchy from writing so much tonight.

Sun Mar 26, 02:42:57 AM EST  
 t rogers blogged...

Good morning Mr. Shaw, er, Wraith. You know, this reminds me of the Super Bowl: I enjoyed the commercials as much as the main event.

Sun Mar 26, 07:56:12 AM EST  
 t rogers blogged...

Re: your latest quote. This might be considered euthanasia.

Sun Mar 26, 08:01:08 AM EST  
 Missouri Mule blogged...

Good Morning, Dark One.

I truly enjoyed the play. Thank you for posting it.

What a fine example of art imitating life.

There is one thing about it that distrubs me. I can't seem to get Junior Brown's song, "Joe The Singing Janitor" out of my mind. Wonder why?

Have a good Sunday and sleep with one eye open. Those pesty Bible thumpers are out and about.

Sun Mar 26, 11:03:26 AM EST  
 meEE blogged...

Dear DW,
I enjoyed your story very much, including the commercials. I do have some questions. Is the janitor, being somewhat detached from the drama the only real winner, as he perhaps is the only one not caught up in the show? Is the action real or like the WWF only a show, and does anyone know that? And what happens to the progressive group that at least stood with Jesus and angels at the end?

I'm quite new to this so maybe you have answered these in other stories.

I'll be hanging out. Good day.

me in the EE

Sun Mar 26, 03:13:09 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Ah, meEE, you noticed.

Is wrestling real, or is it all a show? I mean, after all, the fate of the universe was hanging in the balance. That couldn't have all been done with pre-arranged winners and losers. Then again, there wouldn't be any need for pre-arrangements if you pick the players for the opposing teams properly.

And of course, there was that issue of the janitor who stayed in the arena. It seems to me that it was better in there once it was nice and quiet. It's often not a good idea to go outside, anyway.


Especially in Peoria after the wrestling matches.



The Dark Wraith sweeps away the dust.

Sun Mar 26, 03:24:59 PM EST  
 My Pet Goat blogged...

You might recall that the night I posted the original of this, I had to do it across no fewer than five comments because of the word limit in HaloScan.

I had not thought of that. I had assumed it was to catch your breath in between binges with your keyboard.

Sun Mar 26, 11:33:11 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good evening, Mr. Goat.

That was one of those examples of my occasional hyper-graphia oddity. Once I get started like that, I can't stop. I mean, I literally can't stop.

This same thing happens here every once in a great while. The long posts are sometimes the product of a single writing binge with almost no let-up.

It's weird stuff. That night, the only thing that was slowing me down was the HaloScan word limit. By the time I got to the third post of the five, I simply switched to Notepad and just kept going. Once I'd finished, it took me some time to edit and carve the block so it would fit logically across the remaining comments that finally went up.

Eventually, this occasional obsessive writing thing will probably kill me: I'll end up writing until I starve to death.

Then again, maybe I'll have completed a decent novel.


The Dark Wraith sees that cluster of outcomes as somewhat less than optimal, however.

Sun Mar 26, 11:54:15 PM EST  
 elf blogged...

Oh DW !!!

So sorry I had never seen this before and did not know you had it up over at Americablog.

Beyond the creepiness of it, must admit did bring back shades of Firesign and your parting line just slayed me.

Still snickering and will be for hours.

Hail Peoria !

Tue Mar 28, 04:59:28 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good evening, elf.

Although Peoria might be an okay place from which to hail, I wouldn't go out into a parking lot there at night.

Not with all the demons swooping down.



The Dark Wraith tends to avoid demon-infested parking lots.

Tue Mar 28, 07:54:41 PM EST  
 Anonymous blogged...

(Just for the record, this was up on Americablog over one year ago. It's been a while since DW has posted on that blog.)

- oddjob

Tue Mar 28, 11:56:14 PM EST  
 SB Gypsy blogged...

Good Afternoon, DW.

I've been too busy to get to this, and it is a classic. Thank you for re-creating it here.

I might not have thought it was that bad then, though I do remember waking up that morning, and thinking "How do I get up and go to work now? How did people in the Soviet Union get up and go to work every day?? "

And sometimes I wonder if that wasn't really what happened to the USSR - was everyone so depressed all the time that they just couldn't get their ass in gear?

That morning, I just wanted to pull my covers over my head and stay there all day.
And I didn't know at the time how bad it would get...

Sat Apr 01, 03:52:40 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good morning, SB Gypsy.

And that goes to one of my favorite sayings:

It's always darkest just before it's pitch black.



The Dark Wraith reaches for the flashlight.

Sun Apr 02, 10:56:05 AM EDT  

       

Tuesday, March 21, 2006

Wholesale Prices Plummet in February

The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported on Tuesday that the producer price index (PPI) for February fell by a dramatic 1.4 percent, indicating an annualized rate of deflation of 15.6 percent at the wholesale level. This surprising result was driven by falling costs of food, which experienced a decline of 2.7 percent for the month, and energy, which slid by 4.7 percent. The so-called "core" producer price index, which excludes wholesale prices of food and energy, rose by three-tenths of a percent, representing an annualized inflation rate for wholesale goods other than food and energy of approximately 3.7 percent.


Although the dramatic drop in wholesale prices was something of a surprise to economists, the jump of 0.3 percent in the core PPI was quite a bit larger than expected: the consensus among economists was that wholesale prices other than for food and energy had risen in February by a modest 0.1 percent, meaning that the actual figure was triple what had been anticipated by experts. This surprise comes on the heels of the revised core PPI of 0.4 percent for January. The graphic at left shows the core inflation rate over the past six months for which data is available. As noted, the core does not reflect the whipsaw of energy prices that have plagued the economy during the past several years. Although many anticipated that, as the military and political situation in Iraq stabilized and that country was again able to deliver significant amounts of oil to the world markets, energy prices would generally decline and no longer exhibit the up and down swings that characterized the first months after the invasion by Coalition forces led by the United States. Because of the continuing insurgency in Iraq—an insurgency some now characterize as civil war—and because of the attendant, continuing supply disruptions, the global markets have continued to be roiled. Although an important part of the continuing volatility of energy prices at both the wholesale and retail level, the situation in Iraq is but one of many factors contributed to edgy, volatile world markets for hydrocarbon products. Among the other causes of oil price volatility have been a spate of temporary refinery closings in the United States due to fires and natural disasters, as well as concerns on the international stage about the possibility of widened conflict in the Middle East and threats by Iran to curtail sales of oil to the West in the face of threats by the United States and the several European nations regarding the Persian nation's on-going nuclear research and development program.

No doubt exists that there has been a general trend upward in wholesale and retail energy prices since at least the beginning of the Bush Administration, but it could be argued that the substantial February decline at the wholesale level indicates the possibility that the worst of the overall price increases might be coming to an end, at least for a while. The Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that the 4.7 percent slip in energy prices was largely the result of a 9.5 percent slide in gasoline prices paid by retailers and a stunning collapse of 24 percent in wholesale natural gas prices. While these declines represent real respites at the wholesale level, there is no reason to believe that a significant portion of those savings were passed on to consumers and businesses that pay retail prices. More importantly, however, is that the volatility in and of itself of energy prices has an adverse effect on wholesalers, just like similar volatility in retail prices adversely affects those who pay the prices at the level of final goods and services.
As a general rule, companies do not want to experience gains and losses merely because of rapid, unpredictable swings in the costs of inputs. To make net cash flows more predictable, large companies form positions in securities so they will gain on the investments if they lose money on the factor cost, and they will lose on the investments if they gain on the factor cost. This is called "hedging."
  The problem is that, when prices swing wildly from month to month and even from week to week, consumers and businesses become more defensive in their spending patterns because of the increased uncertainty with which they must make spending plans. For example, even if, on average, the overall cost of energy rose by a relatively modest two percent over a year, the business could face considerable budget challenges if in two consecutive months the cost of energy first fell by fifteen percent then rose by seventeen percent. The volatility has created business planning risk, and this same principle of increased risk is faced by households. For both households and businesses, this elevated level of risk tends to encourage a less aggressive planning pattern for expenditures. An interesting differential effect can also be noteworthy: large and medium-sized firms can use the financial managers and brokerage services to hedge against a substantial share of random price volatility. This is one of the important benefits of so-called derivatives, which are used to buffer the ups and downs of everything from energy costs to exchange rates. The securities in a hedging portfolio earn money as a certain price moves adversely to a firm's business position and lose money as that price moves favorably to the firm's business position; hence, the derivate acts to nullify or at least to mitigate the non-business related volatility in the firm's earnings. Unfortunately, however, small businesses and consumers are rarely able to deal in these types of investments, both because of the up-front costs of getting involved, as well as because of the significant amounts of capital required to regularly and continuously participate in hedge markets, where exacting care and high costs deter occasional, untrained, and amateur investors.

With respect to the inflation in the United States economy, even as the federal government's inflation figures continue to present a picture of price levels that is not in any way pointing to catastophe, the underlying situation may be quite different because of controversial data manipulation techniques used by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Two of the principal techniques are "hedonic pricing" adjustments—downward corrections of price increases on the assumption that some part of any given price rise is not inflation, but merely a reflection of quality improvement—and "substitution effect" corrections—lowering actual, observed price increases under the assumption that, as the prices of certain goods rise, people will substitute away from those goods, thereby mitigating the effects of the price increases.

Regardless of how the federal government's figures deviate from the experiences of businesses and households in the actual economy, management of the underlying inflation rate is the responsibility of the Federal Reserve, which is supposed to be independent of the government and the particular political party that might be dominating fiscal policy. Although the Federal Reserve many months ago, while under the chairmanship of Alan Greenspan, stated clearly that monetary policy to the purpose of accommodating the Bush Administration's fiscal policies was coming to an end, the continuing inflation at both the wholesale and retail levels appears not to be responding adequately, at least not so far. Moreover, as the government continues to report that inflation is far tamer than what business and households are experiencing, the current chairman of the Federal Reserve, Ben Bernanke, and his fellow Fed Governors will have considerable leeway to allow the Federal Reserve to continue printing money at a rate in excess of what is necessary for the real growth rate of the economy.

The Federal Reserve's motivation for printing excessive amounts of money is transparent: it is that excess money that allows the Fed to "monetize" the irresponsible budget deficits being run by the radical Republicans in Congress and in the Administration. Essentially, the Fed is printing the money it needs to participate—either directly or through the financial intermediaries of its banking system—in Treasury auctions to purchase debt instruments the government is issuing to pay for its expenditures that exceed its tax revenues. And the reason the government cannot pay its bills is because of its profligate spending on a war of opportunity, coupled with the severe erosion of the taxable revenues it collects from the wealthier people in the nation who were the primary beneficiaries of three rounds of tax cuts instituted by the Bush Administration and its Republican allies in Congress.

The enduring comfort to be found in this otherwise dire current state of affairs is that it cannot last indefinitely. That, on the other hand, is also what should worry everyone enough to lose sleep at night: ultimately, the gambit will come to an end; and when it does, few will be the places that average Americans may turn for help, and even fewer will be the places the neo-conservatives may hide from retribution.


The Dark Wraith will in all circumstances be available, if for nothing else, to note that everyone was sufficiently warned.

<< 41 Comments Total
 The Fat Lady Sings blogged...

This is gonna take some time to sift through. How long do you estimate before implosion?

Wed Mar 22, 01:18:23 AM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good evening, Fat Lady Sings.

One problem the media has with popularizing science is that scientific models and the implications of results of scientific analysis are often simplified to the point where the lay person misses the essence of the issue under consideration.

Take, for example, the so-called "Big Bang" that supposedly started the universe on its current outward expansion. The fact of the matter is that the Big Bang didn't start anything, and that's because the Big Bang is still happening: we are a part of it. The universe is being born in the frame in which we reside. There is no point of origin somewhere out there in the great big cosmos. We are, in fact, inside the point of origin. That's why, wherever we look out into the deep universe, we're looking back to the beginning, to the shower of heat when it all began.

Now, what does this have to do with your question concerning how long I think it will be until the economic implosion?

That's easy: we're inside the implosion that's already happening. We don't see it because we—our lives, our fortunes, our futures, our children, our stature and standing, our worlds—are part of it.

And just like looking out into the universe in any direction reveals what was before and different, no matter where we look beyond our economic place and circumstance, we see what we can no longer have or be.


That, at least, is how the Dark Wraith sees it.

Wed Mar 22, 01:50:36 AM EST  
 Anonymous blogged...

But that observational viewpoint has always been true, regardless of whether the economy was imploding or expanding or doing both simultaneously or neither (if such is possible). You're always "inside the box" that an awful lot of statistics tends to assume you are actually apart from and observing from the outside.

C'est la science....

- oddjob

Wed Mar 22, 09:20:35 AM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good morning, OddJob.

Yes, your comment is most accurate. "The experimenter is part of the experiment," goes beyond such esoterica as the Heisenberg uncertainty principle; it pervades all things we observe, affecting outcomes and, more importantly, what outcomes we observe.

This can end up from a statistician's point of view leading to what is called "Bayesian statistics," a complicated way of looking at results based not only upon the distribution of the possible results of experiments, but also at the distribution of events conditioning the outcomes. In hard-core econometrics courses, I was warned to stay miles away from Bayesian statistics, and the reasons for doing so were quite valid. For one thing, there was an element of subjectivity that veritably made the Bayesian logic almost tautological.

One way or the other, though, it really is hard to see slow-motion catastrophe in progress, especially when there's an intergenerational or early-years aspect to it. My parents both lived through the Great Depression, so after my father died, my mother was forever bitching about the lot fate had dealt her, but she nonetheless was masterfully efficient in surviving; and because she was so capable of getting by in such Spartan conditions, I saw the way we lived as how people should live. Weeks living out of a huge old station wagon weren't all that strange, and people who had nice homes took on more and more of this kind of dual appearance: on the one hand, what they had was irrelevant; and on the other hand, they were sort of weaklings, anyway. Unlike many stories about times and people of poverty, I got the clear message that it wasn't proper to think about better times, either those ahead or those lost. Wallowing in that kind of fantasy world just makes you frustrated; but far worse, it's just plain wrong: envy and greed go hand in hand to make the circumstances of deprivation a maddening fight to find a way out when there probably isn't such a gate to a better life.

Staring all teary-eyed at a decent house with people going in serves no purpose other than to compel the spirit to want happiness in the way of life rather than the fact of life.

So now, as times get bad and as the economic circumstances I lived become the economic circumstances that more and more people are trying to keep at bay, there is a nearly compelling part of my thinking that doesn't see this as anything more than the world simply righting itself, moving toward the way things normally are, the way things should be.

That, OddJob, is an awful way to think. It repudiates the entire belief I have that the country and its people can prosper not just generation over generation, but year over year. All of the many aspects that go into the great society have to be there, consistently and permanently on display: a properly managed economy; a well-run, rigorous system of schools; a committed foreign policy dedicated primarily to peaceful conflict resolution; a probative approach to civil rights that is always seeking a margin where action and thought can be gracefully loosened from some constriction—all of these have to be the absolute and unyielding commitment at least of our leaders, even in the face of the perennial call from some for a fist to solve a problem.

We have lost our way to those noble ends.

I suppose I can be okay with the degraded world of tomorrow; but despite what I know very well from years ago, it sure would be nice to see people happy.


The Dark Wraith reminisces.

Wed Mar 22, 10:13:04 AM EST  
 My Pet Goat blogged...

The PPI for March should reflect the volatility of energy prices you discuss. Retail pump prices have jumped $0.26 in the last couple of weeks in my neck of the woods ($0.10 in one day).

Wed Mar 22, 12:23:24 PM EST  
 Stephanie blogged...

I'm visiting from Lisa Renee's Liberal Common Sense. After reading this over, all I can say is that I hope I can understand it after I've earned my business degree!
:-)

Thu Mar 23, 02:07:52 AM EST  
 Chief blogged...

In my neck of the woods (southern Illinois) about the same. Right at $2.60 a gallon. I realize March is not February. I am awaiting the March report on pins & needles. :-)

Thu Mar 23, 08:40:44 AM EST  
 meEE blogged...

Dear DW-- you're response to the Fat Lady took my breath away. I must link to this at Eternal Ecstasy because you shed light in a such profound way, dark though the outcome may be.?
Inside the point of Origen--that is the EE!! The beginning Is, always has been always will be.

But looking at what was always concludes with what can not be. What shall we be but what we are now. (A return to the beginning) That is where we have power to shape, influence the manifested universe, as we are that universe, to play, to sing and dance and look back and foward and laugh while doing so.

Nothing out there is "real." It is the record of all the now moments that creation "passes" through. So we see the wake, the wave but not it's source. But we are ever connected to the source and have only to turn for a moment away from the "seeming" to the being. IN the Beginning.

We are looking at our shadows and lamenting yet turn around and face the sun (what IS) and enter into it as it enters into us. It is who we are. That is the EE. That is our unlimited beingNESS.

Am I out of my mind? YES.

A mind is a terrible thing to be limited by.

Good day and thanks for your sympathy, empathy for my mom's passing. You are kind dear Sir.

Thu Mar 23, 08:46:52 AM EST  
 Anonymous blogged...

For one thing, there was an element of subjectivity that veritably made the Bayesian logic almost tautological.

That's an endlessly thorny problem that appears not only in the human social sciences, but also in evolutionary biology when that touches upon matters of behavior generally.

(Does the pathogen drive the selection process when it jumps to a new species or does the new host species drive the interaction, or is it some combination of the two and how do you sort out what's what, and how it came to be that way?

Good luck!)

- oddjob

Thu Mar 23, 09:22:05 AM EST  
 Anonymous blogged...

The volatility has created business planning risk, and this same principle of increased risk is faced by households. For both households and businesses, this elevated level of risk tends to encourage a less aggressive planning pattern for expenditures.

I have two pieces of anecdotal evidence supporting this:

My housemate is a waiter, and so I am sensitive to the labor market for such positions in the Boston area (he always likes to keep his nose to the ground regarding opportunities out there). I regularly check the Sunday Boston Globe for want ads for waiters and have been for well over a year now. The last six months have seen far fewer ads for waiters than did the same time a year ago.

A few weeks ago I went to a local mall to order new eyeglasses and while I was there I got to talking at one point about changes in pay. The sales clerk observed that there was a time when he put in 50 or 60 hours a week at the store (thus earning overtime), and now he was lucky to put in 35 hours. I was in the place for a few hours (had my eyes checked by the optometrist, and I'm a turtle when it comes to making a new purchase that has a big impact on my appearance) and he asked me to note how many other customers had come into the store in that time. (This was a regular weekday evening.)

I could count them on two hands.

- oddjob

(Oh, the cheapest gas in my immediate area just jumped from 2.999 to 2.339/gal.)

Thu Mar 23, 09:34:13 AM EST  
 Anonymous blogged...

(Uh, that should have said "2.299 to 2.339...)

- oddjob

Thu Mar 23, 09:34:43 AM EST  
 Anonymous blogged...

The Dark Wraith will in all circumstances be available, if for nothing else, to note that everyone was sufficiently warned.

I was an adolescent and young adult during the mid-1970's and early 1980's. I don't look forwards to experiencing that needless foolishness - AGAIN!

- oddjob

Thu Mar 23, 09:44:22 AM EST  
 dread pirate roberts blogged...

good morning DW,,,,,
i'm with you on the notion that the current ride will end soon, but i'm unclear on what direction we're moving. rampant inflation? massive job loss? financial institutions failing? high interest? low interest? gasoline prices are rising fairly fast here locally, and apparently nationwide. that's gotta make everything cost more.

if i understand correctly, a whopper of an assumption, that an inverted yield curve indicates that investors expect interest rates to fall, i'm not understanding how that squares with a massive and increasing national debt. seems to me that our gummint will have to borrow more and more bucks. are they printing so much money that not even major borrowing will drive up the cost?

Thu Mar 23, 11:34:09 AM EST  
 pissed off patricia blogged...

Okay, thanks to trying to follow the intellect here, my ears just flew off my head and some funky stuff is going on in my brain.

I don't know where the price of food is going down, but it's not at my market.

Just thought you might want to know that. :)

Hi, dark wraith
Long time since I have seen you

Thu Mar 23, 04:32:17 PM EST  
 Wild Clover blogged...

Good Afternoon All....

If I'm not around, it's because work has become nigh on impossible(again)...My manager was offered hos dream job, so he took it(I'm quite happy for him),he was even good enough to finish training me for the shift manager's job I've been "training for" since October...too much turnover. Turnover is bad because our applicants either want a 9-5 M-F job at 40 hours and $8/hour, or can't pass a drug test, or prove through their application to be walking illiterates I wouldn't trust to make change. So last week I worked 58 hours, plus my cleaning for reduced tuition at the Implet's school. Gas prices went from $1.99 to $2.39 in the course of 4 days, then went to $2.45, back to $2.39, back to $2.45 and today was dropped back to $2.39. I'm frankly tired of changing the sign. Lowest price around is Kroger's(grocery store) with a frequent buyer discount(spend $100 on groceries, get $.10 off a gallon)which gives you a tankful for $2.33/gal. Insane.

I've somehow missed whatever news would indicate the steep rise and yo-yo-ing going on the past two weeks. I do know that one of my favorite aging hippie Bush Haters came in buying gas and made the comment "screw George Bush"-I said the thought of anyone doing that revolted me and I cetainly wouldn't for any amount of money...which humor did brighten the fellow's day a bit. :)

Groceries are somewhat cheaper if you are like me and have the advantage of a freezer so can buy only sale items. Unfortunately, I have been able to cook one time for my family in the last 3 weeks(scheduling) and restaurant food is NOT cheaper. Convenience store prices have all gone up(shopped by folks with too little money from what I see), delivery charges on our stock are up. No, I think prices are not doing what our guvment is claiming.

As a side note...the Roanoke Times of the last week has actually been mentioning things like Bush not using the word "war" in his last news conference, the problem of foreign countries owning not only a lot of big corporate entities in the US, but the problem of them holding so much of our debt, and what the consequences if they suddenly divest themselves of dollars. A mention of Iran not being about nukes, but a Euro oil bourse. Mentions of problematical/destructive environmental policies and global warming and even a call for single payer healthcare. Even the great conservative Bush apologist Cal Thomas(a syndicated columnist I normally cannot stand) is bashing the ruling republicans and calling for a third party. He even stated the difference between deficits with Reagan/Dem congress, Repub congress/Clinton, and Repub/Bush saying...oh my God...nice things about Clinton.

The end times are coming when Cal says nice things about Clinton. I'm hoping an end times for republican rule.

Thu Mar 23, 04:39:33 PM EST  
 SB Gypsy blogged...

Good Afternoon Dark Wraith,

Yep, my big question: will it be bad enough to break the baking system??

Just how bad does it have to get to break the banks? I would think the federal reserve doesn't have enough money to bail all of them out.

Thu Mar 23, 05:06:23 PM EST  
 Anonymous blogged...

The end times are coming when Cal says nice things about Clinton.

Bible Belt Cal???

O

M

G!!



- oddjob

Thu Mar 23, 05:32:06 PM EST  
 My Pet Goat blogged...

Speaking of the bible belt, this is a long, but good read: A Time for Heresy

Thu Mar 23, 08:35:45 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good evening, Mr. Goat.

That was quite a speech by Moyers. It seems to me that the most important part was his reminder of the heritage of the Baptists in deep opposition to the sovereign state in support of this or that religious group.

I do know that the fundamentalists in the Baptist churches of today somehow reconcile that past with their current militancy to have the U.S. government do their bidding, but the logic they use escapes me. That might be the case because I'm blinded by demons, or it could be that Falwell, Robertson, and their ilk are just full of crap.

I suppose it could be a combination of the two, though.



The Dark Wraith can't seem to see the right answer, what with all the demons interfering with the view.

Thu Mar 23, 11:07:45 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good evening, OddJob.

Yes, when I saw what ol' Cal was saying these days, I thought I'd had some kind of first bout with a dissociative disorder; but there it was: a hard-core, mean-ass, hateful SOB like Cal running for covering from the gathering legacy of Boy George.

God! but it makes the heart warm and the pants damp.



The Dark Wraith wonders who's going to be next on the Last Lifeboat Off Bush Cruise Lines.

Thu Mar 23, 11:10:32 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good evening, SB Gypsy.

Actually, you needn't worry too much about the banking system, itself. It has a system of internal mechanisms that could survive a pretty hard collapse of the dollar and the U.S. economy. That's no thanks to the Fed, though: the system has gone through a widening of its asset structures to the extent that the entire global system would have to turn ugly before the U.S. component of it would be in peril.

In other words, SB Gypsy, what I'm trying to tell you is that, at least in a number of instances, the idea of "U.S. banks" is somewhat... somewhat... what's the word I want to use?...

Quaint, maybe?

Yes: 'quaint' is a nice word.



The Dark Wraith still doesn't have a bank account of his own, however.
[Quaint doesn't get me all that excited, not when it comes to finance, anyway.]

Thu Mar 23, 11:19:48 PM EST  
 Anonymous blogged...

LOL!!!!!

- oddjob

Thu Mar 23, 11:20:21 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good evening, Wild Clover.

I'm not sure, but I think congratulations are in order concerning your vault to the shift manager position, although I do get the drift from your post that the attendant increase in responsibility is not occasioned by anything like an adequate increase in pay. Funny how that works.

We have an economy where Bush and his conservative economics apologists keep touting the "increasing productivity" of American workers, but that argument is so worthless it takes me less than two minutes to chop it to shreds in an economics class. Last semester, one of my bright young students summarized it something like this: "So in other words, if you have fewer workers doing the same amount of work, each worker's productivity goes up," to which I added, "Or if you have the same number of workers doing more and more, per-worker productivity goes up."

The only thing I worry about is students wondering why they have to take an economics class to learn common sense stuff like that.

I should probably point out to them that, by being able to verbalize such common sense, they needn't ever worry about getting a job as a pundit: the common sense, in and of itself, would make them over-qualified for the mainstream media.



The Dark Wraith is glad Wild Clover stopped in.

Thu Mar 23, 11:35:37 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good evening, Dread Pirate Roberts.

Here's what I think (actually, what I'm pretty sure and fear) is happening.

The Fed has been posturing since the Summer of 2004 that it is in an inflation-fighting mode. That means it's cutting back on the growth rate of the money supply, which would explain why interest rates have generally been going up at the short end of the yield curve, where the Fed can directly affect such things. The longer-term rates, in a normal time, would follow suit, but they haven't. Part of the reason is that there has been a continuing "flight to quality": a slow but definite movement of capital into long-term government debt instruments, which are much safer than stocks and corporate bonds. If investor demand for long-term Treasury instruments (so-called "Treasury notes and bonds") is strong, that pushes the prices of such securities up, which as a mathematical consequence drives their yields down.

Ah, but I suspect there's another reason the far end of the yield curve is slipping downward, keeping us teetering on the edge of full yield curve inversion.

Here's what I think.

The Fed pushing short-term interest rates up isn't so much to fight inflation as it is to keep the dollar strong and attractive in foreign markets. Remember that interest rates are the price of money, so if U.S. interest rates are moving higher, that should make the U.S. dollar remain quite valuable in overseas markets.

The result will be U.S. trade deficits because foreigners will want to acquire American dollars, so to do so, they'll sell their goods and services cheap in the U.S. As those foreigners gather dollars, the only thing they can do with them, of course, is invest them back here in the United States.

That's the old two-sided sword I've explained before: a current (trade) account deficit is matched by a capital account surplus. What we give to foreigners in greenbacks has to come back here as long-term investment. This, by the way, was the appalling little semi-lie that Bernanke just pulled in his Fed report on the U.S. economy: instead of showing a graph of our (negative) trade deficit, he showed a graph of our (positive) capital account surplus! Yes, they're the opposite sides of the same coin, but he used the current account (i.e., trade) deficit/capital account surplus identity to show a happy, positive, rising graph of the capital account surpluses instead of the other side of the equation, which would have been the grim, negative, spiraling trade deficits.

The gambit is this: the Fed isn't really committed to fighting inflation at all. That's why it's no longer even publishing a very broad measure of the money supply we call M3. The Fed is pumping money in at the high end of the economy, but it's choking down the low end where the liquidity crunch hurts the poor and middle classes. This is enough to keep upward pressure on the short-term instruments. And what's the ultimate in short-term instruments?

Why, it's one of them-thar Federal Reserve Notes, what is more commonly called a "dollar bill." By keeping short-term interest rates going up, the dollar maintains strength and therefore desirability in foreign markets. That makes it so those foreigners will keep wanting those bucks, and then they'll turn them right around and continue to use them to buy Treasury instruments at the government auctions. That's a fancy way of saying that the foreigners are being induced by high interest rates to keep lending our government the money to live beyond its tax revenue means.

That would explain the weird instability the long-end of the yield curve is displaying: it wants to go downward, then it wants to recover and go upward, then it wants to go downward again. What's happening is that there are countervailing forces on the thing. As I noted, there's the flight to quality issue that's putting upward pressure on Treasury bond prices and therefore putting downward pressure on Treasury bond yields. That works in the same direction as the demand for Treasury bonds from overseas investors, who have all those greenbacks they need to invest in something here in the U.S.

At the same time, however, there's the other side of the coin: the Fed is putting upward pressure on short-term interest rates, and that really does have an effect on the long (low liquidity) end of the yield curve. Those short-term rates really are affecting the long-term rates, pushing them upward, which acts contrary to the factors I cited above which push them downward.

This, I think, is where the M3 comes into play. If the Fed is letting M3 expand inappropriately, that would be causing downward pressure on interest rates way out. This could cause, at least for a little while, a rather odd, "humped" yield curve.

Geez, I think that's what my graphs were showing we've had recently.

But I think I'd better stop now. I hear good readers beginning to crack under the pressure of a macroeconomics speculative ramble.


The Dark Wraith never knows when to stop before he starts endangering people's will to live.

Fri Mar 24, 12:08:37 AM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

And good evening, Pissed Off Patricia. I had actually been wondering what had become of you, then I saw that BlondeSense Liz mentioned you in a post a couple of days ago, so I figured you were still around, maybe staying in the background until the neo-con lynching party.

As far as grocery prices go, I can't imagine where they're getting their data. I actually paid more tonight than I ever have before for a stupid six-pack of Ramen noodles.

I had been slurging lately by every now and then purchasing a box of Sam's Choice Rosemary & Olive Oil Crackers for $1.25 a box at Walmart, but I just couldn't see fit to buy them tonight, even though tomorrow is Friday, and I always like to have a treat on Friday night after the week's classes are over. I might still grab a box after school tomorrow, knowing full well that I'll probably regret it when I'm driving on fumes to class next week.

I keep thinking to myself, "This is ridiculous; I shouldn't have to be living like this," but then I realize that I do have a car (actually, a Jeep, which isn't exactly a car, but it's not exactly a truck, and it sure as heck isn't an SUV). That means I don't have to take the bus. I hate the bus. Especially the ones that makes me dizzy from the smell that wafts in from the engine compartment in the rear.

I guess it just goes to show the wisdom in that old saying, I cried because I had no shoes until I met a man who had no clue.

Or something like that.



The Dark Wraith does have a decent supply of noodles and a blog for the end-of-week festivities.

Fri Mar 24, 12:58:35 AM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good evening meEE.

I wanted to mention your blog, Eternal Ecstasy, but it slipped my mind while I was writing my last Open Formum. I do apologize for that, and I'll make good note of it in my next one.

Meanwhile, I should mention that your PodCast add-in is really nice, especially since you featured Windhorse. Good music. Really good.


The Dark Wraith actually listened to the whole piece without doing hardly any multi-tasking.

Fri Mar 24, 01:09:20 AM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good evening, Chief.

From what I've been hearing, gasoline prices in the Heartland have been running consistently a little above the average for other places in the Midwest. Granted, Illinois is sort of on the border between the Midwest and the Prairie, but it's interesting to me that there seems to be a little more heft in the prices out that way. I suppose some of that has to do with distribution routes and all of that, but still, it seems a little severe.

I'll have to keep that in mind the next time I head for St. Louis for one of my pilgrimages to Forest Park for all the free museum stuff. Maybe I'll head for St. Louis through Tennessee and grab a fill-up in Memphis.

Yeah, like I'll get a bargain on gas there.



Perhaps the Dark Wraith should just take Amtrack and be done with it.

Fri Mar 24, 01:16:53 AM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good evening, Stephanie, and welcome to The Dark Wraith Forums.

Forgive an old professor a sort of natural question, but what specialization are you looking to pursue in business?

I'm forever asking that question of college students since I'm always very curious about trends in student directions and interests. There seem to be cycles of popularity in certain majors within business. Although there's the constant flow of acounting majors, I see ebbs and flows in fields like marketing, management science, and finance, the last of which I'm always encouraging bright students to consider as their major field.

Heck, some students even end up getting decent jobs with undergrad degrees in finance; and of course, if you stick with The Dark Wraith Forums, you learn all you need to know to sucessfully pursue the major.

Okay, maybe that's a bit of an overstatement.

Perhaps you should consider switching out of business and into economics. Yeah, that'll work.


The Dark Wraith is always on the look-out for good financial analysts and economists.

Fri Mar 24, 01:25:49 AM EST  
 Anonymous blogged...

I had actually been wondering what had become of you...

Ms. Patricia is now serving up some very fine mixed drinks of her own making at her new blog, Morning Martini.

Check it out!

- oddjob

Fri Mar 24, 03:10:37 AM EST  
 Anonymous blogged...

OT (if not unrelated), very interesting interview. Very much worth the read.

- oddjob

Fri Mar 24, 05:12:10 AM EST  
 trailertrash blogged...

As far as grocery prices go, I can't imagine where they're getting their data. I actually paid more tonight than I ever have before for a stupid six-pack of Ramen noodles.

If you have an Aldi's store near you, they have a nice price for a multi-pack of Ramen noodles. They only carry chicken and beef packs, but who needs the other flavors, anyway?

Fri Mar 24, 07:17:08 AM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good morning, Trailer Trash.

I really have to get off my high horse about Aldi's and start going there again. I got fussy because they put their boxes of food on the floor and make me pay a quarter security deposit for a cart. On the other hand, they do have excellent prices, and I have been using the company as an example of a business model that's been very much in favor with investors in recent years. I'm actually glad you brought that up because I should really show the basic model here on the blog: it's pretty simple, but the simplicity has an elegance to it that's pretty hard to argue with as far as success potential goes. (There's also an inherent, if rather poorly appreciated, risk, though, too.)

And you're right about the Ramen noodles. I've never been all that wild about the fancy flavors, anyway. If I have a can of Spam™, I can fry some diced pieces to throw in with the noodles, and a can of generic diced tomatoes with a couple of packs of the noodles makes for a darned decent meal. I never use the whole packs of those flavorings that come with the noodles, though: the stuff makes them taste too strong for my enjoyment.

You know, I wonder if it would be worth selling those noodles here in the Advertisements section of the sidebar. I'll bet they'd sell like hotcakes.

Then again, maybe not.


The Dark Wraith almost got excited about that new entrepreneurial track there for a second.

Fri Mar 24, 08:52:28 AM EST  
 dread pirate roberts blogged...

good morrow again dw

thanks for the mini lesson on bonds and interest. so. my conclusion is that short term gov't bonds are more attractive to investors because they pay a better return, and are more liquid. and the situation has been caused by machinations of the fed. and it sounds as tho the fed is acting out of political considerations, perhaps shielding the current administration from the true effects of it's deficit spending.

i'm shocked. shocked, i tell you.

Fri Mar 24, 11:22:23 AM EST  
 Anonymous blogged...

i'm shocked. shocked, i tell you.

The Fed's done this before, too. It happened during the 60's and shielded the Johnson Administration from the full effects of their spendthrift ways.

It wasn't until the time of Paul Volker and a really nasty recession early in the 1980's that the aftereffects of all that finally got shaken out of the economy. I was a teenager during the 1970's. That was not a fun time to be job hunting and so on. You could find jobs, but the rate of inflation (high teens, low twenties) did ugly things to the real value of your pay.

- oddjob

Fri Mar 24, 11:36:02 AM EST  
 My Pet Goat blogged...

Oddjob, you have an amazingly sharp recall of history from your youth. I must have had my head in the sand.

Fri Mar 24, 06:49:47 PM EST  
 Anonymous blogged...

Oh, I don't recall Fed policy from that long ago. I've had this discussion with DW before. He pointed it out to me.

It helped set up the stagflation of the 1970's that followed the oil shocks that began with the Yom Kippur War in 1973. (THAT stuff I DO remember.)

- oddjob

Fri Mar 24, 08:15:35 PM EST  
 trailertrash blogged...

make me pay a quarter security deposit for a cart.

I'm glad they implemented that cart retrieval system. It's easy to get rid of the cart without taking it back to the corral because there are people walking in all the time, quarter in their hand, ready to trade for the cart. It's so much better now that carts aren't running rampant all over the parking lots. Believe me, I know what that looks like. Some time ago, I was parking at a Walmart and there were several carts (uncorralled) in a group. The wind was blowing just right - they started moving and it looked like they were attacking. I quickly decided to move my car to an area where other cars were between mine and the carts.

Sat Mar 25, 12:10:07 AM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good evening, Trailer Trash.

Yes, I'm not entirely unsympathetic to the shopping carts in the parking lot issue. The ladies in the local Walmart were talking about that one bad blizzard we had and about how some older lady slogging her way toward the doors got picked off by a shopping cart cruising along at flag speed.

I guess the combination of the bitter cold wind, the wild, blowing snow, and that metal crate on wheels knocking her down got the woman pretty bitchy when they tried to help her.


The Dark Wraith thinks life is better than TV.

Sat Mar 25, 02:26:48 AM EST  
 Mr. Shakes blogged...

Once upon a time I worked as a trolley boy at a very Wal-Martesque megastore back in Blighty. Then some smartass invented the coin collection system and I became obsolete. They moved me to stock control and I spent my weekends stacking shelves instead of charging around in the free air as a young man should.

To this day I am very bitter.

"Down with technology!"

Sat Mar 25, 12:27:37 PM EST  
 michael blogged...

Dear DW,

you made my day. Thank you. Gald oyu enjoyed the music.

Keep up the great work, you have much to offer. I'll be around.

Sun Mar 26, 08:03:22 AM EST  
 michaelemmanuel meEE blogged...

Dear Sir,

thank you so much for listening to Windhorse. You made my day!!!!!!!

Let's create the world we want, by our union in love which is the only real thing.

I'll be back.... all good thngs to you and all here.

Sun Mar 26, 08:08:46 AM EST  

       

Special Blog Post:
Koufax Awards Finalist

The Dark Wraith Forums has survived to the Final Round of the Koufax Awards in the category of Best Expert Blog. Voting is now open for the winner of the Koufax Award in each category. The final slates for all categories may be found on the main page of Wampum. You may vote for the Best Expert Blog by clicking here.

Several of the Dark Wraith's off-campus hang-outs can also be found among the finalists in various categories. The Fat Lady Sings is up in a slew of categories, including Blog Most Deserving of Wider Recognition, Best Commenter, Best Series and Best Post.

Both BlondeSense and Shakespeare's Sister are in the finals for Best Group Blog.

Majikthise is in the running for Best Writing; and Pandagon, where one of the contributors is Pam Spaulding of Pam's House Blend, is in the finals for Best Blog, Non-sponsored.

The Dark Wraith calmly and with the feigned objectivity of an unconcerned observer thanks you for your support.

<< 16 Comments Total
 Anonymous blogged...

I wish you well, DW, but the competition from Pharyngula is intimidating.

- oddjob

Tue Mar 21, 12:39:12 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good afternoon, OddJob.

You've got that right. LindiBee made an allusion in a previous thread to a site that was clobbering others in the semi-finals, but I'm not altogether sure she was referring to Pharyngula. If she was, I'm dog meat.


The Dark Wraith will soon be adopting the nickname "Alpo."

Tue Mar 21, 12:47:34 PM EST  
 Mr. Shakes blogged...

Good afternoon, Dark Wraith.

Congratulations are definitely in order. Making it this far in the competition is a major achievement, no matter what happens.

It's also nice to see so many friends from our little node of the Blogoshere represented. And way to go, Fat Lady Sings.

Tue Mar 21, 03:30:03 PM EST  
 PoliShifter blogged...

Thanks for pointing out Pharyngula to me and the science blogs.

I look forward to reading them.

Tue Mar 21, 03:30:43 PM EST  
 Anonymous blogged...

Your blog seems to simply not have enough noteriety. In my mind you should be a finalist in the Best Commentor category as well. Though I haven't perused the work the finalists, I have been quite impressed with the quality of comments here, a quality driven by your prolific and thoughtful responses.

Personally I think your consistant style counts for something too...

Siri

Tue Mar 21, 03:35:33 PM EST  
 The Fat Lady Sings blogged...

See Dark Wraith - I told you. I knew we would be seeing you here in the finals. My prediction? You're gonna win this thing. No disparagement to the other fine blogs nominated in this category – but my votes on you. And thank you so much, my dear - and you too Mr. Shakes - for your inclusion and compliments. I yelled so loud last night when I found out I'm surprised the neighbors didn't turn up at the front door with shotguns! My poor hubby couldn’t get back to sleep after I hauled his ass out of bed to stare bleary-eyed at the computer just to prove I made finalist. I’m still giddy! And Mr. Shakes – please tell your wife from me I truly love her work. I have been particularly enjoying her contributions to The Practical Press. I know her Koufax nom is for her political work – but she’s a damn fine writer in other areas as well. I hope she gets that book published soon. As for Liz of Blondsense – my hats off to you, baby! In fact – my hat’s off to all who participate here. Applause for the lot of us – and for The Dark Wraith himself. Hip, Hip Hooray!

Tue Mar 21, 05:45:56 PM EST  
 oldwhitelady blogged...

Good evening, Dark Wraith.

Congratulations on getting to the next level. The content of your blog is certainly deserving! The others, mentioned in your post, are also deserving. Congrats to them, as well. Good luck in the finals, all.

Tue Mar 21, 06:47:45 PM EST  
 Lisa Renee blogged...

Congratulations Dark Wraith, you have my vote and to me are of course the winner in that category.

:-)

Tue Mar 21, 08:51:50 PM EST  
 Mr. Shakes blogged...

Good evening, Fat Lady Sings.

Thank you for those kind words about my wife. I will be sure to let her know that you have commented here, so that she can read them for herself. Oh, and believe me, I hope she gets that book published soon, too. I've had my eye on a particularly quiet little island in the Carribean for quite soem time, now.

I hope you are correct concerning the Dark Wraith's chances. Although I haven't spent much time reading the other finalists' blogs, and am undoubtedly very bias, I agree with Siri that the effort he puts forth in the comments threads is extraordinary, and this alone makes the blog very deserving of recognition.

Tue Mar 21, 10:35:28 PM EST  
 misty blogged...

Good luck to you, DW. We all knew you'd make it to the finals and, of course, you have my vote. :-)

Some of the categories are so hard to vote in because they have more than a couple of my favorite blogs.

Wed Mar 22, 11:41:18 AM EST  
 Dark Daughta blogged...

Dark Wraith,
Iniviting you over to peruse a post I wrote that might be of interest to you...

I'd welcome comment/critique/engagement on whatever level possible.

http://darkdaughta.blogspot.com/2006/
03/anti-patriarchal-movement-yet-to-find.html

Wed Mar 22, 03:39:25 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good afternoon, Dark Daughta.

To assist those who would like to read your post, I am herewith providing it as an embedded link. As I noted in my comment to you there, your writing style interests me. Although I constellated it with certain of "beat" writers of long ago, that only describes it in terms of alternative to more mainstream styles. I wish I could put my finger on where I've seen writing quite similar to yours, but I'm not altogether sure I have.

And if labels can be applied, I would describe where you're going as something post-feminist. This is interesting to me because I've seen the term "post-feminism" applied to a kind of feminism that borders on appeasement, which is most decidedly not the direction you're taking at all, even though I don't see in your writing another track of post-feminism, which is alienated militancy, either.

Interesting stuff.

Also interesting would be to see the look on the face of the occasional Right-wing troller who stops by here and then haplessly clicks on the link to your site.


The Dark Wraith might even pay to see that look.

Wed Mar 22, 05:23:19 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good afternoon, Misty.

I know what you mean about how hard it is to make a voting decision in some categories. Choosing blogs during the last round was bad, too. I actually didn't even vote for The Dark Wraith Forums in some categories because I just couldn't see myself doing that to other blogs I like that were nominated in the same categories.

One way or the other, this round is a little easier in the category in which I've been nominated. None of the other blogs interest me all that much, although every last one of them is slaughtering The Dark Wraith Forums. This will stand as one of the biggest routs since Dukakis got creamed in 1988.

To quote the famous line by the politician giving his concession speech, "The people have spoken... the bastards."


The Dark Wraith isn't even going to watch the election night returns come in.

Wed Mar 22, 05:36:24 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good afternoon, Siri.

That's an interesting term you use: 'notoriety'. I think you're right, but that's somewhat depressing because that won't really change too much as time goes on. I've commented before that The Dark Wraith Forums isn't the kind of place for every blogger and blog reader, and even though I've taken some rather controversial positions, there's a disinterest in making that some launch point for a counter-argument on another blog.

It struck me awhile back that Forum reader Tim, who visits here regularly but only rarely comments, described on another blog that this blog is like a collection of diaries. He's really right about that. So much content exists within the comments, themselves, and at least some people feel comfortable enough to write at length and quite interestingly. Wild Clover's occasional slice-of-life narratives here are good and cool examples, as are those by a number of others. This is also a wonderful place for people to keep us posted on what's going on in their lives and their movements, so it provides a touchstone for travels of the modern life that otherwise can take people away from a community of like-minded people.

I don't think this blog will ever turn into a massive enterprise drawing a million hits a day, but it will surely stand on its own merits for those few or many who want a good place to read what others have to say and speak their own peace.


(Well, I'll be darned. I think it just dawned on me that I've already won a great award.)



The Dark Wraith is suddenly feeling way too bouyant for his own good.

Wed Mar 22, 05:51:11 PM EST  
 Mr. Shakes blogged...

Also interesting would be to see the look on the face of the occasional Right-wing troller who stops by here and then haplessly clicks on the link to your site.

lol - indeed. Or the look on my face when I haplessly pasted the URL into my browser at work. The IT boys now have a security guard stationed by my cubicle with a tazer gun.

Thu Mar 23, 08:26:01 AM EST  
 The Fat Lady Sings blogged...

Well - I'd like to see you win, my dear. I still think you've got a chance - and a good one. But those mega-blogs can muster some formidible voting power. The way I look at it - I was shocked and amazed to have even come this far. So anything else is a cherry on top! Best of luck, sweetie!

Thu Mar 23, 04:30:42 PM EST  

       

Saturday, March 18, 2006

Special Blog Post:
The Message and the Message

Below is the screen capture of an e-mail message I received several days ago. The message seems nice enough: it's from a rather friendly sounding church in the community in which I live. This place has lots and lots of churches. A few are quite progressive, although most are not. The area is growing by leaps and bounds. Middle- and upper-class households are in abundance because of the huge financial services companies located here. Many of these upwardly mobile people consider themselves quite the progressives; but they're the minority. The tradition of this place is deeply conservative in a uniquely Middle America, Bible Belt way. Politics and religion are dominated by views that would probably infuriate most of the readers here.


So, is there a problem with the e-mail solicitation above? Not really.

Except that it came to me at my college e-mail address, a public school with excellent spam blockers on the servers. It is a near certainty that the school directly provided this church with the e-mail addresses of faculty members and then ensured that the spam blockers would not touch e-mail messages from this sender. What would otherwise be easy pickings for a good institutional system of policy filters slid through unmolested.

In other words, elements of a database of employees of a public institution were provided to a religious organization, and then the servers of the public institution were set to permit solicitations from that religious organization to pass through to those employees.

That might be appalling to some, but I'm used to such things. Last year, the weakling union was not just given the names and e-mail addresses of faculty members, but it also was given their home addresses. I received a solicitation in the mail to join the union. It was couched in the form of a "survey," but the message was clear, at least to me. The union that I was considering working to decertify because of its let's-not-cause-trouble negotiating style—leading as it has to an hourly equivalent wage for me of just about $10—knows exactly where I live. If I were the paranoid sort, I'd think the administration knew exactly what it was doing giving that database to the union.

This is obviously all petty stuff. To many, academia is still the last bastion of enlightenment—the repository where stands all the great knowledge that continues to be available even in the worst of this degraded but temporary time of ignorance and mendacity. The supporters of academia must certainly see it as the bulwark of the Age of Reason, the institutional setting where the irrationality of religious superstitions and cultural ignorance are set aside in favor of disciplined thought, processual integrity, and objective analysis.

Not that it matters, but I no longer believe that. You see, awhile back, I was in the common faculty area describing to an adjunct professor some trouble I'd gotten from a Christian student who didn't like me talking about evolution. The particulars of the incident with the kid had to do with my description of a computer program that autonomously designs self-replicating circuits. It seems that, as these circuits evolve generation over generation, they tend not to eliminate unused architecture from previous generations; instead, these evolving circuits retain "junk" they no longer find useful, and this is very much how DNA works: genetic-level structures that organisms no longer need, use, or express in traits don't vanish, even over millions and millions of years. Apparently, evolutionary processes have a principle of conservation, something that probably (among other uses) allows for rapid adaptation to environmental changes.

My conversation with the adjunct was in the presence of no fewer than three biology teachers at the college, who began to talk very loudly among themselves about how terrible it was that evolution was "still" believed by so many otherwise educated people. The conversation was specifically intended for my attention and consumption. I left quickly enough since I wasn't in the mood to try to overcome the certainty with which no fewer than three educators (all middle-aged) were declaring their position and affirming one another's belief system.

A few days later, my mention of the incident to a full-time, tenured faculty member who teaches biology was met with a polite, diplomatic, and altogether condescending rejoinder that I don't know about "everything that's going on" in the field of biology these days.

She was right, of course; but I surely know more now than I did when I thought academia would be the salvation of the Age of Reason.




The Dark Wraith watches the tide ebb.

<< 24 Comments Total
 PoliShifter blogged...

I am thoroughly disgusted Dark Wraith.

And there is no such thing as "junk DNA" anymore. This concept has been debunked. In fact, it is looking more and more that the "junk DNA" is what distinguishes a human from a mouse from a chimp. The junk regualtes the parts.

I am not talking out my ass. My field happens to be biochemistry/molecular biology. I have been doing research for almost 9 years.

It sounds to me Dark Wraith that where ever you live, it is one of those states that wants to make Christianity the State Religion. It sounds like the Christian Taliban wants to establish their equivalent of Sharia Law on the citizens of where you live.

If I were you, I would seriously consider moving. Seriously. It is not going to get any better. You are fighting an uphill battle.

This is a growing dilema we are facing in this country.

So much so that in the coming weeks you will see me supporting revolution by succession.

I see no resolution to this conflict except to let those who have similar beliefs congregate together and govern themselves.

If people want to reject science then let them. Only let them remain in State X and let all those who feel the same move to State X.

I am going to laugh my ass off watching China, India, and Europe surpass us in innovation, science, and technology.

Let them who reject science go live like the Amish if they wish to not be viewed as hypocrites.

Sun Mar 19, 01:49:00 AM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good evening, PoliShifter.

Sadly, my friend, I live in a blue state. As with a number of such states, the only reason it's blue is because of the voting power of one or several massive urban areas.

And as far as "junk DNA" is concerned, this is one of the troubling issues facing science right now: the way the media is portraying the issues of genetics, the whole danged puzzle is going to be answered once that "human genome" project nonsense is completed, and that's just plain bunk. First, the project for the most part simply walked right around those knots of DNA, treating what was in there as completely irrelevant. Second, the DNA material that's extra-chromosomal is now being demonstrated as startlingly important in trait expression, and the institutional/industrial obsession with what's there in the cellular nucleus has left a gaping hole in the understanding of the entirety of the mechanism by which information is retained, expressed, and transmitted both intergenerationally and possibly intragenerationally.

And this, by the way, is my principal theoretical concern with genetically modified organisms: we're acting like we know enough to predict outcomes, when we haven't a fraction of the knowledge about what's really being affected in the information system as a whole by our little tweaks here and there and there on the helices.

Good God, PoliShifter, there are even a few geneticists hanging out with knot theory mathematicians, the cats who used to stand as the most brilliantly useless folks in all of mathematics. It seems that many viruses turn strands of DNA into knots of various kinds; and since we can't see the actual process by which the viruses attack and knot up the DNA, we now have knot theorists explaining exactly what would have to happen for a straight strand to become this or that knot.

It's sort of like being unable to see a building being blown up and having rubble experts look at the debris to figure out how the building came apart, then from there inducing what explosive was set and where it was set in the building.

Cripe.

Economics is complicated enough. Mathematics is worse. Genetics is w-a-a-a-y too much like work.


The Dark Wraith sees the advantages in willful, lifelong ignorance.

Sun Mar 19, 02:17:30 AM EST  
 PoliShifter blogged...

Hi Dark Wraith,

I assure you that the "junk DNA" is not one of the more troubling issues facing science these days.

The Human Genome has been sequenced for quite a few years now and unfortunately it did not yield as many Eureka momments as was hoped.

Scientists have moved on these days to the Proteome, Metabalome, Proteasome, and Trascriptome. As if there were not enough "omes" in the world.

What is all the rage these days are micro RNA's, small pieces of RNA that appear to play a huge role in development, protein translation, and gene regulation.

I will not argue with you that mitochondrial DNA or other unidentified extra-chromosoma DNA are very important.

And no, we cannot act like we can predict outcomes. Who at your school is acting like they can predict genetic outcomes?

We are far away from being able to clone successfully. We have many lessons to learn from Dolly including as you spoke of, the traits that are inherited extrachromosomally as well as telomere length consideration.

As far as your blown up building example goes, this is exactly the problem we face though it is often explained as the shooting the radio approach.

http://www.arn.org/docs2/news/biologistsnewapproach022603.htm

Molecular Biologists are often accused of shooting the radio in order to figure out how it works. And while much knowledge was gained from looking at the parts, we will only attain more knowledge if we begin looking at systems rather than parts.

This is the trend that is beging to take place now. There is more focus on interdisciplinary cooperation and synerigies between fields which is making it possible for us to undertand how a system works as opposed to understanding just a few working parts.

As far as DNA,Knots, and Math are concerned, http://www.popmath.org.uk/rpamaths/rpampages/knotsvirus.html

the perhaps unfortunate side of life many don't want to accept is that all life and the entire universe can be boiled down to mathematics.

As Galileo said:

"Mathematics is the language with which God has written the universe."

All life is Maya, an illusion, or light that has properties of both particles and waves with an uncertainty of existence.

Life both exists and does not exist simultaneouusly.

But I digress....

Anyway, if any biologists are still preaching to you about junk DNA and the cunundrum it presents, tell them to pick up some of the latest copies of Nature and Sciece.

Junk DNA no longer exists and in fact never existed. The fact that students were once taught that junk DNA existed is a travisty.

I should know...I was once one of those students in the early 90's who were taught that most DNA was "junk". It's just not true.

Sun Mar 19, 03:26:34 AM EST  
 Debra blogged...

I am half black and half white. Mom has every recessive gene known to man. When I took high school, I figured out my genetic makeup pretty quickly. It wasn't rocket science. Every time I have to take a sickle cell test I go ballistic. Nobody in my dad's family has ever had the trait much less the disease. My mom is from northern Germany of Jewish descent. Tay Sachs test. NEVER. Sickle cell almost everytime I get a blood test. I'm going to be 50, don't you think it would have shown up by now? Maybe if they test a little more.

Medicine and biology have changed. Critical thinking is gone, in twenty years we will be a fourth world country that prays they get better.

I'm going to have to on antidepressants because I can't take the stupidity around me and alcohol by oneself isn't as much fun.

Sun Mar 19, 08:17:28 AM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good morning, Debra.

Just last month in a statistics class, I was demonstrating the mathematics of "conditional probabilities," showing the rather stunningly high probabilities with which so-called "reliable" tests will generate undesirable indications simply as a result of mathematical mechanics. I then showed them how outcomes of treatments can be touted as quite favorable when they're really not at all.

One of the students, a National Guard fellow who works in law enforcement of some kind, assured me that tests are done "several times" to make sure the results generated reflect the "true" situation. That gave me the opportunity to show what happens in repeated tests when the methods themselves are not entirely independent and when the execution of a second screening depends upon the outcome of the first screening.

He's a bright guy, and he saw the mathematics unfolding, but he was a little under-impressed. He said something to the effect, "So, you're saying we shouldn't be testing people for drugs and alcohol and all that?" to which I replied, "I'm certainly not saying that. What I'm saying is that jurors and judges should take my stats class before they're allowed to consider evidence from these tests." He made some good-natured comment back, and the whole class got into an excellent discussion of how the idea of the so-called "Baysian" statistics is never explained when results of polls and experiments are described in the media. We also talked about television shows like CSI and how they give the really wrong impression that forensics science has a sure answer for just about everything found at a crime scene.

One African-American girl, who is usually quiet as church mouse, piped up, "Shit. They just show that on TV to make people scared of doing anything wrong."


The Dark Wraith was most impressed.

Sun Mar 19, 11:53:12 AM EST  
 Debra blogged...

DW,
A friend of mine suffered a home invasion with some violent consequences (If I thought I could get away with it I would submit them for honary Darwin stupid awards). As I was working, the the Detective laughed because I was so fanatical about everything being replaced in exactly the right place. Told him I watched it on CSI (what's with the flashlights?) but as kids we had figured out the Christmas presents and rewrapped them. He snickered. I told him the only think I ever learned from CSI was not to do anything wrong. Something about tyinng shoelaces.

It's like looking at Preznit's stats. 34% approve. Doesnt that mean that 66% don't approve, isn't that a majority and in congress it used to override a veto with one more vote.

Critical thinking is completely gone.

Sun Mar 19, 02:43:49 PM EST  
 BlondeSense Liz blogged...

Dark One,
My son swears that his university is pretty conservative... the students are anyway, but not the profs. (Hofstra) His profs get away with telling the young Rethuglicans in poli-sci classes that if they support the president and his war so much, why haven't they put off college and served their country first. heh.

My son appears to be majoring in archeology/anthropology/poli-sci at the moment. He and his friends are all into evolution and bones/fossils. They are taking an honors seminar called "debating Darwin" and went to the museum of natural history in Manhattan yesterday just for the hell of it. Well I guess a lot of students are from out of town and they don't have world class museums at their disposal. We NYers are kind of jaded and take a lot for granted. I think being that we grew up a short train ride from so many museums and had so many school field trips to these museums, I rarely, if ever come across anyone who has a problem with evolution. We have all seen it in the museum. People around here go to church too.

My son said that there was a crayon picture drawn by Darwin's son on the back of one of the pages of "Origin of the Species". Isn't that cool? (Charles didn't like to waste paper but didn't want to discuss his child's creative expression)

anyway, where my husband works, the owner walked around speaking loudly to all the employees reminding them that they ought to vote for Bush or shouldn't work there. Unfortunately the man was struck dead suddenly and the place is now going out of business.

A guy I met in a bar who is in the teachers union and he said that they were told to vote for Bush by the district and so he did. What a fucking moron. I asked him why he did that and he said so he wouldn't get in trouble. I explained to him that his vote is (supposed to be) confidential and he said he didn't know that. He also didn't understand how very anti-union this government is- that teacher's unions are likened to terrorist organizations. He's not the only union man who voted for bush.

You just stick to your guns and hold your head up. I just can't believe there are bio teachers who don't believe in evolution. What the hell do they believe in?

Liz

Sun Mar 19, 04:22:54 PM EST  
 LindiBee blogged...

As a graduate student in Plant Pathology at the Ohio State University in the 1980's, there was only one Professor who didn't accept evolutionary theory (he was from West Virginia, I recall); his views were marginalized within the department, and he kept them largely to himself. My question regarding the alleged academics at your college is, have any of these people attempted to publish a scholarly paper based on their beliefs in a reputable scientific journal? Who are these clowns kidding? This isn't just about biology here; we're talking about the entire field of modern geology as well (and astrophysics, if these twits think that the Earth is only 6000 years old).
Even Pope John Paul II didn't have a problem with evolution- why should they?

Sun Mar 19, 06:00:22 PM EST  
 Anonymous blogged...

She was right, of course; but I surely know more now than I did when I thought academia would be the salvation of the Age of Reason.

I may be ill.....

- oddjob

Sun Mar 19, 11:06:28 PM EST  
 Anonymous blogged...

Apparently said dipshits have never seriously studied entomology.

Evolution is the only theory that puts that much plainly ovservable diversity, with both its dissimilarities and also its similarities, into a context that makes any sense (beyond the hand waving of "God did it").

Such people should never have received tenure.....

- oddjob

Sun Mar 19, 11:21:09 PM EST  
 dread pirate roberts blogged...

good morning dw

i'll let the science geeks among your commenters educate me on the current state of biology, and thank you all very much. i will say that i'm kinda surprised that your students haven't found this blog. you don't look like the usual college instructor to me, at least in the picture here (say, is that really you?). i would think someone would see this and recognize you. maybe you require so much work in your classes that no one has time to surf the net.

Mon Mar 20, 11:19:25 AM EST  
 Anonymous blogged...

This is a worthwhile article on the matter of evolution and the disagreement of those who don't like it. It's very easily read by an interested layman.

- oddjob

Mon Mar 20, 12:04:14 PM EST  
 LindiBee blogged...

Thanks, Oddjob, for the great link.

I'm still curious, though, how it can be that members of the scientific community in academia can still promote ID yet not suffer apparent consequences in the modern "publish or perish" atmosphere. If someone's field is in the Arts or Humanities, that's one thing- but Biology? Geology? I occasionally saw graduate students like this in the eighties, but figured that they would go quietly into some private research tank and never promote their ideas to anyone but a few like-minded students again. Where do these guys find "safe havens" for their lunacy?
Do major league universities still shun these guys, or do they sneak in "under the radar"?

Mon Mar 20, 01:51:58 PM EST  
 Anonymous blogged...

DW will be able to answer more accurately, but I suspect the biology department he refers to is not in an institution where research is a significant part of the employment requirements. Between being primarily, or exclusively, a college where professors mostly (or exclusively) teach and tenure, I can easily imagine such fools existing and getting away with it.

- oddjob

Mon Mar 20, 02:09:50 PM EST  
 Lily blogged...

Earlier comments were not working on blogger (many blogs were down) but I wanted to express some kind of empathy or support or outrage or disgust- something. What you describe flies in the face of education. The spirits of such asswipe quips are misguided.

I'm betting there's a privacy policy regarding the personal details of employees. Or should be. I use a PO box for everything as a general rule because work is work, home is home.

Please don't tell me that a publically funded school behaves this way, then all that I have read about the influx of theocrademics will be further confirmed.

Like we need confirmation. Another day in wingnut land.

Mon Mar 20, 02:31:10 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good afternoon, LindiBee.

To some extent, OddJob is correct in that different colleges have place greater or lesser emphasis on publishing. The meat grinder of the publish or perish environment had come under some degree of severe (if carefully muted) criticism as early as the 1990s because it de-emphasized teaching so much. At least, that was the accusation. On another level, the publish or perish standard has produced a massive amount of field literature of highly variable quality and has led in some instances to less-than-sterling research methods. That has been of great concern to me because there are many whose training in probability theory, statistics, econometrics, and related fields is far from adequate, and their research shows this. And while the referees of the journals are wetting their pants about the genuinely trivial in rejecting or demanding heavy modifications to submitted articles, the gaping holes are being allowed to pass straight through to publication.

In the head-cracking course work I took, professors literally threatened our very careers if we used certain statistical methods and tools. Big on the no-no list were step-wise regression and residuals analysis, among others (including any statistical method that poses to address causality rather than mere correlation); yet, there they are, all over the place in allegedly high-quality, published work. This bodes ill for issues involving far subtler or more complicated flaws in analysis. In the field of evolutionary biology, to this day I don't even want to think about the gawd-awful way mitochondrial DNA is used to track back to original species: the statistical methodology that was employed in tracing back to a date and location for the "mother of all humans" nearly makes me want to scream. (And what's more, the hard, open criticism of what was done not only left the authors of the study unfazed, but also left the critics being accused in some corners of unspeakable motivations.)

And once flawed studies get into print, even the repudiation of some of the authors does nothing. The "meta-study" of second-hand smoke was so wretched that a number of the authors actually publicly condemned it in subsequent years; yet, again, there that study is, being waved at every municipal meeting for a blanket ban on public smoking.

This, of course, leads to the issue of being accused of supporting something contrary to public interest, which is an entirely separate matter from the quality of research that's used to support the calls for enactment of or changes in statutes.

Now, I drifted way off course in my answer here, but the point I was trying to make is that some institutions of higher learning have moved away from publish or perish and found a balance between quality of contributions to the research literature and the value of contributions to the teaching quality of the institution.

Being one who worked hard to be a good teacher in my early days, I suffered great harm to my career, even though I could walk circles around just about anybody (at least the other American students and faculty) when it came to quantitative methods and understanding. Were I to have begun my career today, I could have done at least a little bit better having a reputation as a good (if rather unorthodox) teacher.

But setting all of that aside for a more precise point, one I made in a comment over at Night Bird's Fountain, one does not have to accept the theory of evolution either to teach or to publish literature. In fact (and although I struggle with this thought), to bring up evolution in some courses is to be open to an accusation of "fanning the flames" of dispute.

When I teach economics courses, many are the opportunities I have to slam, cut down, repudiate, and denigrate various Right-wing (and a few Left-wing) points of view, theories, and claims. However, in many cases, I need not make those attacks to get the lecture content completed fully; in fact, to raise these issues is at least in some cases to specifically cut class time from far more topic-specific matters.

For me, the ethical issue in the lecture hall is this: when am I obligated as a matter of academic integrity to bring up a hot topic, as opposed to when am I bringing it up only to stir controversy?

Most of you know me here to the extent that you understand that I am not persistent in merely causing trouble because it's cool or hip or because it shows that I'm in control. I'll do my best to be unfair, insolent, and mean to the Right-wingers at my leisure, but it's not productive to do it as my sole or even primary means of communication. There is a broad and good place for sarcasm, irony, and all that, but is my classroom an open field where I have the obligation to start an argument and then bully down those who disagree with me on every last day, or even on most?

Don't get me wrong: I'll confront issues as they arise. Finding some "balance" in presenting the economic record of President George W. Bush versus previous Presidents is no small task; but Lord knows, I try. I really do. However, if I craft my lectures well, prosecuting an agenda of laying broad and deep frameworks of basic knowledge of principles, as well as the basic ability to read data and graphs well, I don't have a "controversy," per se, when it comes time to confront relative performance records of Presidential Administrations. In other words, if I want students to see the truth, and if I want to mitigate ideological arguments, it is in my own hands to ensure that my students are deeply informed and furiously encouraged to use their minds and their own eyes.

The flaw in this pedagogy is that it can be used equally well, if wholly falsely, by those of other stripes, as well. I know several attorneys who went to a law school rather well-known for several radical Right-wing professors. The influence on the thinking of the attorneys from that school is quite obvious; but what is frustrating is that those people are as certain as could be of the rightness of their radical positions on matters of constitutional law. Those professors used the precise and unavoidably perfect logic that is the hallmark of training lawyers to infuse in those attorneys absolute certainty that there's no other way to see things. And God forbid a non-lawyer should take exception: most good law schools teach their students early on that no one—but no one—who isn't a lawyer has any business talking about law. In fact, I have more than once been threatened with the statutes (and such statutes exist in every state) about practicing law without a license. (Those laws, which I taught to paralegals lest they get in serious trouble working in the field, would make your hair stand on end if you knew what you were forbidden from doing.)

Good methods of teaching can lead to good ends, but they don't have to. This is one of those areas where ethics shades quite unnoticed into something vaguely like morality, and it's a place where I try my best to use the mechanics of good teaching and good teaching methodology to stay away from the hazy area where I would have to ask myself if what I am doing is right or wrong in some quasi-universal sense.

That, by the way, is why I do dearly love this blogging lifestyle: I don't always have to be circumspect, balanced in approach, and caring about the feelings of those who might disagree with me when I teach or talk subject matter.

Of course, I still ought to be good at what I do, though.



The Dark Wraith will let this comment end on that note.

Mon Mar 20, 04:14:04 PM EST  
 Anonymous blogged...

I know several attorneys who went to a law school rather well-known for several radical Right-wing professors

That institution of higher learning wouldn't happen to be a notable one in a midwestern city on a body of water, would it?

- oddjob

Mon Mar 20, 05:03:34 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

And by the way, LindiBee, I am now seeing rather more new full-time faculty members at both the community college and at the public university who are most decidedly and vocally religious in the quite neo-Christian way—the way that rather scares me. The ranks of the existing adjunct faculty are already filled with evangelicals and assorted others of the kind. At the community college, one young math teacher goes to class with his Bible atop his textbook and lecture notes; and according to students, he stands at the lectern before class time and reads from his Bible until the very last second before class is supposed to begin.

Rather subtle.

For a while, we had those little green mini-Bibles showing up like mushrooms all the time in the adjunct area, and often they were tied open to some highlighted passage. I started bitching my head off about this, hinting at one point that I was going to bring in The Canterbury Tales and prop it open to "The Miller's Tale." (That threat didn't impress anyone; I should have threatened to bring in the Kama Sutra, but I don't have a copy of it, and the thing is too darned expensive to buy just to make a point.)

Common areas are forever being peppered with full-time and adjunct faculty talking about this Bible study group or that church meeting and discussing times, topics, reading assignments, et cetera. Although I've tried on numerous occasions to get more scholarly discussions going in the common areas, there's a palpable unwillingness on the part of faculty to go there, almost the opposite of the excited willingness to start talking about religious matters (or one of their daughter's latest children born out of wedlock, or one of their boys' arrests, or one of their husband's or wife's recent layoff from one of the dying factories on the outskirts of town).

Okay, now I'm being mean, even as I'm being accurate.

(Stupid parenthetical opportunities to be catty.)



The Dark Wraith should know when to quit.

Mon Mar 20, 05:34:38 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good evening, OddJob.

My answer to your probative question is, "Could be, Wabbit."


The Dark Wraith elects to provide the obtuse response.

Mon Mar 20, 06:36:24 PM EST  
 Anonymous blogged...

Okay, now I'm being mean, even as I'm being accurate.

The satisfaction of recognizing when they betray the inferiority of their supposed superior way of living......

- oddjob (who recognizes that Christianity has more than one form, not all of which necessarily fall under the above broad brushstroke - but one sure does!)

Mon Mar 20, 07:07:05 PM EST  
 Mr. Shakes blogged...

Okay, OT, and I know this isn't an open thread, but I've been meaning to bring this guy to the attention of readers here for a while.

So before I forget (again):

Bill Gross' Investment Outlook

This month's installment will, I think, bring warmth to an old Wraith's heart.

Mon Mar 20, 10:10:49 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good evening, Mr. Shakes.

The fellow writing that article is preaching my tune right down to the last word. He even touches upon the fact that a current account deficit is matched by a capital account surplus. I hadn't even had a chance to look at Bernanke's burp, but now that the fellow writing that article pointed it out, I went to look for myself. My God, that SOB Bernanke showed the capital account surplus, which is—as the author of the article accurately notes—the mirror image of the current account deficit!

That's like a chart about a man who's bleeding to death, but instead of showing the life-threatening loss of blood from the man's body, the graph exhibits the gain in blood to the soil around him.

God Almighty.

The Fed was supposed to be independent, but this new Fed Chairman isn't even trying to pretend. At least Greenspan put on a phony look of objectivity that bluffed Congress into thinking he really didn't hate Clinton and love Bush.

This new bitch isn't even trying to cover the fact that he's the neo-cons' bitch.

Aaargh.

Grr.

Damn.



The Dark Wraith needs to quit before he completely loses his cool.

Mon Mar 20, 10:52:33 PM EST  
 Anonymous blogged...

ShrubCo. - all and only politics, all the time.

- oddjob

Tue Mar 21, 09:51:24 AM EST  
 oldwhitelady blogged...

Hi Dark Wraith.

What interesting Email to receive at your work Email address. I guess it's alright to push religion on folks, huh? At a past employment, I had a deeply religious co-worker. She ended up divorcing hubby and marrying the minister of her church. It's been sometime back so I can't remember all the details, but she tried to push religion on her co-workers. I guess her boss finally told her to back off. I liked her, a lot, except for the religion pushing. I remember her showing me a picture of her baby, however, she said she would not put the picture in a frame on her desk, because she didn't want evil eyes to look at it. Ah, good times...

What I find interesting, most of all, are the different religions and the breakdown of co-workers attending different churches. At one former employment, there were many Baptists and Methodists. At another, there were far more Catholics. Another had more non-religious (or maybe they were less pushy about their beliefs).

Tue Mar 21, 06:44:19 PM EST  

       

Tuesday, March 14, 2006

Special Blog Poll:
If You Knew

Suppose you had an article you wanted to write. Your intention was to present a conclusion you had reached, one you had offered or strongly suggested in previous articles you had published. The article you were considering was different from the others, however, in that you had gathered more information, and some of that information was of a different kind: many new bits and pieces—facts, observations, hearsay—from people with whom you had spoken. None of these individuals were "connected" in any meaningful way to some central source of secrets; they were, instead, rather common men and women living as they are in extraordinary times and circumstances. What they had told you had created in your mind a compelling case: their individual perspectives had coordinated with your own general and specific knowledge to lead you to near certainty. Whether or not you would put your judgment quite so starkly in a planned article would be a matter of rhetorical style, but you have no doubt that what you have to say is worthy of publication.

The problem is that this is an era in which publishing such a story could very well be construed by federal law enforcement personnel as a national security issue. Worse still, those with whom you had spoken might or might not know about your particular political leanings, but you are pretty sure they did not at the time and still do not know you are a writer whose works are read by people all across the nation and the world. It is possible that your sources would not have spoken nearly so freely with you had they known about your literary and journalistic work; and as such, you have no direct permission to quote them. (However, you can't shake the suspicion that some of them actually did know about your journalistic work and were trying to warn the country through you.) If their association with your article were to be revealed, their careers could be in jeopardy were national security interests to learn their names; and even if you were to minimally buttress the credibility of your article by citing "anonymous sources," you know very well that federal courts have now dismissed journalistic source privilege as an affirmative assertion before federal grand juries.

Knowing all that you know, what would you do?

An Exclusive Online Poll by The Dark Wraith Forums
If You Knew

   



<< 44 Comments Total
 oldwhitelady blogged...

Good evening, Dark Wraith.

That is a very difficult decision. Ouch!

Tue Mar 14, 09:40:32 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good evening, Old White Lady.

That's why the readers here at The Dark Wraith Forums are going to help me with it... in a purely hypothetical way, of course.



The Dark Wraith could then, if worse came to worse and this poll had anything to do with something that was really going on, tell the grand jury that it wasn't his fault.

Tue Mar 14, 09:47:35 PM EST  
 Lymond blogged...

Good evening, DW. I would certainly publish and cite anonymous sources.

Your statement, " federal courts have now dismissed journalistic source privilege as an affirmative assertion before federal grand juries." is not quite as certain as you imply, IMO. I believe (or am I just hoping here?) that courts generally are very reluctant to dismiss privilege and have a pretty high bar set before they will do a Miller deal with prosecutors.

Tue Mar 14, 10:01:58 PM EST  
 Charlie blogged...

Good evening, Dark Wraith.

Might I suggest another option? I would write the article citing anonymous sources, then shop it around to various mainstream publications. I would promise those institutions to reveal my sources to my editor as soon as I had their written guarantee that if they chose to publish the article, they would protect both me and my sources in court. Of course, if upon learning the sources they chose not to publish the article within a certain reasonable time limit, I would want the freedom to find someone else to publish it, or choose one of the other options suggested in your poll.

Perhaps that isn't a feasible thing to do. Nonetheless, because it is another option, I'm throwing it out there for your consideration.

Tue Mar 14, 10:15:30 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good evening, Lymond.

You raise an important point, one I plan to address in my next update on the Valerie Plame scandal.

There are claims flying around certain parts of the Internet that hundreds of journalists are now being subpoenaed by federal prosecutors, who are being given virtual carte blanche by those national security letters they've been allowed to use thanks to the Patriot Act.

Whether or not the "hundreds" is accurate I have yet to confirm, and I might not be able to do so, given that many of these individuals and news organizations are apparently not even permitted to disclose that they have been nailed. One journalist that some dismiss as a bit of a whacko (I do not) is defying an order against him not only by refusing to surrender records, but also by publishing the fact that records have been demanded of his Web host. Interestingly, in his case the Web host was sent a one of those national security letters; but since this fellow hosts his own site, he's in the rather awkward position of being forbidden from telling himself about the demand for information.

As secretive as I am, I must admit that I would have a really hard time with that order.

Cripe. I couldn't even mutter to myself about what a bunch of Gestapo jackboots the feds were.

Come to think of it, I've talked to myself about these issues when my cat was lying on my desk. Now I'm wondering if the cat has been issued some kind of subpoena about which she's forbidden from telling me.

I never did trust that cat.


The Dark Wraith needs to check that cat for a wire.

Tue Mar 14, 10:29:28 PM EST  
 PeterofLoneTree blogged...

First, I'm going to comment.
Then, I'm going to vote.

My son is a veteran of Gulf War I who came home alive but who was exposed in Iraq to Depleted Uranium poisoning. My son has three children, as does my daughter. Their children's ages range from 3 to 12 years and I'm quite certain that all of these young folk will at some time be exposed to the horrors of armed conflict, unless the current program of perpetual war being used to sustain the faltering American economy is halted.

Someone, and I forget where, once estimated that since the beginning of recorded history, two billion people have died as a result of the wars that mankind wages upon itself.

A great American journalist, Sidney J. Harris once wrote, "Only among men is Nature's law of 'survival of the fittest' thwarted and indeed, reversed; for in almost every generation the fittest are sent forth to be slaughtered by orders of the stunted, the twisted, and the senile".

Will the document save lives?

"As long as you have done unto one of these the least of my brethren, you have done it unto Me".

Now I'm going to vote.

Tue Mar 14, 10:37:15 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good evening, Charlie.

I'm really glad you brought that option up: a variation of it was on my mind, and I didn't offer it because of the specific circumstances under which I, as opposed to others, operate. Had this hypothetical article been the planned work of someone other than me, that would definitely have been an option of greater or lesser potential for realization. However, I have learned over a period of many years, and I have learned keenly and quite painfully over the course of this past year or so, that I'm not going to be published by any mainstream print media outlet. It's just not going to happen for me.

I've shopped my best articles from here at The Dark Wraith Forums, and there is nothing—I mean to tell you, nothing—out there that wants anything whatsoever to do with my work.

There are several reasons for this. First, I'm a blogger; and second, I'm not one of the first-tier bloggers.

Oh, yes. Third, I rather suck as a writer. Not as much as some, mind you, but sufficiently to ensure that no mainstream magazine or book publisher in his right mind is going to waste good trees on bad print.

And this isn't self-efacing modesty; rather, this is the conclusion from a nice stack of polite, form-generated, U-Suck rejection letters I've received.

Under the circumstances, I couldn't get a publisher to print such an article, which means the probability that I'll have any negotiating room in which to have a publisher guarantee my defense is exactly zero.

That's why I didn't put this option in the poll.


The Dark Wraith finds a sort of grim humor in the short list of options available.

Tue Mar 14, 10:44:50 PM EST  
 Mr. Shakes blogged...

Good evening, Dark Wraith.

Wow.

I voted for option 3: publish the article, but do so without making any claims that you have spoken with anyone who is directly in the know. Though, inevitably, this choice was influenced a great deal by my overwhelming curiosity about your discoveries.

I suppose a lot depends the specific nature of the information you have been given, and the accuracy of the conclusions you have pieced together. If a certain threshold of sensitivity is breached then it doesn't matter how you choose to parse it; the hammer of GOD will come crashing down. In which case you may as well publish all, and be damned, if you think it's worth the possible consequences.

Well, shit. I don't suppose there's much mystery about the target country, given the graphic, lol. You know, I'd really been hoping that this wouldn't happen. For the past couple of months every fiber of my being has been screaming that surely, they can't be THAT stupid. What about the price of oil? Where will they find the troops to do this? How would they get permission from Congress? With public opinion the way it is even the Repugs wouldn't dare to be this brazen in an election year. It's just plain impossible; madness; total insanity. The ramifications are unthinkable. But then something's been bothering me.

The drop down in American casualties in Iraq over the past couple of months seems anomalous given what's been happening on the ground. It could be that we are simply giving up, or trying not to exacerbate the situation - hunkering down in bases and hoping that it all blows over - but there's another possibility. Namely, that they're prepping for something big, and that Iraq is already in the rear view mirror. Rumsfeld has certainly been making some signals to this effect.

Dear God, the mind just boggles.

Tue Mar 14, 11:00:10 PM EST  
 My Pet Goat blogged...

Pussies. No personal offense to anyone but the current voting is going the way of the pussy democrats (exactly like with their stance on Feingold's censure proposal). At this rate we'll never have a straw that broke the fvcking camel's back.

The answer should be obvious if the question is important enough to ask. Anonymous sources? A lame approach - unless you have enough credibility (or really, really good dirt) to get noticed to begin with. Then, maybe, would anon sources work to your advantage by being able to create more air time for the issue under the guise of trying to "protect" your sources by drawing it out. Otherwise you'll get swept under the rug.

This country is in serious trouble and has been for some time now; a majority of people realize this to some degree. Borrow a line from the neo-cons - if you are not for changing this sad state of affairs you are against us. I say standup and fight - publish and name sources, and by doing that, either force the sources to support your conclusion or show themselves to be yellow-bellied sheeple.

Tue Mar 14, 11:36:28 PM EST  
 PeterofLoneTree blogged...

"Namely, that they're prepping for something big..." -- Mr. Shakes

Something big? Consider this, Mr. Shakes: In the last 108 years, the United States has waged war on The Phillipines, Germany, Italy, Japan, North Korea, Vietnam, Cambodia, Thailand, Iraq, Russia (a cold war but we 'won'), and now we're planning an assault on Iran. What country is surrounded by all these countries?

Then, I invite you to read:

"Yuan Has Biggest Gain Since Revaluation After Wen's Comments"
(Bloomberg) -- "China's yuan had the biggest gain since a decade-old peg to the dollar ended in July, after Premier Wen Jiabao called for the market to play a greater role in setting exchange rates."

Balance of article is at http://tinyurl.com/qoc8z

Tue Mar 14, 11:48:24 PM EST  
 BlondeSense Liz blogged...

Think about all the blogs and websites that post preposterous claims. Is anything done about it by the government? They seem to keep updating regularly. I thought I had read just about every opinion on these interesting time on the internet. Print is another story. It appears that the government is more interested in what is printed even though I imagine a webpage might have even more readers eventually.

I'd keep my sources anonymous, connect the dots and pull a bush saying you would have to trust me on this. heh.

Wed Mar 15, 06:09:28 AM EST  
 Donviti blogged...

Based on you response to Pteroflonetree In order to get this piece of work published it seems that you would need to quote them...does it not?

Or if you are happy just knowing that years from now you can stand upright and say "I told you so" feel free to go anonymous.

Being married I can attest to the "I told you so" years later is sweet! Being a Man though it is sweet for 2 seconds b/c the woman always forgets what you are referring too.

Wed Mar 15, 10:57:29 AM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good morning, Donviti.

Although I consider it a matter of duty and honor to come to the defense of friends in their times of need and trial, when it comes to providing supporting words to a man who has just referenced the male perspective on the nuances and frustrations of marriage, my response is typically, "You are on your own, Chief."


The Dark Wraith will, however, have a moment of respectful silence should Donviti's comment lead to sundry and adverse consequences.

Wed Mar 15, 11:06:37 AM EST  
 LindiBee blogged...

Regarding your earlier comment about your writing skills, I completely disagree. Having voted in the Koufax awards and having visited the sites and posts of other bloggers in the lefty community, your works, particularly in the "Best Series" and "Best Single Posts", by far outshine the great majority of other contenders. I am grateful that the Koufax awards has given me a chance to discover many other worthy sites that I haven't visited before; however I am a bit ticked by what I suspect is blatant "Ballot stuffing" by a certain professor who, unlike our host, clearly identifies himself, thereby leaving an open invitation for his students to score points by voting for his blog. Not that this instructor's work is bad, mind you; it's just that his writing style is not as engaging, and his humor is nowhere nearly as sharp as the rapier wit of the Wraith himself.
Even under the “Best Single Humorous Posts” category, I found most entries pleasantly entertaining at best; but none, and I mean NONE, begin to compare with the post our host did on AmericaBlog after the Election 2004 debacle, about the Bush/Kerry Tag Team smackdown. (I have it archived on my computer; I don’t know if AmericaBlog still has it on there server.)

Wed Mar 15, 11:59:54 AM EST  
 dread pirate roberts blogged...

i voted for the third option, publish w/o names. i'm thinking you, er, it, could generate interest, which would mean more people nosing around. tho i do think option 2 is viable also. perhaps you, or whoever, could write the piece with names and quotes and ask the named to "preview" it, giving them, privately, a chance to see who else has spoken up.

publish here and label it fiction if you must. i think we'll get the drift.

Wed Mar 15, 12:18:10 PM EST  
 dread pirate roberts blogged...

oh yeah. thanks lindibee for the reminder about writing quality.

no hiding behind that now DW. we read your stuff. we know you can write.

Wed Mar 15, 12:21:32 PM EST  
 Anonymous blogged...

The world, including the world of successful authors, is replete with rejection notices from publishing houses - all with polite variations on "That sucked! You're a horrible writer!"

You may or may not get published, but you most definitely can write!

- oddjob

Wed Mar 15, 12:54:50 PM EST  
 PeterofLoneTree blogged...

"So let it be written; so let it be done."

Wed Mar 15, 02:24:23 PM EST  
 Gary Buell blogged...

Good luck with your decision. In a not disimilar situation I once took the info I had and approached a couple of fairly well-known journalists. The first one did nothing and the second (Washington Post) said he would look into it but nothing as yet.

Wed Mar 15, 02:34:36 PM EST  
 trailertrash blogged...

Good morning, Dark Wraith. Regarding your quote: ...Diplomatic and covert operations methods have allowed not one, but two whacko nations to come within a hair's breadth of having the nuclear capability to blow their neighbors to Kingdom Come.

That really depends on how you define "Whacko"...and "allowed"... and "having".

Because of our readiness to attack others (and the arrogance of our leaders) we could now be construed as "whacko". Of course, we already have nuclear capabilities.

Thu Mar 16, 06:45:43 AM EST  
 karen m blogged...

Good morning, Dark Wraith.

That's a difficult problem, indeed. I voted for calling my sources "anonymous", evn though I feel uneasy about that. If there had been an option to discuss the article with my sources first, before hitting "publish", say, I would do that and name names in the article itself.

There are some people who wouldn't appreciate it any other way, and I respect that. So...I'd rather name names if the sources agree.

By the way, I'd like to say a belated thank you for the warm welcome a while back. I've been getting all sorts of help with my writing lately, so I haven't been commenting as I'd like to.

Thu Mar 16, 10:07:47 AM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good morning, karen m.

You are, of course, correct that the straight-forward approach of asking the sources for permission to use their names would be best. My dilemma is that I have a standing policy of not telling former students the URL of this Website, although in a few cases, I make an exception based upon their political leanings and the likelihood that they'll ever take a course from me again.

As LindiBee noted, some professors openly promote their blogs to current and former students. In my judgment, that's a pretty bright conflict-of-interest line the other side of which I don't want to explore in most circumstances. It is for similar reasons that I waive royalties on published content I have students purchase and that I refuse to require or even suggest magazines and journals like Barron's and the Wall Street Journal that give in-kind or other kickbacks to professors who sell subscriptions to students. (This kind of publisher push-marketing is getting a little more noticeable these days, by the way.) As noted, others have no problem with this, and that's their call. It's also their call to claim this is a matter of academic freedom, just as it's my call to introduce at the administrative level outright bans on such practices.

To the matter at hand, my article entitled "Fire and Seeds" was sufficiently close to the line to give me some pause because of the personal nature of descriptions I set forth. I plan to write another article about certain incidents at a religious college at which I taught, and that article will approach (but not go way too far into) a zone of discomfort for me in not seeking direct permission from people described therein.

The one about what people have told me concerning war is where I would be better off asking permissions, but to do so would for the sake of honestly letting them know what I write here probably necessitate telling them the URL of this blog, thereby opening the can of worms about which I was blathering above.


Tough calls. Sort of like in my days of consulting when I was between my duty to tell securities administrators of wrong-doing by clients and my sense of obligation to long-standing friends, both those who were committing violations and those whose investments would surely be wrecked by my disclosures before they could sell out their positions.

Damnable be the moral dilemmas.



The Dark Wraith ought to consider becoming a hermit.

Thu Mar 16, 11:46:05 AM EST  
 PoliShifter blogged...

Publish it as an OP-Ed. Let the burden of proof fall on the reader.

Say it as a matter of fact and don't cite sources.

This is how the pundits play the game anyhow.

If people pester you for facts, sources, and references, tell them to go google themselves.

Thu Mar 16, 06:45:01 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good evening, PoliShifter.

Telling people to "go Google themselves" sounds almost obscene!

I wonder if a Democratic member of the Senate who went and googled himself would get referred to the Endangered Invertebrates Display at the Smithsonian Museum or something like that.

Oh, I keep forgetting that the official Democratic Party line now is that what we bloggers think and write doesn't matter.

That's sort of liberating in a way, don't you think, PoliShifter? Complete freedom from relevance: sort of like the Yippies before the Democratic National Convention in 1968.

God, how I love history repeating itself. It makes for a lot less memorization when it comes to taking the test.



The Dark Wraith is getting creeped out by what looks for all the world like Hubert Humphrey's face in this cup of coffee on the desk.

Thu Mar 16, 07:35:24 PM EST  
 elf blogged...

Evining DW,

Fascinated by the arguments backing up the responses.
I guess authors have always faced a certain sense of risk for sundry reasons, but once personal safety and that of others enter the equation it is no longer the least bit funny.
We truly may have reached that point, especially with the DOJ willing to push the espionage law into a large envelope without windows. (courtesy of Haliburton)
Personally I would have to take into serious consideration how my publishing would affect my sources. Lets say I were able to quote someone, but then the gov. starts asking questions. There goes my source and possibly any others that may have considered giving me good information. So how will I continue getting the word out to the public then?
Deep background based on how Newsweek operates gives one plenty of clues today; so who is willing to stick their neck out besides me the writer.
I have a tendency to want to side with My PetGoat and say you bet we are all pussies, but what about the person with this information who really wants it to get out and has a true concern and fear of reprisal.

Leads me to go with the third one leaving me the author in the hot seat publishing what little I can in hopes it will be seen and understood leading to positive change.

Just don't call me Judy!!!

Since the first day I posted a comment I have felt welcomed here but even without all the great coffee I would have returned because of what and how you write.

And must include: the puns!!!

p.s. the grand jury would have a hard time accepting what you wrote was not your fault. Unless you had a different nickname lol

Thu Mar 16, 10:10:11 PM EST  
 PoliShifter blogged...

Hi Dark Wraith,

I seem to remember the members of the House of Burgesses saying the same thing about pamphleteers during the 1770's.

The pamphleteers were calling for seperation from England and Independence.

Initially the powers at be tried to quell such notions of rebellion against King George.

On the one hand you are right Dark Wraith, seeing as how history keeps repeating itself it does leave left to memorize.

In fact, when I die, if I get reicarnated again as a human, when I go to college I'll be sure NOT to take history since I will know it all...

On the other hand it is very sad that we keep making the same mistakes over and over and over and contiually fail to learn the lessons of our history.

Humans are hard headed, what can I say.

Thu Mar 16, 10:59:28 PM EST  
 Anonymous blogged...

Some months back National Geographic ran an article on our energy dependence (& its implications) that finished by making the observation that the only thing we learn from history is that we learn nothing from history.

- oddjob

Thu Mar 16, 11:14:02 PM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good evening, OddJob.

My next Quoth the Dark Wraith should be thus:

History will never be a particularly popular college major because no one likes to be told, "I told you so."



The Dark Wraith shares the sentiment.

Thu Mar 16, 11:43:24 PM EST  
 PoliShifter blogged...

Who needs history when you can do it over in real time and stream it over the internet.

Or better yet, make a nice flash cartoon about it as it's happening and drive all kinds of traffic to your site.

I used to think that the Romans were stupid for letting their Empire crumble.

Somehow I know how many of the Roman citizens must have felt...

Fri Mar 17, 12:26:24 AM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good evening, PoliShifter.

We usually present to high school students that the Roman Empire "fell" in A.D. 467, but this is a simplification that is terribly misleading. A more accurate way of describing the collapse of the Empire was that it never really was destroyed. In the Fifth Century (but well before that in its origins), the sovereign power of the central government began to contract, both in geographic terms because of expenses that outran budgets and in ideological terms as competing interests began to sway leaders away from dedication to the central authority. No small part of why the "hordes" were able to march right into Rome on that fateful day was due to Roman generals who had made their own arrangements with power structures other than those of the government.

However, as I've noted in threads previously, the idea of "Rome" was not shattered by the unwashed heathen pouring in from the hinterlands. Most importantly, Roman law, Lex Romana, was not dismissed; instead, it was simply renamed Lex Romana Visigoth: the Law of the Visigoth Romans.

Rome didn't fall so much as it transformed. At its high point, the Roman Empire was a highly centralized, technologically sophisticated, well-funded state where the chariot of military power was lashed to the steed of religious authority underpinned by centuries of secular, statutory law. In its ebb, the steed broke free as the chariot rotted from lack of funds and attendant loss of dedication.

The demise of the Classical Age was no more and no less than the withering of the vine of technological sophistication and capacity to project law and uniform order through military power. That horse of the Holy Roman Catholic Church was unable to maintain great control in the East, but it was sufficiently strong to carry into and maintain in Western Europe some remnants of Roman civilization for the new age. Its ability to and interest in holding onto the technologies and even some of the methods of Roman civilization at its highest point were rather dubious at best; nevertheless, though, the Middle Ages in Europe were not a break from the age of the Roman Empire nearly as much as they were a fitful reconciliation of Western societies and cultures with its vestiges as such were embodied in belief systems, scholarly expressions and suppressions, and means of production, distribution, and commerce in a world where there was the potential for functional spheres governed by less control even as secular and religious leaders insisted upon more of it.

That, in an over-simplified summary, is some history; and it bears fruitful lessons for our own age... if only we would pay attention.



The Dark Wraith has thus yammered.

Fri Mar 17, 01:06:56 AM EST  
 Anonymous blogged...

The new link I put in the Open Forum thread below is worth your perusing, folks.

- oddjob

Fri Mar 17, 12:06:09 PM EST  
 PoliShifter blogged...

Hi Dark Wraith,

thank you for your very insightful comment.

I guess what I ment was it seems to me that Rome suffered from corruption as much as our current government is. They also had over stepped their bounds as you pointed it and were unable to manage the far reaches of their empire...Much like the United States is doing.

Another turning point was that in the begining Rome's army was nearly 100% Roman. By the end of the empire that number had dropped to less than 30%.

I see the same thing today with our military. We are taking in immigrants and promising them citizenship if they fight for us. A very Roman idea indeed.

What I ment was that it seems easy for me to look back at Rome and say to myself:

"what a bunch of dumbasses. You can't have madmen managing your empire and you certainly cannot have rogue generals threatening the empire. And you most certainly cannot maintain empire if you do not truly win the hearts and minds of the people you occupy"

What I am saying is that, for me, looking at our own country and its follies, I feel I am pretty well aware of the mistakes we are making and where they will lead us if we do not correct them.

I now suspect there may have been several Romans, perhaps even a Dark Wraith or two, who could see what was happening and was trying to change the course of Roman politics.

So for me to think that the Romans were a bunch of dumbasses for not averting their demise that in hind site, we could all see coming, is akin to me thinking everyone in America alive today is also a dumbass for not trying to stop the demise we also can see coming.

I guess I was always taught and left with the impression that Rome was blinded by its power and wealth to even realize its own mistakes. Thus, the Roman populous often seems damned all together along with the ruling elite for the ruling elite's mistakes.

Historians may say the same thing 2000 years from now about the U.S.

But the fact of the matter is that many people like you Dark Wraith, see that we are headed for disaster.

It would be unfair for that historian 2000 years from now to paint us all as a bunch of dumbasses not aware of our own demise. Clearly many of us are.

And in that way, I can now relate to how perhaps many Romans felt, especially when madmen were ruling their country much how a madman is ruling our country today.

Fri Mar 17, 01:57:04 PM EST  
 Anonymous blogged...

I see the same thing today with our military. We are taking in immigrants and promising them citizenship if they fight for us.

I don't disagree at all with the general tenor of your post, but there's nothing new about this particular development at all. Even in the Civil War there was a fighting unit in the Union Army of Irish conscripts known as The Irish Brigade.

When I was a graduate student I ended up doing a fair bit of talking with the night watchman for our building on the edge of the campus. He was born in Hungary shortly before WWII, fought in Vietnam with the French Foreign Legion, and then served as a US Marine which was how he got his US citizenship.

- oddjob

Fri Mar 17, 02:47:20 PM EST  
 PoliShifter blogged...

Good points Oddjob...

Is it fair to say then that the United States has always had its eye on creating empire? At least since the 1850's?

Fri Mar 17, 03:12:50 PM EST  
 StealthBadger blogged...

I've had this conversation with myself in hindsight. I've always regretted not saying something more than I've regretted the consequences of venting my outrage.

Always.

Fri Mar 17, 03:23:05 PM EST  
 Anonymous blogged...

Is it fair to say then that the United States has always had its eye on creating empire? At least since the 1850's?

I don't think that's a logical conclusion to make based upon knowledge of that policy, not on its own. I don't have a problem with offering citizenship to others willing to fight in our armed forces, and I have always been ashamed at our fascination with empire.

Learning about the Spanish-American War was just the worst..... (& yet here we are with the country run by Karl Rove, an open admirer of the administration that engaged in that bit of shameless jingoism!)

- oddjob

Fri Mar 17, 03:53:07 PM EST  
 Anonymous blogged...

Allow me to "blogpimp" if I may:

Pissed Off Patricia of Morning-Martini (ne of Blondesense) has posted an especially apt characterization of the alien country we now find ourselves living in.

- oddjob

Fri Mar 17, 03:56:40 PM EST  
 PoliShifter blogged...

Hi Oddjob,

I don't have a problem with offering citizenship to those who would fight for America either. But I do think it is a hallmark of empire.

I happen to be of the opinion that once America accompished Manifest Destiny that we turned our sites on global empire.

It started with the Louisianna Purchase, the Mexican Cession, and aquiring Alaska.

Why we never took over Canada and Mexico is beyond me.

By the 20th century we set our sites on Central and South America.

Now it seems the PNAC NeoCons have dreams of world domination.

I do find it sad though that we would recruit the poor, immigrants, and those less fortunate to go fight our unjust wars.

I saw a commercial the other day for the military advertising that you could join the military AND get your college education at the same time.

Bush has successfully shifted from the peace time economy of Clinton to a war time economy.

The end result of Bush's policies are that more and more young people in our country are seeing the military as the only viable option for them.

Fri Mar 17, 04:39:43 PM EST  
 The Fat Lady Sings blogged...

Good Evening Dark Wraith. Interesting premise – marvelous commentary. I will add my own, but first let me address several points raised in this thread. First – I understand why some of the more mainstream news organizations might shy away from your work – you yourself stated a few of the more usual suspects. Bad writing, however, has nothing to do with it - as you well know; especially considering the very real possibility of your winning a Koufax (much deserved, I might add). I would suggest, however, an attempt be made approaching those publications somewhat off the radar (though widely read). The Onion, for one. I happen to know that its publisher has a rather mercurial mind, open to any number of offbeat ideas. Second – have you contacted anyone from Mother Jones? Then (depending upon the subject) there are always those publications attached to the Anomaly Community. Just a few thoughts – it really depends on the subject matter. Of course – there is also the possibility of like minds banding together. There are quite a few of us here at the Forum with what I consider interesting voices. Why not group some of our work under your banner and offer it as a download? Just another idea.

Now – let’s get down to business. What to do? I’m afraid for me, that answer is multi-leveled. When I was much younger, I had a somewhat crusading nature. I rarely looked before leaping head first into the nearest abyss. That I usually dragged my friends in with me was a consequence I never seemed to foresee. I never asked what they thought, mind you; if I felt it was the right thing to do, I damn well did it. Very selfish of me. No matter how important the situation – I needed to take into consideration whosoever else would be affected. Then I gained some maturity, and realized whatever decisions I made had to be made by myself alone – I could risk my own skin - but no one else’s. The weight must fall on my shoulders, not be spread amongst those I loved. Now we come to your particular dilemma – what to do with your truths. Well – you must inform those whose work you reference (supposing they, like you are unpublished. Previously published material just needs to be footnoted). In my opinion, you should not include somebody who prefers to opt out. You can, of course, cite them as anonymous sources; though I would make sure their quote would not act as a trail of bread crumbs back to the source.

It makes your job harder, I know. But, ethically speaking – you cannot drag someone into that abyss without first getting their permission. At least, that is my opinion. This little morality play is, I’m afraid, all your own. Good luck, my dear. I’m afraid you’re probably going to need it.

Sat Mar 18, 12:36:17 AM EST  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good evening, Fat Lady Sings. Thank you for your contribution.

Your experiences parallel my own. In past years, I had no mind of those who would end up being harmed by my crusades. In that time, lives and fortunes were ruined. In fact, had I better grasped the extent of the influence I had over people and events, I might have been able to prevent at least one death and possibly more. I certainly could have chosen my words and actions more carefully. It isn't enough for me to point to the mad, greed-obsessed, and violent people against whom I began to war: their nature was the given from my side of the fights; my nature was the product of putatively free will, the triumph of circumspection over passion, as it were. I had spent my entire life from adolescence onward contemplating my will in battle against every manner of my biological cravings, practicing brutal self-denials, even clawing my way from one religion to another in deep search of ways to fight myself. And yet, there I was, entirely at the whim of my own need for grace in the defense of Holy Truth and Justice, letting be damned decent, if perhaps flawed, people in the way of my self-righteous, wholly unconcerned and uncontrolled scimitar.

I certainly hope I shall be proud of myself in my dying hour, standing as I will before the black well of nothingness while looking back on the bloody carcasses of the vanquished and innocent. I doubt that I shall have much evidence for such pride, though; most of those fights came to a miserable draw anyway, but only after both I and those I opposed had set to waste the wealth and spirit of people undeserving of such fate. If the count of injured marks the paces from a man to his Salvation, I cannot say that my journey would be any shorter than that of anyone I claim as evil.

But paralysis to action is every bit as despicable. We see this terrible truth right now, right here in our own lives and times, in the appeasement—the veritable surrender—of the mainstream Democrats to the draining force of ignorance, superstition, and cruelty that is the Republican Party and its life force within the Christian Right.

To use the unwilling and the unwary is wrong; but to let stand the undeserving and unacceptable is perhaps more so.

Such a time as this: all roads lead to Hell, and the choice of highway depends upon one's preference for the scenic quality of claim to righteousness.



The Dark Wraith has had enough of introspection for a while.

Sat Mar 18, 01:37:56 AM EST  
 SB Gypsy blogged...

Good Morning Dark Wraith,

I will just return the favor of reminding you that this administration doesn't pull it's punches. And add that Hitler sent young college students to their death in Auchwitz for handing out pamphlets against him. Keep yourself safe, if possible.

That said, there is another factor in the fall of the Roman Empire that may be germaine: the volcanic eruption that changed the climate and brought on the Black Plague.

In the book "Collapse", the author traces the collapse of civilizations from the Mideast to the Mayans to the south Pacific, and always there was rapid climate change, followed by famine and depletion of resources.

We are now facing at the very least one of these events, and the chimpster is oblivious, to the probable ruin of us all.


..Just thought I'd brighten up your morning. ;)

Mon Mar 20, 07:05:38 AM EST  
 Anonymous blogged...

I voted for leaving your sources anonymous, but in reality was in agreement from the start with several other posters here who feel that you should clear the use of their commentary with your sources before naming them, and quote them anonymously if they prefer to remain so. I understand that you feel that some lines would be crossed in doing this, but those lines cannot be as important as you have made this decision out to be. You need not inform them of your blog, but only of your intent to publish an article in as prominent a publication as you can manage, or online if need be.

I was going to suggest writing it with the names included, and then showing a physical copy to the people who's names you really feel are necessary (with other names blanked out of course), but that comes with other complications, starting with them wanting to provide editorial input and being able to search for phrases within the article and find this place more easily, and moving on to things I have not thought of.

As to you being a less then extremely competent, clear, and compelling writer: horsewash! (If you'll pardon my language.) Or is that hogwash! Either does well enough as you wouldn't want to drink the water afterwards any more than any who read this site would imbibe that idea. If anything, the problem may be that your writing is too good. I forget the precise grade level, but most newspapers and magazines rarely if ever stray into publishing writing beyond the high school level. Little, if any, of your writing falls to that mark.

If you have something as important and relevant in this day and age to write as it sounds, I advise you not to predict, neither positively nor negatively, its reception at any publication but rather to send it out to as many as possible and appropriate. If you write it, it is to get it read. And if the writing and publishing even on your website carries such risk, you may as well do your best to seek the maximum readership and impact for the risk you are taking.

My best wishes, and my thanks for your work so far, which I started reading with great relish about a month ago,

Siri

Tue Mar 21, 03:29:07 PM EST  
 Mixter blogged...

Greetings, Dark Wraith,

Quite a conundrum you have here. However, you can't just sit on what you know. Morally, it would be wrong.

That being said, you do need to take steps to protect yourself and others.

I went with option #2 because I felt that was the best way to say what you know, yet protect your sources. If a judge makes you spill, you probably wouldn't feel too badly about it, given the description of how you received this information.

Or, you could tell me all about it and I'll sing like a canary!

Mixter

Thu Mar 23, 04:53:40 PM EST  
 elf blogged...

Hi DW,
Just want to say that upon reading Sy Hersh's article in The New Yorker this past weekend, all I could think of was this article you wrote. And I wonder why.

Tue Apr 11, 02:48:17 PM EDT  

       

Saturday, March 04, 2006

The Written Peace:
Open Forum of March 4, 2006

After the thread from the last post ranged over topics from the equation of exchange to English grammar to baseball, it seemed that an open thread was sorely overdue. Your host asks only that commenters carefully consider the consequences of getting the Dark Wraith started on a long-winded rant about something like negative externalities or the history of the English language: the universe has only so many free electrons available for use in threads, and Lord knows the Dark Wraith has no qualms about enslaving large numbers of them for use in his responses.

Suffer a brief note of promotion. Voting for the Koufax Awards is now open. The Dark Wraith Forums has been nominated in the following categories:

  • Best Blog (Non-professional/Non-sponsored)

  • Most Deserving of Wider Recognition

  • Best Single Issue Blog

  • Best Post
        ◊ The Ancient Future
        ◊ La'ana-hum Allah
        ◊ Fire and Seeds
        ◊ An Open Letter to Bill O'Reilly
        ◊ I Am Become Battle, How White Be My Tears

  • Best Series
        ◊ The 21st Century   Opus 1Opus 2Opus 3Opus 4

  • Best Expert Blog

  • Best Commenter


  • Vote. And suffer no compunction to vote for articles from The Dark Wraith Forums. The point is that the character of the outcomes in all categories will be shaped by how many people express their preferences. The more people who vote, the more likely the results will reflect the genuine assessments of blog readers as a whole.

    Moving on, The Dark Wraith Forums extends a welcome to commenter Jenny of donkey o.d., Night Bird's Fountain, and The Divided States of bu$hmeriKa, the latter two blogs also being homes variously to Barbi, Cyn_NY, Eli Blake, Chuck, Karen, and Lizzy, these people comprising as they do quite a community of bloggers, perhaps with more potential to be influential in the months to come than even they know. Time will tell.

    From that same general sphere of bloggers—a region of Blogosphere Left 2.0 with which I am still becoming familiar—comes Lily Branford of Lose the Noose and Consider the Boot. Welcomes also go out to Steven Perez (SAP) of Thoughts from an Empty Head and to karen m. of Evil Mommy (whose daughter had a birthday just recently), as well as to Texas Shiva at Hole in the Bucket, A. Citizen of Devourmag, Dark Daughta of One Tenacious Mama, and CorrespondAnt. Finally, welcome back to Luther, Lymond, and elf all of whom had sort of vanished for a while, as had Gary A. (although at least we knew where to find him should a rescue mission have been required).

    And as an addendum to the original version of this post, I call your attention to a Weblog I found through a comment at BlondeSense: the blog is called Romance Novel Review. Actually, the full title in the relevant site meta-tag is Romance Novel Review — Smart Bitches: Come for the Dominican Bitches, Stay for the Man Titty. (And with God as my witness, yes, I do feel weird even so much as typing that.) Aside from generally impressing me with bloggers and commenters possessing good grammar skills, those fine people are currently on a campaign to bring the word napoli into the American English lexicon. For those of you unfamiliar with the history of this brand-spanking new word, it has its origin in the South Dakota state senator Bill Napoli, who set forth the conditions under which he believes an exemption to South Dakota's abortion ban could be justified. For the definition of this newest word for America of the 21st Century, go to Romance Novel Review and see the drama of language evolution as it proceeds before your very eyes.


    Now for some red meat. Allow your host to offer a tiny snippet of conspiracy theory with a side of possible truth. Here's the story: apparently, the Dubai Port World deal has an interesting background not yet in the public spotlight. The story goes that a senior Democratic Senator is snooping around because he or she believes that the whole arrangement is connected in some way to the Iran-contra network from the Reagan Administration. The way the story goes, George Bush, Sr., was involved in Iran-contra, as was Junior, but neither of them got burned. Neither did John D. Negroponte, who at the time oversaw as ambassador to The Honduras all of the United States interests in the brutal Central American savagery of the death squads and contra forces funded by the U.S. to stop the spread of Communism in the region. Negroponte was appointed by George W. Bush as Ambassador to Iraq and now serves as the Director of National Intelligence. At the end of February, in testimony before a Senate subcommittee he assured Senators that the Dubai Port World takeover of the management of some U.S. ports was "low risk." So what's the evidence that someone in the Senate is trying to pry open a can that could cause a lot of shrapnel to fly out? There isn't much right now: Al Martin, one of the best conspiracy theorists around—although a man given to what some would argue is an anti-Israel bent that borders on anti-Semitism—claims he was "interviewed" by a retired FBI agent who now works for a private security agency. The fellow initially represented himself to Martin as merely looking into matters involving a private lawsuit nipping at Martin's heels. The private investigator subsequently disclosed that he was actually working for someone in the Senate who thinks there's a connection between the DP World deal and nonsense going all the way back to the 1980s. The part about this that lends a smidgeon of believability is that, contrary to Al Martin's usual style of claiming to know everything about everything, this time he glibly represents to be at a loss about how the plot works. That's disturbing: when a good conspiracy theorist is at a loss for words, something might really be brewing.

    So in the weeks and months ahead, don't be surprised if a great big meat pounder is brought out that connects President Bush and his '80s-era cronies to his 21st Century deal with DP World. On the other hand, don't be surprised if nothing comes of it. Even if there really is a connection, and even if that connection smells to High Heaven, this is the new world where even the most shocking abuses of power matter not one bit.

    Speak your peace here. The espresso bar is open all night, and we've just waxed the floors for those of you who favor break-dancing over the foxtrot, although we ask that everyone clear the dance floor for a moment of respectful silence before we play the new hit single from the Republican National Committee, I've Got th' Low-Down, Polls-Down Mid-term Congressional Elections Blues, sung by Howard Dean, with Bill "The Boss" Clinton on sax, John "Outdoor Hearings Don't Get Me Down" Conyers on bass, and Joe "The Chin" Lieberman on empty jug.



    The Dark Wraith turns on the disco ball light.

    << 66 Comments Total
     oldwhitelady blogged...

    Good Evening, Dark Wraith.

    I'm glad you put those links to the Koufax voting. I missed a couple, earlier, when I was punching in my votes. I hope there are no hanging chads.

    Sat Mar 04, 11:32:32 PM EST  
     Dark Wraith blogged...

    Yes, Old White Lady, I probably should have suggested that people hit the keys on their keyboards extra firmly when they type in their votes.



    The Dark Wraith doesn't want some recount dispute about hanging chads going to the Supreme Court.

    Sun Mar 05, 12:04:32 AM EST  
     misty blogged...

    Good Evening Dark Wraith,

    Ever have the desire to emit death rays through the computer at a particularly obnoxious idiot to hasten said idiot's destined Darwin Award?

    There are a few people out there who are fabulously lucky that I do not have such a talent. Yet.

    I think I shall pass on the espresso...time for bed for me. I hope you are having a nice evening.

    Sun Mar 05, 01:59:14 AM EST  
     Dark Wraith blogged...

    Good evening, Misty.

    Yes, I am forever vexed by my inability to perfect my thought magic. Lord knows, I've worked long and hard on my Death by Wedgie spell, but it's still not in the zone of acceptable destructive effect.

    I must say, however, that I've made strides. In class, I don't have to even consciously conjure my spells. One student told me that I have a "look" every once in a great while that "scares the crap out of everyone."

    I like that.

    Here's what I know about this whole subject. The first rule of warfare is never to assume your opponent's intentions, but to consider only his capabilities. That rule is used by many people, whether or not they know it. The corollary in action, then, is to ensure that you have given your enemies sufficient evidence of what you can do that the occasion is exceedingly rare when they would desire to confirm their worst fears.

    This applies to a powerful nation as much as it applies to blogging and teaching.

    The neo-conservatives don't understand this. Fortunately, most trolls do.



    The Dark Wraith does appreciate the peace and quiet here at The Dark Wraith Forums.

    Sun Mar 05, 10:44:09 AM EST  
     PeterofLoneTree blogged...

    "The first rule of warfare is never to assume your opponent's intentions, but to consider only his capabilities. That rule is used by many people, whether or not they know it. The corollary in action, then, is to ensure that you have given your enemies sufficient evidence of what you can do that the occasion is exceedingly rare when they would desire to confirm their worst fears.

    "This applies to a powerful nation as much as it applies to blogging and teaching."
    -- Dark Wraith

    Upon reading the above, I was reminded of the following description of John "A Beautiful Mind" Nash's game theory by Laura Knight-Jadczyk in her group of essays "Adventures with Cassiopaea", in which she investigates psychopathic states of mind:

    "At RAND, Nash devised a model of negotiation between two parties whose interests neither coincide nor are exactly opposed. It is a classic example of what we see taking place in our world today:

    Stage One: Each player chooses a threat and says "this is what I'll be forced to do if our demands are incompatible and we can't make a deal."
    Stage Two: The players inform each other of the threats.
    Stage Three: Each player chooses a demand that he thinks is worth agreeing for. If the deal doesn't guarantee him that, at least, no deal.
    Stage: Four: If the deal is made (under threat, mind you), both players get what they want. If not, the threats must be executed. This means, don't threaten what you really can't deliver, and always deliver what you threaten.
    Nash showed that each player has an "optimal threat," or the threat that ensures the deal no matter what the other player chooses.

    "Again, do we see this style of play in operation today? Either in terms of politics, or in terms of the relations between government and the people?"


    The passage above can be accessed at http://tinyurl.com/blo7a and from that link the entire work, involving 36 chapters, is available.

    Sun Mar 05, 11:53:41 AM EST  
     Dark Wraith blogged...

    Excellent, Peter of Lone Tree.

    Now, here's an example of this staging. It is useful because it focuses analysis on whether or not a situation is moving toward this "quasi-Nash equilibrium."

    Stage One:

    ► What credible threat can Iran make to the United States?

    ► What credible threat can the United States make to the Iran?

    Stage Two:

    ► Has Iran conveyed its threat to the United States?

    ► Has the United States conveyed its threat to Iran?

    Stage Three:

    ► What is the minimum acceptable deal that Iran wants?

    ► What is the minimum acceptable deal that the United States wants?

    Stage Four:

    ► As opposed to prosecuting its threat, has Iran attempted to reach an agreement for its minimum acceptable terms?

    ► As opposed to prosecuting its threat, has the United States attempted to reach an agreement for its minimum acceptable terms?

    Let's take it one step further, although "further" isn't the right term, since the issue here has to do with consequences of an enforced threat.

    Issue Alpha (worst-case analysis):

    ► What is the maximum damage Iran can credibly exact upon the United States?

    ► What is the maximum damage the United States can credibly exact upon Iran?

    Issue Beta (the "mini-max" principle):

    ► Under a maximum-damage scenario, what would Iran do to minimize its loss?

    ► Under a maximum-damage scenario, what would the United States do to minimize its loss?

    Finally, then, the question is such:

    Given that each country would pursue its respective path that would minimize the maximum damage if a deal could not be reached, do BOTH countries (not just one) have sufficient incentive to make a deal that would ensure that each receives its minimum acceptable terms?



    The Dark Wraith loves game theory but does not necessarily like its virtually inevitable results.

    Sun Mar 05, 12:43:15 PM EST  
     elf blogged...

    Afternoon DW,

    I'm picturing Maxine Waters and Barbara Boxer as backup with Hackett playin a mean mouth harp and Leahy drivin on percussion.

    And when I see ol patriot Ollie opening his blasphemous mouth I will know the connection to Contra can never be proved!

    Sun Mar 05, 06:39:12 PM EST  
     Missouri Mule blogged...

    Good Late Afternoon, Dark One

    I'm just here to listen.

    That will be me over there in the corner, chain smoking. I've gone ahead and helped myself to a cup of coffe black. I hope that was okay.

    Will the band be taking requests? If so, I'd enjoy hearing Nate King Cole's, Tenderly.

    I promise to be quite as a mouse.

    Sun Mar 05, 06:57:59 PM EST  
     Dark Wraith blogged...

    Oh, Lordie, Missouri Mule.

    Nat King Cole.

    Unforgettable. That's what he was.



    The Dark Wraith wishes he had an album of that man's music right now.

    Sun Mar 05, 07:16:42 PM EST  
     Dark Wraith blogged...

    Good evening, elf.

    I was sort of thinking about Ralph Reid on keyboard and Ted Kennedy on drums.

    I'd rather have Boxer belting out the tunes because, if she doesn't, Hillary Clinton's going to grab the mike and try to raise money for her non-run for the Presidency in 2008.

    That could get ugly if John Kerry takes the mike away from her and starts singing his version of Trust Me Once Again.

    That would get Obama started with his happy rendition of Coming to America, and then the audience would get hateful (seeing as how we're talking about a bunch of whipped and brutalized Democrats), and that would make Obama, Kerry, and Clinton all try to do a crowd-pleaser rendition of Rawhide, which would get really strange when the bullwhip started cracking, which would trigger a Pavlovian response in Bill Clinton as he thought it was time to interview a new intern.

    It just degenerates from there, elf; and I think the question we all have to ask ourselves is, "Do we really want the world to see us without all the phony pretenses of being Republicans-Lite?"


    The Dark Wraith thinks not.

    Sun Mar 05, 07:34:04 PM EST  
     PoliShifter blogged...

    I request that Joe LIEberman be kicked out of the band...

    Thanks...

    Sun Mar 05, 07:35:54 PM EST  
     Dark Wraith blogged...

    Rough crowd tonight.

    Sun Mar 05, 08:02:50 PM EST  
     Anonymous blogged...

    That Party already has enough troubles without giving such prominence to a Repub. wannabe like Lieberman.


    Nat King Cole.

    Unforgettable. That's what he was.


    THAT'S for sure!!

    - oddjob

    Sun Mar 05, 08:47:15 PM EST  
     Wadena blogged...

    Sorry, I'm voting for the Christmas Wraith (any relation?).

    Oh...wait a minute....it's Darth Wraith that I'm voting for.

    Never mind.

    I just thought you should know.

    Sun Mar 05, 10:14:49 PM EST  
     Dark Wraith blogged...

    Welcome to The Dark Wraith Forums, Wadena!

    Okay, and if there were a category for techno-geeks, I suppose I could ask people to vote for the Dork Wraith.

    And if one of my rants about neo-conservatism went overboard, I suppose I could garner a vote or two as the Dark Wrath.

    Okay, I've pushed it enough.



    The Dark Wraith should have let Wadena's original pun go.

    Sun Mar 05, 10:56:06 PM EST  
     Dark Daughta blogged...

    "Your host asks only that commenters carefully consider the consequences of getting the Dark Wraith started on a long-winded rant about something like negative externalities or the history of the English language"

    Truth be told, I would like to see more conversation about the french roots of the english language...just out of curiosity and a fascination with tidbits of completely useless information.

    Mon Mar 06, 12:55:36 AM EST  
     SB Gypsy blogged...

    Good Afternoon Dark Wraith,

    I request that Joe LIEberman be kicked out of the band...


    Hey, I'm doin' the best I can...

    Anyone wanting to contribute to that cause can go here

    Mon Mar 06, 03:49:39 PM EST  
     Donviti blogged...

    I found this link and I immediately thought you might be interested in a discussion or some of these readers might entertain this person. Since I am horribly under educated to answer his question I thought I would post the link for you and your readers.

    here is a snippet...

    http://acyu.org/2006/03/04/a-question-for-keynes/#comments

    Or is it correct to assert that Keynesian economics is merely an experiment in the ineffectiveness of government allocation of resources, specifically in this instance financial capital?

    Mon Mar 06, 04:40:17 PM EST  
     Dark Wraith blogged...

    Good afternoon, Donviti.

    That question is not a question. The person posing it is not interested in scholarly discussion since his implicit assumption is so far from the reality of the Keynesian era as to be science fiction, although science fiction writers could better craft an alternate universe.

    That question is somewhat similar to something like, "So, do you beat your dog on the weekends, too?"

    A professor I know in another state told me that, in one of his introductory science class, a young man who was a Creationist zealot posed a question he thought was some kind of "trap" for his professor. My colleague responded to the not-so-innocent question by saying something to the effect, "Son, congratulations. In the thirty years I've been teaching, I have never before been asked such a stupid question."

    The young man filed some kind of complaint against the professor. Fortunately, the administrators of this particular school, which is in no need of coddling stupidity, took the student into a conference room and gave him the academic equivalent of what a seal pup would experience when a pod of killer whales takes it out to open water to playfully toss it around before tearing it to shreds to share as a meal.

    No child left behind? I think at least one was.



    The Dark Wraith does admire a strong academic stance.

    Mon Mar 06, 05:32:19 PM EST  
     Anonymous blogged...

    "Son, congratulations. In the thirty years I've been teaching, I have never before been asked such a stupid question."

    Chutzpah! Me likey!

    - oddjob

    Mon Mar 06, 09:16:30 PM EST  
     trailertrash blogged...

    don't be surprised if a great big meat pounder is brought out that connects President Bush and his '80s-era cronies to his 21st Century deal with DP World. On the other hand, don't be surprised if nothing comes of it.

    It's pretty sad that he and his crew have managed to bring the US down so far... and very maddening that there is little done about it. I think we are no longer shocked, or surprised, just languishing in wonderment of what can be done. Our representatives don't represent us, they are either in fear of the admin, hands tied, or have plans to enrich themselves off the taxpaying public. It's all rather depressing.

    Mon Mar 06, 09:16:52 PM EST  
     Progressive Traditionalist blogged...

    Good morning, Dark Wraith.

    I believe unnecessary affliction occurs due to a conflict of terms.
    Some poor dopes would believe that this "consent of the governed" thing applies to them, seeing themselves as rightful citizens of a sovereign nation; while in reality, the consenting governed are the MNCs that pour out millions to achieve their ends.
    In economic terms, I believe that makes the MNCs "vested" citizenry, regardless of any discernable penchant to opt for the 3-piece.
    Which would give the above-mentioned poor dopes a position roughly analogous to unlanded freemen, would it not?

    Tue Mar 07, 03:10:47 AM EST  
     Donviti blogged...

    DW,

    Thanks. I wanted to report to you that your lessons have done some good and I was able to comprehend his question but it was so puzzling to me. Your answer regarding the question reinforces that I actually do have a clue.

    Tue Mar 07, 08:14:14 AM EST  
     My Pet Goat blogged...

    After the recent discussion of the S&P 500 during Bush's appointment, a revisit to the stock chart for BUSHCO is warranted.

    A good example of the a trend in motion stays in motion concept.

    Tue Mar 07, 05:32:47 PM EST  
     Anonymous blogged...

    Talk about awards
    their Oscar coverage was great

    Tue Mar 07, 05:37:14 PM EST  
     Lymond blogged...

    Ahh, Good Evening, DW!

    Nice, an open forum. Although I'm a little tardy to the party, I'd like your, and other commenter, thoughts on something that's been more and more on my mind lately.

    But first, let me call your attention to the fact that it's "Lymond" and not Lyman. If you've never read Dorothy Dunnett's "Lymond Chronicles," well, consider yourself introduced. I'm in the throes (yes, real throes) of finishing the 5th of the 6 vol. series. I identify with Francis Crawford of Lymond, Master of Culter because he is a fictional character after my heart. To wit, he's been described, thusly: "He is Francis Crawford of Lymond, a scapegrace nobleman of crooked felicities and murderous talents, possessed of a scholar’s erudition and a tongue as wicked as a rapier. Hunted by friend and enemy alike."

    I'm not a reader of historical fiction, but this series is one where you stop and re-read passages in total awe. I'm told her Niccolo series is even better.

    But, I digress...

    I'm someone who participated as much as a young parent could during the Vietnam War protests. Living in the Boston area, working as a systems engineer in a large company that had lots of defense contracts, I, nonetheless, actively participated in the moratorium, marches in Boston, Cambridge, DC and NYC, took a lot of abuse from fellow workers and supervisors for shoulder-length hair, McGovern buttons, etc., etc.

    By all that I'm trying to make the point that I am concerned that until we, who want this country and our government back, take to the streets in VERY LARGE numbers, all the blogging and snarking and a lot of the mental masturbation I see going on will not only be for naught, but will continue to be snickered at by the those in all 3 branches of gov't., the press, and the backroom corporate powerbrokers who own them both. (Imagine, all that in 1 sentence...I might even be John Kerry! HAH). I am a big proponent of blogs, etc., but believe that a lot of bloggers/commenters don't understand that it is only part of the trip.

    We certainly don't seem to be able to depend on the Congress or the press, both of whom were moved to action by the "action" in the late 60's & early 70's. And, I'm seriously mistrustful of the ballot, or should I say the electronic voting machine (we still use paper ballots here in my small nook of NH).

    I'm concerned that things are a little too cushy since the draft is not a factor these days. Most people don't have that impact in their lives to in a way force them to have a more active concern about what's happening to their country (where the war is only a small part of the devastation under way, but it gets things started).

    Anyway, thought I'd use the opportunity to express the point.

    [And if anyone is moved to try the Lymond Chronicles, I'll just forwarn you, bull through the first one. It's a bit turgid, but worth it!]

    Tue Mar 07, 06:24:11 PM EST  
     Anonymous blogged...

    A good example of the a trend in motion stays in motion concept.

    How interesting that over time the slope of the approval curve is virtually the same pre- and post 9/11.

    - oddjob

    Tue Mar 07, 06:59:53 PM EST  
     oldwhitelady blogged...

    This post has been removed by the author.

    Tue Mar 07, 08:20:33 PM EST  
     My Pet Goat blogged...

    The numbers behind the lies - You would have thought the Wraith wrote this.

    Economist John Williams says ‘real’ unemployment and inflation numbers -- figured the old-fashioned way -- may be two or three times what the government admits. Here’s why, and what it means for Social Security.

    Tue Mar 07, 11:11:52 PM EST  
     Dark Wraith blogged...

    Good evening, Mr. Goat. I am truly grateful that you brought that article to my attention.

    You and the other regulars here know that just about everything that economist is saying is what I've been howling about for a long time (and even for considerably longer than I've been publishing articles here).

    It heartens me that something approaching a mainstream media outlet is beginning to recognize this systematic data manipulation outrage.

    Of course, if the mainstream media were to have read the articles and comments here at The Dark Wraith Forums, they would quite some time ago have heard the phone ringing from Clueville.



    The Dark Wraith cannot help but grouse just a little.

    Wed Mar 08, 12:29:53 AM EST  
     Dark Wraith blogged...

    Good evening, Lymond.

    A few days ago, Shakespeare's Sister set forth in a post some provocative ideas about Middle America voters, one consideration of which was that there is a broad, if not overwhelming, swath of voters in this country who are not at all concerned about the blood-boiling issues that propel us in this part of the Blogosphere. In her view, these voters really don't care even about the glaring incompetence of this Administration: what to us are Bush's failures, in a real and palpable sense are essentially a single non-issue to most people.

    The very core of why we hate this man, his cronies, and their sick ways is irrelevant to Red-State America.

    Her essay set me to thinking: as much as those typical Americans miss the point of what's so wrong, we miss the point, too. These people cannot be enlightened—at least certainly not by "information," which is our stock and trade. We consume it, we process it, we construct complex, forward-looking conclusions from it, we relate it to historical facts and patterns, and we draw from this process a deeply disturbing picture of the growing, irreversible damage being done to our personal and civic lives.

    And in so doing, we have no effect.

    I must conflate this troubling epiphany with something that was brought into sharp focus for me somewhat recently. I had taken some measure of excitement in the growing problems for the corrupt cabal in the State of Ohio, where Governor Bob Taft is now roundly dismissed as a political entity for the future. And although Ken Blackwell still has a politically powerful base of support, because of his unavoidable connections to the state's Republican Party, he too has suffered political damage that might very well for at least a few years diminish his prospects.

    The idea of the Democrats again taking control of the government of the state is not far-fetched, and it seemed to me that this meant the institutionalized voting fraud in the state would finally come to full light, and justice would ultimately be served upon the Republicans who had corrupted the voting system and thereby created something frighteningly close to a theocratic/corporate state government.

    It was therefore with a quite literal sense of shock that several weeks ago, over a period of only a few days, a small group of people with considerable access to the inner workings of Ohio government and politics more or less bitch-slapped me into a rude awakening.

    You see, Lymond, I was made to understand in no uncertain terms and quite clearly that the Democratic power brokers in Ohio were in on the election fix in 2004. At first, I thought what I was being shown was the biggest, phoniest piece of crap I'd ever seen; but once I got over my preconceptions, I could come to no other conclusion than that what I was seeing was, indeed, pretty solid evidence—coming at least within a stone's throw of clear and compelling—that this was no Republicans-only subversion of democratic process.

    Late last week, I brought this whole matter up to one of my favorite and well-connected national conspiracy theorists. I thought I had some candy I could trade for something. He was sorely unimpressed.

    You see, Lymond, he thought I was smart enough to have already figured out why the Democratic National Committee wanted Hackett out of the U.S. Senate primary race.

    At least I'm a little smarter now than I was a couple of weeks ago.

    I am not yet altogether sure I'm glad for that: a few weeks ago, I would have joined a march of 10 or 10 million against this Administration. Today, I'm pretty sure than neither I nor 10 million would materially change the trajectory of this Century.

    The task that lies in front of me now is to change my opinion not about what the 10 million can or cannot do, but instead to right my belief in what I can do.



    This is the new challenge that faces the Dark Wraith.

    Wed Mar 08, 01:23:09 AM EST  
     Lymond blogged...

    Well, DW, I've read that response twice through now and had prepared a lengthy reply. But, really, all I'll say is that it wasn't surprising, and it did amplify that hollow feeling that's been creeping in for a several years now.

    I mourn for the idea that so many gave so much for, especially the founders who, if they have emotions, must be absolutely livid at what has happened here.

    "The price of apathy towards government is to be ruled by evil men."
    ~Plato

    Wed Mar 08, 08:53:14 AM EST  
     PeterofLoneTree blogged...

    "The task that lies in front of me now is to change my opinion not about what the 10 million can or cannot do, but instead to right my belief in what I can do." -- DW

    I had the opinion once that only economic ruin for a large portion of the population would awaken people to the need for change. However, 10 million (or however many) starving, homeless people seek only food and shelter--not political philosophy.

    Someone once said, "People vote with their wallets". To that I would add, "People without wallets don't vote".

    Wed Mar 08, 09:54:22 AM EST  
     nc gal blogged...

    Good Afternoon Dark Wraith.

    I have been unable to visit for awhile so forgive me if I am behind the times. For several months now I have been totally consumed with Iran-Contra and believe that it has everything to do with what is going on today not just the ports deal. Many of the same crooks and liars are in greater positions of power today that it boggles the mind. Cheney shielded H.W. Bush then and is now in H.W.'s position. There are so many different threads to follow and it gets very confusing but I can't stop, I have been possessed. It all started with that picture of Porter Goss, Barry Seal,Felix Rodriguez and the Operation 40 gang taken in Mexico City. What do the current CIA Director, a dead CIA drug-runner, and a CIA bagman have in common? Assassination, drugs, money laundering? Whatever it is it can't be good.
    Linda Tripp was at one time Richard Secords personal secretary?
    I don't remember reading that during blowjobgate. Sorry for rambling on, it really does get me going but I don't know where, yet.

    Wed Mar 08, 04:47:44 PM EST  
     SB Gypsy blogged...

    Good afternoon Dark Wraith,

    Really, even when we DO take to the streets in numbers that should make them sit up and take notice, it's not reported on, so, it didn't really happen, y'know..

    and the whole black Caucus debacle, that has not to this day been fixed, should have made the majority of the country sit up and speak out for justice! Yet, because it was considered a non-event to the media, that didn't happen, either (at least until MM put it in his movie).

    Wed Mar 08, 04:53:44 PM EST  
     PeterofLoneTree blogged...

    "...because it was considered a non-event to the media, that didn't happen, either (at least until MM put it in his movie)." -- SB Gypsy

    Mikey has a website at
    http://www.michaelmoore.com/
    for those interested.

    Wed Mar 08, 05:08:31 PM EST  
     Charlie blogged...

    Good evening Dark Wraith,

    You see, Lymond, I was made to understand in no uncertain terms and quite clearly that the Democratic power brokers in Ohio were in on the election fix in 2004.

    Pray tell, do you have links? Enquiring minds -- at least this one -- would like to know more.

    Wed Mar 08, 06:23:31 PM EST  
     Dark Wraith blogged...

    Good evening, Charlie.

    Start with this February 28, 2006, primer at the Columbus Free Press. It was written just a short time ago. The author, Bob Fitrakis, is carefully pulling his punches about the involvement of certain heavy Democrats in the game, something that is not being done by others on the Left in Ohio. One of the main hooks in the sites of the rabble-rousers is an emergent state political figure named Mary Jo Kilroy, who—as early as the late 1990s—was moving toward the Right, essentially pioneering a political survival and flourishment strategy now employed by U.S. Senator Hillary Clinton. She is not the only Democrat being accused by Ohio grassroots organizers, but they seem to be focusing on her, and they seem convinced that it is only a matter of time before the larger voice at the Free Press stops pulling its punches.

    Some of the people either associated with or peripheral to this site are the ones also involved in the Ohio grassroots meet-ups, where they are opening up their guns rather bluntly about what they think is some kind of "betrayal" that explains why the fraud was so obvious, but nothing was done about it.

    As far as national conspiracy theorists go, they're not really too interested in this stuff, at least not in and of itself. For the most part, things like this are old news to them: there are no longer two parties in the United States. Instead, there's a powerful coalition that's trading power back and forth, with a bunch of irrelevant little howlers in the wings crying foul. To most conspiracy theorists, the so-called "national debate" is just so much juice for the masses, and it amounts to nothing—not at the local level, not at the national level, and not (at least to some extent) at the global level.

    If a politician gets too much power without being "with the program (consciously or just by nature)," he or she will eventually not be available for interviews, most likely because he'll be dead or otherwise too busy to answer his phone.

    All of that pretty fluffy stuff I've written above having been said, I am considering offering an invitation to one of the fairly level-headed of those grassroots Ohio organizers to lay out his case against the Democrats right here at The Dark Wraith Forums. If I do so, I must admonish him that he must give it his best shot: if it's nothing but rumor and innuendo, it will come off to the sharp people who read this blog as crap. To the extent that it's better than mere rumor and innuendo, he'll get some degree of receptivity from the readers here.

    What have I got? I got nuthin', Charlie; and that's a good thing: otherwise, I'd sound like some kind of conspiracy theorist.


    And the Dark Wraith would never want to be labeled a conspiracy theorist.

    Wed Mar 08, 06:58:30 PM EST  
     oldwhitelady blogged...

    Good morning, Dark Wraith. Your latest quote really took the cake:
    South Dakota State Senator Bill Napoli believes an exemption to the state's ban on abortion could be justified for for a girl who was "...brutally raped, savaged. The girl was a virgin. She was religious. She planned on saving her virginity until she was married." With this in mind, South Dakota could also craft an exemption to the ban on murder, provided the victim was "...brutally kicked in the ass, killed. He was a state senator. He was a Right-wing whacko. He was planning on living long enough for someone to think he actually had a brain."

    So, he thinks that a raped woman must be 1) virgin 2) religious, 3) saving herself until marriage, 4) brutally savaged, before she should qualify for an abortion. I would hazard the bet, that if his wife ended up pregnant from a rape (from someone else) he would want her to have an abortion. That stupid F#*&@*#@(&#@(&@#!!

    Thu Mar 09, 07:03:35 AM EST  
     oldwhitelady blogged...

    I'm sorry, Dark Wraith.

    Regarding my comment above, I changed my mind. That rat bastard wouldn't have his wife get an abortion, should she become impregnated thru rape. He'd probably make her carry it, then divorce her cause she had sexual relations with another man! G*&*)$%$#@@$#!^&!!

    Thu Mar 09, 07:36:55 AM EST  
     Anonymous blogged...

    All animals are equal, but some animals are more equal than others.
    - George Orwell (Animal Farm)

    Thu Mar 09, 08:36:00 AM EST  
     Anonymous blogged...

    And now, for something completely different:

    legitimately good news.

    Germany's not a particularly sunny country. If they can devote enough effort to solar to make them the number one market for it in the world, surely we can top that, even in the Northeast.

    - oddjob

    Thu Mar 09, 10:11:24 AM EST  
     My Pet Goat blogged...

    Or the northwest. Seems like it should be a no brainer, but there seem to be many barriers to innovation when it comes to new construction or remodel.

    Education or experience of the construction companies (or lack thereof) is a key issue from my personal experience. For example, ask ten builders around the country what their view are relative to installing on demand (or tankless) hot water heaters or radiant floor heat systems (I now have both).

    Both are proven technologies that are more energy efficient and are common elsewhere in the world. They are slow to take off in the US though. Why? Because many builders don't have the experience with them and they would rather stick with the standard hot water heater that costs less to install up front, or because they believe the myth that the tankless system doesn't produce enough hot water for a typical household.

    If these types of experience/educational barriers could come down faster we would see more demand and more innovation for energy efficiency.

    Thu Mar 09, 12:03:51 PM EST  
     Anonymous blogged...

    Another example (like "QWERTY") of why a completely free market doesn't always produce nirvana?

    - oddjob

    Thu Mar 09, 12:34:40 PM EST  
     Anonymous blogged...

    Zippy weighs in on the NSA.

    - oddjob

    Thu Mar 09, 01:08:30 PM EST  
     SB Gypsy blogged...

    heh heh ...with double cheese.

    Thu Mar 09, 05:48:28 PM EST  
     Mr. Shakes blogged...

    Good evening, Dark Wraith.

    I see that Good Omens by Terry Pratchett and Neil Gaiman is currently featured in your advertisments section. A brilliantly funny novel, better even than some of the Discworld installments.

    Do you choose what book shows up there, or do Barnes and Noble? I'n guessing you do, based on the fact that the ones I've noticed seem to be works that that would meet with the Wraith stamp of approval.

    Thu Mar 09, 09:58:22 PM EST  
     Dark Wraith blogged...

    Good evening, Mr. Shakes.

    I do indeed choose my own books and CDs from Barnes & Noble. I find it interesting (but perhaps not surprising) that you would be entirely familiar with Neil Gaiman and Terry Pratchett. I was hoping those names would spark some interest in my current offering.

    As far as the CD is concerned, I chose Celtic Woman expecting it to generate at least some interest, but it's been quite a disappointment from a marketing standpoint. My own tastes don't always align well with those of the audience, here, although I remain convinced that my general strategy of choosing things that appeal to me will be more successful than choosing things that Barnes & Noble suggests.

    I suppose I'm violating that rule to some extent with A&E, right now: the series 24 has a seriously strong fan club, so I allowed myself to be convinced that it would be a better campaign right now than some of the alternatives, which included DVDs of previous seasons of the series Family Plots and Dog, both of which have such narrow fan clubs as to be shots in the dark on a blog like mine. I keep hoping The History Channel will give me some good stuff to offer, but the pickings have been slim from that side of the A&E/The History Channel duo.

    Anyway, you are as astute as ever. Those books are my own selections; and you may note that I spare my readers any offerings from such arcane subjects as mathematical economics, theoretical finance, econometrics, and even the history of the English language.

    Over the past month, I've been looking at economics textbooks for the next year academic year, and I ran across one co-authored by none other than our new Fed Chairman. I honestly didn't know he'd written a principles textbook. (It turns out that he's co-authored more than one... yeesh!) I now wish I had remained ignorant of this little factoid. The breathless hype of the publisher's rep notwithstanding, the textbook was pedantic to the point of tedious, and it wasn't what I would consider a college-level offering, other than maybe for a survey course for students who needed only some kind of filler class.

    I kind of hope Bernanke's knowledge of economics is greater than what was on display in that textbook, but what bothers me is that recent public statements he has made genuinely leave me with the impression that he really, honestly doesn't have a substantially deeper understanding than what was on display in that book. I genuinely hope to God the man is just trying to blow smoke up the butts of media and political types; if he genuinely believes what he's saying, we're in some serious trouble with respect to financial market stability over the next couple of years.

    I'm not taking any chances, though, Mr. Shakes. I'm not going to feature Bernanke's textbook over in the sidebar.

    The last thing I want is for someone to think I endorse dull, pendantic writing and equally dull, pedantic Fed Chairmen.


    The Dark Wraith will not be featuring any book of the wit and wisdom of Alan Greenspan, either.
    [That's for DARNED sure.]

    Thu Mar 09, 11:32:58 PM EST  
     Dark Wraith blogged...

    Good evening, Mr. Goat.

    Years ago, I lived in a rooming house that was built around the turn of the century. In the basement was one of the most amazing tankless water heaters I have ever seen. I believe this particular unit was installed in the early 1930s, and it was still working perfectly in the early 1980s.

    Its simplicity was elegant. Whenever a hot water spigot anywhere in the three-story structure was turned on, the resulting water flow would pass through a thick, coiled, iron pipe that sat right over a giant gas burner. The water flow would trigger the burner to fire, so the pipe would get glowing hot within seconds. The water moving through the coil would then get super heated as it ran through on its way to wherever the spigot was on. I can tell you that the water coming out was so hot it would nearly take your skin off. As soon as the spigot was turned off, the burner would shut down.

    Even though many people lived in that giant house, no one ever had a cold shower, and the water was so hot that no one ever needed to boil water for tea.

    Since I lived in a tiny little room in the basement, many were the times I would wander over to that hot water heater and just marvel at its effectiveness and sheer simplicity of design.

    Some years later, I had an opportunity to see another rather elegant technology. My brother lived in a huge house that was built before the Civil War. In the attic were five enormous copper vats with pipes and mechanical arrangements all around them. I didn't quite understand the purpose of the whole arrangement until an old plumbing man who was there one day while I was visiting explained it all to me. The mechanical devices were like gravity-assist pumps that would bring water up from a well and into those vats. Because this whole assemblage was in the attic where it was always very warm, the water would get very warm in those vats. Hence, the residents of the house would always have nice, warm water for baths and other needs.

    But the really cool part of that technology revealed itself only when the house was finally destroyed by a fire. No, the water wasn't just getting warmed by being in the attic. As it turned out, the pipes that delivered the water to the downstairs were all passing though the wall behind the fireplace in the main living room! In other words, in the Winter, when people want water hotter than they want it in the Summer, the water was getting heated to very high temperature by the roaring fire in the fireplace. In the Summer, when water doesn't need to be as hot to be satisfying, the fireplace wasn't running, so the water wasn't getting as hot by going through that piping behind the fireplace.

    Now, both of those technologies were ingenious, cool, and downright efficient.

    And both of those technologies simply disappeared from homebuilding.

    Interesting, isn't it?


    The Dark Wraith sometimes wonders how far forward we have to go before we step back to find what we need.

    Fri Mar 10, 12:08:45 AM EST  
     My Pet Goat blogged...

    Interesting bit of history there Mr. Wraith, thank you for sharing. So many ways of transferring or storing heat, yet so few used.

    You, and other readers, may find this article of interest Why Data Mining Won't Stop Terror. The article makes several good points, but the really interesting gem is the PDF file linked in the article - GAO's report on data mining efforts by the feds. Take a look at the planned mining systems for the IRS for example (page 52). Pretty soon a person won't be able find a penny on the street without having the IRS know all about it.

    The question to me out of all of this data mining is who is mining the miners?

    Fri Mar 10, 12:43:14 AM EST  
     Dark Wraith blogged...

    This, of course, leads to the unavoidable conditional challenge as such:

    If the miners mine the mine,
    and in mining the mine, they necessarily mind the mine they mine,
    who then minds the miners as they mindlessly mine the mine and also mind the mine they mindlessly mine?




    The Dark Wraith is just wondering.

    Fri Mar 10, 01:04:08 AM EST  
     PeterofLoneTree blogged...

    PoLT presents a bouquet of yarrow to the Wraith for being yare and declares, "You're to be complimented for your tales of yore".

    Fri Mar 10, 09:13:43 AM EST  
     My Pet Goat blogged...

    Mein government?

    ------------

    Strange events this morning. Your blog loaded without a stitch of of the sidebar stuff; no quote, no links, no ads, no nothing. Even after refreshing. Sure was quick though. The NSA must be pissed about the data mining stuff.

    Fri Mar 10, 10:07:25 AM EST  
     Mr. Shakes blogged...

    Good morning, Dark Wraith.

    Your comments about Bernanke put me in mind of a subject that I’ve been thinking about a great deal lately: humans, lemmings and the bizarrely similar natures of these two seemingly different species. Every few generations, humans from every corner of the globe, and of every creed, color and culture become inexplicably fixated on doing everything they can to cull their own number. Old ideas, the ones that have proved their inefficacy beyond any reasonable doubt on countless occasions are resurrected, and new life is breathed into them with the words “it’ll be different this time.” The drums of war begin to beat, as the ancient tribal passions reassert themselves in the hearts of civilized men, and superstition, ignorance and fear rule the day. Then, finally, on the eve of Armageddon, the Fed Chairman announces that he can give the markets guidance about what they should expect to happen regarding the rate of inflation.

    But seriously, what’s the deal with Humanity? Why does this suicidal pathology assert itself on a racial level with such inevitable regularity? From the Romans who said, “Hey, I know, let’s put the army in charge of everything!” to the jubilant crowds that gathered outside Buckingham Palace and the Reichstag in 1914, through to the various brands of ideological fundamentalism that are tearing our world apart today, we seem doomed to continually repeat this cycle of destruction and rebirth. Whatever the cause of this phenomenon, its worst aspect, at least from the perspective of those of us cursed enough to live in such interesting times, is the unstoppable momentum that these cycles possess. And for reasonable people, it is especially infuriating to be overwhelmed by the all-powerful brute stupidity wielded by the masses during these periods of change.

    It was a manifestation of this frustration that I think you were expressing when you said:

    The task that lies in front of me now is to change my opinion not about what the 10 million can or cannot do, but instead to right my belief in what I can do.

    Inspired as it is, by the prospect of inevitable defeat, this question becomes very interesting, since it is a shadow of the quandary that we all face: how do we live meaningful lives knowing that death is inevitable and that nothing we do ultimately matters? I think the way in which we have chosen to answer this bigger question is a good indicator of how we’ll address the first.

    By the way, if you ever have the time, I’d be very interested to hear your opinion of Kondratieff waves.

    Okay, I'm going to go drink another gallon of coffee, now.

    Fri Mar 10, 10:16:51 AM EST  
     SB Gypsy blogged...

    Good Afternoon Dark Wraith,

    Why does this suicidal pathology assert itself on a racial level with such inevitable regularity?

    Every time we see an improvement in production of food, we see a corresponding jump in population. When the population becomes unsustainable (as it is today) brilliant politicians decide that it's easier to kill a whole bunch of peons than it would be to raise the standard of living of the masses to the point where they are able to afford distractions other than sex and violence. It doesn't go unremarked that the latter option leaves less stuff available, in the short run, for the oligarchy.

    how do we live meaningful lives knowing that death is inevitable and that nothing we do ultimately matters?

    Never say never.... you just don't always know the impact you have on others. Your words and actions may take some time to come to fruition.

    Fri Mar 10, 12:13:28 PM EST  
     ThePoetryMan blogged...

    dark wraith,

    Beauty is in the eye of the beholder...leaving poetry in the ear...

    Sat Mar 11, 05:38:32 PM EST  
     Progressive Traditionalist blogged...

    Good morning, Mr Wraith.

    Water pre-heaters, known as HRUs or ECUs, are becoming common in certain areas. These loop the water line around the liquid line for the AC unit (usually a heat pump) to pre-heat water before going to the tank.

    Passive solar floor tiles combined with geothermal loops is becoming more common for area heating.

    Sometimes expense is still a factor, as is the case with the 100' vertical bore geothermal heat pumps. Very efficient though.

    Mon Mar 13, 10:56:47 AM EST  
     Anonymous blogged...

    Interesting bit of history there Mr. Wraith, thank you for sharing. So many ways of transferring or storing heat, yet so few used.

    And that is my impression of what really happens in a free market. Whether it's actually the "best" choice or not depending on the priorities of a later era, once a choice gets made the effeciencies of scale that come into play as the winning choice (or winning choices) come to dominate the competition then prevent later reassessments, even when later technological developments may make an earlier option now the "best" one.

    Once the ball starts rolling, inertia takes over and the ball tends strongly to remain in the path in which it's already moving, regardless of whether that's actually the "best" path or not.

    - oddjob (who respects the wisdom of the blind free market, but does not believe that holding said wisdom in Panglossian reverence is the best choice a society can make; if that makes me a socialist, fuck it)

    Mon Mar 13, 11:04:19 AM EST  
     Anonymous blogged...

    The Dark Wraith is just wondering.

    Well.....

    You could have just quoted the Romans:

    Quis custodiet ipsos custodes?

    ("Who shall watch the watchers themselves?")

    - oddjob

    Mon Mar 13, 11:08:06 AM EST  
     Anonymous blogged...

    Then, finally, on the eve of Armageddon, the Fed Chairman announces that he can give the markets guidance about what they should expect to happen regarding the rate of inflation.

    LOL! You are one sick puppy, Mr. Shakes!

    - oddjob

    Mon Mar 13, 11:11:56 AM EST  
     Lily Branford blogged...

    Well thanks for the welcome Dark Wraith. And I have not sent you on any negative externalities discussions in at least a week or two... I am keeping a low profile lest I be (again) accused of being a government operative.

    If I were an operative though it would confirm my cranky outlook on the use of the taxpayer's dime though.

    And Wadena is a very cool cat, the cat my cat would be if it bought itself into Yale.

    Fortunately, Rumsfeld has taught me that you have to fight with the felines you have, not the felines you want.

    Mon Mar 13, 03:43:05 PM EST  
     Wild Clover blogged...

    Good Evening DW...
    Completely off topic here(though how I could be off topic on an open thread, only the AR among us can tell), I;ve been wondering how much difficulty it would cause you to have a button on the end of a comment thread that would collapse it back once one had read all 60+ comments? I would save wear and tear on my poor mouse wheel as I rapidly scroll back up to find the latest on BlogScream.

    (Clover runs from the explosion as the Master Coder cries,"Are these folks NEVER satisfied??? Sheesh.")

    Mon Mar 13, 10:49:24 PM EST  
     jenny blogged...

    A belated thank you, my liege. Very kind of you {{sir}}!

    Tue Mar 14, 10:27:49 AM EST  
     Anonymous blogged...

    discussing peace this needs to be adressed

    Iraqi Police Find 87 Bodies in 24 Hours

    Tue Mar 14, 04:34:06 PM EST  
     Anonymous blogged...

    For second year in a row Arctic Sea sea ice did not meaningfully restore itself during the winter.

    - oddjob

    Tue Mar 14, 10:00:50 PM EST  
     Anonymous blogged...

    Those of you exhasperated by the Democrats may find this page one (below the fold) article from today's Boston Globe worth your reading. It directly concerns Kos & MyDD, as well as the progressive blogosphere.

    - oddjob

    (PS: I saw it in the paper this morning. Registration may be necessary to read all of it online. I don't know.)

    Fri Mar 17, 12:04:43 PM EST  

           

    Wednesday, March 01, 2006

    Analysis:
    Toward Full Yield Curve Inversion

    In its continuing coverage of potential indicators of future performance of the U.S. economy, The Dark Wraith Forums has featured the state and movements of the yield curve, which has been flattening considerably over the past months. The yield curve measures the term to maturity of various government Treasury instruments against their yields. The full story of why this happens and what it means can be found in The Dark Wraith Forums article, "Of Crystal Balls and Yield Curves," where it was noted that the past five recessions have been forewarned by an "inverted" yield curve, arguably making it the most accurate intermediate-range predictor of economic downturns, although in several instances the yield curve has inverted without a full-blown recession following.

    An inverted yield curve occurs when long-term Treasury debt yields are lower than short-term yields. Normally, as the term to maturity of bonds lengthens, the yields they provide investors increase, thereby making a graphical representation of maturities of bonds against their yields a smoothly upward-arcing curve. A fully inverted yield displays the opposite behavior: the curve arcs downward from left to right. During a volatile period as the economy moves from relative health to a stage where a recession could come, the yield curve can display "partial inversion," wherein the curve arcs upward for very short-term to short-term yields, then perversely downward from left to right over the short- to intermediate-term bond maturities before recovering the normal, upward-arcing shape from intermediate- to long-term maturities of the bonds being tracked.

    In the article, "Yield Curves 2005," published here, the yield curves at the beginning and end of last year were featured. The main graphic from that article is presented below.


    In the graphic above, the purple yield curve for the first trading day of last year displays the classic, upward arc; by the last trading day of 2005, however, the yield curve had dramatically flattened and partially inverted, warning investors and government economic planners of a possible full inversion and the potential for a subsequent recession.

    In the January 18, 2006, article entitled, "Yield Curve Inversion 2006," here at The Dark Wraith Forums, the progress of the partial inversion was shown: at that date, the yield curve was displaying a troubling, classic partial inversion, looking like a roller coaster with very short-term to short-term yields rising smoothly, short-term to intermediate-term yields falling precipitously, then intermediate-term to long-term yields again rising.

    Based upon data provided by the United States Department of the Treasury, the graphic below presents the yield curve as of the end of trading on the last day of February, 2006. The yield curve from the January 18, 2006, article and the yield curve at February 1 are included for comparative reference.


    The blue curve of January 18, 2006, was partially inverted: the intermediate-term to long-term yields were still rising, with the 20-year Treasury bond continuing to offer investors a better return than any short-term Treasury instrument. By the first day of February, that was still the case, but the entire curve had shifted upward as interest rates on all maturities had risen. By the end of February, the curve had generally shifted even further up, but the 20-year Treasury bond yield had begun to sag noticeably.

    Using the peak yield, which has been at the 6-month Treasury note, as the base for comparisons, the spread between it and the 20-year Treasury bill yield for the three curves is as follows (one basis point is one one-hundredth of a percent):

  • January 18, 2006
    6-month T-bill: 4.46%      20-year T-bond: 4.58%      Yield spread: 12 basis points


  • February 1, 2006
    6-month T-bill: 4.60%      20-year T-bond: 4.77%      Yield spread: 17 basis points


  • February 28, 2006
    6-month T-bill: 4.74%      20-year T-bond: 4.70%      Yield spread: —4 basis points


  • In other words, by the end of February, the 20-year Treasury bond yield had finally fallen below the yield on a mere 6-month T-bill. At this point, only parts of the curve remain non-inverted: in the range of the very short-term, 1-month and 3-month T-bills, which may persist for a while at slightly lower rates for technical reasons; and narrowly in the 5-year to 10-year range. For all intents and purposes, however, as of February 28, 2006, the yield curve had nearly fully inverted; and while the dynamic of the curve had been moving in this direction for months, the Bush Administration and its Republican allies who control the Congress continued to press their claim that the economic policies of tax cuts biased toward the wealthy coupled with deficit spending on war of opportunity at the sacrifice of major cuts in domestic programs was correct policy.

    With yet another near-record federal budget deficit now predicted for this year, the government would have little room to provide counter-cyclical fiscal stimulus directed toward middle-class and working poor households and small business; and even if the Republicans who control the federal government were to radically alter their priorities away from their natural base of support in large corporations and the wealthiest people, any counter-cyclical policies enacted now would have their effect felt far too late to stave off what could be a severe recession starting near the end of this year or early next year.


    The Dark Wraith Forums will deliver continuing coverage on the yield curve as its deepening inversion becomes evident even to the most dull-witted of the incompetent neo-conservatives.

    << 26 Comments Total
     PoliShifter blogged...

    Good evening Dark Wraith,

    I am no economist and cannot come to you from an expert point of view on these matters of yielf curves.

    But I had a question for you:

    Does a short term yield on a t-Bill that is higher than the yield on a long term t-bill indicate a desperation by our government to borrow more money in short term?

    In other words, does the short term rate rise to help entice investors in to the short term investments because the government needs more money in short order?

    I don't know if I am explaining clearly what is going through my head.

    I heard recently from Robert Reich on radio program that the US is borrowing $2 billion a day to stay afloat.

    It seems to incentivise such short term investments that the gummit may give a better yield to attact investors.

    Wed Mar 01, 09:42:28 PM EST  
     Dark Wraith blogged...

    Good evening, PoliShifter.

    You're showing more financial economics understanding than you claim to hold.

    To some extent, there might be an argument that the Treasury is pounding out the quick-liquidity paper. The problem is that it's so easy to move this stuff into the market that it's not even worth calling auction bait. Fueling this is the fact that the Federal Reserve needs piles and piles of these short-term instruments because it's the T-bills that the Fed uses to buy and sell cash money from the banking system to control (or try to control) the money supply.

    Imagine how thrilled Greenspan was by the end of the Clinton era when the government was no longer borrowing any money whatsoever. The Fed's supply of paper to trade for money in the banking system was gone.

    On another point for a moment, the Treasury has just re-introduced the old, 30-year bond that had been put to its grave back during the Clinton Administration. Interestingly, at least from what I'm seeing, the market for those isn't all that complete yet: their prices are strange compared to everything else, and I'm not including them in yield curves yet because there isn't enough market depth in them for any reliable comparison with shorter-term instruments.

    Now, I shall concede that there is some heavy push of the short-term stuff right now. The government is pushing the supply of the instruments outward, which causes their prices to fall and their yields to therefore rise. Couple that with the fact that the Federal Reserve really has direct control only over those short-term Treasury instruments, so when the Fed wants interest rates to rise, the effect is going to be much more direct on the short end of the yield curve where the Fed can actually to some extent control supply and demand conditions for the instruments driving the yields. Further out on the yield curve, the Fed's influence is only indirect: the short-term yields are embedded in the longer-term yields, but other factors come into play out there.

    The fact that the long end of the yield curve is falling means that the prices of those long bonds are rising. That's due in large part to the demand conditions for long-maturity, less liquid instruments that offer the safety of those 10- and 20-year bonds. That's the "flight to quality" about which I've previously written. Investors fearing short-term bad times move their money out of relatively riskier, short term investments (like stocks) and into the safety of long-term, government backed debt instruments. As the demand for these latter products surges, their prices go up, and their yields march down in step. As a side consequence, the shorter-term instruments suck wind because investors don't want their money coming back at them in six months, 12 months, two years, or even five years; they want that money somewhere that it will stay put and not show back up for them to have to re-invest in conditions that could be more adverse than they are right now.

    How was that for a long-winded answer to a relatively short question?


    The Dark Wraith should probably learn how to say "Yes" or "No" more often and be done with his answers.

    Wed Mar 01, 11:02:31 PM EST  
     PoliShifter blogged...

    Thanks Dark Wraith...A very thorough answer indeed.

    You wrote:

    "The fact that the long end of the yield curve is falling means that the prices of those long bonds are rising."

    Again this seems to be an attempt to discourage investors from the long term investments and encourge them to the short term ones.

    I realize that this is all just market dynamics based faithfully on supply and demand...It's not like there is some omnipotent force at work in the bond market trying to manipulate the borrowing to suit their current needs....

    It does however seem to be a chicken or the egg argument to me....

    As long term yields decrease and prices increase then short term yields increase as prices decrease.

    Which triggers which?

    It seems perception of what the future economies hold is what is driving the markets.

    From this point of view it seems then that since the demand for long term securities is growing thereby driving down the yields on long term t bills that the majority of investors are loosing confidence in the short term performance (betwen the next 2 to 5 years) of our economy.

    Could this be why an inverted yield curve is often a harbinger of a recession?

    Thu Mar 02, 12:24:34 AM EST  
     Anonymous blogged...

    OT, but these two stories may be of interest:

    In today's Boston Globe.

    January single family home sales in Mass. drop 21% compared to a year ago, the biggest such drop since April, 1995 (but condo sales still climb).

    - oddjob

    Thu Mar 02, 08:44:53 AM EST  
     My Pet Goat blogged...

    Good morning Mr. Wraith,

    We are all anticipating the antimated GIF file that you'll include in your next forthcoming Yield Curve Inversion post. We believe this will help the even the most dull-witted of the incompetent neo-conservatives see the change.

    You might even want to consider superimposing a plot of the Rapture Index on the curve, after all at 159 it is at a new high for 2006. The conjunction of pending doom vs. holy salvation might, just might, make the neo-cons realize that it is time to pack their bags and get in line for the jesus retractor beam. This would open up a number of government posts, that in theory, could be filled with somebody with at least half a brain. By the time they realize the mothership is a no-show it will be too late.

    On another note, you mentioned some time ago your idea of publishing a book related to your forum. Thought you might find this of interest.

    Thu Mar 02, 11:56:15 AM EST  
     The Fat Lady Sings blogged...

    Well - once again we have entered the realm where my exhaustion triggered dyslexia tends to make numbers and graphics resemble the ingredients for Grendel pie. So I'll simply congratulate you on your new Koufax nod, while wandering off to find something requiring less concentration. Mazeltov!

    Thu Mar 02, 05:59:48 PM EST  
     Dark Wraith blogged...

    Good evening, Fat Lady Sings.

    I swear, if it weren't for you, I'd never know about some of these nominations. Thank you for keeping me clued in, and congratulations right back to you for your nominations.

    For those of you interested, this Koufax Award nomination is for the four-part series, "The 21st Century" in the category of Best Series.

    I'm not sure how many that makes in all for The Dark Wraith Forums; but if I'm not mistaken, that was the last category of Koufax Awards, so the voting should begin shortly I would imagine.

    It's certainly something to get the old blogger blood blurping, that's for sure.


    The Dark Wraith encourages everyone to vote for the blog of his or her choice in each category.

    Thu Mar 02, 06:55:02 PM EST  
     Dark Wraith blogged...

    Good evening, OddJob.

    Actually, that data about plummeting home sales in a major metropolitan area is right on topic.

    I am pretty sure that, if a recession is on the way, it won't be preceded by some catastrophic, country-wide collapse of the housing market; what we'll see, instead, is a series of leaks springing in various SMSAs, but not all at once by any means. This is because there really is no such thing as "the" housing market: there are many housing markets, and that means both geographically and by other dimensions. That means someone who looks for some giant, across-the-country, across the owner-occupied housing categories crash isn't going to see anything that genuinely dramatic, not until quite a bit of the housing market is damaged.

    You noted in this regard that the article for which you provided the link explains that, although home prices "plummeted," condo deals were still doing well. The article didn't give enough detail, though, for my tastes: Massachussetts is not one market. I'd like to know the details by area within the state. That would tell me quite a bit more. If the price collapse is state-wide, that's pretty disturbing; if, however, the bulk of the drop is in the better suburbs of the Boston market, that's something else. Expensive home prices falling will have a much stronger impact on the overall numbers than more modestly priced housing elsewhere in the state. In other words, if that overall plunge was primarily the result of the floor falling out from under the very high-priced homes, but less expensive dwellings have not (yet) experienced the collapse, that's of slightly less immediate concern, and it gives policy planners time perhaps to do something (although little really can be done, I know) to control the fall.

    I did find in that article a comment by one realty industry rah-rah person somewhat amusing: he was bragging that home mortgage loan rates easing in January to their lowest level "in months."

    Well, duh. If people aren't coming in to secure such loans, of course lending institutions are going to back down on rates to the extent that they can to bring prospective mortgagees in. Moreover, if you look at the long end of the yield curve, the longest rates on Treasury bonds are slipping relative to other bond and bill rates. Across the economy, that means rates on long-term borrowing will tend to have some room to maneuver downward if lenders need to offer attractions to induce long-term borrowing.

    Sheesh.


    The Dark Wraith wishes journalists would pick up on those kinds of things.

    Thu Mar 02, 07:21:22 PM EST  
     Anonymous blogged...

    I don't know if it's truly broad and deep or not, but I doubt that a dropoff in only high end home sales could account for such a large drop in sales of single family homes. If it had I can't help thinking it would have been newsworthy in its own right, and I would have caught something like that. I'm a townhouse mortgage holder (only a fool calls himself an owner when what he's really done is "purchased" a mortgage) and I pay enough attention to the local real estate market that I think I would have noticed something so striking.

    My impression is that homes generally are not moving as well as they were a year ago. This is wholly consistent with the Fed's raising interest rates unless I'm much mistaken. Certainly the interest rates offered around here for mortagages and mortgage refinancings have gone up. In such a market environment it seems to me the first people who will drop out aren't the wealthy but the ones barely able to consider a purchase in the first place, and they would be the ones on the low end. That condo sales & prices have continued to rise is consistent with the this idea since condos are cheaper and they offer a way to "own" at a significantly lower price.

    I can't afford to live in a home here unless I purchase a fixer upper (not handy) or live in a less than desirable neighborhood. Once in every few months I stumble into an ad for something that sounds intriguing, but it's not intriguing enough for me to change my present life circumstances. In other parts of the country I would find far more to choose from, but I love Boston and I don't wish to change where I live at present.

    - oddjob

    Thu Mar 02, 09:12:37 PM EST  
     Anonymous blogged...

    I can tell you Massachusetts is quirky in that it's such a small state that the Boston metro area enormously dominates its economy, including its real estate. I've been here eleven years now and during that time I've never heard anything good about Springfield at all. If I understand correctly the real estate market there is declining and has been more or less the entire time I've been here. Even the upper end of Cape Cod is slightly affected by Boston's housing market and the scarcity of affordable homes. New Hampshire has benefitted from this problem for many years now, since at least some time in the 1980's (albeit I'm sure there are old timers there who loathe having all the newcomers from Boston, many of whom probably still have politics too liberal for the old timers' tastes). The real estate markets along the New Hampshire sounthern border have benefitted enormously from people moving north out of Boston. Even some of the down and out mill cities (Lowell, Lawrence, Haverhill) up near New Hampshire are doing better than they did 20 years ago if I understand correctly. They are doing so because people can afford to live there, but not in closer places like Peabody, Wakefield, or Andover.

    - oddjob

    Thu Mar 02, 09:19:35 PM EST  
     Anonymous blogged...

    (BTW, of those last three towns I mentioned off the top of my head only Andover is high end; the other two are firmly middle class.)

    - oddjob

    Thu Mar 02, 09:24:00 PM EST  
     Dark Wraith blogged...

    Good morning, Mr. Goat.

    I wanted to thank you for the link to that publishing service. That would, of course, be the last resort publisher if, by the time I'm finished preparing the submission draft, I cannot find a regular publisher and I cannot afford a vanity press run. It looks to me as if it would cost well in excess of $50 wholesale with that print-on demand service. I doubt if I could sell more than three or four copies at any kind of mark-up at all over that. However, it's definitely out there as my last resort.

    Fortunately, slogging through all of the old stuff to put into the manuscript is time consuming beyond my expectations. I've edited quite a bit before, but this is an editing/enhancing gig; and I'm just amazed that so many grammatical errors, awkward sentences, and even misspellings got by me in posts. Also, fitting a selection of the "Quoth the Dark Wraith" offerings into the manuscript is proving a little complicated in terms of maintaining a flow from article to article. I think I have a better idea of how to do it than the way I've inserted them so far.

    I'm a few weeks away from making a submission. If worse comes to worse, that print-on-demand service will be the way I go. Again, I do appreciate the heads up on it.


    The Dark Wraith slogs onward toward literary irrelevance.

    Fri Mar 03, 08:53:19 AM EST  
     Donviti blogged...

    This post has been removed by the author.

    Fri Mar 03, 09:32:23 AM EST  
     Donviti blogged...

    after reading my comment I think it was wise to rewrite it...holy cow.

    Oh wise one….

    Is It possible that the way Americans invest (short term) is what is driving the short term yield to be higher then it normally would for long term investing?

    Maybe it is a stretch, but it seems as Americans (more generally speaeaking Wall Street) goes we have become short sighted on returns and are unable to see past our noses for long term investing and strategies. Unlike our trading “partners” in China who are in the middle of a 50 year plan or the Japanese who plan for the long haul as well (i.e. Toyota)Just a thought

    It seems my question ond Polishifter are similar, however I think my question is more geared to the thinking that it is not so much the Fed Driving the Policy anymore as it is Wall Street...

    Is it possible that this is a case of the tail wagging the dog. Investors forcing the treasuries hand, thus shaping our current economic trends and policies?

    Fri Mar 03, 10:17:54 AM EST  
     Anonymous blogged...

    OT, but if you're available DW, there's a thread you should check out over at Shakespeare's Sister.

    - oddjob

    Fri Mar 03, 03:40:30 PM EST  
     Dark Wraith blogged...

    Good evening, OddJob.

    That article was way too frustrating for me. The second example, "The hot weather kind of snuck up on us," which was supposed to be one of bad grammar, was actually an example of good grammar. I have, however, seen more and more grammar police claiming that "snuck" is not a word. It most certainly is, and it's a lovely example of an old, "strong verb" conjugation.

    Verbs can be classified as either "weak" or "strong" based upon whether inflection principally affects the root vowel or the ending. Low germanic languages of old tended to favor strong verbs; weak ones became more fashionable much later. As a result, some strong verbs were re-worked to become weak.

    My favorite story in this regard is the one of a baseball player who, in his later years, became a sports commentator. During a game in which he was getting excited as a runner was heading for home plate, the fellow hollered out, "He slud into home!" Of course, better people listening thought him a country hick with poor grammar skills when, in fact, he was pressing into service the older past tense of the verb "slide."

    Yes, good grammar is disappearing from American English usage, just as it did in most British English usage quite a few years ago. Part of that sad state of affairs is that many grammar police think they understand English grammar and usage well enough to critique others; but if they were true lovers of the language, they would understand the history of it and the amazing ways in which it has changed, sometimes for the better, sometimes for the worse.

    They would also know of the many instances in which what we consider awful grammar was at one time considered proper and correct. In more than a few cases, some "rule" of grammar simply came from nowhere at the whim, misunderstanding, or behest of a "better" person who invented a rule from the whole cloth of his own mind. Some of those rules lasted so long that they long ago became legitimate, although quite often that legitimacy is governed more by who is in political and social power and the dialect spoken by them.

    Did you know that "ain't" wasn't always "not a word"?

    Did you know that the rule about not using double negatives arose because people who were infused of mathematical logic a couple centuries ago thought English should be like mathematics?

    Did you know that the rule prohibiting a preposition at the end of a sentence popped up because an anal-retentive translator thought English should be like Latin? (Latin doesn't have prepositions, per se, so a writer can't split the preposition particle off a compound verb in Latin.)

    Did you know it's better to say, "I feel good," than to say, "I feel well," since the latter should, for all intents and purposes, get the declarer slapped?

    Did you know that the translators for the King James Version of the Holy Bible didn't speak the English they used in that book? The English of that Bible hadn't been spoken in probably 50 years, but the translators believed that using this older, rustic form would make the Bible sound more authoritative. In fact, their use of a dialect in which they were not entirely conversant led to some, shall we say, interesting grammatical and spelling conventions that would have made an actual speaker of that older form of English look rather puzzled.

    Did you know that the English Shakespeare actually used in his plays was considerably rougher and more modern than the version in the cleaned-up editions published years after his death. These edited versions, complete with a slightly stiffer, older English are the ones from which we, to this day, draw our quotes.

    Did you know that the Constitution of the United States has some of the worst grammar one could imagine? The comma splices alone have caused no end of grief, argument, and confusion with respect to interpretation of original intent. If you don't believe me, look carefully at the Second Amendment: never mind trying to diagram the sentence; just try to find where the subject of that abomination begins and ends. The comma splices cause the sentence to behave like a road that simply stops, then begins anew in another county.

    Enough with the examples. I am a constant proponent of teaching children, young adults, and new college students hard-core grammar. I am thoroughly disinterested in their compositional skills if such are developed at the expense of time spent on grammar, usage, and spelling. When I ran a two-year school for paralegals and court reporters, the accreditation body ordered me to cancel my two-course sequence in English grammar. "Grammar is dead," one of the academic auditors intoned without a hint of grasp of the outrageous cliché she had just up-chucked on my curriculum.

    Let me be clear, however, on what makes for good writing. Once students have mastered the "proper" way to speak and write (including an honest, on-going discussion of all the false rules, pseudo-rules, and side stories), they should be free to find every ounce of creativity possible in bending, breaking, and mangling those sacred rules. Good grammar and good writing walk hand-in hand, but that does not in any way mean that they must or even should be sewn together with no room for expression, invention, and personality of the writer, his or her background, and his or her particular manner of using the Mother Tongue.

    As a final example offered for the edification of the readers, we all know that it is improper to write an incomplete sentence.

    Whatever.



    The Dark Wraith outens the light on this diatribe.

    Fri Mar 03, 06:30:26 PM EST  
     misty blogged...

    Well - once again we have entered the realm where my exhaustion triggered dyslexia tends to make numbers and graphics resemble the ingredients for Grendel pie. So I'll simply congratulate you on your new Koufax nod, while wandering off to find something requiring less concentration. Mazeltov!

    I'll just say ditto--except it's for a different one than series. It's for Best Blog (Non-Pro).

    Good work, DW. Each nomination well-deserved.

    Fri Mar 03, 07:40:55 PM EST  
     Anonymous blogged...

    Did you know that "ain't" wasn't always "not a word"?

    I think I've heard this before, but can't be certain. In any case it surprises me not the slightest. If it truly were "not a word" it wouldn't be so prevalent, particularly in some dialects. As it is all it does in American general society is serve as a status indicator (where the user is marked as lower class or not sufficiently educated, which often amounts to the same thing), even if in the dialects where it's prevalent it serves an altogether different purpose.

    - oddjob

    (You still should have chimed in. I love your willingness to talk language, despite the way you keep that tightly under wraps.)

    Fri Mar 03, 08:10:13 PM EST  
     Anonymous blogged...

    Did you know that the rule prohibiting a preposition at the end of a sentence popped up because an anal-retentive translator thought English should be like Latin?

    Churchill's quip on the matter says it best:

    That is English up with which I will not put!

    - oddjob

    Fri Mar 03, 08:12:12 PM EST  
     Anonymous blogged...

    Did you know it's better to say, "I feel good," than to say, "I feel well," since the latter should, for all intents and purposes, get the declarer slapped?

    This time I'm not following you. Why should "I feel well" get the declarer slapped? (I almost always say "I feel good" because it "sounds right", but that's just convention.)

    As to mastery leading to creativity, that's no different than it is in any creative form of expression. You can't be fully creative unless you understand the landscape in which you function. That's why artists when training draw classical shapes over & over & over. When Andrew Wyeth's son Jamie began studying art seriously he took his lessons from his aunt (Caroline, another established professional artist). The first year she had him draw nothing but three dimensional shapes such as spheres and cubes.

    There's no way Picasso's art would have had the same significance had he not first been classically trained.

    - oddjob

    Fri Mar 03, 08:25:02 PM EST  
     PoliShifter blogged...

    Odd JOb

    "I feel well..." as I can feel up (in my case) a member of the opposite sex well....FOr others they may feel well for members of the same sex or even in other cases some people may feel well for their pet goats and donkeys. I think that guy Horsley the abortion activist can attest to that...

    Fri Mar 03, 08:48:39 PM EST  
     PeterofLoneTree blogged...

    "My favorite story in this regard is the one of a baseball player who, in his later years, became a sports commentator." --Dark Wraith

    Dizzy ("Me 'n Paul 'll win 45 games this year") Dean?

    "When Paul joined his famous brother Dizzy on the Cardinals' pitching staff, Dizzy predicted, "Me 'n Paul will win 45 games." They won 49, 19 by Paul, and put the Cards in the World Series, where they each won 2 more. During the September pennant drive, Dizzy shut out the Dodgers on three hits in the first game of a double-header; Paul pitched a no-hitter in the nightcap. "I wished I'da known Paul was goin' to pitch a no-hitter," Dizzy said. "I'da pitched one, too."

    Sat Mar 04, 03:38:25 PM EST  
     Dark Wraith blogged...

    Good evening, Peter of Lone Tree.

    None other than the late, great Dizzy Dean: the guy roared, "HE SLUD INTO HOME!!" and thereby got the sneering snickers of those who know all about proper English much better than the hillbillies, those peoples who tend to retain characteristics of older versions of their languages far longer than their more urbanized and connected counterparts.

    Dizzy's verb was just fine. So was his baseball playing.




    The Dark Wraith these greats mickel ought.

    Sat Mar 04, 06:23:16 PM EST  
     oldwhitelady blogged...

    Good evening, Dark Wraith.
    I was going to comment on the Full Yield Curve Inversion, but read your quote:

    President Bush's approval rating is so low right now that he couldn't get elected dog catcher. That's a good thing: if Bush were the dog catcher, every stray dog in town would change its name to Osama so Bush wouldn't know how to capture it.

    and became so amused, I forgot what I was going to say. That was pretty darned funny. Dogs are pretty smart creatures:)

    Sat Mar 04, 07:05:43 PM EST  
     Anonymous blogged...

    (Well, maybe except Irish Setters....)

    - oddjob

    Sun Mar 05, 08:34:19 PM EST  
     Mr. Shakes blogged...

    Good evening, Dark Wraith.

    I see that Good Omens by Terry Pratchett and Neil Gaiman is currently featured in your advertisments section. A brilliantly funny novel, better even than some of the Discworld installments.

    Do you choose what book shows up there, or do Barnes and Noble? I'n guessing you do, based on the fact that the ones I've noticed seem to be works that that would meet with the Wraith stamp of approval.

    Thu Mar 09, 09:51:27 PM EST