Monday, August 29, 2005

Special Analysis Report:
Able Danger and the Secretary of State

In the year 2000, a private firm tasked to identifying potential security threats to the United States of America developed a chart of complex business and government relationships that, in its scope and detail, implicated China as a source of concern. As reported by the New York Post, the chart was "controversial" at the time it was unveiled; and according to the Post article, it triggered grave concerns because the investigation of which the chart was a component came "...dangerously close to violating laws banning the military from spying on Americans," according to sources involved in the operation.

One of the targets of the investigation was an individual with long-term ties to Right-wing and conservative interests, a person who was soon to become a Washington insider: her name was Condoleeza Rice, who was to become, subsequent to the Republican victory in the 2000 Presidential Election, the National Security Adviser to the new President, George W. Bush. Eventually, Dr. Rice would become the Secretary of State, a portfolio that she still holds. The Post article noted above concludes, "There was no suggestion that Rice or any of the others had done anything wrong."

The investigators who were targeting Dr. Rice and other Americans were fired, and the contract the private firm had with the Pentagon was canceled. James Smith, who was responsible for creating the "controversial" chart using a sophisticated data mining procedure to find correlations and connections among millions of pieces of disparate information, confirmed to the Post that he was, indeed, fired because of his work. He indicated that it was because of concerns by Pentagon lawyers about the "focus" on American citizens. It is possible that the termination of the Able Danger work was because of concerns within the Clinton Administration that, were the group's activities to become public, accusations would be made that Clinton was spying on his political enemies because a number of American names being generated by the model were Republican political personalities and their business supporters.

In other aspects of the work by Able Danger, it had been able to identify, months in advance of the attacks on the United States of September 11, 2001, several of the foreign nationals, including purported ringleader Mohammed Atta. That this intelligence existed but was never used or apparently communicated to the Bush Administration before the attacks has only recently come to light, and the facts surrounding Able Danger's accurate targeting was not made available to the independent commission (informally known as the "9/11 Commission") that was charged with preparing a definitive report on the attacks and the failures of intelligence that allowed them to happen.

According to Reuters, as reported by Intel Dump, a military official, Captain Phillott, affiliated with Able Danger has now stated that he did, indeed, tell the 9/11 Commission's controversial and allegedly partisan staff director, Phillip Zelikow, about intelligence generated by Able Danger regarding Mohammed Atta, but the actual Commission members assert that they were not told about the substantial importance of the successful, pre-attack investigative work that had been accomplished. This, however, must be viewed in the context of the Commission's final report, which described the captain's information as "not sufficiently reliable," indicating either that the Commission members dismissed a stunningly accurate assessment of men who were soon to be terrorists or that Dr. Zelikow provided the Commission the assessment that would entirely inform what would come to be its summary dismissal of the information.

In what might be taken as a mere side note, Dr. Zelikow and Commission member Jamie Gorelick, who worked for the Clinton Administration Justice Department, were the only individuals associated with the Commission that were ever permitted to fully review National Security Council documents pursuant to the Commission's investigations. More fundamentally, in a Statement of the Family Steering Committee for the 9/11 Independent Commission, organized family members of victims of the September 11, 2001, attacks called for the resignation of Dr. Zelikow from the 9/11 Commission because he, along with Condoleeza Rice, had attended a meeting in late 2000 in which outgoing Clinton Administration officials attempted to brief transition team members for the in-coming Bush Administration about on-going investigations of potential terrorist threats against the United States.

Dr. Zelikow is described by insiders as a long-time close friend of Condoleeza Rice, having co-authored with him a 1995 book on German reunification. She has recently appointed him as one of her senior advisers. According to her official online résumé provided by the United States government, before serving the current Bush Administration, Dr. Rice was the Provost of Stanford University, long reputed as a bastion of conservative and Right-wing intellectuals, and she had at various times served on the boards of directors of such multinational entitities as Transamerica Corporation, Hewlett Packard, the Carnegie Corporation, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, The Rand Corporation, and the National Council for Soviet and East European Studies. Dr. Rice and Dr. Zelikow had worked together for the Administration of President George H.W. Bush.

No copies of the original Able Danger chart have surfaced. To the extent that the mainstream media has covered this odd little story, assurances have been made consistently that Dr. Rice and other Americans were not legitimate targets of investigation. Although such concerns are well justified, the existence of the now-vanished chart indicates that, in the present case, an extensive forensic process proceeded from the leads offered by the results of the brute algorithm. Whether or not the construction was entirely fantastic will never be known unless the chart is rediscovered and its pathways fully and impartially pursued by law enforcement authorities.

So far, Able Danger is the only known project at the national level that, more than a year before the attacks of September 11, 2001, correctly identified not only terrorists who would be involved in those attacks, but accurately identified the one who was the ringleader of the outrage.

So far, no one has explained why, if the Pentagon was concerned about military spying on American citizens, the information was not passed to domestic federal law enforcement officials who could have legally continued what proved in retrospect to be the most fruitful of all known avenues of investigation that were on-going in the year leading up to the attacks.

And so far, no one has explained how information about what Able Danger had found and surmised managed to get to Condoleeza Rice's close friend and associate, Phillip Zelikow, yet the 9/11 Commission members still disclaim any detailed knowledge of the extent of Able Danger's findings, despite the Commission's final report dismissing the source of the information passed to Dr. Zelikow.



The Dark Wraith leaves it to the discretion of the readers, as they may choose, to assess this odd little side story and all of the seemingly disparate issues that arise from it.

<< 20 Comments Total
 My Pet Goat blogged...

Cyber-sleuths working for a Pentagon intelligence unit that reportedly identified some of the 9/11 hijackers before the attack were fired by military officials, after they mistakenly pinpointed Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice and other prominent Americans as potential security... (quote from orginal article - my empahsis added)

Who says it was a mistake?

Mon Aug 29, 11:38:06 PM EDT  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good evening, Mr. Goat.

And therein resides the frustration. It would seem that the mainstream media has decreed that the identification was a "mistake," thereby concurring with whoever it was in the Pentagon that got so worked up about this that heads rolled.


The Dark Wraith is glad that the mainstream media continues its streak of agreeing with the Pentagon.

Tue Aug 30, 12:02:59 AM EDT  
 lenin's ghost blogged...

rotten dogs.....the corpmedia are a bunch of overfed parrots! poopheads!

Tue Aug 30, 01:49:43 AM EDT  
 Phoenician in a time of Romans blogged...

The rational thing to do, of course, would be to note the success of the mining after the fact (before the fact, it could not be determined that it was more or less accurate than other methods), and proceed to investigate the other leads given.

Including Rice.

I wonder if this has anything to do with a certain Arab monarchy from which a certain prominent terrorist leader came?

Tue Aug 30, 01:50:33 AM EDT  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Gracious, Lenin's Ghost.

I suppose the term "poopheads" is sort of related to those Iraqi constitutionalists who want to re-institute Sharia: one might call them Shi'ite-fer-brains.


The Dark Wraith reached w-a-a-a-y too far for that insensitive groaner of a pun.

Tue Aug 30, 01:56:01 AM EDT  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good evening, Phoenician.

You are thinking of one of the possibilities that came to my mind, too. It is utterly maddening that no copies of that original chart seem to be around, now. A few "reconstructions" are popping up, but there's no reason to believe that they're anywhere even in the ballpark of what was described as an extraordinarily detailed map of all the interrelationships among people, businesses, countries, and groups involved.


The Dark Wraith would need only five minutes with that map to see what those Able Danger folks got fired for.

Tue Aug 30, 02:01:02 AM EDT  
 Andi blogged...

I would like to be looking over your shoulder for those five minutes. (I would make every effort to keep my anticipatory drool from running down said shoulder.)

The phrase "inquiring minds want to know" is an absurd understatement in this case.

To tell you the truth, though, your sentence "Whether or not the construction was entirely fantastic will never be known unless the chart is rediscovered and its pathways fully and impartially pursued by law enforcement authorities" made me laugh out loud on several levels - firstly because the chances of the chart being rediscovered from whatever locked vault (or bonfire) to which it has been consigned are so anorexic, and secondly because you mentioned full and impartial investigation by law enforcement authorities. (Ha. That one makes me laugh just re-reading it.)

Was this a subtly absurdist Dark Wraith joke intended to make me giggle on this dark Tuesday morning? If so, you've succeeded. I did giggle - if somewhat nervously.

Tue Aug 30, 08:55:30 AM EDT  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good morning, Andi.

I like to refer to it as "straight-faced, understated sarcasm."


The Dark Wraith works hard at his craft.

Tue Aug 30, 10:09:58 AM EDT  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Okay, folks, here comes the fun part. Apparently, in May of 2002, Rep. Curt Weldon (R-PA) was doing a song and dance for the Heritage Foundation; to show off how much he was "in the loop" of things he could let these buddies of his in on, he whipped out the CHART. And his little show is on VIDEO in an archive.

I am downloading it right now, but I honestly have no idea of how good the quality of the video is, and I don't know how well the chart was shot during the video. I'm not even sure if this is the chart because I heard it described as the "Atta chart," which was the one Able Danger made to track the Arabs who would eventually become the 9/11 terrorists, and I don't know if Able Danger had integrated its domestic surveillance of U.S. citizens with its domestic surveillance of the foreign nationals.

One way or the other, though, I'm going to try to download the whole video, carve out still frames of the chart, put them together as best I can to create a composite digital image, and see what is visible in the thing.


The Dark Wraith will keep you posted.

Tue Aug 30, 11:45:06 PM EDT  
 lenin's ghost blogged...

dark one.....lol....silly joke......many of my lebanese friends make similar comments in regards to the shi'ite folks. how these guys lived through the civil war in beirut and kept their sense of humour, i'll never know. the stories and pictures are insane.
war is bad!

Wed Aug 31, 02:30:54 AM EDT  
 oldwhitelady blogged...

Good evening, Dark Wraith.

That is some mighty fine reading!

One of my thoughts on it is that the current admin was busy making up stories about Clinton stealing stuff from the Whitehouse to pay much attention to possible threats to the US. Afterall, US is greater than anyone else, who would want to hurt us? The feeling I get is that the "leader of the free world" has such a low opinion (hatred, even) of Clinton, that he would refuse to believe (or pay attention to) anything the Clinton admin tried to tell him/his admin. Bush gives me the idea that he believes he and his minions are right in every respect and all, who try to tell them otherwise, are targets for character assassination.. and you forgot to mention that Condi is Dubya's wife.. (oh, wait, that's not true:)

Wed Aug 31, 08:09:25 PM EDT  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good evening, Old White Lady.

I spent some time with that Heritage Foundation video. The chart that Congressman showed was represented by the Congressman as "the unclassified version." He went on to say, "Obviously, I couldn't bring the classified version with me today."

In other words, he was indicating that he had the classified version. So what did he do with it?

The version he was showing off there at that meeting, as he claimed, "...shows the entire al-Qa'ida network." Now, of course, he laid all the blame on events during the Clinton Administration, even though he specifically said that the "Special Forces" unit (by that, I am presuming that he was referring to Able Danger) in charge had only in September of 2000 attempted to brief a member of the Joints Chiefs of Staff.

As the Congressman tells it, that meeting was shot down.

However, if you'll reel forward to August of 2001, apparently, what was known by Able Danger had passed into the intelligence stream. It is most likely the case that Richard Clark was relying at least in part on this type of intelligence to warn Bush in that memo that no one seems to recall getting to Bush or to Condoleeza Rice.

Now, let's get back to hot topics. Why, in the "unclassified version" do we have "the entire al-Qa'ida network" on display? What in God's name in in the "classified" version?

More importantly, is the "classified" version classified because it fleshes out not just Americans, but also a network that went clear through China? From everything indicated by the Able Danger people who were fired, the "chart" was the reason the project got killed, and the chart mapped extensive correlations among interests in China and the United States.

What gives, here?


The Dark Wraith is probably going to take this comment off the thread and put a version of it in an update on the blog article here in a little while.

Wed Aug 31, 08:25:35 PM EDT  
 oldwhitelady blogged...

In other words, he was indicating that he had the classified version. So what did he do with it?

In a vault, somewhere, for safe-keeping, with instructions that if he dies, it's to be given to...?

Just what is in that classified version? I wonder.

Wed Aug 31, 10:03:38 PM EDT  
 t rogers blogged...

Once again, my passage through these black pages have been the most illuminating.
I had no idea what Able Danger was about before now, and the astute commenters on this site also open my eyes to my ignorance of all things political. Thanks to all.

Thu Sep 01, 07:19:05 AM EDT  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Welcome back, T. Rogers. It had occurred to me that I hadn't seen comments from you in some time. I'm glad you've returned to the grim pages of The Dark Wraith Forums.

What I'm doing right now is preparing a follow-up on this article. At the same time, I'm trying to figure out what exactly it is that's going on. The big mystery to me is that I have some wretchedly poor shots of the so-called "Atta chart," which mapped out what a Congressman called the "entire al-Qa'ida network." Yet he claimed there was a classified version of the same chart, but he said it was classified because of what at the time were on-going special forces activities "in Afghanistan."

So, is this classified version of the chart the same Able Danger chart that the fired Able Danger men were talking about?—the one that got them fired because it mapped out Chinese business and strategic relationships and the Americans who were connected to this threat matrix through a data mining computer program?

I just don't know at this point.



The Dark Wraith does, however, intend to find out.

Thu Sep 01, 10:24:50 AM EDT  
 Mr. Shakes blogged...

Hey DW,

OT, but here goes anyway.

Some strange behavior in the Govt. yield curve over the past few days: first it started to buckle in the 2-3yr range and an inversion looked more likely than ever. Now, it has started steepening, and yields have risen accross the board, but especially in the lower duration instruments.

This is a guess, but it seems to me that Katrina should have accelerated this inversion of the yield curve, since it increased risk in the short term.

So why this sudden reversal of trend? Did the Fed open the floodgates? Is Mr. Greenspan playing politics once again?

Thu Sep 01, 12:10:10 PM EDT  
 Dark Wraith blogged...

Good afternoon, Mr. Shakes.

This is exactly what's happening: Greenspan has opened the floodgates (as if they weren't already partway open anyway, the way the balance of open market operations have been going).

This is not uncommon after crises: it's often the case that the Fed will "stand ready to provide sufficient liquidity." Whether or not it's the Fed's job to worry about the economy in this manner is something to which I shall not speak, here; but suffice it to say that the bond markets are reacting to serious injections of money into the system.

In the short run, this might help, although I would argue that, because the Fed has been pumping in money anyway recently (as evidenced by the stunning spikes at June 30 and in the days leading up to the July 7 London attacks), the positive effects from the Fed's injections are probably far less substantial than they otherwise would have been. However, in the long run this new uncorking of the money bottle will simply add to inflation expectations down the road.

That means it will be left to the next Chairman of the Federal Reserve to clamp down on the money supply, and do so seriously and in a sustained fashion for several years. This will, of course, cause a major recession, and it will likely occur once Bush is no longer President.

That means the American people will blame whoever is President for the drastic measures necessary to correct the profligacy, folly, and craven actions of this Administration and its Republican lackeys in Congress and in the Federal Reserve.

And the hilarious part of it is that there will be no way to explain to the average American why all of this is happening.



The Dark Wraith finds this hilarious because, of course, the Dark Wraith loves darkly absurdist humor.

Thu Sep 01, 12:38:12 PM EDT  
 SB Gypsy blogged...

Good Afternoon Dark Wraith,


And the hilarious part of it is that there will be no way to explain to the average American why all of this is happening.


Why the heck not?? I don't think the average american is as stupid as everyone thinks. If the media could be liberated from the deadly "bias" for enough time to allow the new Congress to explain why we are in such deep dodo...

I mean, they can understand maxing out a credit card, they know what balancing a budget is - even if they can't manage to balance their own. They know the war is costing us the world(in so many different ways), they know the hurricanes have put a big dent in our budget, and they know what "pork" is. If the rightwing echo chamber could be chastened enough for someone to talk about why we have an estate tax, without being laughed off the air... They are already getting the idea that it's selfish to give tax cuts to the rich when there's a war on, and the rich are the ones benefitting from it..

And it's not as if the new Prez or congressman doesn't have 2 hours to make a speech. Bush certainly managed to spend 2 hours talking about nothing - several times.

I can remember a few political speeches that were riveting - even before I cared about politics - JFK, RFK, Mario Cuomo.

The Brits willingly let Margaret Thatcher pull in the reins for what, 8 - 10 years...

And every report says how angry everyone is about the price at the pump - imagine what we're going to feel when we have to put down $600.00 a month to heat our houses this winter...

I don't know, am I just being totally naive again?

Thu Sep 01, 04:35:43 PM EDT  
 Mr. Shakes blogged...

Afternoon,

For evidence of how easy it is to explain these long term economic events to Joe Public one need only look at what happened to the Carter Administration. The citizenry do not swallow bitter medicine well, no matter how much good it will do them in the long term.

There is also a chance that Katrina will prove a great political boon to Bush, since it will give him the opportunity to strut around and actually look useful for a while. It may also take the pressure off him vis a vis energy prices, since these can now be blamed on one freak event, rather than the systemic problems that are the real cause, and which Bush has failed to address.

Though - perhaps not, I'd love to think that people will finally wake up and smell the coffee. There is a lot of anger out there at the moment, and Bush's latest speeches have been very innefectual at assuaging it. There are indications that the soundbites and platitudes are beginning to sound so ridiculous that even the Vulgate have begun to see through it.

We can only hope...

But I am not hoping too much.

Thu Sep 01, 05:33:49 PM EDT  
 SB Gypsy blogged...

Afternoon, Mr Shakes,

If you saw the Daily Show the last time that Seymour Hersch was on, and he told John Stewart : If you believe that Iraq isn't already in a civil war, I have a bridge to sell you!... I feel like John Stewart when he begged: "Sell me the bridge, Semour, I really need that bridge"

Thu Sep 01, 06:11:24 PM EDT